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OHIO

Ohio 36 at South Alabama 41

USA
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:54 · (10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OHIO20 (#57 N.Hale; #27 J.Fries), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Home team on offense+17.8Pregame prior+4.0Garbage-time factor+9.0Score differential+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:59: (14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 33 yards gain to the USA 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:59, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) — OHIO win probability +10.7 pts (now 25%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:09: (12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short left to #15 R.Neer caught at USA 00, for 9 yards to the USA 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:09 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) — OHIO win probability +13.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 8:05: (08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OHIO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:05 #35 D.Little kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner) — USA win probability +9.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:20: (05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass complete short left to #84 A.Miller caught at USA 00, for 10 yards to the USA 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:20, 1ST DOWN #84 A.Miller pass attempt Successful — OHIO win probability +9.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Dom Dorwart 21 Yd pass from Levi Davis (Will Hryszko Kick) — OHIO win probability +14.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 1:39USA 4th & 2 at OHIO 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    67.3%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 0:52USA 4th & 6 at OHIO 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−4.3
    average punt
  3. Q3 12:39USA 4th & 2 at USA 14, up 10
    Close callPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q3 5:19OHIO 4th & 13 at USA 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  5. Q3 3:03USA 4th & 10 at USA 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−1.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 1:14OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:54USA 4th & 1 at OHIO 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−1.6
    72% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−6.0
    average punt
  8. Q4 4:17USA 4th & 5 at OHIO 40, up 9
    Close callPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:47OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 10, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:10USA 4th & 3 at OHIO 3, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:07USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:37OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:59OHIO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:09OHIO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:05USA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:21USA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:20OHIO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    7.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:00OHIO Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.8%−7.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4872% → 72%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.8%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush left for 2 yards gain to the USA 27 (#20 K.Bannister)Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+40
71.7%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short right to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at USA 34, for 40 yards to the OHIO33 (#4 D.James-Hamilton; #8 B.Dillon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
71.8%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush left for 5 yards gain to the OHIO28 (#4 D.James-Hamilton; #8 B.Dillon) PENALTY USA Holding (#68 R.Osei-Wusu) 10 yards from OHIO33 to OHIO43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+17
71.7%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short left to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at OHIO43, for 17 yards to the OHIO26 (#2 D.Walker; #25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+11
71.8%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OHIO15 (#8 B.Dillon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
71.8%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass incomplete short middle to #1 A.Eager thrown to OHIO15 broken up by #2 D.WalkerSimilar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
71.8%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OHIO06 (#25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
72.4%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OHIO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:07, 1ST DOWN #35 D.Little kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
17 plays · 78 yds · 7:1728% → 31%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
72.2%
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHIO25 (#41 T.Carter; #48 J.Williams)Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
72.2%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass incomplete deep right to #3 D.Dorwart thrown to OHIO50 PENALTY USA Pass Interference offsetting OHIO Holding offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+10
72.2%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush left for 10 yards gain to the OHIO35, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
72.2%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #2 P.Bowman caught at USA 49, for 16 yards to the USA 49, out of bounds at USA 49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
71.9%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush right for 6 yards gain to the USA 43 (#49 T.Brown; #11 P.Shattuck)Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+5
72.0%
PENALTY OHIO False Start (#76 B.Parson) 5 yards from USA 43 to USA 48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+11
72.1%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short left to #4 V.Rosa caught at USA 45, for 11 yards to the USA 37 (#2 J.Henderson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
72.0%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza sacked for loss of 5 yards to the USA 42 (#11 P.Shattuck, #90 E.Smiley)Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+5
72.4%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #2 P.Bowman caught at USA 37, for 5 yards to the USA 37 (#12 J.Moson)Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+14
72.4%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short left to #15 R.Neer caught at USA 29, for 14 yards to the USA 23 (#48 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
71.8%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush left for 4 yards gain to the USA 19 (#11 P.Shattuck), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
71.8%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass incomplete short left to #86 A.Metzger thrown to USA 00Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+11
72.2%
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #3 D.Dorwart caught at USA 10, for 11 yards to the USA 08 (#12 J.Moson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
71.7%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USA 05 (#25 T.Henry; #56 S.Johnson)Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.6%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #15 R.Neer caught at USA 00, for 5 yards to the USA 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:37 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5070% → 74%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.1%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short right to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at USA 29, for 5 yards to the USA 30 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+28
