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AKR

Akron 17 at Central Michigan 41

CMU
2026 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:48 · (08:51) #18 D.Duley punt 44 yards to the Akron30 #13 S.Patrick return 7 yards to the Akron37 (#40 B.McCalla), out of bounds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−0.1Pregame prior+14.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:59: (13:59) Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:59 #47 M.Schramm kick attempt good (H: #95 J.Castle, LS: #36 C.Volpe) — AKR win probability +5.4 pts (now 44%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:37: (10:46) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 55 yards gain to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:37, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis) — CMU win probability +8.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:32: (07:39) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short middle to #16 S.Foster caught at Akron40, for 48 yards to the Akron00 QB hurried by #16 D.Frazier TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:32, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis) — CMU win probability +6.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:18: (00:22) Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush right for 5 yards gain to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:18 #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis) — CMU win probability +5.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:34: (11:41) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 27 yards gain to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:34, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis) — CMU win probability +8.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 13:30AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:48CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:29AKR 4th & 4 at CMU 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:37AKR 4th & 4 at CMU 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:37CMU 4th & 6 at CMU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:16AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:11CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:37CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.8%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:56AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:11AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:44CMU 4th & 1 at AKR 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−1.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:43AKR 4th & 4 at CMU 11, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−3.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:59AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:37CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:18CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:34CMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:35CMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:32CMU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:33AKR Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1334% → 34%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
66.3%
(14:51) Shotgun #6 B.Roggow sacked for loss of 10 yards to the Akron27 (#92 J.Cherry)Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 20
OWN 27
0
66.3%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short left to #2 M.Williams thrown to Akron36 broken up by #4 J.JacksonSimilar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 20
OWN 27
+6
66.3%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Akron33 (#48 N.VanTimmeren)Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
66.3%
(13:40) #95 J.Castle punt 48 yards to the CMU19 PENALTY CMU Holding (#0 K.Jones) 10 yards from CMU19 to CMU09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:1266% → 66%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
66.2%
(13:30) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU18 (#18 D.Nunoo; #9 A.Branch)Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+5
66.2%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. caught at CMU19, for 5 yards to the CMU23 (#17 C.Newsome), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
66.1%
(12:10) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 3 yards loss to the CMU20 fumbled by #7 A.Flores at CMU20 recovered by Akron #16 D.Frazier at CMU20, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -18 yds · 1:4234% → 35%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
65.7%
(12:07) Shotgun #3 K.Mason rush right for 11 yards gain to the CMU09 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.; #43 K.Hayward), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
65.5%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 S.Patrick rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU09 (#11 X.White)Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-7
65.3%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow sacked for loss of 14 yards to the CMU23 (#11 X.White, #92 J.Cherry) PENALTY Akron UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#3 K.Mason) 15 yards from CMU23 to CMU38Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 38
0
65.0%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short left to #2 M.Williams thrown to CMU35 QB hurried by #48 N.VanTimmerenSimilar
Q1 10:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 38
0
65.2%
(10:23) #95 J.Castle punt 38 yards to the CMU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2266% → 66%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.1%
(10:16) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete deep right to #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. thrown to Akron48Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
66.0%
(10:10) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU20 (#5 R.Hull; #1 C.Durham)Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+6
65.7%
(09:30) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. caught at CMU23, for 6 yards to the CMU26 (#32 D.Johnson; #17 C.Newsome)Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+7
65.6%
(08:51) #18 D.Duley punt 44 yards to the Akron30 #13 S.Patrick return 7 yards to the Akron37 (#40 B.McCalla), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:5635% → 35%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+33
65.2%
(08:48) Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete deep middle to #4 M.Burris caught at CMU40, for 33 yards to the CMU30 (#14 J.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
64.5%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete deep right to #4 M.Burris caught at CMU04, for 29 yards to the CMU01 (#26 M.McKenzie; #19 D.Bryant Jr.) PENALTY Akron Holding (#72 C.Lyons) 10 yards from CMU30 to CMU40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+6
64.8%
(07:41) Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU34 (#32 J.Reinbold; #35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+8
64.5%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CMU26 (#35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+2
64.3%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short right to #4 M.Burris caught at CMU24, for 2 yards to the CMU24, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
64.8%
(05:37) #47 M.Schramm field goal attempt from 41 yards NO GOOD blocked by #1 J.Douglas (H: #95 J.Castle, LS: #36 C.Volpe), clock 05:29 recovered by CMU Central Michigan at CMU24, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
64.8%
