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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 7 at Jacksonville State 49

JXST
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:01 · #27 J.Brown punt 33 yards to the Jax St06
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior+15.7Home team on offense+34.6Score differential+28.6Blowout margin+14.5Garbage-time factor+9.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:25: Jamill Williams 55 Yd pass from Caden Creel (Garrison Rippa Kick) — JXST win probability +1.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:24: Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep right to #17 J.Williams caught at EKU05, for 30 yards to the EKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:24, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #1 C.Nix, LS: #45 D.Musgrove) — JXST win probability +2.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:27: Caleb Nix 43 Yd Interception Return (Garrison Rippa Kick) — JXST win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:45: Shotgun #42 B.Hensley rush middle for 72 yards gain to the Jax St00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:45, 1ST DOWN #36 B.Flabiano kick attempt good (H: #27 J.Brown, LS: #99 L.Turk) — EKU win probability +1.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:28: Shotgun #6 J.Likely rush right for 45 yards gain to the EKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:28, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #1 C.Nix, LS: #45 D.Musgrove) — JXST win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 0 of 2EKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:02EKU 4th & 13 at EKU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:02JXST 4th & 8 at EKU 48, tied
    Close callWent for it · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:08EKU 4th & 5 at EKU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:14EKU 4th & 1 at JXST 36, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    42% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:42EKU 4th & 3 at EKU 36, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 1:01EKU 4th & 11 at JXST 39, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 7:09JXST 4th & 2 at JXST 14, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:26EKU 4th & 11 at EKU 23, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:09EKU 4th & 2 at JXST 35, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:27JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:25JXST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:24JXST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:27JXST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:45EKU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:28JXST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:03JXST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EKUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 3:587% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
93.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Latham rush middle for 3 yards loss to the EKU22 (#44 K.Perry)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
93.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass incomplete short left to #14 B.Latham thrown to EKU24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+17
93.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass complete short middle to #11 J.Hayes caught at EKU38, for 17 yards to the EKU39 (#8 J.Brooks; #1 C.Nix), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
93.5%
PENALTY EKU False Start (#62 R.Medici) 5 yards from EKU39 to EKU34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+12
93.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Latham rush middle for 12 yards gain to the EKU46 (#3 T.Fegans; #7 M.Woods)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-5
93.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers rush middle for 5 yards loss to the EKU41 fumbled by #17 T.Travers at EKU41 recovered by EKU #17 T.Travers at EKU41, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+10
93.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers rush right for 6 yards gain to the EKU47 (#8 J.Brooks) PENALTY EKU Holding (#69 A.Ferris) 10 yards from EKU41 to EKU31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 31
+5
93.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EKU36 (#92 M.Hood)Similar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+9
92.6%
#27 J.Brown punt 43 yards to the Jax St21 #1 C.Nix return 9 yards to the Jax St30 (#10 D.Taylor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:3593% → 93%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
92.6%
Shotgun #6 J.Likely rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Jax St40 (#30 J.Kinley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
92.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short left to #30 D.Vinson thrown to Jax St43Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
92.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Likely rush right for 4 yards gain to the Jax St44 (#39 C.Jessee)Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+6
92.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #11 D.Johnson caught at Jax St49, for 6 yards to the Jax St50 (#5 N.Spruill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
50
0
92.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short middle to #11 D.Johnson thrown to EKU44 broken up by #13 A.Tagaloa-NelsonSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
50
+2
92.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #6 J.Likely caught at Jax St49, for 2 yards to the EKU48 (#1 K.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
