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2026 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2026 · Hornet Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
TOL34
SAC21
TOL by 13
Win chance
TOL79%
TOL 79%SAC 21%
Projected total
55pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
63%
chance Toledo wins by 7 or more
37% Toledo wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← SAC winsTOL wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
TOL by 3 to 22
80% of outcomes
SAC by 9 to TOL by 32
90% of outcomes
SAC by 16 to TOL by 37
Median
TOL by 11
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com