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BALL

Ball State 13 at Kent State 26

KENT
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:50 · (10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 4 yards gain to the BSU11 (#14 A.Pinnace), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense+17.8Pregame prior+2.3Score differential+2.5Garbage-time factor+8.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:15: (04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #22 B.White caught at BSU00, for 7 yards to the BSU00 QB hurried by #16 K.Stewart TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:15, 1ST DOWN #96 S.Leonard kick attempt good (H: #42 K.Ford, LS: #41 G.Goodell) — KENT win probability +3.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:34: (05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 7 yards gain to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:34 #96 S.Leonard kick attempt good (H: #42 K.Ford, LS: #41 G.Goodell) — KENT win probability +5.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Sean Leonard 53 Yd Field Goal — KENT win probability +1.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:45: (06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short right to #1 D.Hamilton caught at KSU01, for 6 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:45 #38 B.Boehm kick attempt good (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton) — BALL win probability +11.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:44: (09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #8 D.Clark caught at BSU00, for 5 yards to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:44, 1ST DOWN #96 S.Leonard kick attempt good (H: #42 K.Ford, LS: #41 G.Goodell) — KENT win probability +9.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7BALL made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:17KENT 4th & 5 at BALL 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:39BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:47BALL 4th & 15 at KENT 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:47BALL 4th & 15 at KENT 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:14KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 18, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.2%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:50BALL 4th & 8 at KENT 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00KENT 4th & 16 at BALL 36, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    80.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:46BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:15KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 17, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:42KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:08BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:50KENT 4th & 2 at BALL 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    85.0%−0.8
    83% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−6.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:23BALL 4th & 9 at BALL 49, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:24BALL 4th & 2 at KENT 10, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%−0.9
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−3.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:04KENT 4th & 14 at BALL 42, up 13
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:34BALL 4th & 9 at BALL 8, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BALL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:15KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:34KENT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:45BALL Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:44KENT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:3763% → 63%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
63.1%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU39 (#6 C.Lewis)Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
63.1%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU46 (#27 G.Forsha; #6 C.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
63.1%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #22 B.White caught at KSU39, for 3 yards to the KSU49 (#56 A.Glenn)Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
63.2%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #0 M.King thrown to BSU48 QB hurried by #6 C.LewisSimilar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+2
63.0%
(13:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #8 D.Clark caught at KSU49, for 2 yards to the BSU49 (#1 S.Smith; #39 M.Gracio)Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
63.0%
(12:21) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 36 yards to the BSU13, out of bounds at BSU13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2637% → 37%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
62.9%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU15 (#2 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+3
62.8%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU18 fumbled by #3 J.Thompson Jr. at BSU17 forced by #5 T.Aden recovered by BSU #77 M.Sandoval at BSU18, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
63.0%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Hamilton thrown to BSU18 broken up by #7 A.StockstillSimilar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 5
OWN 18
-2
63.1%
(10:47) #32 C.Stumbaugh punt 54 yards to the KSU28 #6 W.Harris return for loss of 2 yards to the KSU26 (#45 C.Britton; #14 A.Pinnace)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 6:1563% → 67%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
62.9%
(10:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 9 yards gain to the KSU35 (#1 S.Smith; #4 W.Yates)Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+1
63.1%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU36 (#1 S.Smith; #4 W.Yates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
63.0%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #8 D.Clark caught at KSU40, for 12 yards to the KSU48 (#14 A.Pinnace), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
63.2%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush right for 3 yards gain to the BSU49 (#6 C.Lewis)Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
63.3%
(08:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush right for 5 yards gain to the BSU44 (#1 S.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+2