92.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete deep left to #3 D.Cannon thrown to EKU06Similar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 8
OPP 48
+14
92.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short left to #9 R.Johnson caught at EKU38, for 14 yards to the EKU34 (#39 C.Jessee; #6 D.Galva), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
92.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 3 yards loss to the EKU37 (#10 D.Taylor)Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 13
OPP 37
-4
92.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 J.Williams rush left for 4 yards loss to the EKU41 (#39 C.Jessee; #25 J.McGrath)Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 17
OPP 41
-5
92.6%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel sacked for loss of 5 yards to the EKU46 (#18 P.Swope) PENALTY EKU Illegal Block in Back declined EKU Personal Foul (#34 C.Redd) 15 yards from EKU46 to EKU31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
92.7%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 8 yards gain to the EKU23 (#0 J.Marable; #39 C.Jessee) PENALTY EKU Holding (#20 K.Neal) 10 yards from EKU23 to EKU13, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
92.5%
Jamill Williams 13 Yd pass from Caden Creel (Garrison Rippa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:128% → 8%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #42 B.Hensley rush middle for 0 yards to the EKU27 (#1 C.Nix; #93 J.Campbell)Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
92.2%
Shotgun #42 B.Hensley rush left for 5 yards gain to the EKU32 (#40 W.O'Steen; #35 A.Thompson)Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
92.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass incomplete short left to #11 J.Hayes thrown to EKU38 broken up by #1 C.NixSimilar
Q1 5:08
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
92.2%
#27 J.Brown punt 42 yards to the Jax St26 fair catch by #1 C.Nix at Jax St26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:4392% → 94%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
92.1%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short left to #3 D.Cannon caught at Jax St38, for 19 yards to the Jax St45 (#6 D.Galva), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
93.6%
Jamill Williams 55 Yd pass from Caden Creel (Garrison Rippa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 5INT
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:147% → 8%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass incomplete short right to #22 C.Stone thrown to EKU30 broken up by #5 R.BillingsSimilar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
93.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass complete short middle to #85 B.Newcomb caught at EKU35, for 19 yards to the EKU44 (#1 C.Nix; #5 R.Billings), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
92.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Latham rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EKU47 (#1 C.Nix; #40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+13
92.8%
Shotgun #22 C.Stone rush middle for 13 yards gain to the Jax St40 (#1 C.Nix; #40 W.O'Steen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
92.8%
Shotgun #22 C.Stone rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Jax St33 (#8 J.Brooks)Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
92.6%
Shotgun #22 C.Stone rush middle for 0 yards to the Jax St33 (#40 W.O'Steen; #45 M.Rosa)Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+6
92.7%
#17 T.Travers pass complete short right to #92 S.Ghee caught at Jax St30, for 6 yards to the Jax St27, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-8
92.2%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass intercepted by #24 T.Sims at Jax St10 #24 T.Sims return 84 yards to the EKU06 (#89 C.Schlachter) PENALTY Jax St Illegal Block in Back (#44 K.Perry) 9 yards from Jax St18 to Jax St09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 2:4793% → 96%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
93.2%
Shotgun #6 J.Likely rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Jax St14 (#25 J.McGrath)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+20
93.2%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 20 yards gain to the Jax St34 (#10 D.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
93.2%
Shotgun #6 J.Likely rush left for 9 yards gain to the Jax St43 (#10 D.Taylor; #8 B.Driver)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+9
93.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short left to #83 D.Alpers caught at Jax St43, for 9 yards to the EKU48 (#5 N.Spruill; #6 D.Galva), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
93.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short left to #9 R.Johnson caught at EKU40, for 8 yards to the EKU40, out of bounds at EKU40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
93.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short right to #3 D.Cannon thrown to EKU37 broken up by #13 A.Tagaloa-NelsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+10
93.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 10 yards gain to the EKU30 (#30 J.Kinley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
95.8%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep right to #17 J.Williams caught at EKU05, for 30 yards to the EKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:24, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #1 C.Nix, LS: #45 D.Musgrove)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 7INT TD
