2026 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026 · Scheumann Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadTOL aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreTOL score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 0:00: Daryl Barnett Jr. 11 Yd pass from John Alan Richter (Reice Griffith Kick) — TOL win probability +4.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
- TD · Q3 2:57: (03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 30 yards gain to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:57, 1ST DOWN #93 R.Griffith kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen) — TOL win probability +10.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
- TD · Q3 2:17: (02:25) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush left for 66 yards gain to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:17, 1ST DOWN #38 B.Boehm kick attempt good (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton) — BALL win probability +12.4 pts (now 26%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
- TD · Q4 2:09: Jabari Smith 33 Yd pass from Keldric Luster (Brody Boehm Kick) — BALL win probability +9.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
- TD · Q4 1:35: CJ Miller 68 Yd Run (Reice Griffith Kick) — TOL win probability +24.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 6TOL made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
- Q1 8:05TOL 4th & 10 at BALL 26, down 7Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.3% before the snapGo for it85.2%−0.129% to convertField goalTheir call85.3%64% to makePunt84.8%−0.4average punt
- Q1 3:47TOL 4th & 4 at BALL 4, down 4Close callKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snapGo for it83.7%40% to convertField goalTheir call83.5%−0.193% to makePunt82.1%−1.6average punt
- Q2 14:51BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 46, up 1Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snapGo for it18.0%−0.323% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call18.4%average punt
- Q2 13:32TOL 4th & 2 at TOL 24, down 1Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snapGo for it79.9%57% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call79.8%−0.1average punt
- Q2 10:49BALL 4th & 2 at TOL 21, up 1Close callKicked a field goal · 22.1% before the snapGo for it22.1%57% to convertField goalTheir call21.8%−0.374% to makePunt20.2%−1.8average punt
- Q2 8:07TOL 4th & 1 at BALL 47, down 4Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 76.0% before the snapGo for it76.0%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call74.7%−1.3average punt
- Q2 5:30TOL 4th & 1 at BALL 29, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call78.5%71% to convertField goal77.1%−1.458% to makePunt74.4%−4.0average punt
- Q2 1:25BALL 4th & 5 at TOL 9, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.6% before the snapGo for it28.1%−0.136% to convertField goalTheir call28.2%89% to makePunt23.8%−4.4average punt
- Q3 11:44TOL 4th & 1 at BALL 45, up 5Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call80.5%70% to convertField goal76.3%−4.225% to makePunt77.8%−2.6average punt
- Q3 10:40TOL 4th & 9 at BALL 40, up 5Close callPunted · 79.3% before the snapGo for it79.1%32% to convertField goal78.4%−0.734% to makePuntTheir call78.9%−0.2average punt
- Q3 8:36BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 14, down 5Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 21.2% before the snapGo for it22.8%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call21.0%−1.8average punt
- Q3 5:48TOL 4th & 7 at BALL 35, up 5Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call78.5%37% to convertField goal77.9%−0.645% to makePunt76.8%−1.7average punt
- Q3 4:45BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 33, down 5Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snapGo for it20.8%−3.623% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call24.4%average punt
- Q4 10:48BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 35, down 12Close callWent for it · 11.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call10.5%−0.529% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt11.0%average punt
- Q4 5:47TOL 4th & 1 at BALL 14, up 12Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call93.6%71% to convertField goal92.2%−1.484% to makePunt87.9%−5.7average punt
- Q4 3:30TOL 4th & 5 at BALL 7, up 12Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snapGo for it94.6%−0.134% to convertField goalTheir call94.7%91% to makePunt90.7%−3.9average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TOL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
- Q1 10:09BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call13.2%97% to makeGo for two13.2%−<0.145% to convert
- Q3 2:57TOL Touchdown, up 11 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call86.6%97% to makeGo for two86.5%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 2:17BALL Touchdown, down 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call23.3%97% to makeGo for two23.1%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 13:27TOL Touchdown, up 11 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call87.6%97% to makeGo for two87.5%−0.145% to convert
- Q4 2:09BALL Touchdown, down 9 before the tryNumbers favored go for two by 2.1 ptsKicked · madeKickTheir call5.2%−2.197% to makeGo for two7.2%45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartBALLDrive 1TD14 plays · 75 yds · 4:398% → 11%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
8.4%
(14:58) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #5 J.Smith caught at BSU30, for 8 yards to the BSU33 (#44 I.Zay; #7 A.Smith)Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
8.6%
(14:27) Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush left for 8 yards gain to the BSU41 (#23 I.Petite), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
8.8%
