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2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for reference
Projected score
BGSU30
BALL21
BGSU by 9 · market BGSU by 6.5
Win chance
BGSU72%
BALL 28%BGSU 72%
Projected total
51pts
Market total 45.5
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance Bowling Green wins by 7 or more
45% Bowling Green wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← BALL winsBGSU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
BALL by 1 to BGSU by 18
80% of outcomes
BALL by 9 to BGSU by 30
90% of outcomes
BALL by 17 to BGSU by 36
Median
BGSU by 8
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com