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ME

Maine 3 at App State 55

APP
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadME aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreME score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:14 · (06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MNE18 (#95 M.Hamilton), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior+28.1Home team on offense+13.9Score differential+6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.1Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+4.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:10: (06:10) Shotgun #4 T.Webb rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:10 #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone) — APP win probability +1.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:15: (14:18) #83 J.London field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone), clock 14:15 — ME win probability +0.2 pts (now 11%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:32: (09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #7 D.Fugitt caught at MNE05, for 5 yards to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:32 #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone) — APP win probability +4.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:18: (04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #0 S.Pickett III caught at MNE10, for 14 yards to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:18, 1ST DOWN #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone) — APP win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:07: (00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short middle to #0 S.Pickett III caught at MNE00, for 7 yards to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:07 #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone) — APP win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ME made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:26APP 4th & 2 at ME 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:36ME 4th & 4 at ME 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:36ME 4th & 8 at ME 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:20APP 4th & 1 at ME 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.8%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15APP 4th & 7 at ME 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:36ME 4th & 2 at ME 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:42ME 4th & 6 at ME 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:14APP 4th & 1 at ME 19, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−1.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:12ME 4th & 4 at APP 36, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:51ME 4th & 14 at APP 23, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:49ME 4th & 8 at ME 27, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:57ME 4th & 12 at APP 30, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:12APP 4th & 2 at ME 14, up 49
    Close callKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 6:10APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:32APP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:18APP Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:07APP Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:14APP Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:25APP Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:33APP Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1FUMBLE
14 plays · 57 yds · 5:4191% → 90%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
90.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush middle for 12 yards gain to the App37 (#6 B.Isaiah), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
90.7%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete deep middle to #6 C.Lofton thrown to MNE16 PENALTY MNE Pass Interference (#2 J.McGill) 15 yards from App37 to MNE48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
90.6%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MNE39 (#15 J.Kucera; #10 S.Oppenheimer)Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+8
90.5%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Branch rush left for 8 yards gain to the MNE31 (#15 J.Kucera), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
90.4%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MNE30 (#27 D.Berlitz; #10 S.Oppenheimer)Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+3
90.3%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush left for 3 yards gain to the MNE27 (#2 J.McGill)Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+4
90.1%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Cross rush left for 4 yards gain to the MNE23 (#7 N.Carpenter)Similar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+3
89.9%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush left for 3 yards gain to the MNE20 (#8 J.Gibson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
89.9%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush right for 1 yard gain to the MNE19 (#10 S.Oppenheimer)Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+12
89.8%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #7 D.Fugitt caught at MNE20, for 12 yards to the MNE07 (#2 J.McGill), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
89.7%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Cross rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MNE05 (#10 S.Oppenheimer)Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-13
89.5%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton sacked for loss of 13 yards to the MNE18 (#11 K.Pressley), fumble by #3 M.Singleton recovered by MNE #2 J.McGill at MNE18, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3211% → 11%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
89.1%
(09:13) Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MNE19 (#5 C.Sloan; #99 A.Clark)Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
88.9%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete short left to #20 N.Laughlin thrown to MNE33Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+5
88.9%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short middle to #4 M.McNeely caught at MNE19, for 5 yards to the MNE24 (#10 C.Phares; #25 K.Purdy)Similar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 4
OWN 24
+4
