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NWST

Northwestern State 6 at Louisiana Tech 80

LT
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadNWST aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreNWST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:44 · #20 J.Hurley punt 46 yards to the TECH25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+45.7Home team on offense+6.5Score differential+2.2Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Garbage-time factor+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:59: #89 P.Williams III field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #14 L.Delafield, LS: #72 T.McDuffie III), clock 08:59 — NWST win probability +0.4 pts (now 1%) (top driver: NWST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:04: Talyn Shettron 16 Yd pass from Joshua Brantley (Kaegan Kent Kick) — LT win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:48: Shotgun #26 D.Brooks rush middle for 28 yards gain to the NWST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:48, 1ST DOWN #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch) #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch) PENALTY #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch) PENALTY NWST Offside declined — LT win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:25: Shotgun #86 T.Shettron rush right for 37 yards gain to the NWST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:25, 1ST DOWN #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch) — LT win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:51: Eli Finley 9 Yd pass from Blake Baker (Kaegan Kent Kick) — LT win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 4NWST made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 8:59NWST 4th & 7 at LT 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:21NWST 4th & 17 at NWST 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:44NWST 4th & 6 at NWST 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00LT 4th & 5 at NWST 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:16NWST 4th & 11 at NWST 24, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:46NWST 4th & 5 at NWST 30, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:17NWST 4th & 12 at NWST 23, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:17NWST 4th & 12 at NWST 23, down 46
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:31NWST 4th & 4 at NWST 31, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:34NWST 4th & 8 at NWST 27, down 67
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:49NWST 4th & 11 at NWST 24, down 74
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:48LT 4th & 11 at NWST 47, up 74
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:32NWST 4th & 4 at NWST 10, down 74
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:26LT 4th & 8 at NWST 42, up 74
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:08NWST 4th & 8 at NWST 13, down 74
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:56LT 4th & 2 at NWST 32, up 74
    Close callKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:47NWST 4th & 17 at LT 20, down 77
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 8:48LT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:04LT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:48LT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:25LT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:51LT Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:17LT Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:05LT Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 1:44LT Touchdown, up 59 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 13:22LT Touchdown, up 66 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 6:28LT Touchdown, up 73 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NWSTDrive 1FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 6:011% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.4%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston rush right for 11 yards gain to the NWST46 (#16 T.Rogers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
99.4%
Shotgun #7 Z.Davis rush right for 3 yards loss to the NWST43 (#10 K.Fields; #7 J.Lockhardt)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+5
99.4%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston pass complete short left to #1 D.Rhodes caught at NWST48, for 5 yards to the NWST48 (#0 J.Mcrae)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+11
99.4%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston pass complete short right to #7 Z.Davis caught at TECH50, for 11 yards to the TECH41 (#21 Z.Hill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.4%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston rush right for 4 yards gain to the TECH37 (#1 S.Fongang)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-2
99.4%
Shotgun #7 Z.Davis rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TECH39 (#21 Z.Hill; #92 L.Condry)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+20
99.4%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston pass complete deep left to #1 D.Rhodes caught at TECH19, for 20 yards to the TECH19, out of bounds at TECH19, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
99.4%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston rush left for 1 yard loss to the TECH20 (#21 Z.Hill; #24 A.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+5
99.4%
PENALTY NWST False Start (#71 L.Brady) 5 yards from TECH20 to TECH25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 25