(13:51) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short left to #88 A.Scherle thrown to BSU45Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
8.8%
(13:46) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush left for 6 yards loss to the BSU35 (#90 Z.Johnson) PENALTY TOL Face Mask (#90 Z.Johnson) 15 yards from BSU41 to TOL44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
9.0%
(13:29) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right thrown to TOL41 PENALTY TOL Personal Foul offsetting BSU Intentional Grounding offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
9.1%
(13:20) Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the TOL44 (#44 I.Zay; #10 J.Fox)Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
9.2%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete deep right to #1 D.Hamilton thrown to TOL15 PENALTY TOL Pass Interference (#25 T.Russell) 15 yards from TOL44 to TOL29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
9.3%
(12:55) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #5 J.Smith caught at TOL33, for 4 yards loss to the TOL33 (#0 A.Zock)Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+14
9.6%
(12:09) Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short right to #1 D.Hamilton caught at TOL25, for 14 yards to the TOL19 (#22 N.Thompson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
9.9%
(11:37) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right to #24 T.Hoover thrown to TOL00 QB hurried by #52 L.Lambert-PipkinSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+14
10.0%
(11:28) Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell rush right for 14 yards gain to the TOL05 (#23 I.Petite), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
10.3%
(10:45) Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell rush right for 1 yard gain to the TOL04 (#44 I.Zay), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
11.2%
(10:13) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short middle to #88 A.Scherle caught at TOL02, for 4 yards to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:09 #38 B.Boehm kick attempt good (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2FG8 plays · 49 yds · 1:5789% → 88%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
11.0%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TOL24 (#27 G.Forsha)Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+50
11.2%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush right for 50 yards gain to the BSU26 (#4 W.Yates), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
11.2%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU23 (#1 S.Smith; #27 G.Forsha)Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-3
11.4%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #8 C.Walendzak caught at BSU28, for 3 yards loss to the BSU26 (#2 Q.Scandrett)Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
11.9%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short middle to #88 J.Newell thrown to BSU10. #88 J.Newell injured on the playSimilar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
11.8%
(08:05) #93 R.Griffith field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen), clock 08:05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3FUMBLE4 plays · 13 yds · 1:0912% → 13%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
11.8%
(07:58) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #1 D.Hamilton caught at BSU31, for 15 yards to the BSU40 (#25 T.Russell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
12.2%
(07:29) Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU42 (#10 J.Fox)Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-4
12.7%
(06:52) Shotgun #6 K.Luster sacked for loss of 4 yards to the BSU38 (#0 A.Zock), fumble by #6 K.Luster recovered by TOL #0 A.Zock at BSU38, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4FG11 plays · 34 yds · 2:5688% → 87%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
12.3%
(06:43) No Huddle #6 J.Richter rush left for 1 yard gain to the BSU37, End Of Play PENALTY TOL Holding (#71 M.Hofer) 10 yards from BSU38 to BSU48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+7
12.6%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush right for 7 yards gain to the BSU41 (#1 S.Smith; #25 M.Webster)Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 13
OPP 41
0
12.8%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short middle thrown to BSU41 broken up by #99 K.GilbertSimilar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+16
13.0%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #3 A.Dabbs caught at BSU26, for 16 yards to the BSU25, out of bounds at BSU25, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
12.8%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BSU20 (#2 Q.Scandrett; #16 K.Stewart)Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+11
13.1%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #3 A.Dabbs caught at BSU10, for 11 yards to the BSU09 (#28 S.Perkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
13.4%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BSU04 (#25 M.Webster; #2 Q.Scandrett)Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
13.6%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short left to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to BSU00Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
14.0%
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short middle to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to BSU00 broken up by #5 C.JacksonSimilar
Q1 3:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
13.5%
(03:51) #93 R.Griffith field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen), clock 03:47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5PUNT11 plays · 21 yds · 3:5315% → 16%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.5%
(03:46) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short left to #4 T.Horton thrown to BSU24Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.5%