88.7%
(07:44) #82 A.Pecorella punt 58 yards to the App18 #13 J.Grier return 4 yards to the App22 (#12 E.Wallace; #54 T.Crockett)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:1289% → 90%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
88.5%
(07:34) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #11 J.Cross caught at App19, for 2 yards to the App24 (#22 S.Keyes-Wilson; #11 K.Pressley)Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+39
88.3%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Cross rush middle for 39 yards gain to the MNE37 (#8 J.Gibson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+35
88.6%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #19 J.Howse caught at MNE18, for 35 yards to the MNE02 (#22 S.Keyes-Wilson), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #19 J.Howse caught at MNE19, for 37 yards to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:18, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q1 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.9%
(06:10) Shotgun #4 T.Webb rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:10 #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:1711% → 11%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.4%
(06:09) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short right to #5 R.Marshall caught at MNE23, for 3 yards to the MNE28 (#95 K.Harvey)Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
89.3%
(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MNE27 (#15 A.Mitchell)Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
89.4%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete short right to #4 M.McNeely thrown to MNE38 broken up by #0 J.BerchalSimilar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
89.5%
(04:47) #82 A.Pecorella punt 50 yards to the App23 #13 J.Grier return 7 yards to the App30 (#39 A.Mack), out of bounds PENALTY App Holding 10 yards from App23 to App13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:1490% → 89%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
89.6%
(04:34) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #7 D.Fugitt caught at App14, for 10 yards to the App23 (#2 J.McGill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+49
89.5%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #87 D.Galloway caught at App35, for 49 yards to the MNE28 (#27 D.Berlitz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
90.0%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MNE25 (#2 J.McGill; #18 J.Brown)Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
89.9%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete deep left to #0 S.Pickett III thrown to MNE00Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+6
89.8%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush right for 6 yards gain to the MNE19 (#14 A.Nash-Lally; #11 K.Pressley)Similar
Q1 2:20
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+3
89.4%
(02:29) Shotgun #4 T.Webb rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MNE16 (#7 N.Carpenter; #27 D.Berlitz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
89.7%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MNE17 (#9 C.Bacon)Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+10
89.6%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Webb rush right for 10 yards gain to the MNE07 (#14 A.Nash-Lally)Similar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+5
89.4%
PENALTY App False Start (#0 S.Pickett III) 5 yards from MNE07 to MNE12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+5
89.3%
PENALTY App False Start 5 yards from MNE12 to MNE17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+4
89.3%
(14:58) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #5 J.Lewis caught at MNE21, for 4 yards to the MNE13 (#10 S.Oppenheimer)Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+31
89.0%
(14:18) #83 J.London field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone), clock 14:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2710% → 10%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.6%
(14:15) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short right to #12 E.Wallace caught at MNE27, for 3 yards to the MNE28 (#21 J.Reddish)Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
89.6%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Laughlin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MNE33 (#5 C.Sloan)Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
89.4%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete short right to #80 E.Smalls thrown to MNE45 broken up by #10 C.Phares QB hurried by #94 C.PittsSimilar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+17
89.6%
(12:47) #82 A.Pecorella punt 54 yards to the App13 #13 J.Grier return 17 yards to the App30 (#7 N.Carpenter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:5789% → 94%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
88.8%
(12:35) Shotgun #11 J.Cross rush left for 6 yards gain to the App36 (#18 J.Brown)Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+20
89.0%
(12:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #7 D.Fugitt caught at App34, for 20 yards to the MNE44 (#2 J.McGill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+23
89.3%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #1 N.Branch caught at MNE46, for 23 yards to the MNE21 (#6 B.Isaiah), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
89.5%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Cross rush left for 14 yards gain to the MNE07 (#21 E.Wiggins Jr.; #10 S.Oppenheimer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
89.4%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Cross rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MNE05 (#22 S.Keyes-Wilson)Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.2%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #7 D.Fugitt caught at MNE05, for 5 yards to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:32 #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:426% → 6%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.1%
(09:31) Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MNE29 (#25 K.Purdy; #10 C.Phares)Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
