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CMU

Central Michigan 14 at Ohio 31

OHIO
2026 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:53 · #18 D.Duley punt 39 yards to the Ohio19 fair catch by #4 D.James-Hamilton at Ohio19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorPregame priorBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Home team on offense+15.2Score differential+11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Garbage-time factor+3.3Pregame prior+3.4Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:39: No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short middle to #15 R.Neer caught at CMU01, for 3 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:39 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) — OHIO win probability +6.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 10:28: #47 W.Hryszko field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer), clock 10:28 — OHIO win probability +7.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 9:30: Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CMU28 (#26 M.McKenzie) — OHIO win probability +11.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:24: No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short left to #2 P.Bowman caught at CMU00, for 1 yard to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:24 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) — OHIO win probability +4.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:06: No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete deep right to #3 D.Dorwart caught at CMU04, for 44 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:06, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) — OHIO win probability +4.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 5CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 5:37CMU 4th & 1 at OHIO 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.0%−0.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:00CMU 4th & 6 at CMU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:28OHIO 4th & 7 at CMU 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−6.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:53CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 42, down 24
    Close callPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:36CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:57CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:15CMU 4th & 4 at OHIO 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:44OHIO 4th & 20 at OHIO 31, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:40CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 32, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:05OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 36, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:38OHIO 4th & 11 at CMU 47, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:37CMU 4th & 14 at CMU 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:08OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 43, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:01OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:39OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:24OHIO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:06OHIO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:25CMU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:39CMU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:5956% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
56.2%
Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass incomplete short middle to #15 R.Neer thrown to Ohio41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
56.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Ohio34 (#19 D.Bryant, Jr.)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+11
56.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass intercepted by #4 J.Jackson at Ohio47 QB hurried by #40 B.McCalla #4 J.Jackson return 13 yards to the Ohio34 (#12 E.Pugh), out of bounds PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (#4 J.Jackson) 11 yard from Ohio34 to Ohio45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
56.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush left for 15 yards gain to the CMU40 (#12 D.Philord), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
56.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU35 (#1 J.Douglas)Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+5
56.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU30 (#14 J.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
56.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass incomplete short middle to #15 R.Neer thrown to CMU25Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
56.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CMU23 (#97 M.Van Fleet)Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+23
58.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 23 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:01, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) PENALTY #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) PENALTY Ohio Illegal Formation #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) PENALTY Ohio Illegal Formation 5 yards from CMU03 to CMU08. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 5:2442% → 40%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.1%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush right for 6 yards gain to the CMU31 (#12 J.Minnis)Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
57.9%
Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush right for 3 yards gain to the CMU34 (#20 K.Bannister)Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
58.0%
PENALTY Ohio Offside (#9 T.Gillison) 6 yards from CMU34 to CMU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
57.8%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU42 (#12 J.Minnis)Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
57.9%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU43 (#25 M.Molnar; #57 N.Hale)Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+14
57.9%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short middle to #20 L.Lewis caught at Ohio45, for 14 yards to the Ohio43 (#20 K.Bannister), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
57.6%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Ohio41 (#25 M.Molnar; #12 J.Minnis)Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+6
57.6%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #20 L.Lewis caught at Ohio38, for 6 yards to the Ohio35 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
57.6%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Ohio34 (#25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-1
59.6%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush right for 1 yard loss to the Ohio35 (#9 T.Gillison; #98 D.Reagans), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 4:5861% → 68%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+32
