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BUF

Buffalo 23 at Toledo 8

TOL
2026 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadBUF aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreBUF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:44 · (01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO15 (#10 J.Fox; #22 N.Thompson), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 185Pregame prior+1.5Home team on offense−46.2Score differential−20.6Garbage-time factor−11.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−12.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−9.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:21: (05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:21, 1ST DOWN #31 O.Hautanen kick attempt good (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever) — BUF win probability +7.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: (15:00) #31 O.Hautanen kickoff 65 yards to the TOLEDO00, Touchback — TOL win probability +7.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 13:14: (13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short middle to #5 C.Walker caught at TOLEDO22, for 17 yards to the TOLEDO21 (#44 I.Zay), 1ST DOWN — BUF win probability +11.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:45: (04:45) No Huddle #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BUFFAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:45 #3 A.Dabbs pass attempt Successful — TOL win probability +14.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:30: (04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush right for 87 yards gain to the TOLEDO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:30, 1ST DOWN #31 O.Hautanen kick attempt good (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever) — BUF win probability +12.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 6 of 10BUF made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 10:24BUF 4th & 6 at TOL 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:28TOL 4th & 12 at TOL 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:11BUF 4th & 10 at TOL 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:15TOL 4th & 1 at TOL 34, down 6
    Close callPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:27BUF 4th & 9 at BUF 19, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:02TOL 4th & 1 at TOL 36, down 6
    Close callPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:42BUF 4th & 3 at BUF 30, up 6
    Close callPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:15TOL 4th & 4 at BUF 29, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.1%−0.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:04BUF 4th & 4 at midfield, up 6
    Close callPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:21BUF 4th & 2 at TOL 3, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.2%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    27.9%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−6.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:56TOL 4th & 11 at TOL 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:33BUF 4th & 1 at TOL 25, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.8%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−8.6
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:04BUF 4th & 8 at TOL 21, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−9.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:52BUF 4th & 13 at TOL 13, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−3.6
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−13.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:26TOL 4th & 8 at BUF 21, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−8.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:24BUF 4th & 7 at BUF 24, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−1.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:53TOL 4th & 11 at midfield, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:11BUF 4th & 8 at TOL 47, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:31TOL 4th & 4 at TOL 27, down 16
    Close callPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:24BUF 4th & 14 at BUF 24, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:08TOL 4th & 3 at BUF 18, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%−0.8
    79% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−4.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:45TOL 4th & 1 at BUF 1, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−3.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−6.7
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:44BUF 4th & 2 at TOL 17, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 0 of 1BUF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:21BUF Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:45TOL Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.9%−0.9
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:30BUF Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUFDrive 1FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 4:2410% → 11%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.3%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #6 C.Morrow caught at BUFFAL31, for 9 yards to the BUFFAL34 (#4 D.Watkins)Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
90.2%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short left to #6 C.Morrow thrown to BUFFAL40Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
90.1%
(14:24) No Huddle #0 N.Hill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BUFFAL36 (#10 J.Fox; #96 N.Chandler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+37
89.9%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete deep right to #11 D.Early, Jr. caught at TOLEDO27, for 37 yards to the TOLEDO27 (#25 T.Russell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
89.8%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Morrow thrown to TOLEDO19 broken up by #25 T.RussellSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