93.9%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete short middle to #80 E.Smalls thrown to MNE35Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.0%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete short middle to #16 E.Mahan thrown to MNE35Similar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
94.2%
(08:46) #82 A.Pecorella punt 11 yards to the MNE40, out of bounds at MNE40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 4:1196% → 97%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
95.9%
(08:40) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #0 S.Pickett III caught at MNE33, for 12 yards to the MNE28 (#10 S.Oppenheimer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
95.7%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MNE24 (#22 S.Keyes-Wilson; #7 N.Carpenter)Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+3
95.8%
(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MNE21 (#27 D.Berlitz)Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+2
95.8%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #19 J.Howse caught at MNE21, for 2 yards to the MNE19 (#7 N.Carpenter), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+1
95.8%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MNE18 (#95 M.Hamilton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
96.1%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #19 J.Howse caught at MNE20, for 7 yards to the MNE11 (#14 A.Nash-Lally)Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-3
95.7%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Webb rush left for 3 yards loss to the MNE14 (#9 C.Bacon)Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
96.8%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #0 S.Pickett III caught at MNE10, for 14 yards to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:18, 1ST DOWN #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 10INT
14 plays · 53 yds · 2:543% → 3%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
97.1%
(04:12) Shotgun #87 I.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the MNE19 (#99 A.Clark)Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
97.2%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete short middle to #15 C.Rideout thrown to MNE33Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+14
97.2%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush middle for 14 yards gain to the MNE33 (#6 K.Conley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
97.2%
(02:43) Shotgun #11 M.McMaugh rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MNE37 (#15 A.Mitchell)Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
97.2%
(02:29) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete short middle to #19 K.Concepcion thrown to MNE40Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+6
97.3%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short middle to #20 N.Laughlin caught at MNE40, for 6 yards to the MNE43 (#25 K.Purdy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
97.0%
(01:59) Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MNE49, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+27
96.1%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete deep left to #19 K.Concepcion caught at App30, for 27 yards to the App24 (#0 J.Berchal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
96.3%
(01:24) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler sacked for loss of 4 yards to the App28 (#41 C.Sandstrom)Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 14
OPP 28
-15
96.7%
(01:16) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass intercepted by #94 C.Pitts at App30 #94 C.Pitts return 15 yards to the App45 (#58 N.Stanley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 0:5898% → 99%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
97.7%
(01:10) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short middle to #85 L.Douglas caught at App50, for 14 yards to the MNE41 (#10 S.Oppenheimer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
97.8%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #85 L.Douglas caught at MNE39, for 2 yards to the MNE39 (#7 N.Carpenter)Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+9
97.7%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #1 N.Branch caught at MNE31, for 9 yards to the MNE30 (#6 B.Isaiah), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
97.7%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #0 S.Pickett III caught at MNE12, for 23 yards to the MNE07 (#21 E.Wiggins Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.8%
(00:16) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete short middle thrown to MNE07 QB hurried by #11 K.PressleySimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.0%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short middle to #0 S.Pickett III caught at MNE00, for 7 yards to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:07 #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
(00:05) Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MNE26 (#15 A.Mitchell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 13INT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:031% → 1%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
(14:59) Shotgun #20 N.Laughlin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MNE28 (#15 A.Mitchell)Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
98.9%
(14:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Laughlin rush middle for 3 yards loss to the MNE25 (#45 N.Campbell; #41 C.Sandstrom)Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.3%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short left to #1 T.Stephens caught at MNE29, for 21 yards to the MNE46 (#7 D.Henderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.4%
(13:15) Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush right for 0 yards to the MNE46 (#15 A.Mitchell; #45 N.Campbell)Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
99.4%
(12:35) Shotgun #11 M.McMaugh rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MNE45 (#33 A.Benton)Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
99.4%
(11:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass intercepted by #10 C.Phares at App31 QB hurried by #8 D.Walker, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:2999% → 100%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.4%
(11:52) Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush right for 6 yards gain to the App37 (#2 J.McGill)Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+20
