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KENT

Kent State 7 at Western Michigan 38

WMU
2026 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:04 · (06:04) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 48 yards to the WMU36, out of bounds at WMU36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior+13.3Home team on offense+16.1Score differential+5.1Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4Blowout margin+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:56: (14:56) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #32 D.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle) — WMU win probability +3.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:55: (02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep left to #85 B.Smith caught at WMU00, for 20 yards to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:55, 1ST DOWN #96 S.Leonard kick attempt good (H: #97 J.Stoeckel, LS: #41 G.Goodell) — KENT win probability +7.8 pts (now 20%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:49: (01:55) #96 S.Leonard kickoff 62 yards to the WMU03 #1 J.Franklin return 24 yards to the WMU27 (#22 D.Pritchard) — WMU win probability +3.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:33: (00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete deep right to #7 B.Brooks caught at KSU00, for 28 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:33, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KSU Pass Interference declined #32 D.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle) — WMU win probability +5.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 2:17: (02:17) #32 D.Kelly field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle), clock 02:17 — WMU win probability +2.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 7:52KENT 4th & 5 at WMU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:36KENT 4th & 20 at WMU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:02KENT 4th & 19 at WMU 30, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%−1.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:57WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:05KENT 4th & 13 at WMU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:28WMU 4th & 13 at WMU 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:38KENT 4th & 6 at WMU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:15WMU 4th & 2 at KENT 2, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−6.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:04KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:17WMU 4th & 8 at KENT 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−4.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:58KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:33KENT 4th & 5 at WMU 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:11WMU 4th & 3 at KENT 4, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:23KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 39, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:01WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:56WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:33WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:11WMU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5284% → 84%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.1%
(15:00) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WMU26 (#8 J.Cordoba; #52 A.Burgess)Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
83.9%
(14:25) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #88 N.Levicki caught at WMU24, for 1 yard loss to the WMU25 (#3 D.Jackson III)Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+33
83.6%
(13:36) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete deep middle to #8 E.Nelson caught at KSU45, for 33 yards to the KSU42 (#3 D.Jackson III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
84.1%
(13:05) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #15 A.Parks caught at KSU24, for 42 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:01, 1ST DOWN #32 D.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2MISSED FG
16 plays · 57 yds · 8:1016% → 17%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
83.9%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KSU26 (#47 D.Moon; #2 S.Gardner, Jr.)Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+9
83.8%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU29, for 9 yards to the KSU35 (#47 D.Moon; #12 D.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
83.8%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU37 (#8 J.Sims; #47 D.Moon)Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
83.6%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU34, for 7 yards to the KSU44 (#1 J.Franklin; #17 C.Barber)Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+11
83.5%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #6 W.Harris caught at WMU46, for 11 yards to the WMU45 (#1 J.Franklin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
83.4%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush left for 1 yard loss to the WMU46 (#41 Z.Tibbs)Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+6
83.3%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WMU40 (#47 D.Moon; #12 D.Moore)Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
83.2%
(08:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #8 D.Clark thrown to WMU21 QB hurried by #2 S.Gardner, Jr.Similar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+10
83.4%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #6 W.Harris caught at WMU34, for 10 yards to the WMU30 (#1 J.Franklin; #26 K.Crump), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
82.8%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #0 M.King caught at WMU33, for 0 yards to the WMU30 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+15
82.7%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush right for 15 yards gain to the WMU15 (#8 J.Sims), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
82.5%
(06:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 0 yards to the WMU15 (#94 A.Tounkara; #15 K.Burley)Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
82.4%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush right for 1 yard gain to the WMU14 (#94 A.Tounkara)Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 9
OPP 14
-11
82.7%