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:574% → 2%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Latham rush middle for 10 yards gain to the EKU35 (#2 M.Joseph; #12 B.Core), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
95.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Latham rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EKU34 (#14 A.Toombs)Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
95.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Latham rush left for 0 yards to the EKU34 (#40 W.O'Steen; #3 T.Fegans)Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-43
97.8%
Caleb Nix 43 Yd Interception Return (Garrison Rippa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:352% → 4%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
97.8%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass complete short right to #9 E.Caldwell caught at EKU28, for 2 yards loss to the EKU28 (#9 R.Johnson; #9 J.Carr)Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+72
96.0%
Shotgun #42 B.Hensley rush middle for 72 yards gain to the Jax St00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:45, 1ST DOWN #36 B.Flabiano kick attempt good (H: #27 J.Brown, LS: #99 L.Turk)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1096% → 99%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.3%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short middle to #17 J.Williams caught at Jax St22, for 8 yards to the Jax St33 (#39 C.Jessee)Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
96.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #32 C.Kouemi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Jax St36 (#97 P.Miller; #0 J.Marable), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #32 C.Kouemi rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Jax St37 (#1 K.Smith)Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+7
96.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short middle to #3 D.Cannon caught at Jax St35, for 7 yards to the Jax St44 (#39 C.Jessee)Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
96.4%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush left for 2 yards gain to the Jax St46 (#6 D.Galva), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
96.5%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #17 J.Williams caught at Jax St45, for 3 yards to the Jax St49 (#32 J.Chappell)Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
96.5%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 6 yards gain to the EKU45 (#39 C.Jessee), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+45
98.5%
Shotgun #6 J.Likely rush right for 45 yards gain to the EKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:28, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #1 C.Nix, LS: #45 D.Musgrove)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 10END OF HALF
18 plays · 34 yds · 5:051% → 1%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
98.7%
PENALTY EKU False Start (#69 A.Ferris) 5 yards from EKU17 to EKU12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+5
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Stone rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EKU17 (#35 A.Thompson; #9 J.Carr) PENALTY EKU Illegal Shift 5 yards from EKU12 to EKU07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 20
OWN 7
+25
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Stone rush middle for 25 yards gain to the EKU32 (#5 R.Billings; #8 J.Brooks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
98.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Stone rush right for 6 yards gain to the EKU38 (#5 R.Billings; #8 J.Brooks)Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+4
98.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass complete short right to #22 C.Stone caught at EKU39, for 4 yards to the EKU42 (#8 J.Brooks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.7%
#22 C.Stone rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EKU45 (#44 K.Perry; #15 T.Floyd)Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
98.6%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass incomplete short right to #11 J.Hayes thrown to EKU50 QB hurried by #35 A.ThompsonSimilar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+10
98.7%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers sacked for loss of 8 yards to the EKU37 (#53 I.Mitchell) PENALTY Jax St Holding (#3 T.Fegans) 10 yards from EKU45 to Jax St45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Shotgun #22 C.Stone rush middle for 0 yards to the Jax St45 (#16 Q.Hood; #40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
98.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers rush middle for 0 yards to the Jax St45 (#92 M.Hood)Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+9
98.7%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Jax St36 (#3 T.Fegans)Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 15
OPP 37
-12
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers sacked for loss of 12 yards to the Jax St49 (#53 I.Mitchell), fumble by #17 T.Travers recovered by EKU #62 R.Medici at Jax St49, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+4
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Stone rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Jax St32 (#15 T.Floyd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Stone rush middle for 0 yards to the Jax St32 (#15 T.Floyd; #53 I.Mitchell) PENALTY EKU False Start 5 yards from Jax St32 to Jax St37. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11INT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:1499% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.2%