89.7%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short left to #3 P.Clacks III caught at TOLEDO22, for 5 yards to the TOLEDO22 (#4 D.Watkins)Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+13
89.6%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #11 D.Early, Jr. caught at TOLEDO21, for 13 yards to the TOLEDO09 (#25 T.Russell; #22 N.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
89.4%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short left to #3 P.Clacks III caught at TOLEDO04, for 5 yards to the TOLEDO04 (#25 T.Russell) PENALTY TOLEDO Face Mask (#4 D.Watkins) 2 yards from TOLEDO04 to TOLEDO02, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
89.3%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Morrow thrown to TOLEDO00Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
89.2%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TOLEDO03 (#7 A.Smith; #10 J.Fox)Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
89.1%
(11:05) No Huddle #7 J.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO01 (#0 A.Zock; #22 N.Thompson)Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
89.0%
(10:26) No Huddle #7 J.Wright rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOLEDO00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:27 PENALTY BUFFAL Illegal Formation 5 yards from TOLEDO01 to TOLEDO06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
88.9%
(10:24) #31 O.Hautanen field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever), clock 10:24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:4189% → 88%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.8%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #43 S.Lee caught at TOLEDO28, for 5 yards to the TOLEDO30 (#7 J.Keough)Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
88.8%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO32 (#97 C.Climes; #1 S.Brown). #88 R.Stinchcomb injured on the playSimilar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
88.4%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TOLEDO39 (#4 R.Davis), 1ST DOWN. #12 B.Hammer injured on the playSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
88.5%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at TOLEDO34, for 3 yards to the TOLEDO42 (#4 R.Davis) PENALTY TOLEDO Holding (#3 A.Dabbs) 10 yards from TOLEDO42 to TOLEDO32Similar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 17
OWN 32
-1
88.2%
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #1 R.Bond caught at TOLEDO31, for 1 yard loss to the TOLEDO31 (#6 M.Greer; #4 R.Davis)Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+6
88.1%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TOLEDO37 (#55 M.Nickel; #1 S.Brown)Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
87.8%
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short right thrown to TOLEDO39Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
87.7%
(07:30) #47 M.Meincke punt 46 yards to the BUFFAL17 fair catch by #6 M.Greer at BUFFAL17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 3FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 4:0412% → 15%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
87.8%
(07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short left to #6 C.Morrow caught at BUFFAL23, for 8 yards to the BUFFAL25, out of bounds at BUFFAL25Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+18
87.5%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short middle to #11 D.Early, Jr. caught at BUFFAL35, for 18 yards to the BUFFAL43 (#23 I.Petite), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
87.2%
(06:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short left to #11 D.Early, Jr. caught at BUFFAL49, for 9 yards to the TOLEDO48 (#23 I.Petite)Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
87.0%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Morrow thrown to TOLEDO39Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
87.0%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO46 (#10 J.Fox), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
86.8%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Early, Jr. thrown to TOLEDO29 PENALTY TOLEDO Pass Interference (#23 I.Petite) 15 yards from TOLEDO46 to TOLEDO31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
86.6%
(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush left for 5 yards gain to the TOLEDO26 (#44 I.Zay; #7 A.Smith)Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+5
86.4%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TOLEDO21 (#22 C.Miller; #10 J.Fox) PENALTY BUFFAL Illegal Formation 5 yards from TOLEDO26 to TOLEDO31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
86.0%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush right for 4 yards gain to the TOLEDO27 (#4 D.Watkins; #44 I.Zay)Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+6
86.0%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TOLEDO21 (#44 I.Zay), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
85.6%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Morrow thrown to TOLEDO02 PENALTY TOLEDO Holding (#23 I.Petite) 10 yards from TOLEDO21 to TOLEDO11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
85.5%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short left to #6 C.Morrow thrown to TOLEDO00Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
85.5%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short left to #3 P.Clacks III thrown to TOLEDO00Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
85.7%
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short middle to #41 M.Burch thrown to TOLEDO08 broken up by #44 I.ZaySimilar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
84.7%
(03:11) #31 O.Hautanen field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever), clock 03:11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4785% → 84%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.3%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOLEDO26 (#2 S.Bracey; #15 S.Vessah)Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
84.9%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO29 (#2 S.Bracey)Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
