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STO

Stonehill 7 at Ohio 35

OHIO
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadSTO aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreSTO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:17 · #97 L.Chenette punt 50 yards to the Ohio20 fair catch by #4 D.James-Hamilton at Ohio20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Pregame prior+30.7Home team on offense+6.1Score differential+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Garbage-time factor−0.6Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:25: Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete deep right to #17 C.Clarke caught at Ohio04, for 32 yards to the Ohio00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:25, 1ST DOWN #85 D.Varley kick attempt good (H: #97 L.Chenette, LS: #32 L.Laws Jr) #85 D.Varley kick attempt good (H: #97 L.Chenette, LS: #32 L.Laws Jr. — STO win probability +1.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: STO has the ball).
  2. INT · Q2 0:53: No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass intercepted by #94 C.Gill at Stone23 broken up by #15 T.Bannon #94 C.Gill return 21 yards to the Stone44 (#4 V.Rosa) — STO win probability +1.8 pts (now 7%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: #47 W.Hryszko kickoff 60 yards to the Stone05 fair catch by #9 A.Turner at Stone05 — STO win probability +1.9 pts (now 8%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:01: No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete deep middle to #3 D.Dorwart caught at Stone00, for 42 yards to the Stone00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:01, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) — OHIO win probability +4.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:27: No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush right for 1 yard gain to the Stone00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:27 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) — OHIO win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6STO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:45OHIO 4th & 3 at STO 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21STO 4th & 8 at STO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:21OHIO 4th & 3 at STO 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:21OHIO 4th & 1 at STO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:25STO 4th & 8 at OHIO 32, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:50OHIO 4th & 1 at STO 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:31STO 4th & 6 at STO 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:17STO 4th & 5 at STO 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:47OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:14STO 4th & 4 at STO 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:59STO 4th & 14 at STO 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:27STO 4th & 7 at OHIO 31, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:13STO 4th & 4 at STO 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:00OHIO 4th & 4 at STO 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5STO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:46OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:25STO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:15OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:01OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:27OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:13OHIO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:1597% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+33
97.1%
Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete deep middle to #15 R.Neer caught at Stone48, for 33 yards to the Stone45 (#4 J.Irvine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
97.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Stone41 (#23 E.Miles; #6 N.Christmas)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+11
97.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short left to #33 J.Furtney caught at Stone41, for 11 yards to the Stone30 (#11 C.Henritzy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
97.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Stone27 (#22 M.Wilson; #91 A.Scott)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
97.1%
PENALTY Ohio False Start (#63 S.Anstead) 5 yards from Stone27 to Stone32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+2
97.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Stone30 (#22 M.Wilson)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+7
97.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short middle to #2 P.Bowman caught at Stone27, for 7 yards to the Stone23 (#4 J.Irvine)Similar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 3
OPP 23
0
96.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass incomplete short right to #84 A.Miller thrown to Stone20 QB hurried by #15 T.Bannon, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:244% → 4%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
96.4%
Shotgun #0 A.Garrett rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Stone22 (#9 T.Gillison)Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+3
96.4%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete short left to #9 A.Turner caught at Stone24, for 3 yards to the Stone25 (#20 K.Bannister), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass incomplete short right to #9 A.Turner thrown to Stone30Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 8
OWN 25
-2
96.2%
#97 L.Chenette punt 41 yards to the Ohio34 #4 D.James-Hamilton return for loss of 2 yards to the Ohio32 (#0 D.Goodson) PENALTY Ohio Holding (#19 B.Miller) 10 yards from Ohio34 to Ohio24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 7:3596% → 95%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
96.1%
Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #33 J.Furtney caught at Ohio24, for 7 yards to the Ohio31 (#15 T.Bannon)Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+3
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Ohio34 (#90 J.Osuagwu; #11 C.Henritzy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short middle to #15 R.Neer caught at Ohio48, for 20 yards to the Stone46 (#11 C.Henritzy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
