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SELA

SE Louisiana 14 at South Alabama 39

USA
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadSELA aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreSELA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGSAFETYTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:38: Trae'von Dunbar 1 Yd Run (Davis Little Kick) — USA win probability +3.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:16: Lonnie Shinn 12 Yd pass from Kyle Lowe (Drew Talley Kick) — SELA win probability +3.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:46: Lonnie Shinn 7 Yd pass from Kyle Lowe (Drew Talley Kick) — SELA win probability +7.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:06: Bishop Davenport 2 Yd Run (Davis Little Kick) — USA win probability +7.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:02: PJ Martin 3 Yd Run (Davis Little Kick) — USA win probability +3.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SELA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 6:07USA 4th & 10 at SELA 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:39USA 4th & 4 at SELA 42, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    84.3%−0.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:06SELA 4th & 10 at USA 30, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:18USA 4th & 2 at midfield, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:44SELA 4th & 3 at USA 42, down 12
    Close callPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:01USA 4th & 11 at USA 14, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:48SELA 4th & 1 at SELA 44, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.9%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00USA 4th & 2 at SELA 12, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.4%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−5.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:04USA 4th & 8 at SELA 8, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−6.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:06USA 4th & 2 at SELA 2, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:17SELA 4th & 20 at SELA 13, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−1.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:02USA 4th & 2 at SELA 3, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−2.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:11SELA 4th & 12 at USA 46, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SELA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:19USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:38USA Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:16SELA Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:46SELA Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:06USA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:02USA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:4182% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
82.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush left for 12 yards gain to the SLU 43 (#25 R.McKneely), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
82.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #12 B.Jenkins caught at SLU 33, for 11 yards to the SLU 32 (#24 C.Byrd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
82.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short middle to #12 B.Jenkins thrown to SLU 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
82.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SLU 26 (#40 E.Aubrey)Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+26
82.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short left to #12 B.Jenkins caught at SLU 19, for 26 yards to the SLU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:19, 1ST DOWN #35 D.Little kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4218% → 18%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
82.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass complete short middle to #85 A.Wilkinson caught at SLU 25, for 17 yards to the SLU 37 (#2 J.Henderson; #13 K.Robinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
82.0%
PENALTY SLU False Start 5 yards from SLU 37 to SLU 32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+3
82.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the SLU 35 (#11 P.Shattuck)Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
82.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass incomplete short right to #2 K.Paul thrown to SLU 40 broken up by #13 K.Robinson QB hurried by #11 P.ShattuckSimilar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
82.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass intercepted by #24 D.Darby at USA 38, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 5:2482% → 82%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
82.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #3 K.Phillips caught at USA 38, for 0 yards to the USA 38 (#25 R.McKneely)Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
82.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USA 41 (#34 T.Carter; #11 C.Fraser)Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+14
82.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short middle to #12 B.Jenkins thrown to SLU 41 broken up by #1 Z.Franks, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY SLU Pass Interference (#1 Z.Franks) 14 yards from USA 41 to SLU 45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
82.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush middle for 5 yards loss to the SLU 50 fumbled by #4 B.Davenport at SLU 50 recovered by USA #4 B.Davenport at USA 50, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 15
50
+4
82.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 4 yards gain to the SLU 46 (#7 J.Dalmado; #22 C.Hanberry)Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+12
82.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #12 B.Jenkins caught at SLU 34, for 12 yards to the SLU 34, out of bounds at SLU 34, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
82.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush right for 4 yards gain to the SLU 30 (#45 K.Moore)Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+13
82.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short middle to #12 B.Jenkins caught at SLU 17, for 13 yards to the SLU 17 (#22 C.Hanberry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
82.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short left to #3 K.Phillips caught at SLU 22, for 2 yards loss to the SLU 19 (#25 R.McKneely)Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+2
82.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush left for 2 yards gain to the SLU 17 (#11 C.Fraser)Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
82.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short middle to #6 M.Woods thrown to SLU 00Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
81.9%
Davis Little 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 4SF