+7
99.4%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston pass complete short left to #9 C.Davis caught at TECH21, for 7 yards to the TECH18 (#7 J.Lockhardt), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+2
99.4%
Shotgun #7 Z.Davis rush left for 2 yards gain to the TECH16 (#10 K.Fields), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
99.0%
#89 P.Williams III field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #14 L.Delafield, LS: #72 T.McDuffie III), clock 08:59Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.1%
Jalen Mickens 75 Yd pass from Blake Baker (Kaegan Kent Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 3INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston pass intercepted by #24 A.Jackson Jr. at NWST38, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 0:5199% → 99%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.1%
Shotgun #11 J.Mickens rush left for 3 yards gain to the NWST35 (#24 B.Ross; #5 T.Wray Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+8
99.1%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass complete short right to #84 E.Finley caught at NWST29, for 8 yards to the NWST27 (#14 J.Natali), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.1%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass complete deep left to #47 J.Wilkerson caught at NWST03, for 27 yards to the NWST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:52, 1ST DOWN #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Shotgun #18 K.Thomas rush left for 1 yard gain to the NWST26 (#7 J.Lockhardt; #4 K.Franklin), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-4
99.1%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston sacked for loss of 8 yards to the NWST18 (#98 D.Rieman, #44 K.Coleman)Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
99.1%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston pass incomplete short right to #7 Z.Davis thrown to NWST20Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+17
99.0%
#20 J.Hurley punt 47 yards to the TECH35 #3 D.Latulas return 17 yards to the NWST48 (#8 G.Ford; #88 M.Gower)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:1799% → 99%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
99.1%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass complete short right to #84 E.Finley caught at TECH48, for 2 yards to the NWST46 (#45 B.Bienvenu), out of bounds PENALTY TECH Holding (#52 T.Smith) 10 yards from NWST48 to TECH42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+6
99.0%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass complete short middle to #84 E.Finley caught at TECH46, for 6 yards to the TECH48 (#24 B.Ross; #9 D.Sears)Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+13
99.0%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass complete short right to #86 T.Shettron caught at NWST48, for 13 yards to the NWST39 (#24 B.Ross; #9 D.Sears)Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+1
99.0%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NWST38 (#95 M.Hines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+20
99.1%
Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 20 yards gain to the NWST18 (#9 D.Sears), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.1%
Shotgun #0 J.Miller rush left for 2 yards gain to the NWST16 (#13 B.Fann)Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
99.1%
Talyn Shettron 16 Yd pass from Joshua Brantley (Kaegan Kent Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:201% → 1%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
Shotgun #7 Z.Davis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NWST28 (#10 K.Fields; #92 L.Condry)Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Shotgun #7 Z.Davis rush right for 0 yards to the NWST28 (#16 T.Rogers)Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.1%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NWST29 (#40 A.Combs; #24 A.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.1%
#20 J.Hurley punt 46 yards to the TECH25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5699% → 99%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.1%
Shotgun #26 D.Brooks rush left for 6 yards gain to the TECH31 (#94 G.Ojeh; #96 J.Cook)Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+29
99.1%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass complete deep right to #84 E.Finley caught at NWST45, for 29 yards to the NWST40 (#19 B.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
99.1%
Shotgun #26 D.Brooks rush left for 1 yard loss to the NWST41 (#35 H.Lawson)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+6
99.1%
Shotgun #26 D.Brooks rush right for 6 yards gain to the NWST35 (#5 T.Wray Jr.)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
99.0%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass incomplete short middle to #11 J.Mickens thrown to NWST25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+7
99.0%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass complete short right to #87 B.Bockler caught at NWST28, for 7 yards to the NWST28 (#5 T.Wray Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.0%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass incomplete short middle to #87 B.Bockler thrown to NWST27 broken up by #15 D.SanchezSimilar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.2%
