Try the model
LIN

Lindenwood 3 at Eastern Michigan 29

EMU
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · Rynearson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadLIN aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreLIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.8EMU 98.1%(01:25) #46 R.Kessinger field goalattempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #39D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), clock 01:23AWAY 3 - HOME 22 · Q3 1:23
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:23 · (01:25) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), clock 01:23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Pregame prior+17.1Home team on offense+26.7Score differential+14.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Garbage-time factor+10.1Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:53: (03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #3 B.Prosper caught at LIND11, for 24 yards to the LIND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:53, 1ST DOWN #46 R.Kessinger kick attempt good (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz) — EMU win probability +1.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 10:54: (10:58) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), clock 10:54 — EMU win probability +1.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:51: (00:51) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), clock 00:51 — EMU win probability +1.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:37: (06:40) #37 W.Graham field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #43 C.Lander, LS: #48 Z.Ely), clock 06:37 — LIN win probability +2.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: LIN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 1:23: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 01:23 — EMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6LIN made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:37LIN 4th & 7 at LIN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:19LIN 4th & 3 at LIN 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:19EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:37LIN 4th & 7 at LIN 40, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:54EMU 4th & 7 at LIN 34, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.0%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:21LIN 4th & 11 at EMU 39, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:01EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 23, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:22LIN 4th & 3 at LIN 39, down 16
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:51EMU 4th & 4 at LIN 24, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:02LIN 4th & 8 at LIN 22, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:00EMU 4th & 8 at LIN 30, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:37LIN 4th & 7 at EMU 26, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−2.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:23EMU 4th & 7 at LIN 10, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:05LIN 4th & 1 at EMU 41, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−1.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:54LIN 4th & 2 at EMU 31, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:18LIN 4th & 1 at EMU 23, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:19LIN 4th & 10 at EMU 16, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:58EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:53EMU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:19EMU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LINDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:135% → 6%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.7%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 S.Hall rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LIND27 (#11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
94.6%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 S.Hall rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIND28 (#51 E.McDuffey; #58 P.Christian)Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
94.5%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short right to #87 A.Grote thrown to LIND43Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
94.5%
(13:39) #43 C.Lander punt 36 yards to the EMU36 fair catch by #4 Q.Fracassi at EMU36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:3195% → 94%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
94.5%
(13:36) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #9 J.Long caught at EMU35, for 16 yards to the LIND48 (#34 O.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
94.4%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush left for 2 yards gain to the LIND46, out of bounds at LIND46Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
94.3%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #86 D.Wilkins thrown to LIND29Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+26
94.3%
(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete deep middle to #3 B.Prosper caught at LIND25, for 26 yards to the LIND20 (#1 S.Owens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
94.2%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LIND16 (#30 C.Jacobmeier; #23 A.Baumgart)Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
94.1%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush left for 0 yards to the LIND16 (#53 K.Smith; #40 D.Amaliri)Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+14
93.9%
(10:40) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #5 H.Mack caught at LIND11, for 14 yards to the LIND02 (#2 D.Owens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.1%
(10:01) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LIND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:58 #46 R.Kessinger kick attempt failed ( blocked by #6 J.Smith) (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), out of bounds at LIND00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:286% → 6%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.9%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass complete short left to #8 D.Krobath caught at LIND23, for 3 yards to the LIND28 (#17 C.Dobbs)Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
