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2026 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2026 · Scheumann Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
BUF28
BALL25
BUF by 3
Win chance
BUF55%
BUF 55%BALL 45%
Projected total
54pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance Buffalo wins
45% Ball State wins
← BALL winsBUF wins →
-35-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
BALL by 8 to BUF by 15
80% of outcomes
BALL by 20 to BUF by 22
90% of outcomes
BALL by 27 to BUF by 28
Median
BUF by 2
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com