(05:37) #47 M.Schramm field goal attempt from 41 yards NO GOOD blocked by #97 M.Van Fleet (H: #95 J.Castle, LS: #36 C.Volpe), clock 05:29 recovered by Akron #36 C.Volpe at CMU07, #36 C.Volpe for 17 yards to the CMU24, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4965% → 64%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
65.2%
(05:29) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short middle to #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. thrown to CMU31Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
65.1%
(05:26) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU28 (#5 R.Hull)Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
64.8%
(04:45) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. thrown to CMU33Similar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
64.4%
(04:37) #18 D.Duley punt 44 yards to the Akron28 fair catch by #13 S.Patrick at Akron28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:1535% → 36%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
64.8%
(04:37) Shotgun #13 S.Patrick rush middle for 13 yards gain to the Akron41 (#4 J.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
64.0%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 S.Patrick rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Akron44 (#35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
63.8%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Akron48 (#1 J.Douglas)Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
63.8%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short right to #83 E.Alexander thrown to Akron49 broken up by #14 J.TaylorSimilar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
64.0%
(02:20) #95 J.Castle punt 38 yards to the CMU14 fair catch by #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. at CMU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0065% → 64%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
64.9%
(02:16) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU14 (#23 D.Curtis)Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
64.8%
(01:31) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #43 N.Woodford caught at CMU13, for 2 yards to the CMU16 (#14 K.Moss)Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+5
64.1%
(00:52) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #3 N.Williams caught at CMU21, for 5 yards to the CMU21 (#15 T.Thomas)Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
63.7%
(00:16) #18 D.Duley punt 30 yards to the Akron49, out of bounds at Akron49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 1:0738% → 44%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
62.4%
(00:11) Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short right to #4 M.Burris thrown to CMU38 QB hurried by #1 J.DouglasSimilar
Q1 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+14
62.7%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 14 yards gain to the CMU37 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.; #20 J.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
62.2%
(15:00) Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU32 (#35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
61.4%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short left to #4 M.Burris thrown to CMU35Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+10
62.0%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short middle to #1 J.Gant thrown to CMU31 QB hurried by #5 K.Demma PENALTY CMU Holding (#12 D.Philord) 10 yards from CMU32 to CMU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
61.3%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short left to #3 K.Mason caught at CMU23, for 4 yards to the CMU18 (#14 J.Taylor; #4 J.Jackson), out of bounds PENALTY CMU Personal Foul (#14 J.Taylor) 9 yards from CMU18 to CMU09, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
55.9%
(13:59) Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:59 #47 M.Schramm kick attempt good (H: #95 J.Castle, LS: #36 C.Volpe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1759% → 66%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.6%
(13:58) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CMU32 (#32 D.Johnson; #16 D.Frazier)Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
59.2%
(13:24) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU36 (#32 D.Johnson; #1 C.Durham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
58.5%
(12:42) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU38 (#32 D.Johnson)Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
58.3%
(12:06) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU40 (#97 V.Kavals; #13 R.Hunter)Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
57.5%
(11:24) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #16 S.Foster caught at CMU43, for 5 yards to the CMU45 (#1 C.Durham; #9 A.Branch)Similar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+55
66.1%
(10:46) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 55 yards gain to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:37, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:3137% → 35%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
63.4%
(10:30) Shotgun #13 S.Patrick rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Akron26 (#5 K.Demma)Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-8
62.8%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow sacked for loss of 8 yards to the Akron18 (#97 M.Van Fleet)Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 14
OWN 18
0
64.1%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short left to #1 J.Gant thrown to Akron15 QB hurried by #1 J.DouglasSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
64.7%
(09:03) #95 J.Castle punt 44 yards to the CMU38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:1766% → 74%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
66.4%
(08:56) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU47 (#18 D.Nunoo)Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+5
67.4%
(08:21) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Akron48 (#8 J.Mixon; #97 V.Kavals), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
67.4%
(07:43) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short right to #16 S.Foster thrown to CMU49Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+48
73.8%
(07:39) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short middle to #16 S.Foster caught at Akron40, for 48 yards to the Akron00 QB hurried by #16 D.Frazier TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:32, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:0927% → 25%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
72.9%
(07:23) Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short middle to #2 M.Williams thrown to Akron25 broken up by #0 D.BennettSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
73.0%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Akron21 (#0 D.Bennett)Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+5
74.7%
PENALTY Akron False Start (#55 A.Archer) 5 yards from Akron21 to Akron16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 13
OWN 16
0
74.9%
(06:26) Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete deep right to #2 M.Williams thrown to Akron38 broken up by #26 M.McKenzieSimilar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 13
OWN 16
+2
75.3%
(06:21) #95 J.Castle punt 52 yards to the CMU32 #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. return 2 yards to the CMU34 (#6 J.Somerville; #43 A.Wondolowski)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14TD
16 plays · 66 yds · 5:4273% → 85%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
73.1%
(06:11) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #17 B.Naves caught at CMU41, for 7 yards to the CMU41 (#17 C.Newsome), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+5