84.2%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #8 C.Walendzak caught at TOLEDO34, for 5 yards to the TOLEDO34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
84.1%
(01:19) #47 M.Meincke punt 48 yards to the BUFFAL18 fair catch by #6 M.Greer at BUFFAL18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4516% → 16%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
83.9%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short left to #6 C.Morrow thrown to BUFFAL24Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
83.7%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #3 P.Clacks III caught at BUFFAL16, for 1 yard to the BUFFAL19 (#7 A.Smith)Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
83.7%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Morrow thrown to BUFFAL34Similar
Q1 0:27
4TH & 9
OWN 19
+10
83.9%
(00:27) #90 E.Stumpf punt 54 yards to the TOLEDO27 #12 B.Hammer return 10 yards to the TOLEDO37 (#19 M.Hilty; #44 Z.Bergmann) PENALTY TOLEDO Illegal Block in Back (#36 N.Gersh) 10 yards from TOLEDO37 to TOLEDO27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:1384% → 83%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
83.8%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short middle thrown to TOLEDO28 broken up by #97 C.ClimesSimilar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
83.6%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #22 C.Miller caught at TOLEDO24, for 3 yards to the TOLEDO30 (#30 J.Bennett) PENALTY TOLEDO Holding (#74 A.Carwise) 10 yards from TOLEDO30 to TOLEDO20Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 17
OWN 20
0
90.3%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short left to #19 D.Barnett Jr.Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 17
OWN 20
0
83.1%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short middle to #19 D.Barnett Jr. thrown to TOLEDO31 broken up by #7 J.KeoughSimilar
Q2 14:29
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+16
82.7%
(14:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #19 D.Barnett Jr. caught at TOLEDO35, for 16 yards to the TOLEDO36 (#5 M.Crawford; #23 X.Leonard)Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
82.7%
(14:07) #47 M.Meincke punt 41 yards to the BUFFAL23 fair catch by #6 M.Greer at BUFFAL23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1418% → 19%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
82.4%
(14:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush left for 5 yards gain to the BUFFAL28 (#7 A.Smith)Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
81.3%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BUFFAL30 (#0 A.Zock)Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
81.0%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete deep middle to #6 C.Morrow thrown to TOLEDO31Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
81.4%
(12:50) #90 E.Stumpf punt 49 yards to the TOLEDO21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:1482% → 80%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
81.5%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at TOLEDO32, for 21 yards to the TOLEDO42 (#5 M.Crawford; #33 J.Owens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
82.1%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. thrown to BUFFAL46 broken up by #5 M.CrawfordSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
81.6%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush right for 8 yards gain to the TOLEDO50 (#1 S.Brown; #5 M.Crawford)Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 2
50
+3
82.0%
(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BUFFAL47 (#33 J.Owens; #88 R.Stinchcomb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
82.1%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #19 D.Barnett Jr. caught at BUFFAL43, for 12 yards to the BUFFAL35 (#5 M.Crawford; #33 J.Owens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
82.5%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush left for 2 yards gain to the BUFFAL33 (#1 S.Brown; #4 R.Davis)Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
82.2%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BUFFAL31 (#97 C.Climes)Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+2
81.0%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at BUFFAL29, for 2 yards to the BUFFAL29 (#6 M.Greer)Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
79.9%
(09:16) #93 R.Griffith field goal attempt from 47 yards NO GOOD (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen), clock 09:15, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:0422% → 24%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
77.7%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 0 yards to the BUFFAL29 (#99 C.Camese; #10 J.Fox) PENALTY TOLEDO Personal Foul (#10 J.Fox) 15 yards from BUFFAL29 to BUFFAL44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
76.5%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete deep middle to #11 D.Early, Jr. thrown to TOLEDO19 QB hurried by #52 L.Lambert-PipkinSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
76.5%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush right for 6 yards gain to the BUFFAL50 (#7 A.Smith)Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 4
50
0
75.0%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short left to #3 P.Clacks III thrown to TOLEDO47 broken up by #4 D.WatkinsSimilar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 4
50
0
75.6%
(08:09) #90 E.Stumpf punt 43 yards to the TOLEDO07 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at TOLEDO07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3677% → 76%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
77.2%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO09 (#97 C.Climes; #2 S.Bracey)Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
76.7%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep left to #5 T.Crosby Jr. thrown to TOLEDO34Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+2