96.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass incomplete short right to #28 I.Brown thrown to Stone45Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
96.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the Stone46 (#0 D.Goodson)Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+7
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Stone39 (#24 J.Stewart; #25 J.Amankwah)Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+5
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short left to #2 P.Bowman caught at Stone41, for 5 yards to the Stone34 (#22 M.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
96.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #4 V.Rosa caught at Stone35, for 4 yards to the Stone30 (#50 J.Rampino)Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
96.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Stone26 (#21 G.Townsel)Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
96.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Stone25 (#23 E.Miles)Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+3
96.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Stone22 (#92 P.Titus; #8 D.Owode), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
96.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass incomplete short right to #33 J.Furtney thrown to Stone22Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
96.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Stone18 (#21 G.Townsel)Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
95.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush right for 18 yards gain to the Stone00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:46, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STODrive 4TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:215% → 7%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
95.1%
Shotgun #0 A.Garrett rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Stone36 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+17
95.1%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete short left to #2 A.Neal caught at Ohio47, for 17 yards to the Ohio47 (#8 B.Dillon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
94.9%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete short middle to #17 C.Clarke caught at Ohio40, for 13 yards to the Ohio34 (#2 D.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
94.4%
#0 A.Garrett rush right for 2 yards gain to the Ohio32 (#57 N.Hale)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
94.4%
Shotgun #0 A.Garrett rush right for 0 yards to the Ohio32 (#20 K.Bannister)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
94.6%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass incomplete deep left to #9 A.Turner thrown to Ohio01Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+32
92.8%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete deep right to #17 C.Clarke caught at Ohio04, for 32 yards to the Ohio00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:25, 1ST DOWN #85 D.Varley kick attempt good (H: #97 L.Chenette, LS: #32 L.Laws Jr) #85 D.Varley kick attempt good (H: #97 L.Chenette, LS: #32 L.Laws Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:1093% → 95%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
93.3%
Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Ohio32 (#21 G.Townsel)Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+34
93.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #15 R.Neer caught at Ohio47, for 34 yards to the Stone34 (#29 T.Baxter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
93.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Stone26 (#21 G.Townsel)Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+4
93.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Stone22 (#91 A.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
93.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the Stone22 (#94 C.Gill; #26 A.Weather)Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
93.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #86 A.Metzger caught at Stone26, for 7 yards to the Stone15 (#0 D.Goodson)Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+2
93.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Stone13 (#11 C.Henritzy; #10 S.Davila)Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+4
93.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the Stone09 (#21 G.Townsel; #91 A.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
93.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Stone04 (#99 M.Saddler jr; #11 C.Henritzy)Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Stone00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:15 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:446% → 6%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.3%
Shotgun #5 R.King rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Stone28 (#92 R.Keuchler)Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
94.3%
Shotgun #5 R.King rush left for 1 yard gain to the Stone29 (#23 J.Marsh; #4 D.James-Hamilton)Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.4%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass incomplete short right to #19 S.Corchado thrown to Stone40Similar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
94.5%
#97 L.Chenette punt 44 yards to the Ohio27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7INT
14 plays · 66 yds · 5:3895% → 93%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
94.6%
Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Ohio30 (#8 D.Owode; #22 M.Wilson)Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
94.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Ohio36 (#22 M.Wilson; #48 D.Schmitt)Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+6
94.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Ohio42 (#0 D.Goodson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
94.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Ohio46 (#8 D.Owode; #25 J.Amankwah)Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
94.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #85 R.Palmeter caught at Ohio49, for 4 yards to the Ohio50 (#48 D.Schmitt)Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 2