(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields sacked for loss of 11 yards to the WMU25 (#31 D.Echoles Jr.) PENALTY KSU Intentional Grounding (#12 D.DeShields)Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 20
OPP 25
+42
83.5%
(04:36) #96 S.Leonard field goal attempt from 42 yards NO GOOD (H: #97 J.Stoeckel, LS: #41 G.Goodell), clock 04:36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3683% → 87%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.4%
(04:34) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short left to #8 E.Nelson thrown to WMU36Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
83.3%
(04:24) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 16 yards gain to the WMU41 (#2 J.Cordoba; #32 T.Rubinstein), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
83.8%
(03:53) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush left for 3 yards gain to the WMU44 (#1 A.Muhammad; #12 L.Burns III)Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+30
83.8%
(03:12) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #4 C.Cabana caught at KSU40, for 30 yards to the KSU26 (#2 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
83.8%
(02:29) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSU20 (#83 G.Long)Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+2
83.7%
(01:58) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU18 (#8 J.Cordoba; #10 H.Dawahare)Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+3
83.4%
(01:20) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU15 (#8 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
83.7%
(00:40) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short middle to #7 B.Brooks thrown to KSU00 PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (#7 A.Stockstill) 12 yards from KSU15 to KSU03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
83.7%
(00:35) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU01 (#4 R.Nicholl; #32 T.Rubinstein)Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
83.7%
(00:00) #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 1 yard loss to the KSU02 (#3 D.Jackson III; #4 R.Nicholl)Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.9%
(14:56) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #32 D.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:4614% → 14%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
85.6%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep left to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU45, for 30 yards to the WMU45 (#14 D.McCullough; #22 A.Louis), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WMU Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
85.1%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush left for 1 yard gain to the WMU44 (#98 D.Frazier; #96 D.Gustwiller)Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
85.3%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #5 J.Caffey caught at WMU45, for 0 yards to the WMU44 (#10 J.Betts)Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+7
85.7%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #3 J.Etheridge thrown to WMU35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (#17 C.Barber) 7 yards from WMU44 to WMU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
85.4%
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush left for 3 yards gain to the WMU34 (#0 B.Anes)Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+13
84.8%
(12:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #6 W.Harris caught at WMU25, for 13 yards to the WMU21 (#6 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
84.7%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Caffey thrown to WMU24 broken up by #1 J.FranklinSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
84.9%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #1 A.Banks thrown to WMU08 broken up by #17 C.BarberSimilar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-9
85.4%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WMU30 (#12 D.Moore)Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 19
OPP 30
+4
86.4%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush left for 4 yards gain to the WMU26 (#10 J.Betts), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5587% → 87%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
87.3%
(10:58) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 4 yards gain to the WMU30 (#25 M.Buchanan)Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-3
87.4%
(10:18) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #24 O.Mataele caught at WMU23, for 3 yards loss to the WMU27 (#44 A.Bottiggi)Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+3
87.0%
(09:34) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #24 O.Mataele caught at WMU28, for 3 yards to the WMU30 (#25 M.Buchanan)Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
86.8%
(09:00) #25 R.Millmore punt 33 yards to the KSU37, out of bounds at KSU37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:4914% → 13%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
86.2%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU40 (#47 D.Moon; #90 J.Benson)Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+22
86.3%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU40, for 22 yards to the WMU38 (#47 D.Moon; #6 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
86.0%
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 0 yards to the WMU38 (#41 Z.Tibbs; #12 D.Moore)Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
86.0%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Kelley thrown to WMU20 broken up by #17 C.BarberSimilar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-2
86.5%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WMU41 (#4 A.Alexander, #15 K.Burley)Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
87.1%
(06:04) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 41 yards to the WMU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3087% → 87%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
87.4%
(06:05) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush left for 3 yards gain to the WMU23 (#25 D.Delaney Jr.; #83 G.Long)Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-1
87.5%
(05:28) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #88 N.Levicki caught at WMU22, for 1 yard loss to the WMU22 (#20 R.Terrero Jr.)Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