Shotgun #26 D.Brooks rush middle for 28 yards gain to the NWST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:48, 1ST DOWN #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch) #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch) PENALTY #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch) PENALTY NWST Offside declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.2%
Shotgun #7 Z.Davis rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NWST23 fumbled by #7 Z.Davis at NWST20 forced by #99 J.Rouyea recovered by NWST #50 C.Billiot at NWST23 (#21 Z.Hill; #22 J.Mayfield)Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
99.2%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NWST24 (#1 S.Fongang; #22 J.Mayfield)Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston pass incomplete short right to #3 B.Webb thrown to NWST30 broken up by #7 J.LockhardtSimilar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.1%
#20 J.Hurley punt 48 yards to the TECH28 #15 L.Watkins return 0 yards to the TECH28 (#13 B.Fann) PENALTY NWST Kick Catch Interference (#2 A.Hall) 23 yards from TECH28 to NWST49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:5199% → 99%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.2%
Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 12 yards gain to the NWST37 (#23 J.King), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.4%
Shotgun #86 T.Shettron rush right for 37 yards gain to the NWST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:25, 1ST DOWN #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:391% → 1%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston rush right for 3 yards gain to the NWST28 (#1 S.Fongang)Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.2%
Shotgun #7 Z.Davis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NWST30 (#40 A.Combs)Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston pass incomplete short left to #19 J.Duncan thrown to NWST47Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.5%
#20 J.Hurley punt 16 yards to the NWST46, out of bounds at NWST46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:5599% → 100%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.4%
Shotgun #26 D.Brooks rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NWST41 (#35 H.Lawson; #13 B.Fann)Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
99.4%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass incomplete short left to #84 E.Finley thrown to NWST30Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+28
99.4%
Shotgun #11 J.Mickens rush right for 28 yards gain to the NWST13 (#6 J.Cooper), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.4%
Shotgun #26 D.Brooks rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NWST09 (#25 K.Anderson-Dale; #13 B.Fann)Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
99.4%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass incomplete short middle to #84 E.Finley thrown to NWST00 QB hurried by #0 D.DozierSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
99.7%
Eli Finley 9 Yd pass from Blake Baker (Kaegan Kent Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 13TD
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
#7 Z.Davis rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NWST23 (#22 J.Mayfield; #24 A.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston pass complete short left to #7 Z.Davis caught at NWST19, for 0 yards to the NWST23 (#7 J.Lockhardt), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Shotgun #10 A.Johnston pass incomplete short left to #3 B.Webb thrown to NWST27Similar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+58
99.8%
#20 J.Hurley punt 35 yards to the TECH42 #3 D.Latulas return 58 yards to the NWST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:17 #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · -17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
#18 K.Thomas rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NWST23 (#21 Z.Hill; #90 J.Odom)Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
#10 A.Johnston pass incomplete short left to #8 L.Carter thrown to NWST28Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
#10 A.Johnston pass incomplete deep left to #3 B.Webb thrown to NWST50 broken up by #7 J.LockhardtSimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-15
99.8%
Kneel down by #20 J.Hurley at NWST08 for loss of 15 yards, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q2 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.8%
Shotgun #23 S.Snider rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NWST05 (#94 G.Ojeh)Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.8%
#23 S.Snider rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NWST02 (#13 B.Fann; #3 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
#23 S.Snider rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NWST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:05 #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
#10 A.Johnston rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NWST32 (#1 S.Fongang)Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.8%
#10 A.Johnston pass incomplete short right to #8 L.Carter thrown to NWST30 broken up by #2 A.ButlerSimilar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
99.8%
#7 Z.Davis rush right for 1 yard loss to the NWST31 (#24 A.Jackson Jr.; #1 S.Fongang)Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
#20 J.Hurley punt 34 yards to the TECH35 #3 D.Latulas return 0 yards to the TECH35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
99.8%
Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass complete short middle to #11 J.Mickens caught at TECH45, for 21 yards to the NWST44 (#25 K.Anderson-Dale; #2 A.Hall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+37
99.8%
(02:00) Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass complete short middle to #11 J.Mickens caught at NWST32, for 37 yards to the NWST07 (#1 C.Williams; #2 A.Hall), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Shotgun #0 J.Miller rush left for 7 yards gain to the NWST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:44 #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 18END OF HALF
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
#18 K.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NWST26 (#44 K.Coleman; #41 E.Burch)Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
#18 K.Thomas rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NWST30 (#35 C.Watson; #22 J.Mayfield)Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
#18 K.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NWST31 (#22 J.Mayfield; #35 C.Watson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short right to #3 D.Latulas caught at TECH38, for 4 yards to the TECH44 (#9 D.Sears; #19 B.Thompson)Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+6
99.8%
Shotgun #1 A.Burnette rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TECH50 (#9 D.Sears), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
50
+15
99.8%
Shotgun #1 A.Burnette rush left for 15 yards gain to the NWST35 (#0 D.Dozier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.9%
Luke Watkins 35 Yd pass from Trey Kukuk (Kaegan Kent Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
Shotgun #3 B.Webb rush left for 5 yards loss to the NWST20 (#1 S.Fongang; #21 Z.Hill)Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Shotgun #2 Z.Wilcke pass incomplete short left to #3 B.Webb thrown to NWST30 broken up by #7 J.LockhardtSimilar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Shotgun #2 Z.Wilcke rush left for 7 yards gain to the NWST27 (#13 M.Moultrie II; #1 S.Fongang)Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+22
99.9%
#20 J.Hurley punt 41 yards to the TECH32 #3 D.Latulas return 22 yards to the NWST46 (#42 B.Woods)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21TD
10 plays · 46 yds · 5:06100% → 100%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.9%
(11:34) #1 A.Burnette rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NWST45 (#99 K.Reed; #23 J.King)Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Shotgun #1 A.Burnette rush right for 2 yards gain to the NWST43 (#1 C.Williams; #99 K.Reed)Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+10
99.9%
Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 10 yards gain to the NWST33 (#14 J.Natali), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
Shotgun #1 A.Burnette rush right for 5 yards gain to the NWST28 (#45 B.Bienvenu; #24 B.Ross)Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
Shotgun #1 A.Burnette rush right for 1 yard gain to the NWST27 (#94 G.Ojeh)Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NWST22 (#94 G.Ojeh; #14 J.Natali), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.9%
Shotgun #1 A.Burnette rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NWST18 (#45 B.Bienvenu; #14 J.Natali) PENALTY NWST Face Mask (#45 B.Bienvenu) 9 yards from NWST18 to NWST09, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.9%
Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush right for 3 yards gain to the NWST06 (#24 B.Ross; #35 H.Lawson)Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short right to #87 B.Bockler caught at NWST07, for 0 yards to the NWST06 (#14 J.Natali)Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Dedrick Latulas 6 Yd pass from Trey Kukuk (Hunter Rioux Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Shotgun #2 Z.Wilcke rush right for 1 yard loss to the NWST24 (#40 A.Combs)Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush middle for 0 yards to the NWST24, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Shotgun #2 Z.Wilcke pass incomplete deep left to #19 J.Duncan thrown to NWST45Similar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
#20 J.Hurley punt 22 yards to the NWST46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.9%
Shotgun #23 S.Snider rush left for 1 yard gain to the NWST45 (#90 T.Lewis)Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Shotgun #7 J.Bradley pass complete short left to #23 S.Snider caught at NWST45, for 0 yards to the NWST45 (#6 J.Cooper)Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Shotgun #7 J.Bradley pass complete short middle to #8 D.Pierro caught at NWST45, for 3 yards to the NWST42 (#9 D.Sears)Similar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
PENALTY TECH Delay Of Game (#29 L.Matthews) 5 yards from NWST42 to NWST47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
99.9%
#29 L.Matthews punt 43 yards to the NWST04 #32 B.Buisson return 0 yards to the NWST04, out of bounds at NWST04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
100.0%
PENALTY NWST Holding (#77 J.Cryer) 2 yards from NWST04 to NWST02. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 12
OWN 2
+1
100.0%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NWST03 (#28 J.Smith; #39 J.Crowe)Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+4
100.0%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NWST07 (#94 A.Wilks)Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NWST10 (#40 A.Combs; #91 Z.Nunn)Similar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 4
