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2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · UB Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for reference
Projected score
BUF26
MASS22
BUF by 4 · market BUF by 6.25
Win chance
BUF63%
MASS 37%BUF 63%
Projected total
48pts
Market total 41.5
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance Buffalo wins by 3 or more
43% Buffalo wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← MASS winsBUF wins →
-28-140+14+28
50% of outcomes
MASS by 5 to BUF by 15
80% of outcomes
MASS by 16 to BUF by 25
90% of outcomes
MASS by 22 to BUF by 31
Median
BUF by 6
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com