93.8%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short right to #0 R.Boyd thrown to LIND35Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
93.8%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush left for 4 yards gain to the LIND32 (#11 Z.Mowchan; #6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
93.7%
(08:24) #43 C.Lander punt 36 yards to the EMU32 fair catch by #4 Q.Fracassi at EMU32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:2094% → 95%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
93.8%
(08:17) Shotgun #3 B.Prosper rush left for 3 yards gain to the EMU35 (#1 S.Owens), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
93.6%
(07:33) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU37 (#5 J.Waller)Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+4
93.4%
(06:54) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #3 B.Prosper caught at EMU41, for 4 yards to the EMU41 (#3 K.Lyons)Similar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+3
93.4%
(06:25) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush right for 3 yards gain to the EMU44 (#6 J.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
93.5%
(05:50) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #11 A.Floyd caught at EMU49, for 6 yards to the EMU50 (#3 K.Lyons), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 4
50
0
93.4%
(05:17) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep middle to #11 A.Floyd thrown to LIND15Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 4
50
+15
93.3%
(05:12) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep right to #86 D.Wilkins thrown to LIND30 PENALTY LIND Pass Interference (#3 K.Lyons) 15 yards from EMU50 to LIND35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
93.5%
(05:06) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush right for 4 yards gain to the LIND31 (#24 N.O'Hara; #8 B.Crawford)Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+7
93.3%
(04:20) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LIND24 (#11 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
94.5%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #3 B.Prosper caught at LIND11, for 24 yards to the LIND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:53, 1ST DOWN #46 R.Kessinger kick attempt good (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:096% → 6%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.1%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush left for 7 yards gain to the LIND32 (#17 C.Dobbs), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
94.1%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush left for 5 yards gain to the LIND37 (#51 E.McDuffey; #99 W.Tayou), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
94.1%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIND38 (#0 R.Adkins)Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
93.8%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LIND40 (#6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
93.8%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass incomplete short middle to #18 E.Roy thrown to EMU48 broken up by #30 G.Horace QB hurried by #11 Z.MowchanSimilar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+4
93.9%
(01:43) #43 C.Lander punt 43 yards to the EMU17 #4 Q.Fracassi return 4 yards to the EMU21 (#17 E.Beard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6FG
14 plays · 45 yds · 5:3394% → 95%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
94.0%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush right for 1 yard loss to the EMU20 (#30 C.Jacobmeier; #91 A.Rustemeyer)Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+15
93.9%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #5 H.Mack caught at EMU33, for 15 yards to the EMU35 (#8 B.Crawford), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
93.9%
(00:30) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EMU41 (#5 J.Waller)Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
94.2%
(14:57) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU42 (#30 C.Jacobmeier; #31 M.Van Der Brink)Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
94.0%
(14:20) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EMU48 (#23 A.Baumgart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.1%
(13:43) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #88 T.Lemaster thrown to EMU47 QB hurried by #6 J.SmithSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
94.1%
(13:40) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #5 H.Mack caught at LIND48, for 5 yards to the LIND47 (#31 M.Van Der Brink)Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+10
94.0%
(12:59) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #3 B.Prosper caught at LIND37, for 10 yards to the LIND37 (#20 J.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
94.1%
(12:25) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush right for 1 yard loss to the LIND38 (#4 M.Burke; #92 R.Satterwhite)Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
94.0%
(11:44) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep left to #3 B.Prosper thrown to LIND03Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+4
93.8%
(11:39) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #24 J.Mattord caught at LIND43, for 4 yards to the LIND34 (#31 M.Van Der Brink)Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+51
95.1%
(10:58) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), clock 10:54Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:266% → 6%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
93.9%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush middle for 14 yards gain to the LIND39 (#4 J.Salas), 1ST DOWN. #0 R.Adkins injured on the playSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
93.8%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle pass complete short right to #13 J.Wyatt caught at LIND45, for 6 yards to the LIND45 QB hurried by #51 E.McDuffey, out of bounds at LIND45Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
93.6%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LIND47 (#43 M.Eggleston)Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+15