Shotgun #7 K.Lando rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Jax St30 (#6 D.Galva)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete deep right to #3 D.Cannon thrown to EKU38Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep right to #11 D.Johnson caught at EKU49, for 70 yards to the EKU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 14:06 PENALTY Jax St Illegal Shift 5 yards from Jax St30 to Jax St25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+31
99.3%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep right to #17 J.Williams caught at EKU47, for 31 yards to the EKU44 (#10 D.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #44 J.Scissum caught at EKU46, for 6 yards to the EKU38 (#20 K.Neal; #23 M.Wells III)Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass intercepted by #25 J.McGrath at EKU29, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Latham rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EKU32 (#9 J.Carr)Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Latham rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EKU37 (#13 J.Cruz; #93 J.Campbell)Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-1
99.3%
#14 B.Latham rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EKU36 (#45 M.Rosa)Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
99.4%
#27 J.Brown punt 47 yards to the Jax St17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 4:3999% → 100%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.4%
Shotgun #22 L.Farrington rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Jax St18 (#0 J.Marable)Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+16
99.4%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short middle to #11 D.Johnson caught at Jax St33, for 16 yards to the Jax St34 (#13 A.Tagaloa-Nelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.5%
Shotgun #22 L.Farrington rush right for 4 yards gain to the Jax St38 (#37 J.Marshall; #4 K.Hayden)Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Shotgun #22 L.Farrington rush middle for 0 yards to the Jax St38 (#96 J.Hand)Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+11
99.5%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short middle to #9 R.Johnson caught at Jax St49, for 11 yards to the Jax St49 (#10 D.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
99.5%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short left to #22 L.Farrington caught at Jax St47, for 14 yards to the EKU37 (#10 D.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 8 yards gain to the EKU29 (#1 K.Smith; #37 J.Marshall)Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short left to #22 L.Farrington thrown to EKU10 broken up by #1 K.SmithSimilar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+5
99.4%
Shotgun #22 L.Farrington rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EKU24 (#97 P.Miller; #10 D.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.7%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #30 L.Gilbert caught at EKU09, for 24 yards to the EKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:03, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #1 C.Nix, LS: #45 D.Musgrove)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 5:020% → 0%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass complete short middle to #9 E.Caldwell caught at EKU31, for 10 yards to the EKU35 (#2 M.Joseph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #42 B.Hensley rush middle for 0 yards to the EKU35 (#15 T.Floyd; #53 I.Mitchell)Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass incomplete short middle to #9 E.Caldwell thrown to EKU46 QB hurried by #13 J.Cruz PENALTY Jax St Roughing The Passer (#13 J.Cruz) 15 yards from EKU35 to EKU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.7%
Shotgun #42 B.Hensley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Jax St44 (#2 M.Joseph; #0 M.Butler)Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+6
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #42 B.Hensley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Jax St38 (#40 W.O'Steen; #35 A.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.7%
Shotgun #42 B.Hensley rush left for 11 yards gain (2) to the Jax St27 (#8 J.Brooks) PENALTY EKU Holding (#52 Y.Sanogo-Kendrick) 10 yards from Jax St36 to Jax St46Similar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 18
OPP 46
+4
99.7%
Shotgun #14 B.Latham rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Jax St42 (#19 S.Harris; #15 T.Floyd)Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+3
99.7%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass complete short left to #22 C.Stone caught at Jax St42, for 3 yards to the Jax St39 (#40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
99.7%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass incomplete short middle to #16 J.House thrown to Jax St39 QB hurried by #0 M.ButlerSimilar
Q3 1:01
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
99.9%
#27 J.Brown punt 33 yards to the Jax St06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 8:52100% → 100%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
99.8%
Shotgun #32 C.Kouemi rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Jax St10 (#97 P.Miller)Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+3
99.8%
Shotgun #32 C.Kouemi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Jax St13 (#20 K.Neal)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+1
99.8%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Jax St14 (#97 P.Miller)Similar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
99.9%