76.1%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO11 fumbled by #6 J.Richter at TOLEDO11 forced by #97 C.Climes recovered by BUFFAL #44 Z.Bergmann at TOLEDO11, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 11TD
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:4827% → 34%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
73.3%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TOLEDO05 (#7 A.Smith; #12 M.Conteh)Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 4
OPP 5
-1
72.7%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TOLEDO06 (#12 M.Conteh; #52 L.Lambert-Pipkin)Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+3
72.6%
(06:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush right for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO03 (#12 M.Conteh; #96 N.Chandler)Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
65.6%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:21, 1ST DOWN #31 O.Hautanen kick attempt good (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:1868% → 66%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.8%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO28 (#1 S.Brown)Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
67.6%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOLEDO29 (#6 M.Greer)Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
66.5%
PENALTY TOLEDO False Start 5 yards from TOLEDO29 to TOLEDO24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
65.7%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short middle to #8 C.Walendzak thrown to TOLEDO20Similar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
65.6%
(04:01) #47 M.Meincke punt 38 yards to the BUFFAL38 fair catch by #6 M.Greer at BUFFAL38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 13MISSED FG
15 plays · 41 yds · 3:4339% → 51%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
61.2%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BUFFAL42 (#4 D.Watkins)Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+11
60.7%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #5 C.Walker caught at BUFFAL48, for 11 yards to the TOLEDO47 (#10 J.Fox), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
58.9%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO44 (#7 A.Smith)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+10
54.9%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Morrow thrown to TOLEDO32 PENALTY TOLEDO Holding (#23 I.Petite) 10 yards from TOLEDO44 to TOLEDO34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
53.0%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOLEDO30 (#0 A.Zock)Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
51.1%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete deep right to #6 C.Morrow thrown to TOLEDO02Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
52.2%
PENALTY TOLEDO Offside (#99 C.Camese) 5 yards from TOLEDO30 to TOLEDO25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
50.0%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 0 yards to the TOLEDO25 (#7 A.Smith; #12 M.Conteh)Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
50.6%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO23 (#7 A.Smith), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
48.3%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete deep left to #3 P.Clacks III thrown to TOLEDO00Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-6
49.2%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TOLEDO29 (#0 A.Zock)Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 16
OPP 29
+8
47.8%
(00:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush right for 8 yards gain to the TOLEDO21 (#7 A.Smith)Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
49.1%
(00:00) #31 O.Hautanen field goal attempt from 39 yards NO GOOD (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:1359% → 54%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.7%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter rush right for 0 yards to the TOLEDO25 (#1 S.Brown)Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
57.5%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #43 S.Lee caught at TOLEDO33, for 16 yards to the TOLEDO41 (#4 R.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
58.7%
PENALTY TOLEDO False Start (#50 L.Rector) 5 yards from TOLEDO41 to TOLEDO36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 15
OPP 0
-2
53.8%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter sacked for loss of 2 yards to the TOLEDO38 (#15 S.Vessah), fumble by #6 J.Richter recovered by BUFFAL #1 S.Brown at TOLEDO38, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 15FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:2257% → 62%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
42.7%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short middle to #5 C.Walker caught at TOLEDO22, for 17 yards to the TOLEDO21 (#44 I.Zay), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
41.1%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short left to #41 M.Burch thrown to TOLEDO10 QB hurried by #0 A.ZockSimilar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
41.3%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TOLEDO15 (#23 I.Petite)Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+5
39.6%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush left for 5 yards gain to the TOLEDO10 (#44 I.Zay; #7 A.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
38.0%
(11:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TOLEDO11 (#52 L.Lambert-Pipkin; #0 A.Zock)Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
37.4%
(11:10) No Huddle #41 M.Burch rush right for 0 yards to the TOLEDO11 (#0 A.Zock; #8 K.Thomas)Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
36.6%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TOLEDO13 (#90 Z.Johnson; #10 J.Fox)Similar
Q3 9:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
38.2%
(09:54) #31 O.Hautanen field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever), clock 09:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:2041% → 39%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