93.6%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 P.Battle rush left for 1 yard loss to the LIND46 (#9 D.Williams) PENALTY EMU Targeting (#9 D.Williams) 15 yards from LIND47 to EMU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
93.4%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMU35 (#51 E.McDuffey; #11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
93.0%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush left for 8 yards gain (5) to the EMU27 (#11 Z.Mowchan), out of bounds PENALTY LIND Holding (#87 A.Grote) 10 yards from EMU30 to EMU40Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+4
93.5%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Rhodes rush left for 4 yards gain to the EMU36 (#43 M.Eggleston)Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 8
OPP 36
-3
93.5%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory sacked for loss of 3 yards to the EMU39 (#51 E.McDuffey)Similar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
94.0%
(06:25) #43 C.Lander punt 30 yards to the EMU09 fair catch by #4 Q.Fracassi at EMU09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0997% → 97%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
96.9%
(06:20) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #3 B.Prosper caught at EMU05, for 3 yards to the EMU12 (#91 A.Rustemeyer)Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+16
96.8%
(05:39) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #3 B.Prosper caught at EMU28, for 16 yards to the EMU28, out of bounds at EMU28, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
96.8%
(05:04) Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush left for 5 yards loss to the EMU23 (#23 A.Baumgart)Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
96.7%
(04:20) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #86 D.Wilkins thrown to EMU39. #86 D.Wilkins injured on the playSimilar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 15
OWN 23
0
96.6%
(04:14) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Long thrown to EMU37 QB hurried by #91 A.RustemeyerSimilar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
96.5%
(04:08) #39 D.Hull punt 45 yards to the LIND32, out of bounds at LIND32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:235% → 5%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
94.6%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 S.Hall rush right for 1 yard loss to the LIND31 (#99 W.Tayou; #11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
94.8%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory pass incomplete short right to #22 S.Hall thrown to LIND35 QB hurried by #54 Q.ByasSimilar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+8
94.8%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory pass complete short right to #22 S.Hall caught at LIND32, for 8 yards to the LIND39 (#43 M.Eggleston)Similar
Q2 2:22
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+41
94.8%
(02:27) #43 C.Lander punt 41 yards to the EMU20 #4 Q.Fracassi return for loss of 1 yard to the EMU19 (#20 J.Jones)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 1:2897% → 98%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
96.7%
(02:21) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #5 H.Mack thrown to EMU23 broken up by #4 M.BurkeSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
96.7%
(02:18) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EMU23 (#4 M.Burke; #53 K.Smith)Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+21
96.1%
(01:56) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #5 H.Mack caught at EMU38, for 21 yards to the EMU44 (#8 B.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
96.5%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LIND49 (#92 R.Satterwhite; #24 N.O'Hara)Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+6
96.5%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #5 H.Mack caught at LIND43, for 6 yards to the LIND43, out of bounds at LIND43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
96.6%
(01:21) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #3 B.Prosper caught at LIND45, for 3 yards to the LIND40 QB hurried by #6 J.Smith (#3 K.Lyons), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+10
96.5%
(01:12) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #3 B.Prosper thrown to LIND28, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LIND Pass Interference (#3 K.Lyons) 10 yards from LIND40 to LIND30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.2%
(01:08) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #88 T.Lemaster thrown to LIND17Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
96.2%
(01:03) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #24 J.Mattord caught at LIND28, for 6 yards to the LIND24 (#8 B.Crawford), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
95.8%
(00:58) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #3 B.Prosper thrown to LIND20 broken up by #20 J.Jones. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:58) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass intercepted by #20 J.Jones at LIND20 #20 J.Jones return 3 yards to the LIND21 fumbled by #20 J.Jones at LIND21 forced by #3 B.Prosper recovered by LIND #23 A.Baumgart at LIND23 (#9 J.Long))Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
97.5%
(00:51) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), clock 00:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:365% → 4%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.4%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory rush left for 3 yards gain to the LIND23 (#51 E.McDuffey)Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
95.4%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory pass incomplete short middle to #4 J.Smith thrown to LIND41 QB hurried by #43 M.EgglestonSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-1
95.4%
(00:05) Kneel down by #2 H.Gregory at LIND22 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+30
96.0%
(00:02) #43 C.Lander punt 46 yards to the EMU32 #4 Q.Fracassi return 30 yards to the LIND38 (#43 C.Lander), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:0097% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep right to #5 H.Mack thrown to EMU49Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
96.9%