70.3%
(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 28 yards gain to the OHIO42 (#25 M.Molnar), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
71.1%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OHIO35 (#20 K.Bannister; #3 J.Haskins)Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+5
71.4%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass incomplete short middle to #1 A.Eager thrown to OHIO25 PENALTY USA Illegal Formation 5 yards from OHIO35 to OHIO40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
71.1%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OHIO35 (#25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+1
71.1%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OHIO34 (#51 I.Street)Similar
Q1 1:39
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+34
74.1%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short right to #9 R.Gibbs caught at OHIO15, for 34 yards to the OHIO00 QB hurried by #51 I.Street TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:39, 1ST DOWN #35 D.Little kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:2826% → 22%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
73.7%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush right for 2 yards gain to the OHIO24 (#18 M.Lewis)Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
73.7%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHIO27 (#24 D.Darby)Similar
Q1 0:06
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+9
74.0%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush right for 9 yards gain to the OHIO36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-13
78.2%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass intercepted by #1 D.Moore at USA 41 #1 D.Moore return 13 yards to the OHIO46 (#86 A.Metzger), out of bounds PENALTY OHIO Personal Foul (#84 A.Miller) 10 yards from OHIO46 to OHIO36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:1681% → 81%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
80.5%
(14:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OHIO32 (#2 D.Walker; #25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+32
80.7%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 32 yards gain to the OHIO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:24, 1ST DOWN #35 D.Little kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6FUMBLE
10 plays · 71 yds · 5:2322% → 20%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
78.4%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHIO32 (#49 T.Brown)Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+19
78.9%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush middle for 19 yards gain to the USA 49, out of bounds at USA 49, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USA Holding (#2 J.Henderson) 10 yards from USA 49 to USA 39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
78.3%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush middle for 3 yards loss to the USA 42 (#49 T.Brown; #25 T.Henry)Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+10
79.3%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush middle for 10 yards gain to the USA 32 (#49 T.Brown)Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+5
78.7%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USA 27 (#11 P.Shattuck; #48 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+24
78.4%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #2 P.Bowman caught at USA 27, for 24 yards to the USA 03 (#48 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
78.6%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USA 02 (#5 C.Blaylock; #17 C.Ross)Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
79.0%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USA 01 (#5 C.Blaylock)Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.8%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USA 00 fumbled by #9 M.Vezza at USA 05 recovered by USA #17 C.Ross at USA 00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7FG
20 plays · 66 yds · 7:4982% → 89%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
82.3%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush left for 1 yard loss to the USA 19 (#99 T.Neubert)Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+10
81.7%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short right to #3 K.Phillips caught at USA 13, for 10 yards to the USA 29 (#25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
82.0%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USA 31 (#2 D.Walker; #51 I.Street), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
82.5%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 1 yard loss to the USA 30 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+14
82.6%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush left for 14 yards gain to the USA 44 (#8 B.Dillon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
83.5%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Jones-Thomas thrown to OHIO48 QB hurried by #27 J.FriesSimilar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
83.4%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 4 yards gain to the USA 48 (#25 M.Molnar; #8 B.Dillon)Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+9
83.3%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OHIO43 (#3 J.Haskins; #25 M.Molnar), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
84.1%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass incomplete short left to #12 B.Jenkins thrown to OHIO30Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
84.1%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHIO40 (#0 N.Dukes; #3 J.Haskins)Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+5
83.9%
(03:53) PENALTY OHIO Offside (#9 T.Gillison) 5 yards from OHIO40 to OHIO35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+6
84.3%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OHIO29 (#21 R.Jackson, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
85.0%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 3 yards gain to the OHIO26 (#2 D.Walker; #27 J.Fries)Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+4
85.3%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OHIO22 (#20 K.Bannister)Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+4
85.7%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OHIO18 (#57 N.Hale), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
86.2%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OHIO16 (#51 I.Street; #3 J.Haskins)Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
86.5%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass incomplete short right to #3 K.Phillips thrown to OHIO15Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+2
86.1%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins rush right for 2 yards gain to the OHIO14 (#25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
89.1%
(00:55) #35 D.Little field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner), clock 00:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
86.9%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OHIO19 (#48 J.Williams; #18 M.Lewis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:3314% → 25%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
86.1%
(14:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short left to #3 D.Dorwart caught at USA 33, for 8 yards to the USA 33 (#12 J.Moson)Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+33
75.3%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 33 yards gain to the USA 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:59, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0980% → 79%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