87.2%
(04:44) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short right to #1 E.Littlejohn thrown to WMU30 broken up by #22 D.PritchardSimilar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+5
86.7%
PENALTY WMU False Start (#22 A.Louis) 5 yards from WMU22 to WMU17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+14
86.7%
(04:32) #25 R.Millmore punt 47 yards to the KSU36 #6 W.Harris return 14 yards to the WMU50 (#12 D.Moore)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:2714% → 20%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
50
+2
86.2%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU48 (#0 B.Anes; #4 A.Alexander) PENALTY WMU Holding (#55 B.Alexander) 10 yards from WMU48 to WMU38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
86.2%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WMU37 (#1 J.Franklin; #6 J.Pope)Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
86.3%
(03:30) No Huddle #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #22 B.White thrown to WMU30 QB hurried by #10 J.Betts and #2 S.Gardner, Jr.Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+3
87.4%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU34 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+11
87.7%
(02:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #6 W.Harris caught at WMU30, for 11 yards to the WMU23 (#8 J.Sims), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
86.3%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU20 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+20
79.6%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep left to #85 B.Smith caught at WMU00, for 20 yards to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:55, 1ST DOWN #96 S.Leonard kick attempt good (H: #97 J.Stoeckel, LS: #41 G.Goodell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 1:1083% → 91%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
83.0%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete deep right to #8 E.Nelson thrown to KSU40Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
82.6%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #6 J.Buckley caught at WMU23, for 9 yards to the WMU36 (#10 H.Dawahare)Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+7
83.3%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU38 (#4 R.Nicholl; #32 T.Rubinstein), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 0
0
84.4%
J. Buckley run for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
83.7%
PENALTY WMU False Start (#73 B.Roebuck) 5 yards from WMU38 to WMU33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+6
83.0%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WMU39 (#33 J.Roy; #10 H.Dawahare)Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+61
83.7%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short left to #8 E.Nelson thrown to WMU45 PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (#18 N.Johnson) 11 yard from WMU39 to WMU50, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
50
+6
84.3%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short middle to #3 K.Boone-Nelson caught at KSU47, for 6 yards to the KSU44, out of bounds at KSU44Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+9
84.5%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #15 A.Parks caught at KSU35, for 9 yards to the KSU35 (#2 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
84.9%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #24 O.Mataele caught at KSU38, for 7 yards to the KSU28 (#4 R.Nicholl)Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+28
90.6%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete deep right to #7 B.Brooks caught at KSU00, for 28 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:33, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KSU Pass Interference declined #32 D.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:1410% → 10%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
90.2%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #85 B.Smith caught at KSU29, for 5 yards to the KSU32 (#8 J.Sims), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+8
89.7%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #11 Z.Fletcher caught at KSU36, for 8 yards to the KSU40 (#12 D.Moore; #6 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
89.6%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short middle thrown to KSU42 broken up by #4 A.Alexander QB hurried by #15 K.Burley PENALTY KSU Holding (#54 D.Morell) 10 yards from KSU40 to KSU30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+3
90.1%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU33 (#31 D.Echoles Jr.; #4 A.Alexander)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3012% → 12%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
88.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields sacked for loss of 5 yards to the KSU30 (#2 S.Gardner, Jr.)Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+11
89.0%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU34, for 11 yards to the KSU41 (#6 J.Pope; #12 D.Moore)Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
88.2%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep right to #6 W.Harris thrown to WMU34Similar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 4
OPP 0
0
87.9%
(13:35) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 59 yards to the WMU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:0590% → 90%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
89.6%
(13:26) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WMU25 (#3 D.Jackson III; #32 T.Rubinstein)Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+36
89.8%
(12:53) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush right for 36 yards gain to the KSU39 (#1 A.Muhammad; #2 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
90.5%
(12:13) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short left to #6 J.Buckley thrown to KSU42 broken up by #32 T.RubinsteinSimilar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+19
90.5%
(12:05) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush right for 19 yards gain to the KSU20 (#2 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
90.6%
(12:03) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #2 A.Chenault caught at KSU15, for 12 yards to the KSU08 (#3 D.Jackson III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