(14:54) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #9 J.Long caught at EMU27, for 19 yards to the EMU44 (#30 C.Jacobmeier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
97.2%
(14:17) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush left for 8 yards gain to the LIND48 (#5 J.Waller), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+16
97.1%
(13:32) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 16 yards gain to the LIND32 (#20 J.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.2%
(12:56) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right thrown to LIND32 QB hurried by #6 J.SmithSimilar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
97.2%
(12:47) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LIND25 (#8 B.Crawford)Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
97.2%
(12:04) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep right to #3 B.Prosper thrown to LIND00 broken up by #2 D.OwensSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+5
97.0%
(11:59) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #86 D.Wilkins caught at LIND06, for 23 yards to the LIND02 QB hurried by #6 J.Smith (#2 D.Owens), out of bounds PENALTY EMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#52 R.Wourman) 5 yards from LIND25 to LIND30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+48
97.1%
(11:02) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 48 yards NO GOOD (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), clock 11:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 13FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:155% → 7%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
95.1%
(10:57) No Huddle #22 S.Hall rush middle for 11 yards gain to the LIND41 (#4 J.Salas; #11 Z.Mowchan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
95.0%
(10:22) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory sacked for loss of 1 yard to the LIND40 (#54 Q.Byas, #33 C.Evans)Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+1
95.1%
(09:43) No Huddle #22 S.Hall rush left for 1 yard gain to the LIND41 (#6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
95.4%
(09:00) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory pass complete short right to #87 A.Grote caught at LIND43, for 15 yards to the EMU44 (#10 T.Boykin), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY EMU Roughing The Passer (#43 M.Eggleston) 15 yards from EMU44 to EMU29, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
94.5%
(08:29) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at EMU16, for 13 yards to the EMU16 (#30 G.Horace) PENALTY LIND Holding (#66 A.Taylor) 10 yards from EMU29 to EMU39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+2
95.0%
(08:08) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory rush right for 2 yards gain to the EMU37 (#54 Q.Byas), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 18
OPP 37
+11
95.3%
(07:26) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory rush middle for 11 yards gain to the EMU26 (#6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
95.1%
(06:47) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory pass incomplete short left to #18 E.Roy thrown to EMU18 broken up by #29 D.Rogers QB hurried by #33 C.EvansSimilar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
92.9%
(06:40) #37 W.Graham field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #43 C.Lander, LS: #48 Z.Ely), clock 06:37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 4:5596% → 98%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
96.3%
(06:29) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #3 B.Prosper caught at EMU26, for 2 yards to the EMU26 (#1 S.Owens)Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+10
96.4%
(05:49) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep left to #9 J.Long thrown to EMU46 PENALTY LIND Holding (#1 S.Owens) 10 yards from EMU26 to EMU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
96.5%
(05:47) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush left for 16 yards gain to the LIND48 (#0 Z.Pratt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
96.8%
(05:07) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #14 A.Sharp caught at EMU49, for 2 yards to the LIND46 (#34 O.Thomas; #4 M.Burke)Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
96.7%
(04:25) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep right to #5 H.Mack thrown to LIND22 QB hurried by #4 M.BurkeSimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+21
96.6%
(04:21) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete deep left to #3 B.Prosper caught at LIND26, for 21 yards to the LIND25 (#2 D.Owens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
96.8%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LIND20 (#22 A.Knapke)Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+7
96.8%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LIND13 (#91 A.Rustemeyer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
96.9%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #5 H.Mack thrown to LIND05 broken up by #0 Z.PrattSimilar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
96.9%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LIND09 (#15 Z.Lewis; #91 A.Rustemeyer)Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-1
97.3%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush right for 1 yard loss to the LIND10 (#3 K.Lyons; #15 Z.Lewis)Similar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
98.1%
(01:25) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), clock 01:23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 15DOWNS
14 plays · 37 yds · 6:233% → 3%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
96.9%
(01:20) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LIND24 (#99 W.Tayou, #29 D.Rogers)Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+7
97.3%
(00:38) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory pass complete short right to #18 E.Roy caught at LIND22, for 7 yards to the LIND31 (#88 R.Hardin; #90 H.Gonzalez). #18 E.Roy injured on the playSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+19
97.3%
(14:59) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory rush middle for 19 yards gain to the LIND50 (#29 D.Rogers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
