Try the model
LAM

Lamar 7 at Louisiana 38

UL
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Cajun Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadLAM aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreLAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:14 · (01:14) #49 M.Golding punt 42 yards to the LU13 #18 K.Fuselier return 1 yard to the LU14 (#2 R.Dennis; #51 H.Darbonne) PENALTY LU Illegal Block in Back (#37 J.Abrama) 7 yards from LU14 to LU07
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior+35.8Home team on offense+2.8Score differential+0.6Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:15: (07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:15 #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft) — UL win probability +0.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:23: (13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush right for 25 yards gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:23, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft) — UL win probability +2.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 10:41: (10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Reagan Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU37 (#18 D.Washington) — UL win probability +1.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:09: (09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Reagan Jr. rush left for 11 yards gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:09, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft) — UL win probability +3.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:12: (01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #10 R.Babineaux caught at LU45, for 4 yards to the LU45 (#7 A.Huff), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LU Illegal Substitution declined — UL win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5LAM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 11:56LAM 4th & 3 at UL 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:56LAM 4th & 2 at UL 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−0.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:14UL 4th & 10 at UL 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:43LAM 4th & 13 at LAM 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:51LAM 4th & 10 at UL 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:20UL 4th & 4 at LAM 36, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:38LAM 4th & 4 at LAM 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:00UL 4th & 3 at UL 45, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:37UL 4th & 1 at LAM 13, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:58UL 4th & 13 at LAM 14, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:15LAM 4th & 11 at LAM 46, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:15UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:23UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:09UL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LAMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:458% → 8%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
92.4%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short left to #3 P.Jenkins caught at LU22, for 14 yards to the LU39 (#44 J.St. Andre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
92.3%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short right to #1 D.Driskell caught at LU39, for 10 yards to the LU49 (#6 C.McPherson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
92.1%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Thomas rush left for 7 yards gain to the UL44 (#2 A.Williams)Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
91.9%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass incomplete short middle thrown to UL37 QB hurried by #44 J.St. AndreSimilar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
91.8%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 P.Jenkins rush middle for 0 yards to the UL44 (#6 C.McPherson)Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+20
91.7%
(11:56) #33 M.Stallons punt 38 yards to the UL06 #11 B.Gordon Jr. return 20 yards to the UL26 (#35 C.Miller)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:0592% → 92%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
91.6%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Chaney rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UL27 (#1 M.Evans)Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+26
91.5%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush middle for 26 yards gain to the LU47 (#3 C.Holmes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
91.6%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Smith thrown to LU47Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+20
91.5%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield rush right for 20 yards gain to the LU27 (#11 B.McDonald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.5%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass incomplete short right thrown to LU26 broken up by #11 B.McDonald QB hurried by #20 T.NelsonSimilar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
91.4%
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LU22 (#11 B.McDonald)Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+7
91.3%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LU15 (#11 B.McDonald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
91.3%
PENALTY UL False Start (#88 C.Jensen) 5 yards from LU15 to LU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+3
91.0%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LU17 (#17 E.McKinney)Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+15
90.9%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #4 T.Chaney caught at LU19, for 15 yards to the LU02 (#1 M.Evans), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.6%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:15 #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:149% → 10%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass incomplete short left to #11 J.Thompson thrown to LU33Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
91.3%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short right to #4 B.Thomas caught at LU37, for 12 yards to the LU37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
91.1%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Uga rush right for 9 yards gain to the LU46 (#3 M.Johnson; #15 N.Brown)Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
90.8%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass incomplete deep right to #11 J.Thompson thrown to UL11Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
90.8%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Uga rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU48 (#11 B.Gordon Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
90.7%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Uga rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UL49 (#11 B.Gordon Jr.; #6 C.McPherson)Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
90.4%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short middle to #18 K.Fuselier caught at UL44, for 5 yards to the UL44 (#11 B.Gordon Jr.)Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
90.3%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Uga rush middle for 0 yards to the UL44 (#35 C.Jacob; #99 A.Wright)Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 2
OPP 44
-1
90.4%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 P.Jenkins rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UL45 (#2 A.Williams), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3691% → 90%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.0%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass incomplete short right to #10 R.Babineaux thrown to LU40Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