90.7%
(11:18) Shotgun #24 O.Mataele rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU06 (#2 J.Cordoba; #52 A.Burgess)Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
90.8%
(10:35) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU02 (#52 A.Burgess; #83 G.Long)Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
90.9%
(09:58) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 0 yards to the KSU02 (#0 D.Blachewicz)Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
90.4%
(09:14) #10 T.Petty rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU01 (#7 A.Stockstill; #44 A.Bottiggi), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:1110% → 9%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
90.1%
PENALTY KSU False Start (#76 M.Adewole). NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
90.1%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #8 D.Clark caught at KSU06, for 7 yards to the KSU08 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+4
90.3%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU12 (#0 B.Anes; #10 J.Betts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
89.9%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU13 (#94 A.Tounkara; #10 J.Betts)Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
90.1%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #11 Z.Fletcher caught at KSU11, for 0 yards to the KSU13 (#96 D.Gustwiller; #10 J.Betts) PENALTY KSU Holding (#5 J.Caffey) 6 yards from KSU13 to KSU07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 15
OWN 7
0
90.5%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU07 (#42 G.Welch)Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 15
OWN 7
+9
91.5%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 9 yards gain to the KSU16 (#10 J.Betts; #14 D.McCullough)Similar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
91.3%
(06:04) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 48 yards to the WMU36, out of bounds at WMU36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:4193% → 96%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.7%
(06:04) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete deep right to #2 A.Chenault thrown to KSU28Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
92.6%
(05:56) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WMU42 (#25 M.Buchanan; #38 C.Robinson)Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
92.7%
(05:06) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WMU49 (#17 S.Bridgeman; #18 N.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+31
93.5%
(04:29) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #6 J.Buckley caught at KSU45, for 31 yards to the KSU20 (#25 M.Buchanan), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WMU Holding (#3 K.Boone-Nelson) 10 yards from KSU20 to KSU30Similar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
93.7%
(04:23) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short middle to #7 B.Brooks caught at KSU19, for 15 yards to the KSU15 (#25 M.Buchanan; #18 N.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
93.8%
(03:38) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short right to #89 B.Wooten thrown to KSU10Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
93.8%
(03:32) Shotgun #24 O.Mataele rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU14 (#33 J.Roy)Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+1
93.6%
(02:55) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU13 (#10 H.Dawahare; #0 D.Blachewicz)Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
95.6%
(02:17) #32 D.Kelly field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle), clock 02:17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:085% → 1%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.8%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep left to #6 W.Harris thrown to WMU50Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+14
94.9%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #85 B.Smith caught at KSU37, for 14 yards to the KSU37, out of bounds at KSU37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
94.6%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU38 (#15 K.Burley) PENALTY KSU Holding (#56 M.Daoud) 10 yards from KSU37 to KSU27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 20
OWN 27
0
95.0%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep middle to #85 B.Smith thrown to WMU50 QB hurried by #15 K.BurleySimilar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+3
95.3%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU30 (#7 G.Carter; #9 W.Gerig)Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+5
95.5%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #22 B.White caught at KSU27, for 5 yards to the KSU35 (#20 W.Ferrell)Similar
Q4 14:58
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
98.7%
(14:58) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 37 yards to the WMU28 fair catch by #5 K.Gouldsby at WMU28 PENALTY WMU Holding (#83 R.Brotherton) 10 yards from WMU28 to WMU18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
99.2%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 12 yards gain to the WMU30 (#20 R.Terrero Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
98.8%
(14:14) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WMU39 (#25 M.Buchanan)Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+25
99.0%
(13:36) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete deep right to #88 N.Levicki caught at KSU37, for 25 yards to the KSU36 (#25 M.Buchanan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.0%
(13:00) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU33 (#3 D.Jackson III; #44 A.Bottiggi)Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+8
99.1%
(12:19) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #2 A.Chenault caught at KSU30, for 8 yards to the KSU25 QB hurried by #32 T.Rubinstein (#7 A.Stockstill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
99.1%
(11:47) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete deep middle to #83 R.Brotherton thrown to KSU00 PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (#7 A.Stockstill) 15 yards from KSU25 to KSU10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.1%
(11:40) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSU04 (#83 G.Long)Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.1%