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0118% → 18%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
81.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass incomplete short left to #14 L.Dixon thrown to SLU 30Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
81.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass complete short left to #4 T.Goodly caught at SLU 21, for 3 yards to the SLU 27 (#14 C.Blaylock; #41 T.Carter)Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
81.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass incomplete short left to #4 T.Goodly thrown to SLU 42Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 7
OPP 0
0
81.9%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:2184% → 87%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
50
+11
84.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 11 yards gain to the SLU 39 (#34 T.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
84.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SLU 38 (#45 K.Moore)Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
84.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete deep right to #12 B.Jenkins thrown to SLU 15 broken up by #11 C.FraserSimilar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+16
84.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short middle to #12 B.Jenkins caught at SLU 26, for 16 yards to the SLU 22 (#22 C.Hanberry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
84.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SLU 17 (#10 J.Okoye; #45 K.Moore)Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+15
84.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush left for 15 yards gain to the SLU 02, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
84.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SLU 01 (#24 C.Byrd; #34 T.Carter)Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.3%
Trae'von Dunbar 1 Yd Run (Davis Little Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 6TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:1613% → 18%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
86.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Elzy rush left for 2 yards loss to the SLU 22 (#94 A.Hines; #8 D.Young)Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+54
86.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass complete short left to #33 C.Elzy caught at SLU 19, for 54 yards to the USA 24 (#12 J.Moson), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USA Face Mask (#2 J.Henderson) 12 yards from USA 24 to USA 12, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
85.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass incomplete short left to #88 L.Shinn Jr thrown to USA 13 broken up by #8 D.YoungSimilar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
82.0%
Lonnie Shinn 12 Yd pass from Kyle Lowe (Drew Talley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:3085% → 85%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
84.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush left for 3 yards gain to the USA 26 (#48 J.Harris)Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+8
84.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 8 yards gain to the USA 34 (#7 J.Dalmado; #91 G.Whittington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
85.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at USA 38, for 4 yards to the USA 38, out of bounds at USA 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+14
85.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush middle for 14 yards gain to the SLU 48 (#11 C.Fraser), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
85.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush right for 3 yards gain to the SLU 45 (#40 E.Aubrey; #54 A.Alexander)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
85.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SLU 42 (#25 R.McKneely; #7 J.Dalmado)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
85.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short right to #3 K.Phillips thrown to SLU 40 broken up by #45 K.MooreSimilar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 4
OPP 42
-9
85.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport sacked for loss of 9 yards to the USA 49 (#54 A.Alexander), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 8MISSED FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:3317% → 16%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
82.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass complete short right to #9 D.Joseph caught at USA 48, for 9 yards to the USA 40 (#11 P.Shattuck; #25 T.Henry)Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+10
82.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the USA 30 (#5 D.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
82.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe sacked for loss of 10 yards to the USA 40 (#48 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+2
83.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass complete short right to #9 D.Joseph caught at USA 41, for 2 yards to the USA 38 (#18 M.Lewis)Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 18
OPP 38
+8
83.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Paul rush middle for 8 yards gain to the USA 30 (#14 C.Blaylock; #48 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
84.5%
#29 D.Talley field goal attempt from 47 yards NO GOOD (H: #46 J.Hunter, LS: #41 S.Puissegur), clock 09:06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4886% → 86%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
86.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at USA 32, for 8 yards to the USA 38 (#34 T.Carter; #20 M.Mitchell) PENALTY USA Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#72 E.Hubbard) 5 yards from USA 30 to USA 25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+4
85.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USA 29 (#98 G.Brown)Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+13
86.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at USA 33, for 13 yards to the USA 42 (#34 T.Carter; #25 R.McKneely), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
86.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short middle to #12 B.Jenkins thrown to USA 47 broken up by #32 M.ElkmanSimilar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
86.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 8 yards gain to the USA 50 (#20 M.Mitchell; #22 C.Hanberry)Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 2
50
0
86.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 0 yards to the SLU 50 (#22 C.Hanberry)Similar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 2
50
-1
85.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 1 yard loss to the USA 49 (#54 A.Alexander; #10 J.Okoye), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3416% → 15%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
84.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass complete short left to #4 T.Goodly caught at USA 43, for 8 yards to the USA 41 (#11 P.Shattuck; #34 B.Thomas)Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 2