79.5%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass incomplete short right to #9 R.Gibbs thrown to USA 05 broken up by #9 T.GillisonSimilar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+2
79.4%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USA 08 (#21 R.Jackson, Jr.; #25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+6
79.4%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins rush right for 6 yards gain to the USA 14 (#9 T.Gillison; #11 E.Herrmann)Similar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
78.8%
(12:43) #40 A.Pulkkinen punt 16 yards to the USA 30, out of bounds at USA 30 PENALTY USA Illegal Formation 5 yards from USA 30 to USA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:2323% → 36%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
77.0%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USA 19 (#5 C.Blaylock; #56 S.Johnson) PENALTY USA Personal Foul (#24 D.Darby) 10 yards from USA 19 to USA 09, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
64.0%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short left to #15 R.Neer caught at USA 00, for 9 yards to the USA 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:09 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0070% → 83%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
69.5%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 3 yards loss to the USA 22 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+9
69.0%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 9 yards gain to the USA 31 (#8 B.Dillon), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
68.8%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short left to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at USA 36, for 5 yards to the USA 36 (#21 R.Jackson, Jr.), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OHIO Offside declinedSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
70.2%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short left to #3 K.Phillips caught at USA 37, for 64 yards to the OHIO00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:33 PENALTY USA Illegal Block in Back (#2 J.Jones-Thomas) 10 yards from OHIO49 to USA 41Similar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+4
71.6%
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins rush right for 4 yards gain to the USA 45 (#11 E.Herrmann; #26 T.Long)Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
71.8%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USA 50 (#25 M.Molnar), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
50
+49
72.5%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete deep right to #6 M.Woods caught at OHIO02, for 49 yards to the OHIO01 (#20 K.Bannister), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete deep right to #6 M.Woods caught at OHIO02, for 50 yards to the OHIO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:19, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q3 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
73.6%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 2 yards loss to the OHIO03 (#98 D.Reagans; #2 D.Walker)Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
73.6%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush left for 2 yards gain to the OHIO01 (#25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.8%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OHIO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:05 #35 D.Little kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:3719% → 17%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.5%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short left to #3 D.Dorwart caught at OHIO30, for 6 yards to the OHIO31 (#25 T.Henry; #34 B.Thomas) PENALTY USA Personal Foul (#34 B.Thomas) 15 yards from OHIO31 to OHIO46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
80.3%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #15 R.Neer caught at OHIO47, for 9 yards to the USA 45 (#34 B.Thomas; #2 J.Henderson)Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
79.2%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 V.Rosa rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USA 40 (#90 E.Smiley; #5 C.Blaylock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
79.7%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza rush right for 2 yards gain to the USA 38, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
79.8%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass incomplete short left to #15 R.Neer thrown to USA 31 broken up by #24 D.DarbySimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-5
80.2%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short right to #24 I.Brown caught at USA 43, for 5 yards loss to the USA 43 (#48 J.Williams; #25 T.Henry)Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
83.0%
(05:26) #42 M.Haines punt 33 yards to the USA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:0983% → 82%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
83.1%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USA 15 (#4 D.James-Hamilton; #3 J.Haskins)Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
83.6%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass incomplete short right to #6 M.Woods thrown to USA 22Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+5
82.8%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass incomplete short right to #6 M.Woods thrown to USA 24 PENALTY OHIO Offside (#9 T.Gillison) 5 yards from USA 15 to USA 20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
83.8%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short middle to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at USA 17, for 1 yard loss to the USA 19 (#25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
83.6%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass incomplete short right to #12 B.Jenkins thrown to USA 28Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+1
82.8%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins rush left for 1 yard gain to the USA 20 (#9 T.Gillison), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+7
82.3%
(03:12) #40 A.Pulkkinen punt 40 yards to the OHIO40 #4 D.James-Hamilton return 7 yards to the OHIO47 (#8 D.Young; #44 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3918% → 15%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
81.6%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza sacked for loss of 4 yards to the OHIO43 (#56 S.Johnson, #24 D.Darby)Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+5
83.4%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Taylor Jr. rush left for 5 yards gain to the OHIO48 (#11 P.Shattuck; #17 C.Ross)Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
83.4%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass incomplete short left to #2 P.Bowman thrown to USA 35 broken up by #90 E.SmileySimilar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
84.7%
(01:22) #42 M.Haines punt 33 yards to the USA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 7:4785% → 97%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
85.3%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 15 yards gain to the USA 34 (#21 R.Jackson, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
85.7%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USA 36 (#51 I.Street)Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
86.6%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 2 yards gain to the USA 38 (#27 J.Fries; #4 D.James-Hamilton)Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+6
85.8%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short right to #1 A.Eager caught at USA 44, for 6 yards to the USA 44 (#19 B.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