74.5%
(05:37) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU46 (#15 T.Thomas; #13 R.Hunter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
74.7%
(05:00) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Akron45 (#17 C.Newsome; #97 V.Kavals)Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
75.1%
(04:26) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Akron40 (#97 V.Kavals), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
75.2%
(03:50) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Akron36 (#8 J.Mixon; #13 R.Hunter)Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
75.4%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short right to #20 L.Lewis thrown to Akron28Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+5
74.9%
(03:26) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Akron31 (#32 D.Johnson)Similar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+2
74.3%
(02:48) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Akron29 (#8 J.Mixon; #18 D.Nunoo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
75.9%
(02:08) Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Akron28 (#18 D.Nunoo; #55 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+9
77.3%
(02:00) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Akron19 (#13 R.Hunter; #29 T.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
78.1%
(01:32) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Akron13 (#13 R.Hunter; #29 T.Davis)Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+5
78.5%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Akron08 (#5 R.Hull; #29 T.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
78.4%
(00:43) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Akron05 (#16 D.Frazier)Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
85.0%
(00:22) Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush right for 5 yards gain to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:18 #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.6%
(00:12) Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Akron28 (#40 B.McCalla)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:1384% → 95%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
83.8%
(14:52) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU27 (#8 J.Mixon; #18 D.Nunoo)Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+10
84.0%
(14:13) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 10 yards gain to the CMU37 (#13 R.Hunter; #16 D.Frazier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
84.6%
(13:37) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 11 yards gain to the CMU48 (#29 T.Davis; #1 C.Durham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
85.6%
(12:53) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 18 yards gain to the Akron34 (#32 D.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
85.9%
(12:16) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Akron27 (#18 D.Nunoo)Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+27
94.5%
(11:41) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 27 yards gain to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:34, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:297% → 11%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
92.8%
(11:16) Shotgun #6 B.Roggow rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU45 (#14 J.Taylor)Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
92.3%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU45 (#11 X.White; #97 M.Van Fleet)Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+1
92.6%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU44 (#10 J.Alston), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
93.4%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete deep left to #1 J.Gant caught at CMU22, for 27 yards to the CMU17 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.; #40 B.McCalla), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
92.9%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 S.Patrick rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU15 (#40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
93.3%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short right to #3 K.Mason thrown to CMU00Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+4
93.8%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU11 (#43 K.Hayward; #19 D.Bryant Jr.)Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
88.7%
(07:44) #47 M.Schramm field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #95 J.Castle, LS: #36 C.Volpe), clock 07:43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0193% → 99%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.0%
(07:42) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU28 (#97 V.Kavals)Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
93.3%
(07:07) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush right for 8 yards gain to the CMU36 (#16 D.Frazier; #18 D.Nunoo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.7%
(06:23) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete deep right to #20 L.Lewis thrown to Akron30 broken up by #15 T.ThomasSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
93.7%
(06:17) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 15 yards gain to the Akron49 (#18 D.Nunoo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
94.1%
(05:40) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Akron46 (#16 D.Frazier)Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+21
94.4%
(05:03) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 21 yards gain to the Akron25 (#13 R.Hunter), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
94.7%
(04:30) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Akron23 (#1 C.Durham; #99 J.Brown-Demery)Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
94.8%
(03:48) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete deep right to #85 M.Peters thrown to Akron03 broken up by #13 R.HunterSimilar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+23
99.2%
(03:42) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 23 yards gain to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:35, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19INT
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:473% → 3%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+31
96.8%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete deep right to #2 M.Williams caught at Akron38, for 31 yards to the Akron39 (#12 D.Philord), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
96.6%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 S.Patrick rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Akron48 (#40 B.McCalla; #92 J.Cherry)Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
96.8%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short right to #2 M.Williams caught at Akron50, for 5 yards to the CMU47 (#17 C.Ali), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
97.2%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short right to #85 C.Cravaack caught at CMU40, for 9 yards to the CMU38 (#14 J.Taylor)Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+15
97.1%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short middle to #2 M.Williams thrown to CMU25 PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (#12 D.Philord) 15 yards from CMU38 to CMU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
96.8%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CMU24 (#5 K.Demma)Similar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
97.1%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete deep right to #3 K.Mason thrown to CMU01Similar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