(03:43) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush right for 4 yards gain to the BSU29 (#22 N.Thompson; #99 C.Camese)Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
14.9%
(03:01) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #5 J.Smith caught at BSU26, for 8 yards to the BSU37 (#10 J.Fox; #22 N.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
15.2%
(02:28) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #5 J.Smith caught at BSU40, for 6 yards to the BSU43 (#4 D.Watkins)Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
15.9%
(01:53) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BSU48 (#7 A.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
16.4%
(01:14) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL48 (#90 Z.Johnson; #10 J.Fox)Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-6
17.0%
(00:44) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short middle to #4 T.Horton caught at BSU47, for 6 yards loss to the BSU46 (#22 N.Thompson)Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
16.5%
(14:57) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Hamilton thrown to TOL40 broken up by #23 I.PetiteSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
16.4%
(14:56) #32 C.Stumbaugh punt 38 yards to the TOL16 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at TOL16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6PUNT5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0583% → 82%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
16.6%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #3 A.Dabbs caught at TOL12, for 4 yards loss to the TOL12 (#14 A.Pinnace)Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 14
OWN 12
0
17.1%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short right to #22 C.Miller thrown to TOL09 QB hurried by #94 K.ThomasSimilar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 14
OWN 12
+12
17.5%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter rush middle for 12 yards gain to the TOL24 (#99 K.Gilbert; #27 G.Forsha). #99 K.Gilbert injured on the playSimilar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
17.7%
(13:32) #47 M.Meincke punt 42 yards to the BSU34, out of bounds at BSU34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7FG9 plays · 45 yds · 2:3618% → 21%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
17.9%
(13:30) Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the BSU34 (#52 L.Lambert-Pipkin)Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
18.2%
(13:06) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #10 J.McDougle caught at BSU38, for 4 yards to the BSU38, out of bounds at BSU38Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+33
18.5%
(12:42) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #3 J.Thompson Jr. caught at BSU33, for 33 yards to the TOL29 (#7 A.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
20.6%
(12:07) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #10 J.McDougle caught at TOL25, for 5 yards to the TOL24 (#23 I.Petite), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+3
21.0%
(11:30) Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL21 (#52 L.Lambert-Pipkin). #0 A.Zock injured on the playSimilar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
21.0%
(10:56) Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short left to #10 J.McDougle thrown to TOL15Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
21.2%
(10:52) #38 B.Boehm field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton), clock 10:49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8PUNT8 plays · 28 yds · 2:3878% → 76%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.3%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short left to #5 T.Crosby Jr. thrown to TOL35Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
22.6%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TOL24 (#25 M.Webster; #7 B.Marsh)Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+20
23.9%
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #19 D.Barnett Jr. caught at TOL43, for 20 yards to the TOL44 (#5 C.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
22.3%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short right to #19 D.Barnett Jr. thrown to TOL45Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
22.8%
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL47 (#58 K.Smith; #26 L.Szymborski)Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+6
23.3%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #1 R.Bond caught at BSU47, for 6 yards to the BSU47 (#18 C.Franklin II)Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
24.0%
(08:07) #47 M.Meincke punt 35 yards to the BSU12, out of bounds at BSU12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9SF1 play · -12 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
22.8%
(7:58) Shotgun K.Luster pass to the left incomplete, ruled intentional grounding. TOL SAFETY, clock 07:58 (Scoring play confirmed). PENALTY BSU Intentional Grounding on LUSTER, Keldric, penalty occurred in the end zone and is enforced for 12 yards as a safety to the BSU0.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10DOWNS8 plays · 27 yds · 2:1982% → 81%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
17.9%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short left to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to BSU45Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
18.4%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL47 (#2 Q.Scandrett)Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+15
18.6%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short middle to #12 B.Hammer thrown to BSU45 PENALTY BSU Holding declined BSU Personal Foul (#25 M.Webster) 15 yards from TOL47 to BSU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
17.6%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU36 (#39 M.Gracio; #11 L.Starks)Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+1