OPP 41
-1
83.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Elzy rush middle for 1 yard loss to the USA 42 (#90 E.Smiley)Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
84.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass incomplete short right to #4 T.Goodly thrown to USA 41Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
84.7%
#46 J.Hunter punt 27 yards to the USA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4386% → 86%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
86.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #6 M.Woods caught at USA 12, for 3 yards loss to the USA 12 (#16 D.McGee; #24 C.Byrd)Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
86.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush left for 0 yards to the USA 12 (#34 T.Carter; #91 G.Whittington)Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+2
85.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short left to #0 P.Martin caught at USA 08, for 2 yards to the USA 14 (#25 R.McKneely; #24 C.Byrd)Similar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 11
OWN 14
+50
85.6%
#40 A.Pulkkinen punt 50 yards to the SLU 36 #9 D.Joseph return for loss of 1 yard to the SLU 35 (#1 A.Eager)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1315% → 16%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
85.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SLU 37 (#25 T.Henry; #18 M.Lewis)Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
85.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SLU 43 (#11 P.Shattuck; #2 J.Henderson)Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
84.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SLU 44 (#8 D.Young; #14 C.Blaylock)Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
84.4%
No Huddle #5 C.Smith Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the SLU 44 (#41 T.Carter; #56 S.Johnson), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13FG
13 plays · 32 yds · 1:5487% → 88%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
87.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush right for 5 yards gain to the SLU 39 (#54 A.Alexander; #90 P.Anderson)Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
86.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short middle to #6 M.Woods thrown to SLU 25Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+2
86.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SLU 37 (#22 C.Hanberry)Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+5
86.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Jones-Thomas thrown to SLU 34 PENALTY SLU Offside (#54 A.Alexander) 5 yards from SLU 37 to SLU 32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
87.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete deep middle to #6 M.Woods thrown to SLU 00Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+12
87.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #9 R.Gibbs caught at SLU 21, for 12 yards to the SLU 20 (#1 Z.Franks), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
87.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #9 R.Gibbs caught at SLU 14, for 6 yards to the SLU 14 (#1 Z.Franks)Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
87.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short left to #6 M.Woods thrown to SLU 11 broken up by #11 C.FraserSimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+2
86.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SLU 12 (#45 K.Moore)Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+30
87.8%
Davis Little 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 14TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:1412% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
87.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass complete short left to #88 L.Shinn Jr caught at SLU 32, for 11 yards to the SLU 46 (#14 C.Blaylock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
87.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass complete short right to #82 D.Jefferson caught at USA 44, for 23 yards to the USA 31 (#2 J.Henderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+24
86.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass complete deep middle to #88 L.Shinn Jr caught at USA 09, for 24 yards to the USA 07 (#13 K.Robinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
79.2%
Lonnie Shinn 7 Yd pass from Kyle Lowe (Drew Talley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:3385% → 87%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
85.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SLU 49 (#34 T.Carter; #91 G.Whittington)Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
85.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SLU 48 (#40 E.Aubrey; #91 G.Whittington)Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+12
84.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short middle to #6 M.Woods caught at SLU 36, for 12 yards to the SLU 36 (#24 C.Byrd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
85.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short left to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at SLU 36, for 9 yards to the SLU 27 (#24 C.Byrd), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+5
85.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush left for 5 yards gain to the SLU 22 (#10 J.Okoye; #22 C.Hanberry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
85.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SLU 19 (#54 A.Alexander; #32 M.Elkman)Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+11
85.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short middle to #6 M.Woods caught at SLU 21, for 11 yards to the SLU 08 (#22 C.Hanberry; #25 R.McKneely), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
85.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SLU 06 (#98 G.Brown; #10 J.Okoye)Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+10
85.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SLU 00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY USA Holding (#72 E.Hubbard) 10 yards from SLU 06 to SLU 16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
-1
85.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush left for 1 yard loss to the SLU 17 (#45 K.Moore)Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+9
84.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SLU 08 (#11 C.Fraser)Similar
Q3 7:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
86.8%
Davis Little 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 16INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1414% → 14%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
86.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Paul rush right for 15 yards gain to the SLU 27 (#34 B.Thomas; #5 D.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
85.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Paul rush left for 4 yards gain to the SLU 31 (#5 D.Moore) PENALTY SLU Holding (#85 A.Wilkinson) 10 yards from SLU 27 to SLU 17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 20