50
+2
97.1%
(14:12) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory pass complete short right to #1 C.Bennett Jr caught at EMU48, for 2 yards to the EMU48, out of bounds at EMU48Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
97.4%
(13:42) No Huddle #7 J.Rhodes rush right for 3 yards gain to the EMU45 (#11 Z.Mowchan; #90 H.Gonzalez)Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
97.5%
(12:55) No Huddle #7 J.Rhodes rush right for 4 yards gain to the EMU41 (#51 E.McDuffey; #11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
97.6%
(12:14) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory pass complete short right to #1 C.Bennett Jr caught at EMU41, for 2 yards to the EMU39, out of bounds at EMU39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
97.5%
(11:59) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMU34 (#43 M.Eggleston)Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-3
97.1%
(11:16) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory rush right for 3 yards loss to the EMU37 (#58 P.Christian)Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+6
97.6%
(10:27) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory rush right for 6 yards gain to the EMU31 (#6 B.Llewellyn; #43 M.Eggleston). #11 Z.Mowchan injured on the playSimilar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 2
OPP 31
-2
97.5%
(09:58) No Huddle #2 H.Gregory rush middle for 2 yards loss to the EMU33 (#6 B.Llewellyn), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:27100% → 100%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.5%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 9 yards gain to the EMU42 (#8 B.Crawford)Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+1
99.6%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU43 (#30 C.Jacobmeier; #4 M.Burke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.6%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #86 D.Wilkins caught at LIND42, for 15 yards to the LIND42, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.6%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush right for 4 yards gain to the LIND38 (#8 B.Crawford; #30 C.Jacobmeier)Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
99.6%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right thrown to LIND32 QB hurried by #4 M.BurkeSimilar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+8
99.6%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 8 yards gain to the LIND30 (#24 N.O'Hara), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
99.6%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 11 yards gain to the LIND19 (#24 N.O'Hara; #8 B.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.6%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #3 B.Prosper caught at LIND22, for 0 yards to the LIND19 (#24 N.O'Hara)Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
99.7%
(06:07) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 0 yards to the LIND19 (#24 N.O'Hara; #30 C.Jacobmeier)Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
(05:27) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #5 H.Mack caught at LIND05, for 19 yards to the LIND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:19, 1ST DOWN #46 R.Kessinger kick attempt good (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz) #46 R.Kessinger kick attempt good (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz) PENALTYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 17DOWNS
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:520% → 0%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
100.0%
(05:18) No Huddle #21 R.Giaimo rush middle for 24 yards gain to the LIND49 (#7 J.Toney; #20 R.Hester), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
100.0%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 R.Giaimo rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EMU47 (#64 N.Patterson; #10 T.Boykin)Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+15
100.0%
(03:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory pass incomplete deep middle to #4 J.Smith thrown to EMU04 PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (#7 J.Toney) 15 yards from EMU47 to EMU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
100.0%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory pass complete short right to #21 R.Giaimo caught at EMU34, for 4 yards to the EMU28 (#40 B.Eliuk)Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
100.0%
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory pass complete short middle to #80 M.Busteed caught at EMU25, for 5 yards to the EMU23 (#57 A.Kearse)Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
100.0%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory pass incomplete short middle thrown to EMU23 broken up by #88 R.Hardin QB hurried by #88 R.HardinSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+7
100.0%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 R.Giaimo rush middle for 7 yards gain to the EMU16 (#7 J.Toney; #88 R.Hardin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
100.0%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 R.Giaimo rush right for 2 yards loss to the EMU18 (#7 J.Toney; #40 B.Eliuk)Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 12
OPP 18
-1
100.0%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory sacked for loss of 1 yard to the EMU19 (#44 M.Debiak, #64 N.Patterson)Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 13
OPP 19
+3
100.0%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory pass complete short right to #21 R.Giaimo caught at EMU17, for 3 yards to the EMU16 (#7 J.Toney)Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+6
100.0%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Gregory rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EMU10 (#40 B.Eliuk), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 6:37
(06:40) #37 W.Graham field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #43 C.Lander, LS: #48 Z.Ely), clock 06:37
-2.2
FG · Q2 0:51
(00:51) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), clock 00:51
+1.7
FG · Q2 10:54
(10:58) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), clock 10:54
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com