OWN 10
0
100.0%
#20 J.Hurley punt 34 yards to the NWST44 fair catch by #3 D.Latulas at NWST44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Shotgun #20 R.Hurt rush left for 4 yards gain to the NWST40 (#2 A.Hall; #35 H.Lawson)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-2
99.9%
Shotgun #8 D.Pierro rush right for 2 yards loss to the NWST42 (#6 J.Cooper)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Shotgun #7 J.Bradley rush right for 0 yards to the NWST42 (#61 A.Larry; #2 A.Hall)Similar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
99.9%
#29 L.Matthews punt 31 yards to the NWST11 fair catch by #32 B.Buisson at NWST11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
100.0%
Shotgun #18 K.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NWST10 (#28 H.Williams)Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-4
100.0%
Shotgun #18 K.Thomas rush right for 4 yards loss to the NWST06 (#27 G.Hardy; #25 C.Deckard)Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 15
OWN 6
+7
100.0%
Shotgun #2 Z.Wilcke rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NWST13 (#28 J.Smith; #91 Z.Nunn)Similar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 8
OWN 13
0
100.0%
#20 J.Hurley punt 42 yards to the TECH45 fair catch by #3 D.Latulas at TECH45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
100.0%
Shotgun #20 R.Hurt rush right for 5 yards gain to the TECH50 (#9 D.Sears; #90 T.Lewis)Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 5
50
+50
100.0%
Shotgun #7 J.Bradley pass incomplete short middle to #85 J.Casey Jr. thrown to NWST40, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NWST Pass Interference (#14 J.Natali) 10 yards from TECH50 to NWST40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
100.0%
Shotgun #20 R.Hurt rush left for 2 yards gain to the NWST38 (#30 T.Santa Marina Jr.)Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
100.0%
Shotgun #20 R.Hurt rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NWST34 (#94 G.Ojeh)Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
Shotgun #20 R.Hurt rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NWST32 (#25 K.Anderson-Dale; #14 J.Natali)Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+49
100.0%
#31 H.Rioux field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #30 R.Edwards, LS: #59 J.Riggs), clock 08:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 28FG
17 plays · 55 yds · 8:090% → 0%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
(08:56) Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush middle for 8 yards gain to the NWST33 (#19 A.Tarvin; #27 G.Hardy)Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
100.0%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush middle for 10 yards gain to the NWST43 (#30 Z.Hayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
100.0%
Shotgun #2 Z.Wilcke rush right for 4 yards gain to the NWST47 (#46 D.Page)Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush right for 4 yards gain to the TECH49 (#33 J.Parnell), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush right for 3 yards gain to the TECH46 (#27 G.Hardy; #26 N.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TECH44 (#91 Z.Nunn; #26 N.Green)Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+6
100.0%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TECH38 (#48 J.McIver)Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TECH35 (#23 J.Lockhart; #27 G.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #27 S.Ingram rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TECH32 (#27 G.Hardy; #5 A.Johnson)Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+19
100.0%
Shotgun #2 Z.Wilcke rush right for 19 yards gain to the TECH13 (#27 G.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
100.0%
(02:00) #18 K.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TECH12 (#32 E.Collins; #30 Z.Hayes)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+7
100.0%
#2 Z.Wilcke rush right for 7 yards gain to the TECH05 (#37 Z.Jackson)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+15
100.0%
PENALTY NWST UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#85 B.Stewart) 15 yards from TECH05 to TECH20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 17
OPP 20
0
100.0%
#2 Z.Wilcke pass incomplete deep right to #9 C.Davis thrown to TECH00 broken up by #14 D.Richard IISimilar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+37
100.0%
#89 P.Williams III field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #14 L.Delafield, LS: #72 T.McDuffie III), clock 00:47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 29END OF HALF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Kneel down by #7 J.Bradley at TECH24 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
100.0%
Kneel down by #7 J.Bradley at TECH23 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q1 8:59
#89 P.Williams III field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #14 L.Delafield, LS: #72 T.McDuffie III), clock 08:59
-0.4
TD · Q2 7:51
Eli Finley 9 Yd pass from Blake Baker (Kaegan Kent Kick)
+0.3
TD · Q2 13:48
Shotgun #26 D.Brooks rush middle for 28 yards gain to the NWST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:48, 1ST DOWN #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch) #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch) PENALTY #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch) PENALTY NWST Offside declined
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com