OWN 17
-12
86.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass intercepted by #12 J.Moson at SLU 21 #12 J.Moson return 12 yards to the SLU 09 (#5 C.Smith Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17TD
4 plays · 9 yds · 5:4589% → 97%
Q3 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+3
88.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SLU 04 (#44 G.Copeland; #98 G.Brown)Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+2
88.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SLU 02 (#43 J.Casanova; #48 J.Harris)Similar
Q3 4:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.3%
Bishop Davenport 2 Yd Run (Davis Little Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 2 yards gain to the SLU 07 (#10 J.Okoye; #44 G.Copeland)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:425% → 5%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
94.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Elzy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SLU 26 (#26 X.Anderson Jr.; #56 S.Johnson)Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-13
94.4%
No Huddle #2 K.Paul rush right for 13 yards loss to the SLU 13 fumbled by #2 K.Paul at SLU 20 recovered by SLU #2 K.Paul at SLU 13, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 20
OWN 13
0
94.8%
No Huddle #6 K.Lowe pass incomplete short right to #4 T.Goodly thrown to SLU 17 broken up by #25 T.HenrySimilar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 20
OWN 13
0
95.1%
#46 J.Hunter punt 44 yards to the USA 43 fair catch by #2 J.Henderson at USA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19TD
18 plays · 47 yds · 8:1596% → 100%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
96.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush right for 5 yards gain to the USA 48 (#16 D.McGee)Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
96.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush right for 2 yards gain to the USA 50 (#21 K.Ford Jr)Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 3
50
+8
96.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SLU 42 (#32 M.Elkman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush left for 13 yards gain to the SLU 29 (#24 C.Byrd; #32 M.Elkman) PENALTY USA Holding (#69 K.Jerido) 10 yards from SLU 42 to USA 48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+7
96.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short left to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at USA 45, for 7 yards to the SLU 45 (#10 J.Okoye), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+5
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at SLU 40, for 5 yards to the SLU 40, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+8
96.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush left for 8 yards gain to the SLU 32 (#16 D.McGee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 0 yards to the SLU 32 (#44 G.Copeland; #39 O.Brewer III)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush right for 4 yards gain to the SLU 28 (#91 G.Whittington; #10 J.Okoye)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+5
96.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush right for 6 yards loss (-10) to the SLU 34 (#21 K.Ford Jr), out of bounds PENALTY USA Holding (#57 S.Hubbard) SLU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#25 R.McKneely) 25 yards from SLU 28 to SLU 23, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush left for 8 yards gain to the SLU 15 (#21 K.Ford Jr; #22 C.Hanberry)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+4
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SLU 11 (#44 G.Copeland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 3 yards loss to the SLU 14 (#44 G.Copeland)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 14
0
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short middle to #8 N.Toster thrown to SLU 01 broken up by #24 C.ByrdSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 14
+8
96.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SLU 06 (#21 K.Ford Jr)Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+3
96.5%
PENALTY SLU Offside (#16 D.McGee) 3 yards from SLU 06 to SLU 03. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
PJ Martin 3 Yd Run (Davis Little Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:450% → 1%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith Jr. rush middle for 20 yards gain to the SLU 40 (#12 J.Moson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Lowe pass complete short left to #33 C.Elzy caught at SLU 38, for 16 yards to the USA 44 (#90 E.Smiley; #48 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Elzy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USA 39 (#26 X.Anderson Jr.)Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
99.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Elzy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USA 37 (#26 X.Anderson Jr.; #90 E.Smiley)Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-4
99.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Smith Jr. rush middle for 4 yards loss to the USA 41 (#2 J.Henderson; #14 C.Blaylock)Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 7
OPP 41
+5
99.1%
PENALTY SLU Delay Of Game (#46 J.Hunter) 5 yards from USA 41 to USA 46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
99.4%
#46 J.Hunter punt 44 yards to the USA 02, out of bounds at USA 02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21END OF HALF
10 plays · 70 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+13
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 13 yards gain to the USA 15 (#12 C.Crump), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 16 yards gain to the USA 31 (#10 J.Okoye), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USA 34 (#48 J.Harris; #98 G.Brown)Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+7
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush left for 7 yards gain to the USA 41 (#12 C.Crump), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins rush right for 1 yard gain to the USA 42 (#10 J.Okoye), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+8
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush right for 8 yards gain to the USA 50 (#20 M.Mitchell)Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 1
50
+10
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Wynn rush middle for 10 yards gain to the SLU 40 (#20 M.Mitchell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Wynn rush left for 12 yards gain to the SLU 28 (#12 C.Crump), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Wynn rush middle for 0 yards to the SLU 28 (#49 C.Shaw; #48 J.Harris)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:46
Lonnie Shinn 7 Yd pass from Kyle Lowe (Drew Talley Kick)
-7.3
TD · Q3 4:06
Bishop Davenport 2 Yd Run (Davis Little Kick)
+7.3
TD · Q1 1:16
Lonnie Shinn 12 Yd pass from Kyle Lowe (Drew Talley Kick)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com