97.3%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass intercepted by #17 C.Ali at CMU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 3:1499% → 100%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.1%
(00:26) Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU26 (#18 D.Nunoo)Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-1
99.2%
(14:59) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CMU25 (#16 D.Frazier)Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
99.3%
(14:18) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CMU32 (#97 V.Kavals; #32 D.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
99.3%
(13:35) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush middle for 15 yards gain (4) to the CMU47 (#9 A.Branch), out of bounds PENALTY CMU Holding (#70 J.Russell) 10 yards from CMU36 to CMU26Similar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 16
OWN 26
0
99.3%
(13:14) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass incomplete short left to #3 N.Williams thrown to CMU32Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+7
99.4%
(13:12) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CMU33 (#23 D.Curtis; #20 M.Flowers)Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
99.4%
(12:27) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass incomplete short left to #24 V.Blue thrown to CMU29Similar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 9
OPP 0
0
99.5%
(12:24) #18 D.Duley punt 66 yards to the Akron01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21INT
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:012% → 1%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
98.1%
(12:08) Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 0 yards to the Akron01 (#10 J.Alston; #35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+29
98.2%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 29 yards gain to the Akron30 (#14 J.Taylor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Akron UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#71 C.Slayden) 15 yards from Akron30 to Akron15Similar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
98.1%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Akron22 (#35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+1
98.8%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short left to #83 E.Alexander caught at Akron22, for 1 yard to the Akron23 (#5 K.Demma; #17 C.Ali)Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+7
99.0%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Akron30 (#4 J.Jackson; #14 J.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.1%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete deep middle to #3 K.Mason thrown to CMU48 broken up by #14 J.TaylorSimilar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+17
99.4%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short middle to #3 K.Mason caught at Akron45, for 17 yards to the Akron47 (#11 X.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.4%
PENALTY Akron False Start (#72 C.Lyons) 5 yards from Akron47 to Akron42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+12
99.4%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CMU46 (#40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+2
99.4%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU44 (#17 C.Ali)Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
99.5%
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gant rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU41 (#5 K.Demma), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.5%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass intercepted by #14 J.Taylor at CMU21, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
99.9%
(07:03) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU27 (#29 T.Davis; #23 D.Curtis)Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
(06:26) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU29 (#23 D.Curtis)Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+71
100.0%
(05:49) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #20 L.Lewis caught at CMU27, for 71 yards to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:32, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt failed (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23TD
18 plays · 78 yds · 4:460% → 0%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
100.0%
(05:25) Shotgun #24 M.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Akron26 (#30 A.Cherry, Jr.; #35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+6
100.0%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short left to #85 C.Cravaack caught at Akron25, for 6 yards to the Akron32 (#22 N.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short right to #85 C.Cravaack caught at Akron33, for 2 yards to the Akron34 (#21 J.Allen)Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+7
100.0%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short middle to #83 E.Alexander caught at Akron37, for 7 yards to the Akron41 (#20 J.Jones)Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Curry rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Akron44 (#22 N.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
100.0%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete deep left to #87 G.Hilburn thrown to CMU32Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
100.0%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short middle to #3 K.Mason caught at Akron48, for 5 yards to the Akron49 (#53 C.Stare; #34 D.Esper)Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+9
100.0%
(02:14) Shotgun #24 M.Williams rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU42 (#22 N.Anderson; #24 T.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+23
100.0%
(01:58) Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass complete short middle to #8 B.Hills caught at CMU25, for 23 yards to the CMU19 (#24 T.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
100.0%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU15 (#33 E.Reynolds; #30 A.Cherry, Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
100.0%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow rush left for 0 yards to the CMU15 (#24 T.Williams)Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+7
100.0%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass intercepted by #24 T.Williams at CMU01 #24 T.Williams return 17 yards to the CMU18, End Of Play PENALTY CMU Holding (#10 J.Alston) 7 yards from CMU15 to CMU08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Louis III thrown to CMU00Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Roggow pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Louis III thrown to CMU00Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
Brandon Hills 8 Yd pass from Brayden Roggow (Matthew Schramm Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
(00:31) Kneel down by Central Michigan at CMU24 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:37
(10:46) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 55 yards gain to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:37, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)
+8.6
TD · Q3 11:34
(11:41) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 27 yards gain to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:34, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)
+8.6
TD · Q2 7:32
(07:39) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short middle to #16 S.Foster caught at Akron40, for 48 yards to the Akron00 QB hurried by #16 D.Frazier TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:32, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)
+6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com