41.4%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush left for 8 yards gain to the TOLEDO33 (#44 Z.Bergmann)Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
42.4%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at TOLEDO38, for 5 yards to the TOLEDO38 (#5 M.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
42.2%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at TOLEDO50, for 12 yards to the TOLEDO50 (#5 M.Crawford; #44 Z.Bergmann), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
50
+14
42.8%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush left for 14 yards gain to the BUFFAL36 (#15 S.Vessah), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
42.4%
(08:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #43 S.Lee caught at BUFFAL29, for 13 yards to the BUFFAL23 (#44 Z.Bergmann; #1 S.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
42.9%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BUFFAL21 (#1 S.Brown; #95 S.Smith)Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
42.2%
(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short left to #43 S.Lee thrown to BUFFAL05Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
39.9%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to BUFFAL11Similar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
38.8%
(07:29) #93 R.Griffith field goal attempt from 38 yards NO GOOD (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen), clock 07:26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5767% → 67%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
33.2%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short left to #3 P.Clacks III thrown to BUFFAL28 QB hurried by #22 N.ThompsonSimilar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
33.1%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BUFFAL24 (#44 I.Zay; #2 E.Odinjor)Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
32.4%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete deep left to #6 C.Morrow caught at TOLEDO25, for 54 yards to the TOLEDO22 (#22 N.Thompson) PENALTY BUFFAL Illegal Touch-Pass (#6 C.Morrow). NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
32.7%
(06:24) #90 E.Stumpf punt 41 yards to the TOLEDO35 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at TOLEDO35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:2335% → 31%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
35.3%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #22 C.Miller caught at TOLEDO33, for 16 yards to the BUFFAL49 (#1 S.Brown; #5 M.Crawford), 1ST DOWN. #5 M.Crawford injured on the playSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
36.8%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush right for 3 yards gain to the BUFFAL46 (#30 J.Bennett)Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+10
36.9%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at BUFFAL40, for 6 yards to the BUFFAL40, End Of Play PENALTY TOLEDO Holding (#71 M.Hofer) 10 yards from BUFFAL46 to TOLEDO44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 15
OWN 44
-1
33.6%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TOLEDO43 (#30 J.Bennett)Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 18
OWN 43
+7
31.5%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #8 C.Walendzak caught at TOLEDO40, for 7 yards to the TOLEDO50 (#4 R.Davis; #30 J.Bennett)Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 11
50
0
30.7%
(04:01) #47 M.Meincke punt 43 yards to the BUFFAL07, out of bounds at BUFFAL07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:3274% → 85%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
25.9%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #2 J.Andrews caught at BUFFAL06, for 11 yards to the BUFFAL18 (#44 I.Zay), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
24.9%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BUFFAL22 (#12 M.Conteh; #96 N.Chandler)Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+5
23.5%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BUFFAL27 (#12 M.Conteh)Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+1
22.7%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BUFFAL28 (#52 L.Lambert-Pipkin; #4 D.Watkins), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
18.4%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Morrow thrown to BUFFAL35 broken up by #10 J.Fox QB hurried by #0 A.ZockSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
18.4%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BUFFAL34 (#10 J.Fox; #90 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+17
17.4%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short middle to #2 J.Andrews caught at BUFFAL44, for 17 yards to the TOLEDO49 (#12 M.Conteh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
15.2%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright sacked for loss of 11 yards to the BUFFAL40 (#0 A.Zock, #52 L.Lambert-Pipkin)Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 21
OWN 40
+2
15.6%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BUFFAL42 (#0 A.Zock)Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 19
OWN 42
+11
15.0%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush right for 11 yards gain to the TOLEDO47 (#4 D.Watkins)Similar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
15.3%
(13:14) #90 E.Stumpf punt 37 yards to the TOLEDO10, out of bounds at TOLEDO10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:3019% → 16%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
19.3%
(13:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 11 yards gain to the TOLEDO21 (#1 S.Brown; #11 W.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
17.5%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #4 A.Ison caught at TOLEDO21, for 2 yards to the TOLEDO23 (#1 S.Brown; #6 M.Greer)Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
17.2%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOLEDO27 (#11 W.Clark)Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
17.2%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short right to #4 A.Ison thrown to TOLEDO26Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