63.2%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 H.Hopperton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU42 (#6 C.Lewis; #13 K.Chamble), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
63.4%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep middle to #6 W.Harris caught at BSU22, for 20 yards to the BSU22, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
63.6%
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #8 D.Clark caught at BSU20, for 4 yards to the BSU18 (#12 D.Shepherd; #6 C.Lewis)Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+6
63.6%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 6 yards gain to the BSU12 (#1 S.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
63.6%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush left for 5 yards gain to the BSU07 (#4 W.Yates; #39 M.Gracio)Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
67.2%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #22 B.White caught at BSU00, for 7 yards to the BSU00 QB hurried by #16 K.Stewart TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:15, 1ST DOWN #96 S.Leonard kick attempt good (H: #42 K.Ford, LS: #41 G.Goodell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
17 plays · 65 yds · 6:4034% → 32%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
66.4%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BSU17 (#8 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+3
66.2%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU20 (#8 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
66.3%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete deep middle to #1 D.Hamilton thrown to BSU50 PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (#1 A.Muhammad) 15 yards from BSU20 to BSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
65.7%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short left to #24 T.Hoover caught at BSU36, for 1 yard to the BSU36 (#4 R.Nicholl)Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
65.8%
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BSU40 (#2 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
65.8%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short right to #1 D.Hamilton caught at BSU45, for 5 yards to the BSU45 QB hurried by #2 J.Cordoba (#7 A.Stockstill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
65.5%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU48 (#11 C.Wilborn; #2 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-3
65.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush left for 3 yards loss to the BSU45 (#32 T.Rubinstein), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+13
66.5%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short left to #1 D.Hamilton caught at KSU42, for 13 yards to the KSU42 (#7 A.Stockstill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
65.3%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell rush left for 2 yards gain to the KSU40 (#20 R.Terrero Jr.) PENALTY BSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#7 C.Nelson) 15 yards from KSU40 to BSU45Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 23
OWN 45
+5
66.9%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BSU50 (#3 D.Jackson III)Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 18
50
+3
67.2%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU47 (#52 A.Burgess)Similar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 15
OPP 47
+40
68.1%
(11:47) #32 C.Stumbaugh punt 21 yards to the KSU26 PENALTY KSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#2 J.Cordoba) KSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#25 M.Buchanan) 7 yards from KSU14 to KSU07, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
68.1%
(11:47) #32 C.Stumbaugh punt 19 yards to the KSU28 PENALTY KSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#2 J.Cordoba) KSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#25 M.Buchanan) 21 yard from KSU28 to KSU07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5TD
15 plays · 93 yds · 6:1367% → 78%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
67.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU11 (#4 W.Yates; #27 G.Forsha)Similar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
67.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU11 (#4 W.Yates; #27 G.Forsha)Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 12
OWN 11
0
67.8%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short middle to #1 A.Banks thrown to KSU22Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+10
67.2%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 10 yards gain to the KSU21 (#1 S.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
68.3%
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush right for 1 yard gain to the KSU22 (#11 L.Starks)Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-3
68.3%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #5 J.Caffey caught at KSU19, for 3 yards loss to the KSU19 (#7 B.Marsh) PENALTY KSU Chop Block (#54 D.Morell) 9 yards from KSU19 to KSU10Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+8
67.7%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU18, for 8 yards to the KSU18 (#18 C.Franklin II; #6 C.Lewis)Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+37
67.9%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep right to #8 D.Clark caught at KSU48, for 37 yards to the BSU45, out of bounds at BSU45, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
71.7%
PENALTY BSU Offside (#7 B.Marsh) 5 yards from BSU45 to BSU40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+3
71.7%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU37 (#27 G.Forsha) PENALTY BSU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#27 G.Forsha) 15 yards from BSU37 to BSU22, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
72.0%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 21 yards gain to the BSU01 (#1 S.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was out of bounds". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
72.1%
(06:35) PENALTY KSU Illegal Snap (#50 B.Midea) 5 yards from BSU01 to BSU06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
72.2%
PENALTY BSU Offside (#56 A.Glenn) 3 yards from BSU06 to BSU03. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
