2026 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2026 · Glass Bowl
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
TOL37
MASS17
TOL by 20
Win chance
TOL89%
MASS 11%TOL 89%
Projected total
54pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
67%
chance Toledo wins by 14 or more
33% Toledo wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← MASS winsTOL wins →
-21-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- TOL by 12 to 28
- 80% of outcomes
- MASS by 1 to TOL by 36
- 90% of outcomes
- MASS by 13 to TOL by 43
- Median
- TOL by 18
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.