17.9%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush left for 1 yard gain to the BSU35 (#39 M.Gracio; #2 Q.Scandrett)Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+6
18.4%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush right for 6 yards gain to the BSU29 (#25 M.Webster)Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
19.4%
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 0 yards to the BSU29 (#4 W.Yates; #11 L.Starks), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11MISSED FG13 plays · 62 yds · 3:5624% → 28%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
23.5%
(05:25) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #1 D.Hamilton caught at BSU34, for 6 yards to the BSU35 (#23 I.Petite)Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
24.8%
(04:54) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush right for 5 yards gain to the BSU40 (#4 D.Watkins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
25.5%
(04:20) Shotgun #85 A.Cooper rush right for 8 yards gain to the BSU48 (#23 I.Petite), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+1
26.8%
(03:46) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU49 (#92 T.Huss; #7 A.Smith)Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+37
26.7%
(03:20) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete deep right to #10 J.McDougle caught at TOL15, for 37 yards to the TOL14 (#23 I.Petite), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
28.9%
(02:35) Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL11 (#19 I.Prince)Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+3
28.2%
(01:59) Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the TOL08 (#1 C.Jones; #95 W.Peart II), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-1
29.9%
(01:33) Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TOL09 (#0 A.Zock; #98 M.Fils-Aime)Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
28.2%
(01:24) #38 B.Boehm field goal attempt from 26 yards NO GOOD (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton), clock 01:25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 12TD10 plays · 80 yds · 1:1975% → 84%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
25.2%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 12 yards gain to the TOL32 (#1 S.Smith; #5 C.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
24.9%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short left to #19 D.Barnett Jr. thrown to TOL40Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
25.6%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush right for 5 yards gain to the TOL37 (#4 W.Yates; #1 S.Smith)Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+8
25.6%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #3 A.Dabbs caught at TOL42, for 8 yards to the TOL45 (#2 Q.Scandrett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
24.1%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete deep left to #3 A.Dabbs caught at BSU35, for 21 yards to the BSU34 (#14 A.Pinnace), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
21.8%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #8 C.Walendzak caught at BSU30, for 18 yards to the BSU16 (#4 W.Yates; #6 C.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
20.9%
(00:05) Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #43 S.Lee caught at BSU14, for 5 yards to the BSU11, out of bounds at BSU11Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
16.3%
Daryl Barnett Jr. 11 Yd pass from John Alan Richter (Reice Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 13PUNT14 plays · 38 yds · 4:2083% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
17.4%
Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TOL28 (#2 Q.Scandrett)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+8
16.9%
Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TOL36 (#1 S.Smith; #31 J.Badie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
16.8%
Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep left to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to BSU36Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
17.3%
(13:50) Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 10 yards gain to the TOL46 (#2 Q.Scandrett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
16.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #19 D.Barnett Jr. caught at TOL49, for 3 yards to the TOL49 (#14 A.Pinnace; #6 C.Lewis)Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
16.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU48 (#14 A.Pinnace)Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+3
17.0%
(12:28) Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #43 S.Lee caught at TOL46, for 3 yards to the BSU45 (#25 M.Webster), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+4
18.1%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BSU41 (#5 C.Jackson), 1ST DOWN. #5 C.Jackson injured on the playSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
17.2%
(11:32) Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU40 (#31 J.Badie; #7 B.Marsh)Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
17.4%
(10:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep left to #22 C.Miller thrown to BSU16Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
17.7%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short middle to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to BSU35 broken up by #25 M.WebsterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14PUNT5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5521% → 21%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
20.7%
(10:39) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush right for 0 yards to the BSU05 (#7 A.Smith; #90 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+6
20.9%
(10:03) Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the BSU11 (#23 I.Petite)Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+3
20.7%
(09:26) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #3 J.Thompson Jr. caught at BSU05, for 3 yards to the BSU14 (#7 A.Smith; #44 I.Zay)Similar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
