2026 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026 · UB Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
BUF24
BGSU21
BUF by 3
Win chance
BUF61%
BGSU 39%BUF 61%
Projected total
44pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
54%
chance Buffalo wins by 3 or more
46% Buffalo wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← BGSU winsBUF wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- BGSU by 5 to BUF by 12
- 80% of outcomes
- BGSU by 14 to BUF by 23
- 90% of outcomes
- BGSU by 24 to BUF by 31
- Median
- BUF by 4
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.