50
+6
94.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short left to #15 R.Neer caught at Ohio48, for 6 yards to the Stone44 (#0 D.Goodson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
95.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete deep left to #15 R.Neer caught at Stone24, for 20 yards to the Stone24 (#23 E.Miles), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
94.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush left for 12 yards gain to the Stone12 (#21 G.Townsel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
94.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Stone11 (#22 M.Wilson; #94 C.Gill)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+4
94.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the Stone07 (#15 T.Bannon)Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 5
OPP 7
-21
92.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass intercepted by #94 C.Gill at Stone23 broken up by #15 T.Bannon #94 C.Gill return 21 yards to the Stone44 (#4 V.Rosa)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STODrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-11
93.8%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell sacked for loss of 11 yards to the Stone33 (#57 N.Hale)Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 21
OWN 33
+4
94.3%
Shotgun #5 R.King rush right for 4 yards gain to the Stone37 (#98 D.Reagans)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:438% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
91.6%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass incomplete short middle to #0 A.Garrett thrown to Stone34 QB hurried by #9 T.Gillison and #14 I.Ackerman PENALTY Stone Holding (#57 N.Crawford) 10 yards from Stone25 to Stone15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
91.7%
Shotgun #0 A.Garrett rush left for 4 yards gain to the Stone19 (#25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+11
91.8%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete short middle to #20 S.Eason caught at Stone19, for 11 yards to the Stone30 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
91.7%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Baker thrown to Stone47Similar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
91.7%
#97 L.Chenette punt 50 yards to the Ohio20 fair catch by #4 D.James-Hamilton at Ohio20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3092% → 91%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
91.9%
Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Ohio22 (#15 T.Bannon)Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
91.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush left for 3 yards gain to the Ohio25 (#22 M.Wilson; #11 C.Henritzy)Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
91.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass incomplete short right to #15 R.Neer thrown to Ohio32Similar
Q3 11:47
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-4
90.8%
#42 M.Haines punt 51 yards to the Stone24 muffed by #9 A.Turner at Stone24 recovered by Stone #9 A.Turner at Stone20, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:339% → 9%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
91.3%
Shotgun #20 S.Eason rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Stone23 (#92 R.Keuchler; #57 N.Hale)Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
91.3%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete short left to #17 C.Clarke caught at Stone26, for 3 yards to the Stone26 (#20 K.Bannister)Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
91.5%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Baker thrown to Stone44 broken up by #20 K.BannisterSimilar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
91.5%
#97 L.Chenette punt 47 yards to the Ohio27 fair catch by #4 D.James-Hamilton at Ohio27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 2:1392% → 96%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
91.7%
Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass incomplete short right to #2 P.Bowman thrown to Ohio25Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
91.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short left to #33 J.Furtney caught at Ohio26, for 7 yards to the Ohio34 (#10 S.Davila)Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+3
91.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Ohio37 (#22 M.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
91.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Dorwart rush left for 21 yards gain to the Stone42 (#0 D.Goodson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete deep middle to #3 D.Dorwart caught at Stone00, for 42 yards to the Stone00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:01, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STODrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:025% → 5%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
95.0%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete short middle to #19 S.Corchado caught at Stone38, for 18 yards to the Stone43 (#4 D.James-Hamilton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
94.6%
Shotgun #0 A.Garrett rush middle for 0 yards to the Stone43 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
94.7%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass incomplete deep right thrown to Ohio35 QB hurried by #27 J.FriesSimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-4
94.8%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell rush middle for 4 yards loss to the Stone39 (#0 N.Dukes)Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
95.2%
#97 L.Chenette punt 28 yards to the Ohio33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 1:3296% → 99%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+60
96.1%
Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush middle for 60 yards gain to the Stone07 (#23 E.Miles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
96.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush left for 6 yards gain to the Stone01 (#11 C.Henritzy; #15 T.Bannon)Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush right for 1 yard gain to the Stone00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:27 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STODrive 15DOWNS