99.4%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short middle to #0 S.Pickett III caught at MNE48, for 20 yards to the MNE43 (#10 S.Oppenheimer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
99.4%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush left for 10 yards gain to the MNE33 (#2 J.McGill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.3%
(10:52) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #1 N.Branch caught at MNE32, for 7 yards to the MNE26 (#10 S.Oppenheimer), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+4
99.3%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #1 N.Branch caught at MNE27, for 4 yards to the MNE22 (#10 S.Oppenheimer; #8 J.Gibson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
99.5%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #16 A.Sanchez caught at MNE17, for 10 yards to the MNE12 (#22 S.Keyes-Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.6%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush left for 12 yards gain to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:14, 1ST DOWN #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 15FG
20 plays · 52 yds · 8:010% → 0%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
(09:12) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short left to #1 T.Stephens caught at MNE33, for 8 yards to the MNE33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
99.6%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MNE32 (#5 C.Sloan)Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.6%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short middle to #80 E.Smalls caught at MNE34, for 4 yards to the MNE36 (#5 C.Sloan; #8 D.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.7%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MNE39 (#15 A.Mitchell)Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
99.7%
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete short middle to #81 M.Leak thrown to App45Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+8
99.7%
(06:37) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short left to #20 N.Laughlin caught at MNE46, for 8 yards to the MNE47 (#12 C.Grant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.7%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short right to #12 E.Wallace caught at App42, for 11 yards to the App42 (#4 J.Gude), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.7%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Laughlin rush left for 1 yard gain to the App41 (#7 D.Henderson)Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+5
99.7%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short right to #12 E.Wallace caught at App38, for 5 yards to the App36 (#4 J.Gude). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down prior to losing the ball". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short right to #12 E.Wallace caught at App39, for 3 yards to the App38 fumbled by #12 E.Wallace at App36 forced by #4 J.Gude recovered by App #0 J.Berchal at App38, End Of Play)Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
99.7%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete short middle to #1 T.Stephens thrown to App35Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+5
99.7%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short right to #20 N.Laughlin caught at App31, for 5 yards to the App31 (#5 C.Sloan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
99.7%
(03:37) Shotgun #12 E.Wallace rush left for 22 yards gain (15) to the App09 (#8 D.Walker) PENALTY MNE Holding (#1 T.Stephens) 10 yards from App16 to App26Similar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 5
OPP 26
-1
99.7%
(03:10) Shotgun #20 N.Laughlin rush middle for 1 yard loss to the App27 (#95 K.Harvey)Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+8
99.8%
(02:24) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short left to #80 E.Smalls caught at App21, for 8 yards to the App19 QB hurried by #5 C.Sloan (#10 C.Phares), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-11
99.8%
(01:48) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete short middle to #20 N.Laughlin thrown to App20 QB hurried by #10 C.Phares PENALTY MNE Intentional Grounding (#2 E.Buehler)Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 21
OPP 30
0
99.8%
(01:44) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete deep left to #12 E.Wallace thrown to App09Similar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 21
OPP 30
+7
99.8%
(01:38) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short left to #16 E.Mahan caught at App33, for 7 yards to the App23 QB hurried by #41 C.Sandstrom (#44 M.Lewis)Similar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+40
99.8%
(00:51) #43 S.Tremblay field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #82 A.Pecorella, LS: #54 T.Crockett), clock 00:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
(00:49) Shotgun #8 H.Hasselbeck rush middle for 75 yards gain (2) to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:38 PENALTY App Holding (#78 T.Poindexter) 10 yards from App27 to App17Similar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 18
OWN 17
+9
99.8%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 H.Hasselbeck pass complete short middle to #19 J.Howse caught at App17, for 9 yards to the App26 (#23 R.Renwick)Similar
Q3 0:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
99.8%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 H.Hasselbeck pass complete short right to #11 J.Cross caught at App27, for 16 yards to the App42 (#10 S.Oppenheimer), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #8 H.Hasselbeck pass incomplete short middle to #0 S.Pickett III thrown to App45 broken up by #10 S.OppenheimerSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.8%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 H.Hasselbeck rush middle for 11 yards gain to the MNE47 (#14 A.Nash-Lally), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.8%
(14:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Cross rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MNE48 (#6 B.Isaiah)Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+12