#87 C.Donaghy punt 52 yards to the EKU34 PENALTY EKU Holding (#9 E.Caldwell) 10 yards from EKU34 to EKU24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
99.9%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass complete short middle to #11 J.Hayes caught at EKU31, for 7 yards to the EKU31 (#35 A.Thompson), out of bounds PENALTY EKU Holding 10 yards from EKU24 to EKU14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 20
OWN 14
-2
99.9%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers rush middle for 2 yards loss to the EKU12 (#44 K.Perry; #35 A.Thompson)Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 22
OWN 12
+2
99.9%
Shotgun #24 R.Hooks rush right for 2 yards gain to the EKU14 (#12 B.Core)Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 20
OWN 14
+9
99.9%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass complete short left to #24 R.Hooks caught at EKU14, for 9 yards to the EKU23 (#35 A.Thompson)Similar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 11
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
#27 J.Brown punt 42 yards to the Jax St35 #3 D.Cannon return 6 yards to the Jax St41 (#1 K.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
99.9%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #30 D.Vinson caught at Jax St40, for 22 yards to the EKU37 (#20 K.Neal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Lando rush middle for 7 yards gain to the EKU30 (#34 C.Redd; #4 K.Hayden)Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Lando rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EKU29 (#54 D.Pellman)Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+7
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 7 yards gain to the EKU22 (#1 K.Smith; #10 D.Taylor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
99.9%
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #44 J.Scissum caught at EKU06, for 16 yards to the EKU06, out of bounds at EKU06 PENALTY Jax St Holding (#71 C.Stancil) 10 yards from EKU22 to EKU32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Shotgun #7 K.Lando rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EKU29 (#30 J.Kinley; #54 D.Pellman)Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 17
OPP 29
+25
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short middle to #83 D.Alpers caught at EKU10, for 25 yards to the EKU04 (#10 D.Taylor; #13 A.Tagaloa-Nelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Jamill Williams 4 Yd pass from Caden Creel (Garrison Rippa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 6:000% → 0%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Shotgun #24 R.Hooks rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EKU29 (#16 Q.Hood; #2 M.Joseph)Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers pass complete short left to #92 S.Ghee caught at EKU31, for 6 yards to the EKU35 (#31 T.Lyles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Shotgun #24 R.Hooks rush left for 6 yards gain to the EKU41 (#25 V.Woodward III)Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Shotgun #17 T.Travers rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EKU44 (#92 M.Hood)Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Shotgun #24 R.Hooks rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EKU47 (#45 M.Rosa; #34 J.McCollough), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
#17 T.Travers pass complete short middle to #7 C.Lamberth caught at EKU45, for 10 yards to the Jax St43 (#22 J.Jenkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
#17 T.Travers pass complete short middle to #16 J.House caught at Jax St38, for 5 yards to the Jax St38 (#6 K.Cook)Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
#17 T.Travers pass complete short left to #88 T.Weatherspoon caught at Jax St38, for 3 yards to the Jax St35 (#6 K.Cook)Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Shotgun #24 R.Hooks rush middle for 0 yards to the Jax St35 (#14 A.Toombs)Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
Shotgun #24 R.Hooks rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Jax St34 (#90 M.Stringfellow), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19END OF GAME
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:17100% → 100%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #32 C.Kouemi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Jax St37 (#97 P.Miller; #0 J.Marable)Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #32 C.Kouemi rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Jax St41 (#25 J.McGrath)Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+7
100.0%
Shotgun #15 J.Moran pass complete short middle to #44 J.Scissum caught at Jax St48, for 7 yards to the Jax St48 (#39 C.Jessee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #32 C.Kouemi rush left for 7 yards gain to the EKU45 (#25 J.McGrath)Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+18
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 J.Moran pass complete short right to #84 F.Baret Jr. caught at EKU27, for 18 yards to the EKU27 (#25 J.McGrath), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:24
Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep right to #17 J.Williams caught at EKU05, for 30 yards to the EKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:24, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #1 C.Nix, LS: #45 D.Musgrove)
+2.5
TD · Q2 10:27
Caleb Nix 43 Yd Interception Return (Garrison Rippa Kick)
+2.2
TD · Q2 5:28
Shotgun #6 J.Likely rush right for 45 yards gain to the EKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:28, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #1 C.Nix, LS: #45 D.Musgrove)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com