16.1%
(11:38) #47 M.Meincke punt 45 yards to the BUFFAL28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5489% → 90%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
11.2%
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright sacked for loss of 3 yards to the BUFFAL25 (#90 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+5
11.1%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Morrow thrown to BUFFAL34 PENALTY TOLEDO Offside (#90 Z.Johnson) 5 yards from BUFFAL25 to BUFFAL30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+1
10.8%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush right for 1 yard gain to the BUFFAL31 (#4 D.Watkins)Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-7
10.1%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright sacked for loss of 7 yards to the BUFFAL24 (#2 E.Odinjor)Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
9.6%
(09:34) #90 E.Stumpf punt 52 yards to the TOLEDO24 #12 B.Hammer return 17 yards to the TOLEDO41 (#0 K.Blackwell) PENALTY TOLEDO Holding 10 yards from TOLEDO24 to TOLEDO14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22TD
14 plays · 86 yds · 4:2610% → 21%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
10.3%
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #3 A.Dabbs caught at TOLEDO25, for 17 yards to the TOLEDO31 (#0 K.Blackwell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
10.4%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #3 A.Dabbs caught at TOLEDO50, for 18 yards to the TOLEDO49 (#4 R.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
10.9%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BUFFAL46 (#15 S.Vessah)Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
11.0%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep left to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to BUFFAL22Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+9
10.5%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at BUFFAL37, for 9 yards to the BUFFAL37 (#5 M.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
10.4%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush right for 12 yards gain to the BUFFAL25 (#7 J.Keough), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
11.1%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. thrown to BUFFAL00Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
10.6%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short middle to #19 D.Barnett Jr. thrown to BUFFAL12 broken up by #7 J.Keough. #4 R.Davis injured on the playSimilar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+7
9.9%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at BUFFAL27, for 7 yards to the BUFFAL18 (#44 Z.Bergmann)Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+10
9.4%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at BUFFAL15, for 10 yards to the BUFFAL08 (#11 W.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
9.8%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short left to #5 T.Crosby Jr. thrown to BUFFAL00Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
9.6%
(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BUFFAL06 (#44 Z.Bergmann)Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
6.4%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #43 S.Lee caught at BUFFAL01, for 5 yards to the BUFFAL01 (#3 O.Bridges). The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 4:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.7%
(04:45) No Huddle #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BUFFAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:45 #3 A.Dabbs pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 23TD
2 plays · 87 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+87
5.2%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush right for 87 yards gain to the TOLEDO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:30, 1ST DOWN #31 O.Hautanen kick attempt good (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 24END OF HALF
14 plays · 24 yds · 3:3896% → 99%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
3.9%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO37 (#7 A.Smith)Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+2
3.6%
(03:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO35 (#0 A.Zock)Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+10
3.1%
(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short left to #3 P.Clacks III caught at TOLEDO29, for 10 yards to the TOLEDO25 (#4 D.Watkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
2.8%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TOLEDO20 (#7 A.Smith)Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+2
1.8%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO18 (#90 Z.Johnson; #4 D.Watkins)Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+1
1.8%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOLEDO17 (#10 J.Fox; #22 N.Thompson)Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+2
1.7%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO15 (#10 J.Fox; #22 N.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
1.4%
(01:13) Kneel down by #7 J.Wright at TOLEDO15 for loss of 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-1
1.3%
(00:30) Kneel down by #7 J.Wright at TOLEDO16 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:45
(04:45) No Huddle #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BUFFAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:45 #3 A.Dabbs pass attempt Successful
+14.3
TD · Q4 4:30
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush right for 87 yards gain to the TOLEDO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:30, 1ST DOWN #31 O.Hautanen kick attempt good (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever)
-12.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 13:14
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short middle to #5 C.Walker caught at TOLEDO22, for 17 yards to the TOLEDO21 (#44 I.Zay), 1ST DOWN
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com