90.8%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Babineaux rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UL50 (#7 A.Huff; #17 E.McKinney)Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 5
50
0
90.6%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield rush middle for 0 yards to the UL50 (#1 M.Evans; #9 M.Wuenschel)Similar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 5
50
+5
90.3%
PENALTY UL False Start (#24 L.Bates) 5 yards from UL50 to UL45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+1
90.0%
(01:14) #49 M.Golding punt 42 yards to the LU13 #18 K.Fuselier return 1 yard to the LU14 (#2 R.Dennis; #51 H.Darbonne) PENALTY LU Illegal Block in Back (#37 J.Abrama) 7 yards from LU14 to LU07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:2010% → 10%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
90.2%
(01:06) No Huddle #0 J.Uga rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LU08 (#35 C.Jacob)Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 9
OWN 8
-1
90.1%
(00:21) No Huddle #3 P.Jenkins rush middle for 1 yard loss to the LU07 (#44 J.St. Andre)Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 10
OWN 7
0
90.3%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass incomplete short left to #3 P.Jenkins thrown to LU01 QB hurried by #95 M.Baudoin IVSimilar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 10
OWN 7
+3
90.4%
PENALTY LU False Start (#28 E.Dotson) 3 yards from LU07 to LU04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 13
OWN 4
+6
90.3%
(14:43) #33 M.Stallons punt 48 yards to the UL48 #11 B.Gordon Jr. return 6 yards to the LU46 (#87 T.Bonkowski), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:0591% → 93%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
90.5%
(14:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #4 T.Chaney caught at LU48, for 2 yards loss to the LU48 (#1 M.Evans)Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+17
90.2%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #88 C.Jensen caught at LU37, for 17 yards to the LU31 (#2 B.Bailey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
90.4%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LU25 (#5 D.Beamon)Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+25
92.8%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush right for 25 yards gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:23, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:078% → 9%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
91.8%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass incomplete short right to #18 K.Fuselier thrown to LU40 PENALTY LU Holding (#71 T.Henry) 10 yards from LU30 to LU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+4
91.8%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown rush right for 4 yards gain to the LU24 (#2 A.Williams)Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+2
91.8%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #43 L.McDowell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU26 (#68 F.West Jr.)Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+16
91.8%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short right to #3 P.Jenkins caught at LU42, for 16 yards to the LU42 (#11 B.Gordon Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
91.5%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 P.Jenkins rush middle for 3 yards loss to the LU39 fumbled by #3 P.Jenkins at LU39 recovered by UL #41 C.Edwards at LU39, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:3293% → 96%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
92.8%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Reagan Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU37 (#18 D.Washington)Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+25
92.8%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #88 C.Jensen caught at LU23, for 25 yards to the LU12 (#2 B.Bailey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
92.8%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Reagan Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the LU11 (#2 B.Bailey)Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
96.2%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Reagan Jr. rush left for 11 yards gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:09, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 9INT
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:204% → 5%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
95.6%
(08:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 P.Jenkins rush left for 7 yards gain to the LU30 (#0 P.Ashe)Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+6
95.3%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 P.Jenkins rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LU36 (#6 C.McPherson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
95.4%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 P.Jenkins rush right for 2 yards gain to the LU38 (#6 C.McPherson; #11 B.Gordon Jr.)Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+14
95.4%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short left to #18 K.Fuselier caught at LU50, for 14 yards to the UL48 (#10 A.Demery; #11 B.Gordon Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
95.2%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass incomplete short right to #4 B.Thomas thrown to UL30Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
95.4%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short left to #12 C.Vickerson caught at UL48, for 4 yards to the UL44 (#15 N.Brown), out of bounds PENALTY UL Personal Foul (#10 A.Demery) 15 yards from UL44 to UL29, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
95.0%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass intercepted by #8 K.Jackson at UL02, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10INT
4 plays · 47 yds · 0:5096% → 96%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
96.1%
PENALTY LU Offside (#13 A.Dedieu) 5 yards from UL02 to UL07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 5
OWN 7
+38
96.2%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete deep right to #9 K.Wade caught at UL34, for 38 yards to the UL45 (#1 M.Evans), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
96.4%
(05:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 S.Blanco rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UL49 (#35 C.Miller; #1 M.Evans)Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
96.4%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass intercepted by #11 B.McDonald at LU39, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 3:365% → 4%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
95.5%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short right to #87 T.Bonkowski caught at LU40, for 13 yards to the UL48 (#2 A.Williams; #44 J.St. Andre), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
95.4%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short right to #4 B.Thomas caught at UL42, for 6 yards to the UL42, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+12
95.6%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown rush left for 12 yards gain to the UL30, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN. #88 M.Sampson injured on the playSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-7
95.5%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UL37 (#10 A.Demery)Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 17
OPP 37
+16
96.0%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short middle to #18 K.Fuselier caught at UL23, for 16 yards to the UL21 (#10 A.Demery)Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
95.8%
(02:48) No Huddle #2 A.McCown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UL19 (#0 P.Ashe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