20.6%
(08:41) #32 C.Stumbaugh punt 49 yards to the TOL37 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at TOL37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 15DOWNS8 plays · 28 yds · 2:3981% → 80%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
18.7%
(08:35) Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush left for 10 yards gain to the TOL47 (#16 K.Stewart; #39 M.Gracio), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
18.0%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 7 yards gain to the BSU46 (#18 C.Franklin II)Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+2
17.5%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU44 (#58 K.Smith; #9 J.Thomas)Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+6
17.9%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BSU38 (#25 M.Webster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
18.0%
(06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep left to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to BSU15Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
18.2%
(06:36) No Huddle #4 A.Ison rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BSU34 (#5 C.Jackson)Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-1
18.6%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush left for 1 yard loss to the BSU35 (#31 J.Badie; #56 A.Glenn) PENALTY TOL Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
20.2%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep middle to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to BSU10 broken up by #2 Q.Scandrett, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5722% → 20%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
21.9%
(05:47) Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush right for 2 yards loss to the BSU33 (#96 N.Chandler)Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
21.5%
(05:01) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete deep left to #1 D.Hamilton thrown to TOL40Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
20.6%
(04:58) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Hamilton thrown to BSU42 QB hurried by #96 N.ChandlerSimilar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+9
19.9%
(04:55) #32 C.Stumbaugh punt 48 yards to the TOL19 #12 B.Hammer return 9 yards to the TOL28 (#28 S.Perkins). #2 Q.Scandrett injured on the playSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 17TD6 plays · 72 yds · 1:4081% → 92%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
19.4%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TOL35 (#12 D.Shepherd)Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+8
18.7%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush right for 8 yards gain to the TOL43 (#18 C.Franklin II; #12 D.Shepherd), 1ST DOWN. #74 A.Carwise injured on the playSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
19.4%
(03:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush left for 15 yards gain to the BSU42 (#14 A.Pinnace; #2 Q.Scandrett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
18.5%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #12 B.Hammer caught at BSU41, for 12 yards to the BSU30 (#2 Q.Scandrett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
7.7%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 30 yards gain to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:57, 1ST DOWN #93 R.Griffith kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18TD3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2914% → 26%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.8%
(02:56) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #1 D.Hamilton caught at BSU32, for 9 yards to the BSU34 (#1 C.Jones; #44 I.Zay)Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+66
26.2%
(02:25) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush left for 66 yards gain to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:17, 1ST DOWN #38 B.Boehm kick attempt good (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 19TD10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4486% → 94%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
13.6%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TOL24 (#14 A.Pinnace; #2 Q.Scandrett)Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
13.5%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #1 R.Bond caught at TOL26, for 8 yards to the TOL32 (#14 A.Pinnace; #26 L.Szymborski)Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+18
12.7%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #29 T.Rubinstein caught at TOL46, for 18 yards to the TOL50 (#26 L.Szymborski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
50
+1
11.3%
(00:31) No Huddle #22 C.Miller rush left for 1 yard gain to the BSU49 (#56 A.Glenn; #26 L.Szymborski)Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+1
11.4%
(14:59) Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush right for 1 yard gain to the BSU48 (#11 L.Starks)Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+30
11.6%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #3 A.Dabbs caught at BSU30, for 30 yards to the BSU18 (#1 S.Smith; #12 D.Shepherd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
10.2%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #43 S.Lee caught at BSU09, for 16 yards to the BSU02 (#26 L.Szymborski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20DOWNS9 plays · 19 yds · 2:2913% → 12%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.8%
(13:25) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #10 J.McDougle caught at BSU25, for 4 yards to the BSU29 (#2 E.Odinjor)Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
13.0%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #1 D.Hamilton caught at BSU35, for 6 yards to the BSU35, out of bounds at BSU35, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
12.7%