72.3%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 4 yards loss to the BSU07 (#9 J.Thomas)Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
77.5%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 7 yards gain to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:34 #96 S.Leonard kick attempt good (H: #42 K.Ford, LS: #41 G.Goodell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 3:3024% → 22%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.2%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short right to #1 D.Hamilton caught at BSU26, for 3 yards to the BSU28 (#22 D.Pritchard)Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
76.1%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU31 (#3 D.Jackson III)Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
76.5%
(04:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short left to #2 J.Bonds caught at BSU32, for 8 yards to the BSU39 (#83 G.Long), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
76.3%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU41 (#14 T.Bivens; #15 S.Abuhamdeh)Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
77.0%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush left for 4 yards gain to the BSU45 (#18 N.Johnson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+6
76.9%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Hamilton thrown to BSU50 broken up by #14 T.Bivens PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (#14 T.Bivens) 6 yards from BSU45 to KSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
76.4%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete deep right to #11 I.Thacker thrown to KSU22Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
77.2%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU47 (#18 N.Johnson)Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
77.2%
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short right to #24 T.Hoover thrown to KSU44 QB hurried by #3 D.Jackson III and #4 R.NichollSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
77.9%
(01:57) #32 C.Stumbaugh punt 22 yards to the KSU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7FG
16 plays · 39 yds · 1:4181% → 85%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.1%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU25 (#11 L.Starks; #94 K.Thomas)Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
81.8%
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 25 yards gain to the KSU50, out of bounds at BSU50, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
50
+12
83.1%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 W.Harris rush left for 2 yards gain (2) to the BSU48 (#1 S.Smith) PENALTY KSU Holding (#4 J.Kelley) 10 yards from BSU48 to KSU42Similar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 18
OWN 42
+3
82.9%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU45 (#4 W.Yates; #16 K.Stewart)Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 15
OWN 45
0
83.1%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep right to #8 D.Clark thrown to BSU28Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 15
OWN 45
+25
82.4%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep left to #1 A.Banks caught at BSU30, for 25 yards to the BSU30 (#4 W.Yates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
83.6%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #22 B.White thrown to BSU27Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
83.0%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep right to #1 A.Banks thrown to BSU01Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+5
82.3%
PENALTY KSU False Start (#11 Z.Fletcher) 5 yards from BSU30 to BSU35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+4
82.0%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BSU31 (#16 K.Stewart)Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+5
82.7%
(00:01) PENALTY KSU False Start (#72 C.Wilson) 5 yards from BSU31 to BSU36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 36
+53
84.5%
Sean Leonard 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:0215% → 12%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
84.7%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU21 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh)Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+14
85.5%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short right to #1 D.Hamilton caught at BSU29, for 14 yards to the BSU35 (#7 A.Stockstill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
85.0%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell rush right for 4 yards gain to the BSU39 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh; #2 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+6
85.6%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short right to #1 D.Hamilton caught at BSU44, for 6 yards to the BSU45 (#3 D.Jackson III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
85.6%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush left for 0 yards to the BSU45 (#4 R.Nicholl; #7 A.Stockstill)Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
86.1%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell rush left for 1 yard loss to the BSU44, out of bounds at BSU44Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
87.2%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short right to #11 I.Thacker thrown to KSU37 QB hurried by #19 D.BarnesSimilar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
87.6%
(11:51) #32 C.Stumbaugh punt 50 yards to the KSU06, out of bounds at KSU06 PENALTY KSU Holding (#1 A.Muhammad) 3 yards from KSU06 to KSU03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:2587% → 89%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
87.4%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU07 (#16 K.Stewart)Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+10
89.1%
(11:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU12, for 10 yards to the KSU17 (#25 M.Webster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.6%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep middle to #8 D.Clark thrown to BSU46 PENALTY BSU Pass Interference offsetting KSU Holding offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.7%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush left for 0 yards to the KSU17 (#56 J.Jeudy)Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