95.6%
(02:10) No Huddle #2 A.McCown pass incomplete short right to #10 J.Girard thrown to UL08 broken up by #11 B.Gordon Jr.Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
95.6%
(02:02) No Huddle #0 J.Uga rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UL18 (#44 J.St. Andre)Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 9
OPP 18
-1
95.8%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short left to #4 B.Thomas caught at UL19, for 1 yard loss to the UL19 (#10 A.Demery)Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
96.0%
(01:51) #66 A.Sandoval field goal attempt from 36 yards NO GOOD (H: #33 M.Stallons, LS: #49 J.Hefner), clock 01:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 1:1497% → 99%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
97.2%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #15 J.Norris caught at UL18, for 14 yards to the UL34 (#11 B.McDonald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
97.3%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #88 C.Jensen caught at UL40, for 10 yards to the UL44 (#2 B.Bailey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
97.4%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush left for 7 yards gain to the LU49 (#7 A.Huff)Similar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
97.6%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #4 T.Chaney caught at LU39, for 21 yards to the LU24 (#0 L.Kelley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+4
99.0%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #10 R.Babineaux caught at LU45, for 4 yards to the LU45 (#7 A.Huff), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LU Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #8 J.Johnson caught at LU40, for 13 yards to the LU32 (#7 A.Huff), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.1%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #4 T.Chaney caught at LU28, for 8 yards to the LU24 (#0 L.Kelley), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
99.1%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 S.Blanco rush left for 2 yards gain to the LU22 (#99 I.Solomi)Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+22
99.1%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield rush right for 22 yards gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:31, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Uga rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU27 (#35 C.Jacob; #44 J.St. Andre)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14INT
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:3199% → 99%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush right for 0 yards to the UL25 (#13 A.Dedieu)Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.2%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass incomplete short right to #87 K.Brooks thrown to UL33 PENALTY LU Offside (#93 C.Campbell) 5 yards from UL25 to UL30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.2%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UL37 (#10 J.Bandy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.2%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #9 K.Wade caught at UL42, for 5 yards to the UL42, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+16
99.3%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield rush right for 16 yards gain to the LU42, out of bounds at LU42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.3%
PENALTY UL False Start (#57 Z.Alexander) 5 yards from LU42 to LU47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+4
99.4%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #20 J.Garner caught at UL48, for 4 yards to the LU43 (#3 C.Holmes)Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+2
99.4%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #20 J.Garner caught at LU49, for 2 yards to the LU41 (#9 M.Wuenschel)Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+5
99.4%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short middle to #88 C.Jensen caught at LU36, for 5 yards to the LU36 (#9 M.Wuenschel)Similar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
99.4%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass intercepted by #12 J.Mitchel at LU17, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:311% → 0%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.5%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 P.Jenkins rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LU22 (#41 C.Edwards)Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+2
99.5%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short left to #4 B.Thomas caught at LU21, for 2 yards to the LU24 (#35 C.Jacob; #41 C.Edwards)Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 3
OWN 24
-1
99.6%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 P.Jenkins rush right for 1 yard loss to the LU23 (#11 B.Gordon Jr.; #3 M.Johnson) PENALTY LU Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
99.6%
(08:38) #33 M.Stallons punt 39 yards to the UL38 fair catch by #10 R.Babineaux at UL38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.6%
(08:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush left for 1 yard loss to the UL37 (#5 D.Beamon). #0 D.Smith injured on the playSimilar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+8
99.6%
(07:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UL45 (#22 A.Sumler)Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
99.6%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass incomplete deep right to #9 K.Wade thrown to LU18Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
99.6%
(07:00) #49 M.Golding punt 44 yards to the LU11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 17INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
99.6%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Uga rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LU17 (#3 M.Johnson)Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 4
OWN 17
0
99.7%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass incomplete short right to #11 J.Thompson thrown to LU25Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+6
99.7%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short right to #11 J.Thompson caught at LU20, for 6 yards to the LU23 (#21 M.Eleam), 1ST DOWN. #11 J.Thompson injured on the playSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass intercepted by #11 B.Gordon Jr. at LU40, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.7%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass intercepted by #11 B.Gordon Jr. at UL42 #11 B.Gordon Jr. return for loss of 2 yards to the UL40 (#13 M.Casey)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 5:13100% → 100%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 12
OWN 40
+20
99.7%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #88 C.Jensen caught at LU45, for 20 yards to the LU40 (#12 J.Mitchel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 12
OWN 40
+20
99.7%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #88 C.Jensen caught at LU49, for 20 yards to the LU40 (#12 J.Mitchel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.7%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Reagan Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LU37 (#15 K.Canady)Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
99.7%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Reagan Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the LU37 (#17 E.McKinney; #9 M.Wuenschel)Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+11
99.8%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short middle to #44 T.Gawlik caught at LU30, for 11 yards to the LU26 (#15 K.Canady), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