(12:26) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short left to #4 T.Horton thrown to BSU50 QB hurried by #44 I.ZaySimilar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
12.7%
(12:18) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BSU41 (#23 I.Petite; #7 A.Smith)Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-1
13.0%
(11:45) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush right for 1 yard loss to the BSU40 (#10 J.Fox)Similar
Q4 10:48
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+9
12.0%
(10:48) #24 T.Hoover rush left for 9 yards gain to the BSU44 (#8 K.Thomas), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 21FG16 plays · 37 yds · 7:1196% → 97%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
3.9%
(10:46) Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU41 (#54 S.Vaka; #31 J.Badie)Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+5
3.7%
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BSU36 (#2 Q.Scandrett; #16 K.Stewart). #31 J.Badie injured on the playSimilar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+2
4.2%
(09:28) Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush left for 2 yards gain to the BSU34 (#6 C.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
4.3%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush right for 9 yards gain to the BSU25 (#6 C.Lewis)Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+2
4.2%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU23 (#6 C.Lewis; #16 K.Stewart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
3.6%
(07:22) No Huddle #4 A.Ison rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU20 (#7 B.Marsh; #6 C.Lewis)Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
3.5%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short left to #29 T.Rubinstein thrown to BSU15Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+6
3.5%
(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush left for 6 yards gain to the BSU14, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+2
3.5%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU12 (#16 K.Stewart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
3.0%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush left for 3 yards gain to the BSU09 (#39 M.Gracio)Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
2.9%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to BSU00Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+2
3.0%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #43 S.Lee caught at BSU09, for 2 yards to the BSU07 (#2 Q.Scandrett)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22TD7 plays · 49 yds · 0:562% → 11%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
1.5%
(03:20) Shotgun #6 K.Luster rush right for 1 yard loss to the TOL50, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 11
50
+8
1.4%
(02:57) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #10 J.McDougle caught at TOL42, for 8 yards to the TOL42, out of bounds at TOL42Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+9
1.3%
(02:32) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #5 J.Smith caught at TOL44, for 9 yards to the TOL33 (#1 C.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
1.7%
(02:15) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Smith thrown to TOL30 PENALTY BSU Face Mask (#7 C.Nelson) TOL Personal Foul (#0 A.Zock) 30 yards from TOL33 to TOL33, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 23TD7 plays · 84 yds · 0:2397% → 93%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
3.1%
(02:06) Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL20 (#94 K.Thomas; #56 A.Glenn)Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+4
11.7%
(01:55) Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL24 (#94 K.Thomas; #27 G.Forsha)Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+8
12.2%
(01:54) Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TOL32 (#14 A.Pinnace; #39 M.Gracio), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24INT9 plays · 46 yds · 0:4128% → 32%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
27.5%
(01:33) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #4 T.Horton caught at BSU23, for 16 yards to the BSU41, out of bounds at BSU41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
30.7%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short middle to #88 A.Scherle thrown to BSU49 broken up by #22 N.ThompsonSimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
25.6%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Luster rush right for 5 yards gain to the BSU46, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+20
26.3%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete deep right to #1 D.Hamilton caught at TOL34, for 20 yards to the TOL34, out of bounds at TOL34, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
34.1%
(00:58) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right to #3 J.Thompson Jr. thrown to TOL36 QB hurried by #90 Z.JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
33.7%
PENALTY TOL Encroachment (#90 Z.Johnson) 5 yards from TOL34 to TOL29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
35.9%
(00:56) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right to #3 J.Thompson Jr. thrown to TOL32 QB hurried by #2 E.OdinjorSimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
32.0%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass intercepted by #10 J.Fox at TOL20, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:35
CJ Miller 68 Yd Run (Reice Griffith Kick)
-24.5
TD · Q3 2:17
(02:25) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush left for 66 yards gain to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:17, 1ST DOWN #38 B.Boehm kick attempt good (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton)
+12.4
TD · Q3 2:57
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 30 yards gain to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:57, 1ST DOWN #93 R.Griffith kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen)
-10.8