99.8%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 H.Hasselbeck pass complete short right to #1 N.Branch caught at MNE36, for 12 yards to the MNE36, out of bounds at MNE36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Branch rush left for 36 yards gain to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:25, 1ST DOWN #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
(13:23) Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MNE30 (#0 J.Berchal)Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
(12:46) Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MNE32 (#21 J.Reddish)Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
(11:57) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete short right to #16 E.Mahan thrown to MNE40Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
PENALTY MNE False Start (#7 N.Carpenter) 5 yards from MNE32 to MNE27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
(11:56) #82 A.Pecorella punt 41 yards to the App32, out of bounds at App32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
99.9%
(11:49) Shotgun #8 H.Hasselbeck rush middle for 20 yards gain to the MNE48 (#23 R.Renwick), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
99.9%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 H.Hasselbeck rush right for 20 yards gain to the MNE28 (#39 A.Mack), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Grier rush left for 28 yards gain to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:33, 1ST DOWN #36 A.Cummings kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
100.0%
(10:33) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete deep right to #15 C.Rideout caught at App28, for 47 yards to the App28, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush middle for 1 yard gain to the App27 (#96 R.Lolohea)Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-10
100.0%
(09:26) Shotgun #15 C.Rideout rush right for 10 yards loss to the App37 (#16 K.Henderson; #96 R.Lolohea)Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 19
OPP 37
+7
100.0%
(08:42) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short right to #20 N.Laughlin caught at App32, for 7 yards to the App30 (#52 M.McClenton)Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 12
OPP 30
0
100.0%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass incomplete deep left to #19 K.Concepcion thrown to App10 broken up by #9 A.Robinson, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 5:30100% → 100%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
(07:55) Shotgun #17 T.Ulatowski pass complete short right to #13 J.Grier caught at App26, for 5 yards to the App35 (#14 A.Nash-Lally)Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+19
100.0%
(07:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Roberts rush right for 19 yards gain to the MNE46 (#10 S.Oppenheimer), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Roberts rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MNE43 (#11 K.Pressley)Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
100.0%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Ulatowski pass complete short left to #13 J.Grier caught at MNE45, for 8 yards to the MNE35 QB hurried by #98 D.White (#10 S.Oppenheimer), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
100.0%
(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 M.Guest rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MNE30 (#7 N.Carpenter; #0 T.Chisolm)Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
100.0%
(05:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Ulatowski pass incomplete short right to #22 S.Fleming thrown to MNE29Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+8
100.0%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Ulatowski pass complete short right to #22 S.Fleming caught at MNE22, for 8 yards to the MNE22, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
100.0%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Roberts rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MNE17 (#23 R.Renwick)Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+4
100.0%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Roberts rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MNE13 (#7 N.Carpenter)Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-1
100.0%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Ulatowski pass complete short right to #45 G.Barber caught at MNE14, for 1 yard loss to the MNE14 (#7 N.Carpenter)Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+32
100.0%
(02:16) #83 J.London field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone), clock 02:12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 42 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
(02:10) Shotgun #5 R.Marshall rush left for 2 yards gain to the MNE27 (#98 K.Crawford)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
(01:58) Shotgun #38 A.Winter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MNE32 (#46 N.Avery)Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
100.0%
(01:17) Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short left to #81 M.Leak caught at MNE31, for 7 yards to the MNE39 (#35 B.Yurachek), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #38 A.Winter rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MNE45 (#35 B.Yurachek)Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+16
100.0%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Buehler pass complete short right to #81 M.Leak caught at App43, for 16 yards to the App39 (#35 B.Yurachek), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
100.0%
(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #38 A.Winter rush middle for 6 yards gain to the App33 (#98 K.Crawford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:32
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #7 D.Fugitt caught at MNE05, for 5 yards to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:32 #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)
+4.8
TD · Q2 0:07
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short middle to #0 S.Pickett III caught at MNE00, for 7 yards to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:07 #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)
+2.2
TD · Q1 6:10
(06:10) Shotgun #4 T.Webb rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MNE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:10 #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com