90.1%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #8 D.Clark thrown to KSU26 broken up by #14 A.PinnaceSimilar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
89.9%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #8 D.Clark thrown to KSU36Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
89.4%
(09:25) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 33 yards to the KSU50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:1515% → 24%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
85.5%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short right to #11 I.Thacker caught at KSU47, for 5 yards to the KSU45 (#12 L.Burns III)Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
86.0%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short middle to #10 J.McDougle thrown to KSU26 broken up by #1 A.Muhammad QB hurried by #5 T.AdenSimilar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+38
86.6%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short left to #2 J.Bonds caught at BSU50, for 38 yards to the KSU07, out of bounds at KSU07, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
86.7%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU06 (#17 S.Bridgeman; #8 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.0%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Nelson thrown to KSU00 QB hurried by #88 M.HazimeSimilar
Q3 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
76.0%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short right to #1 D.Hamilton caught at KSU01, for 6 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:45 #38 B.Boehm kick attempt good (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 5:5479% → 82%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.4%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU26 (#25 M.Webster)Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
79.3%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 11 yards gain to the KSU37 (#4 W.Yates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.7%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush right for 0 yards to the KSU37 (#56 A.Glenn)Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
80.9%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU40 (#27 G.Forsha; #25 M.Webster)Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
81.1%
(04:14) PENALTY KSU False Start (#56 M.Daoud) 5 yards from KSU40 to KSU35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+14
79.7%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 14 yards gain to the KSU49 (#48 S.Feeney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
82.8%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush left for 4 yards loss to the KSU45 (#25 M.Webster)Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+10
82.0%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush left for 9 yards gain to the BSU46, out of bounds at BSU46 PENALTY KSU Holding (#56 M.Daoud) 10 yards from KSU45 to KSU35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 24
OWN 35
+1
81.8%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Kelley rush right for 1 yard gain to the KSU36 (#14 A.Pinnace)Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 23
OWN 36
+12
82.3%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #4 J.Kelley caught at KSU48, for 12 yards to the KSU48 (#28 S.Perkins; #48 S.Feeney)Similar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
82.2%
(00:44) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 46 yards to the BSU06 fair catch by #85 A.Cooper at BSU06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1616% → 14%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
84.3%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell rush left for 5 yards gain to the BSU11 (#20 R.Terrero Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 5
OWN 11
0
84.5%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush right for 0 yards to the BSU11 (#1 A.Muhammad; #38 C.Robinson)Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+2
85.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short left to #2 J.Bonds caught at BSU05, for 2 yards to the BSU13 (#3 D.Jackson III), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
86.1%
(14:16) #32 C.Stumbaugh punt 45 yards to the KSU42 fair catch by #6 W.Harris at KSU42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:1885% → 97%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
85.1%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU44 (#1 S.Smith)Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
85.6%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #6 W.Harris thrown to KSU38Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+33
84.7%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep middle to #1 A.Banks caught at BSU31, for 33 yards to the BSU23 (#14 A.Pinnace), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
86.4%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU22 (#11 L.Starks) PENALTY BSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from BSU23 to BSU18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 5
OPP 18
+1
87.0%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #22 B.White caught at BSU20, for 1 yard to the BSU17 (#56 A.Glenn)Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
87.4%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #0 M.King thrown to BSU15 QB hurried by #16 K.Stewart and #31 J.BadieSimilar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+2
86.6%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush right for 2 yards gain to the BSU15 (#99 K.Gilbert)Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+4
85.9%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 4 yards gain to the BSU11 (#14 A.Pinnace), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
87.9%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BSU05, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
96.9%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #8 D.Clark caught at BSU00, for 5 yards to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:44, 1ST DOWN #96 S.Leonard kick attempt good (H: #42 K.Ford, LS: #41 G.Goodell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14SF
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:494% → 8%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