60.7%
Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete deep left to #15 R.Neer caught at CMU42, for 32 yards to the CMU33 (#12 D.Philord), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
61.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush right for 7 yards gain to the CMU26 (#11 X.White; #48 N.VanTimmeren)Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
61.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush right for 1 yard gain to the CMU25 (#17 C.Ali)Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+4
61.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU21 (#14 J.Taylor; #35 M.Hitchens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
61.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short right to #33 J.Furtney caught at CMU20, for 13 yards to the CMU08 (#17 C.Ali), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
61.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU06 (#48 N.VanTimmeren)Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
61.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush right for 3 yards gain to the CMU03 (#4 J.Jackson)Similar
Q1 0:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
68.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short middle to #15 R.Neer caught at CMU01, for 3 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:39 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:3933% → 32%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.1%
Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 5 yards gain to the CMU30 (#2 D.Walker; #12 J.Minnis), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
66.8%
Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush right for 1 yard gain to the CMU31 (#3 J.Haskins)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
67.4%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #20 L.Lewis caught at CMU39, for 7 yards to the CMU38 QB hurried by #25 M.Molnar (#2 D.Walker), out of bounds PENALTY CMU Holding (#31 J.Clerveaux) 10 yards from CMU31 to CMU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+8
68.0%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #20 L.Lewis caught at CMU29, for 8 yards to the CMU29, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+9
68.3%
#18 D.Duley punt 39 yards to the Ohio32 #4 D.James-Hamilton return 9 yards to the Ohio41 (#51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:3271% → 84%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
70.6%
Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 11 yards gain to the CMU48 (#14 J.Taylor; #35 M.Hitchens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
70.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short middle to #33 J.Furtney caught at CMU35, for 16 yards to the CMU32 (#19 D.Bryant, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
74.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short right to #15 R.Neer caught at CMU24, for 11 yards to the CMU21 (#19 D.Bryant, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
74.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass incomplete deep left to #3 D.Dorwart thrown to CMU00 broken up by #17 C.AliSimilar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+14
74.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short right to #33 J.Furtney caught at CMU20, for 14 yards to the CMU07 (#26 M.McKenzie), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
73.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU03 (#1 J.Douglas; #40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
73.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU02 (#35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
77.3%
PENALTY Ohio False Start (#86 A.Metzger) 5 yards from CMU02 to CMU07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
77.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass incomplete short left to #15 R.Neer thrown to CMU02 QB hurried by #4 J.JacksonSimilar
Q2 10:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
84.4%
#47 W.Hryszko field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer), clock 10:28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:5824% → 24%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
76.3%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #17 B.Naves caught at CMU32, for 7 yards to the CMU32 (#20 K.Bannister)Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
75.5%
Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 5 yards gain to the CMU37 (#12 J.Minnis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
76.0%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores sacked for loss of 2 yards to the CMU35 (#25 M.Molnar), fumble by #7 A.Flores recovered by Ohio #99 T.Neubert at CMU35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7TD
8 plays · 35 yds · 4:0687% → 91%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
87.4%
Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CMU28 (#26 M.McKenzie)Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+4
87.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU24 (#40 B.McCalla), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
87.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush right for 1 yard gain to the CMU23 (#40 B.McCalla), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+8
87.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CMU15 (#14 J.Taylor; #26 M.McKenzie)Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+8
86.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CMU07 (#11 X.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
86.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU07 (#92 J.Cherry; #4 J.Jackson)Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
86.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU01 (#19 D.Bryant, Jr.)Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short left to #2 P.Bowman caught at CMU00, for 1 yard to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:24 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3113% → 13%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.7%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #17 B.Naves caught at CMU31, for 11 yards to the CMU36 (#8 B.Dillon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
86.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush left for 1 yard gain to the CMU37, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
86.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short right to #16 S.Foster thrown to CMU44Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+5
86.5%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU42 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
Q2 3:53
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
87.3%
#18 D.Duley punt 39 yards to the Ohio19 fair catch by #4 D.James-Hamilton at Ohio19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9FUMBLE
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:3592% → 93%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