(11:06) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short right to #2 A.Chenault thrown to KSU00 broken up by #7 A.StockstillSimilar
Q4 10:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
(11:05) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #15 A.Parks caught at KSU04, for 4 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:58, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KSU Personal Foul (#5 T.Aden) 15 yards from KSU00 to KSU03, 1ST DOWN #32 D.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
99.1%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU28, for 18 yards to the KSU38 (#6 J.Pope; #14 D.McCullough), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.0%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Caffey thrown to KSU37 broken up by #7 G.CarterSimilar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.0%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short middle to #85 B.Smith thrown to KSU48 broken up by #1 J.FranklinSimilar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+22
99.1%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep middle to #6 W.Harris caught at WMU40, for 22 yards to the WMU40 (#14 D.McCullough), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.0%
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #6 W.Harris thrown to WMU36 broken up by #6 J.PopeSimilar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
99.0%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #85 B.Smith thrown to WMU33Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.0%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WMU35 (#12 D.Moore)Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
99.1%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep right to #6 W.Harris thrown to WMU12 QB hurried by #31 D.Echoles Jr., TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:4599% → 100%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
99.2%
(08:17) Shotgun #1 E.Littlejohn rush left for 20 yards gain to the KSU45 (#32 T.Rubinstein), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.3%
(07:39) Shotgun #24 O.Mataele rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU43 (#32 T.Rubinstein; #10 H.Dawahare)Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+12
99.3%
(06:57) Shotgun #10 T.Petty rush right for 12 yards gain to the KSU31 (#18 N.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.4%
(06:23) Shotgun #24 O.Mataele rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU29 (#20 R.Terrero Jr.; #10 H.Dawahare)Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
99.5%
(05:39) Shotgun #10 T.Petty pass complete short left to #4 C.Cabana caught at KSU32, for 5 yards to the KSU24 (#25 M.Buchanan)Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+2
99.5%
(04:55) Shotgun #80 H.Hughes rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU22 (#22 D.Pritchard; #83 G.Long) PENALTY KSU Face Mask (#83 G.Long) 11 yard from KSU22 to KSU11, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
99.5%
(04:44) Shotgun #10 T.Petty rush right for 7 yards gain to the KSU04 (#83 G.Long)Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 3
OPP 4
0
99.5%
(04:05) Shotgun #23 A.Green rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU04 (#25 M.Buchanan)Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
99.6%
(03:19) #10 T.Petty pass incomplete short right to #88 N.Levicki thrown to KSU00 broken up by #22 D.Pritchard. WMU is challenging the ruling on the field - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
(03:16) Shotgun #10 T.Petty rush right for 4 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:11, 1ST DOWN #32 D.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19INT
11 plays · 27 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
100.0%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 9 yards gain to the KSU22 (#17 C.Barber)Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 22
0
100.0%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #80 T.Hunter thrown to KSU35Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+8
100.0%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KSU30 (#55 B.Alexander; #17 C.Barber), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep right to #3 J.Etheridge thrown to WMU40 broken up by #13 J.ThomasSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
100.0%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KSU38 (#0 B.Anes; #42 G.Welch)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
100.0%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU39 (#90 J.Benson)Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+10
100.0%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 10 yards gain to the KSU49 (#0 B.Anes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
100.0%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields sacked for loss of 9 yards to the KSU40 (#7 G.Carter), fumble by #12 D.DeShields recovered by KSU #12 D.DeShields at KSU40, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 19
OWN 40
-27
100.0%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass intercepted by #42 G.Welch at KSU45 #42 G.Welch return 27 yards to the KSU18 (#12 D.DeShields) PENALTY KSU Holding declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20END OF HALF
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:22100% → 100%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
100.0%
(00:47) Kneel down by #10 T.Petty at KSU20 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 12
OPP 20
-4
100.0%
(00:23) Kneel down by #10 T.Petty at KSU24 for loss of 4 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:55
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep left to #85 B.Smith caught at WMU00, for 20 yards to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:55, 1ST DOWN #96 S.Leonard kick attempt good (H: #97 J.Stoeckel, LS: #41 G.Goodell)
-7.8
TD · Q2 0:33
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete deep right to #7 B.Brooks caught at KSU00, for 28 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:33, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KSU Pass Interference declined #32 D.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle)
+5.7
TD · Q2 14:56
(14:56) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #32 D.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com