15 plays · 44 yds · 6:001% → 1%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Shotgun #0 A.Garrett rush middle for 0 yards to the Stone25 (#25 M.Molnar; #12 J.Minnis)Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.6%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete short right to #20 S.Eason caught at Stone24, for 1 yard loss to the Stone24, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+15
98.7%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass incomplete deep right to #9 A.Turner thrown to Ohio41 PENALTY Ohio Pass Interference (#26 T.Long) 15 yards from Stone24 to Stone39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
98.5%
Shotgun #0 A.Garrett rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Stone37 (#98 D.Reagans)Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+3
98.6%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Stone40 (#12 J.Minnis; #92 R.Keuchler) PENALTY Ohio Holding (#19 B.Miller) 10 yards from Stone40 to Stone50, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.5%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete short middle to #17 C.Clarke caught at Ohio45, for 5 yards to the Ohio45 (#25 M.Molnar; #12 J.Minnis)Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+11
98.4%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete short right to #17 C.Clarke caught at Ohio39, for 11 yards to the Ohio34 (#20 K.Bannister), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.3%
Shotgun #20 S.Eason rush right for 1 yard gain to the Ohio33 (#21 R.Jackson, Jr.; #92 R.Keuchler)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
98.9%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass complete short right to #88 K.Sheridan caught at Ohio32, for 5 yards to the Ohio28 QB hurried by #23 J.Marsh (#29 J.Brewer III)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-3
99.0%
Shotgun #20 S.Eason rush right for 3 yards loss to the Ohio31 (#25 M.Molnar; #99 T.Neubert)Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 7
OPP 31
0
99.5%
Shotgun #6 J.O'Connell pass incomplete deep right to #19 S.Corchado thrown to Ohio01 broken up by #4 D.James-Hamilton, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 6:14100% → 100%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush right for 7 yards gain to the Ohio38 (#25 J.Amankwah; #48 D.Schmitt)Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Ohio40 (#48 D.Schmitt; #6 N.Christmas)Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+13
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 13 yards gain to the Stone47 (#21 G.Townsel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush left for 10 yards gain to the Stone37 (#14 J.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the Stone37 (#25 J.Amankwah)Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Stone29 (#15 T.Bannon; #48 D.Schmitt)Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+16
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush left for 16 yards gain to the Stone13 (#21 G.Townsel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Stone10 (#79 S.Sheriff)Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+4
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Stone06 (#95 B.Benson; #92 P.Titus)Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Stone00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:13, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STODrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
#1 J.Roberson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Stone26 (#10 D.Pavey; #32 A.Brown)Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
100.0%
Shotgun #12 D.Eason pass complete short left to #80 C.Hanewich caught at Stone31, for 8 yards to the Stone34 (#17 C.Chamberlin; #19 B.Miller), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
100.0%
#1 J.Roberson rush middle for 3 yards loss to the Stone31 (#12 J.Minnis)Similar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
#97 L.Chenette punt 39 yards to the Ohio30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18END OF HALF
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:13100% → 100%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Ohio34 (#98 D.Atere)Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+15
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass complete short right to #11 Z.Hackleman caught at Ohio49, for 15 yards to the Ohio49, out of bounds at Ohio49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis rush left for 3 yards loss to the Ohio46 (#36 V.Busa)Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 I.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Stone49 (#53 A.Butler; #79 S.Sheriff)Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass complete short right to #11 Z.Hackleman caught at Stone30, for 19 yards to the Stone30 (#27 G.Nelson), out of bounds PENALTY Ohio Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#56 B.Maldonado) 5 yards from Stone49 to Ohio46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+9
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #40 B.Mitchum rush left for 9 yards gain to the Stone45 (#21 G.Townsel; #36 V.Busa)Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis rush right for 5 yards gain to the Stone40 (#36 V.Busa), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
100.0%
Kneel down by #7 L.Davis at Stone41 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 41
-1
100.0%
Kneel down by #7 L.Davis at Stone42 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:01
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete deep middle to #3 D.Dorwart caught at Stone00, for 42 yards to the Stone00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:01, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)
+4.2
TD · Q3 4:27
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush right for 1 yard gain to the Stone00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:27 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)
+2.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
#47 W.Hryszko kickoff 60 yards to the Stone05 fair catch by #9 A.Turner at Stone05
-1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com