91.9%
Shotgun #8 N.Poulos sacked for loss of 2 yards to the Ohio17 (#40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
91.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass incomplete short left thrown to Ohio30 PENALTY Ohio Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+13
91.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short middle to #2 P.Bowman caught at Ohio30, for 13 yards to the Ohio30, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
92.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 20 yards gain to the Ohio50 (#14 J.Taylor; #19 D.Bryant, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
50
+13
92.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short right to #15 R.Neer caught at CMU38, for 13 yards to the CMU37 (#14 J.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass incomplete deep right to #15 R.Neer thrown to CMU02Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+20
92.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 20 yards gain to the CMU17 (#4 J.Jackson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
93.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush left for 2 yards loss to the CMU19 fumbled by #8 N.Poulos at CMU20 recovered by CMU #1 J.Douglas at CMU19, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4210% → 10%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
89.6%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores sacked for loss of 4 yards to the CMU15 (#14 I.Ackerman)Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+5
89.7%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #2 B.Townsend caught at CMU15, for 5 yards to the CMU20 (#20 K.Bannister; #12 J.Minnis)Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
89.8%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short middle to #20 L.Lewis thrown to CMU22Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 9
OWN 20
+1
90.1%
#18 D.Duley punt 43 yards to the Ohio37 muffed by #4 D.James-Hamilton at Ohio37 recovered by Ohio #4 D.James-Hamilton at Ohio38, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 0:3093% → 97%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
93.2%
Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush right for 8 yards gain to the Ohio46 (#26 M.McKenzie)Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+10
92.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 10 yards gain to the CMU44 (#11 X.White; #40 B.McCalla), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
97.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete deep right to #3 D.Dorwart caught at CMU04, for 44 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:06, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
97.9%
Kneel down by #7 A.Flores at CMU26 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:033% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU29 (#12 J.Minnis)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
97.2%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CMU28, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
97.3%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #16 S.Foster caught at CMU29, for 2 yards to the CMU30 (#3 J.Haskins)Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+9
98.4%
#18 D.Duley punt 57 yards to the Ohio13 #4 D.James-Hamilton return 38 yards to the CMU49 (#11 X.White) PENALTY Ohio Illegal Block in Back (#31 K.Debrow) 10 yards from Ohio22 to Ohio12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:1598% → 99%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
98.0%
Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Ohio14 (#5 K.Demma)Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+7
98.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush left for 7 yards gain to the Ohio21 (#35 M.Hitchens; #92 J.Cherry)Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+14
97.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush left for 14 yards gain to the Ohio35 (#4 J.Jackson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush right for 6 yards gain to the Ohio41 (#35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-2
98.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Ohio39 fumbled by #4 V.Rosa at Ohio43 forced by #5 K.Demma recovered by CMU #0 D.Bennett at Ohio39, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:271% → 2%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.6%
Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 0 yards to the Ohio39 (#12 J.Minnis)Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
98.6%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete deep middle to #20 L.Lewis thrown to Ohio00Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+6
98.6%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #83 D.Febres caught at Ohio35, for 6 yards to the Ohio33 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 4
OPP 33
-8
98.4%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores sacked for loss of 8 yards to the Ohio41 (#25 M.Molnar), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:3199% → 99%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 0 yards to the Ohio41 (#96 Q.Bird; #0 D.Bennett)Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush left for 2 yards gain to the Ohio43 (#40 B.McCalla; #12 D.Philord)Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-12
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass incomplete short right thrown to Ohio47 QB hurried by #4 J.Jackson PENALTY Ohio Intentional Grounding (#8 N.Poulos)Similar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 20
OWN 31
0
99.3%
#42 M.Haines punt 52 yards to the CMU17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
99.1%
Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CMU29 (#12 J.Minnis; #3 J.Haskins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.1%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush left for 4 yards gain to the CMU33 (#23 J.Marsh)Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-1
99.1%
Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CMU32 (#23 J.Marsh)Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete deep middle to #16 S.Foster thrown to Ohio35Similar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+7
99.3%
#18 D.Duley punt 48 yards to the Ohio20 #4 D.James-Hamilton return 7 yards to the Ohio27 (#11 X.White)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3599% → 100%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass incomplete short middle to #15 R.Neer thrown to Ohio44Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.4%
PENALTY CMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from Ohio27 to Ohio32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Ohio35 (#35 M.Hitchens; #34 D.Esper)Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Ohio36 (#35 M.Hitchens; #96 Q.Bird)Similar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+6
99.5%