99.8%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 S.Blanco rush left for 2 yards loss to the LU28 (#18 D.Washington)Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+2
99.8%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU26 (#15 K.Canady)Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+13
99.8%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield rush right for 13 yards gain to the LU13 (#17 E.McKinney), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
99.8%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 S.Blanco rush left for 12 yards gain to the LU01 (#20 T.Nelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Steven Blanco 1 Yd Run (Tony Sterner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 19INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass incomplete short right to #18 K.Fuselier thrown to LU30Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+9
99.9%
(14:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 P.Jenkins rush right for 9 yards gain to the LU27 (#24 L.Bates)Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+9
99.8%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short left to #13 M.Casey caught at LU36, for 9 yards to the LU36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
99.9%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass incomplete short right to #13 M.Casey thrown to LU50 broken up by #11 B.Gordon Jr., 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UL Pass Interference (#11 B.Gordon Jr.) 13 yards from LU36 to LU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass complete short left to #1 D.Driskell caught at LU49, for 0 yards to the LU49 (#6 C.McPherson)Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.McCown pass intercepted by #44 J.St. Andre at UL37, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20INT TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 D.Beale pass complete short right to #87 K.Brooks caught at UL45, for 10 yards to the UL47 (#28 E.Dotson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 D.Beale pass incomplete deep left to #4 T.Chaney thrown to LU30 broken up by #5 D.BeamonSimilar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.8%
(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 D.Beale pass intercepted by #0 L.Kelley at UL40 #0 L.Kelley return 40 yards to the UL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:48 #66 A.Sandoval kick attempt good (H: #33 M.Stallons, LS: #49 J.Hefner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 8:39100% → 100%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.8%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Reagan Jr. rush right for 3 yards gain to the UL22 (#28 E.Dotson)Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+11
99.8%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Reagan Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UL33 (#35 C.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Reagan Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UL39 (#35 C.Miller; #12 J.Mitchel)Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+21
99.9%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 D.Beale pass complete short right to #9 K.Wade caught at LU45, for 21 yards to the LU40, out of bounds at LU40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
(09:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 D.Beale pass complete short right to #44 T.Gawlik caught at LU38, for 6 yards to the LU34 (#12 J.Mitchel)Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+12
99.9%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Garner rush right for 12 yards gain to the LU22 (#10 J.Bandy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.9%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Garner rush right for 6 yards gain to the LU16 (#3 C.Holmes; #21 M.Richardson-Giddings). #3 C.Holmes injured on the playSimilar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Garner rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LU13 (#93 C.Campbell)Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
99.9%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Garner rush middle for 0 yards to the LU13 (#99 I.Solomi)Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 D.Beale rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU11 (#99 I.Solomi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.9%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 D.Beale pass complete short right to #44 T.Gawlik caught at LU10, for 5 yards to the LU06 (#12 J.Mitchel)Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-1
99.9%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 D.Beale rush middle for 1 yard loss to the LU07 (#20 T.Nelson)Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-4
99.9%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 D.Beale sacked for loss of 7 yards to the LU14 (#9 M.Wuenschel, #13 A.Dedieu)Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
(02:58) #95 T.Sterner field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft), clock 02:58Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 12 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Salazar pass complete short left to #12 C.Vickerson caught at LU25, for 6 yards to the LU29 (#28 S.Ranel II). #12 C.Vickerson injured on the playSimilar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Muhammad rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LU30 (#3 M.Johnson)Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+6
100.0%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Salazar pass complete short right to #13 M.Casey caught at LU36, for 6 yards to the LU36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Salazar rush right for 0 yards to the LU36, out of bounds at LU36Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Salazar pass incomplete short right to #87 T.Bonkowski thrown to LU36 broken up by #80 L.JonesSimilar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+11
100.0%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Salazar pass complete short right to #13 M.Casey caught at LU47, for 11 yards to the LU47, out of bounds at LU47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Salazar rush left for 5 yards gain to the UL48 (#28 S.Ranel II), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-6
100.0%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Salazar sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LU46 (#17 T.Chikere), fumble by #6 J.Salazar recovered by LU #6 J.Salazar at, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
100.0%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Salazar pass incomplete deep left to #16 C.Patterson thrown to UL20 broken up by #18 C.RileySimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 11
OWN 46
-6
100.0%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Salazar sacked for loss of 11 yards to the LU35 (#0 P.Ashe, #24 L.Bates), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
100.0%
(00:13) Kneel down by #3 C.Carter at LU35 for loss of 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:09
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Reagan Jr. rush left for 11 yards gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:09, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft)
+3.4
TD · Q2 13:23
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Smith rush right for 25 yards gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:23, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft)
+2.3
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:12
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #10 R.Babineaux caught at LU45, for 4 yards to the LU45 (#7 A.Huff), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LU Illegal Substitution declined
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com