2026 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2026 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
USA33
APP27
USA by 6
Win chance
USA63%
APP 37%USA 63%
Projected total
59pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance South Alabama wins by 3 or more
43% South Alabama wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← APP winsUSA wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- APP by 4 to USA by 14
- 80% of outcomes
- APP by 11 to USA by 23
- 90% of outcomes
- APP by 22 to USA by 31
- Median
- USA by 5
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.