#42 M.Haines punt 43 yards to the CMU21 #16 S.Foster return 6 yards to the CMU27 (#52 N.Hemer), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:401% → 2%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
99.5%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #2 B.Townsend caught at CMU29, for 17 yards to the CMU44 (#21 R.Jackson, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.5%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short middle to #3 N.Williams caught at Ohio50, for 6 yards to the CMU50 (#20 K.Bannister)Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 4
50
+3
99.4%
Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Ohio47 (#98 D.Reagans; #11 E.Herrmann)Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+15
99.3%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #2 B.Townsend caught at Ohio47, for 15 yards to the Ohio32 (#8 B.Dillon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
99.3%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #43 N.Woodford caught at Ohio34, for 13 yards to the Ohio19 (#20 K.Bannister), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.3%
Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Ohio15 (#3 J.Haskins)Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
99.2%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short right thrown to Ohio08 QB hurried by #25 M.MolnarSimilar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+15
97.7%
Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush left for 15 yards gain to the Ohio00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:25, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
98.8%
Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU44 (#48 N.VanTimmeren; #35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-2
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short right to #3 D.Dorwart caught at CMU45, for 2 yards loss to the CMU46 (#92 J.Cherry)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-1
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos sacked for loss of 1 yard to the CMU47 (#48 N.VanTimmeren)Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
99.0%
#42 M.Haines punt 47 yards to the CMU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:012% → 1%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.3%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete deep left to #85 M.Peters thrown to Ohio50Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.3%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU22 (#12 J.Minnis)Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+22
98.3%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush left for 22 yards gain to the CMU44 (#12 J.Minnis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
98.1%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #16 S.Foster caught at CMU41, for 1 yard to the CMU45 (#12 J.Minnis; #98 D.Reagans)Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-6
98.1%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores sacked for loss of 6 yards to the CMU39 (#51 I.Street)Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+1
98.3%
Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #24 V.Blue caught at CMU39, for 1 yard to the CMU40 (#8 B.Dillon)Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
98.7%
#18 D.Duley punt 50 yards to the Ohio10 fair catch by #4 D.James-Hamilton at Ohio10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 5:29100% → 100%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Ohio16 (#96 Q.Bird)Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+5
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush left for 5 yards gain to the Ohio21 (#19 D.Bryant, Jr.; #40 B.McCalla), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the Ohio21 (#40 B.McCalla; #19 D.Bryant, Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the Ohio21 (#53 C.Stare; #5 K.Demma)Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+14
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush left for 14 yards gain to the Ohio35 (#19 D.Bryant, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush middle for 0 yards to the Ohio35 (#40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos rush right for 8 yards gain to the Ohio43 (#14 J.Taylor)Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the Ohio43 (#40 B.McCalla; #26 M.McKenzie)Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
99.8%
#42 M.Haines punt 36 yards to the CMU21 fair catch by #16 S.Foster at CMU21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:291% → 1%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.5%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass incomplete deep left to #17 B.Naves thrown to Ohio47. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete deep left to #17 B.Naves caught at Ohio47, for 32 yards to the Ohio47, out of bounds at Ohio47, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
99.5%
Shotgun #45 J.Stapleton rush left for 8 yards gain to the CMU29 (#32 A.Brown)Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+6
99.5%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser rush right for 6 yards gain to the CMU35 (#35 M.Capen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.5%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser rush right for 13 yards gain to the CMU48 (#32 A.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.5%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #17 B.Naves caught at Ohio47, for 5 yards to the Ohio47 (#19 B.Miller)Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+10
99.5%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #45 J.Stapleton caught at Ohio50, for 9 yards to the Ohio38 (#32 A.Brown; #17 C.Chamberlin) PENALTY CMU Holding (#55 L.Maka) 10 yards from Ohio47 to CMU43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+4
99.6%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short middle to #85 M.Peters caught at CMU47, for 4 yards to the CMU47 (#35 M.Capen)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+33
99.8%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short middle to #17 B.Naves caught at Ohio35, for 33 yards to the Ohio20 (#49 X.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush right for 20 yards gain to the Ohio00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:39, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Ohio32 (#30 A.Cherry, Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Ohio34 (#37 C.Benaitis)Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Ohio35 (#30 A.Cherry, Jr.; #53 C.Stare), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 9:30
Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CMU28 (#26 M.McKenzie)
+11.3
FG · Q2 10:28
#47 W.Hryszko field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer), clock 10:28
+7.3
TD · Q1 0:39
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass complete short middle to #15 R.Neer caught at CMU01, for 3 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:39 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com