96.0%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush right for 2 yards loss to the BSU06 (#17 S.Bridgeman)Similar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
91.6%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush right for 2 yards loss to the BSU06 (#17 S.Bridgeman)Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 12
OWN 6
-2
91.8%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell rush middle for 2 yards loss to the BSU04 (#4 R.Nicholl; #91 D.Taylor)Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 14
OWN 4
0
92.4%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell sacked for loss of 4 yards to the BSU00 (#2 J.Cordoba), fumble by #9 T.Mizzell, out of bounds at BSU00. Kent St. SAFETY, clock 08:33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:1196% → 97%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
95.9%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush left for 2 yards gain to the KSU42 (#16 K.Stewart; #2 Q.Scandrett)Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-5
96.3%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 5 yards loss to the KSU37 fumbled by #12 D.DeShields at KSU37 recovered by KSU #5 J.Caffey at KSU37, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+9
96.0%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush middle for 9 yards gain to the KSU46 (#16 K.Stewart)Similar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 4
OPP 0
0
96.6%
(06:14) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 41 yards to the BSU13 fair catch by #85 A.Cooper at BSU13 PENALTY KSU Kick Catch Interference (#12 L.Burns III) 15 yards from BSU13 to BSU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:357% → 6%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
93.2%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short right to #11 I.Thacker caught at BSU31, for 20 yards to the BSU48 (#12 L.Burns III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
92.6%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short right to #14 E.Durham thrown to KSU35Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
92.6%
(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush right for 0 yards to the BSU48 (#13 Q.Rhodes-McKee)Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+1
93.1%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short middle to #11 I.Thacker caught at BSU49, for 1 yard to the BSU49 (#19 D.Barnes)Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 9
OWN 49
+33
93.6%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete deep left to #1 D.Hamilton caught at KSU25, for 33 yards to the KSU18 (#14 T.Bivens), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
93.4%
(03:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short left to #88 A.Scherle thrown to KSU05Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
93.6%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short right to #11 I.Thacker thrown to KSU00Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+8
94.0%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short left to #2 J.Bonds caught at KSU24, for 8 yards to the KSU10 (#2 J.Cordoba), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+10
94.0%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush right for 10 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:24, 1ST DOWN #9 T.Mizzell pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 7 yds · 2:0698% → 99%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
97.9%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush right for 1 yard gain to the BSU48 (#27 G.Forsha)Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-3
98.2%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.King rush left for 3 yards loss to the KSU49 (#25 M.Webster)Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+13
98.4%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #8 D.Clark caught at BSU38, for 13 yards to the BSU38 (#5 C.Jackson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.5%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 0 yards to the BSU38 (#56 A.Glenn; #25 M.Webster)Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
98.7%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 0 yards to the BSU38 (#25 M.Webster)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+1
98.8%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU37 (#25 M.Webster)Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+5
98.8%
PENALTY KSU Delay Of Game (#12 D.DeShields) 5 yards from BSU37 to BSU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
98.7%
(01:06) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 35 yards to the BSU07 fair catch by #85 A.Cooper at BSU07 PENALTY BSU Roughing The Kicker declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:221% → 1%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
98.8%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete deep right to #88 A.Scherle thrown to BSU30Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+1
98.8%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short right to #2 J.Bonds caught at BSU08, for 1 yard to the BSU08 (#22 D.Pritchard)Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 9
OWN 8
0
98.8%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short right to #3 J.Thompson Jr. thrown to BSU24 QB hurried by #4 R.NichollSimilar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 9
OWN 8
-7
98.8%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell sacked for loss of 7 yards to the BSU01 (#33 J.Roy), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.1%
(00:30) Kneel down by Kent St. at BSU03 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:45
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short right to #1 D.Hamilton caught at KSU01, for 6 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:45 #38 B.Boehm kick attempt good (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton)
-11
TD · Q4 9:44
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #8 D.Clark caught at BSU00, for 5 yards to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:44, 1ST DOWN #96 S.Leonard kick attempt good (H: #42 K.Ford, LS: #41 G.Goodell)
+9
TD · Q2 5:34
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 7 yards gain to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:34 #96 S.Leonard kick attempt good (H: #42 K.Ford, LS: #41 G.Goodell)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com