87.4%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USA 48 (#57 N.Hale)Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+21
87.5%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush right for 21 yards gain to the OHIO31 (#21 R.Jackson, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
88.4%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush right for 3 yards gain to the OHIO28 (#25 M.Molnar; #21 R.Jackson, Jr.)Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-2
88.5%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush right for 2 yards loss to the OHIO30 (#2 D.Walker; #12 J.Minnis)Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+8
87.9%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short left to #2 J.Jones-Thomas caught at OHIO22, for 8 yards to the OHIO22 (#8 B.Dillon)Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
87.3%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OHIO20 (#57 N.Hale; #27 J.Fries), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
89.2%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short right to #12 B.Jenkins caught at OHIO15, for 5 yards to the OHIO15 (#19 B.Miller)Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+5
89.3%
(10:01) PENALTY USA False Start (#9 R.Gibbs) 5 yards from OHIO15 to OHIO20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+18
89.4%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush right for 18 yards gain to the OHIO02 (#25 M.Molnar), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
90.8%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Phillips rush left for 3 yards loss to the OHIO05 (#21 R.Jackson, Jr.)Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.1%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OHIO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:21 #35 D.Little kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 2:474% → 14%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.4%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass incomplete short right to #15 R.Neer thrown to OHIO37Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
96.4%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass incomplete deep left to #3 D.Dorwart thrown to USA 35Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+11
96.7%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OHIO48 (#17 C.Ross; #48 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
96.5%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass complete short left to #15 R.Neer caught at USA 41, for 17 yards to the USA 35 (#5 C.Blaylock; #35 M.Laseter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.1%
(07:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass incomplete deep right to #2 P.Bowman thrown to USA 02Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
96.2%
(06:59) PENALTY OHIO Delay Of Game (#7 L.Davis) 5 yards from USA 35 to USA 40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+18
96.6%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis rush right for 18 yards gain to the USA 22, out of bounds at USA 22, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
96.3%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis rush right for 12 yards gain (7) to the USA 10, out of bounds at USA 10 PENALTY OHIO Holding (#33 J.Furtney) 10 yards from USA 15 to USA 25Similar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 13
OPP 25
+15
96.0%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass complete short right to #3 D.Dorwart caught at USA 25, for 15 yards to the USA 10 QB hurried by #11 P.Shattuck (#21 D.Callins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
86.4%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass complete short left to #84 A.Miller caught at USA 00, for 10 yards to the USA 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:20, 1ST DOWN #84 A.Miller pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5293% → 92%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
92.5%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OHIO41 (#21 R.Jackson, Jr.; #11 E.Herrmann)Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
92.6%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Dunbar rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OHIO39 (#3 J.Haskins; #25 M.Molnar)Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-1
92.7%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Hollins pass complete short right to #9 R.Gibbs caught at OHIO40, for 1 yard loss to the OHIO40 (#19 B.Miller), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
91.9%
(04:20) #40 A.Pulkkinen punt 30 yards to the OHIO10 fair catch by #4 D.James-Hamilton at OHIO10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:117% → 5%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
92.7%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass complete short right to #4 V.Rosa caught at OHIO05, for 2 yards to the OHIO12 (#7 D.Vance), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-9
92.7%
(03:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis sacked for loss of 9 yards to the OHIO03 (#24 D.Darby)Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 17
OWN 3
+7
93.8%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass complete short right to #15 R.Neer caught at OHIO02, for 7 yards to the OHIO10 (#11 P.Shattuck)Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
95.2%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass incomplete short left to #2 P.Bowman thrown to OHIO21, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3096% → 98%
Q4 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
95.6%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OHIO05 (#3 J.Haskins)Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
96.8%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush right for 1 yard gain to the OHIO04 (#13 D.Morton; #50 O.DiFranco)Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
96.8%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 P.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OHIO03 (#11 E.Herrmann; #50 O.DiFranco)Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
98.3%
(01:13) #35 D.Little field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner), clock 01:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:012% → 17%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
97.6%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass complete short left to #85 R.Palmeter for 4 yards to the OHIO34 (#34 B.Thomas), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
97.6%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass complete short right to #85 R.Palmeter caught at OHIO47, for 4 yards to the OHIO38 (#24 D.Darby)Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+41
97.5%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass complete deep right to #85 R.Palmeter caught at USA 35, for 41 yards to the USA 21 (#5 C.Blaylock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
96.7%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass incomplete short to #37 B.Guffey thrown to USA 08 broken up by #2 J.HendersonSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
96.8%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Davis pass incomplete deep right to #2 P.Bowman thrown to USA 00 QB hurried by #18 M.LewisSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+21
82.6%
Dom Dorwart 21 Yd pass from Levi Davis (Will Hryszko Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+17.4
TD · Q4 0:00
Dom Dorwart 21 Yd pass from Levi Davis (Will Hryszko Kick)
-14.2
TD · Q3 12:09
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Vezza pass complete short left to #15 R.Neer caught at USA 00, for 9 yards to the USA 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:09 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer)
-13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com