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MVSU

Mississippi Valley State 0 at Sacramento State 52

SAC
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Hornet Stadium
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Win probability · SAC
modelSAC aheadMVSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSAC scoreMVSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:17 · (04:21) #46 N.Stephens punt 29 yards to the MVSU08 muffed by #29 C.Reese at MVSU08 recovered by SAC #29 C.Reese at MVSU08 #29 C.Reese return 3 yards to the MVSU05 (#4 J.Stevens)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Pregame prior+38.9Home team on offense+17.3Score differential+10.4Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.2Garbage-time factor+3.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:59: (01:02) #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MVSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:59, 1ST DOWN #49 G.Meadors kick attempt good (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton) — SAC win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 11:10: (11:13) #49 G.Meadors field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton), clock 11:10 — SAC win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:48: (08:52) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short middle to #2 M.Coleman caught at MVSU00, for 19 yards to the MVSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:48, 1ST DOWN #49 G.Meadors kick attempt good (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton) — SAC win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 2:58: (03:01) #49 G.Meadors field goal attempt from 22 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton), clock 02:58 — SAC win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SAC made the numbers' call on 4 of 6MVSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 13:33SAC 4th & 6 at SAC 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:17MVSU 4th & 7 at MVSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:07MVSU 4th & 6 at MVSU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:06MVSU 4th & 6 at SAC 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:59SAC 4th & 2 at SAC 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:08MVSU 4th & 10 at MVSU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:13MVSU 4th & 9 at MVSU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:10SAC 4th & 5 at MVSU 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:17MVSU 4th & 8 at MVSU 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:58SAC 4th & 3 at MVSU 3, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:55MVSU 4th & 1 at MVSU 29, down 30
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:05SAC 4th & 1 at MVSU 37, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:45MVSU 4th & 3 at SAC 46, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:13MVSU 4th & 6 at MVSU 44, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:35MVSU 4th & 6 at SAC 36, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:51MVSU 4th & 2 at SAC 47, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:28SAC 4th & 14 at SAC 32, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:47MVSU 4th & 5 at MVSU 30, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SAC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 0:59SAC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:48SAC Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:00SAC Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:07SAC Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:21SAC Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SACDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2499% → 99%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short middle to #2 M.Coleman thrown to SAC35 broken up by #19 K.ArinzeSimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 0 yards to the SAC25 (#8 D.Franklin; #30 J.Queisser)Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.8%
(14:18) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SAC29 (#8 D.Franklin)Similar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.7%
(13:37) #37 H.Adams punt 43 yards to the MVSU28 fair catch by #11 D.Bluitt at MVSU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:091% → 1%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
98.7%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 N.Taylor rush middle for 2 yards loss to the MVSU26 (#26 T.Thomas; #2 D.Thornton)Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+5
98.7%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 N.Taylor rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MVSU31 (#18 F.Puloka; #10 D.Houston)Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
98.7%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass incomplete short right to #14 C.Bond thrown to MVSU35 QB hurried by #90 A.ChambersSimilar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
98.6%
(12:23) #46 N.Stephens punt 0 yards to the MVSU31 blocked by #23 C.Scott recovered by SAC #21 A.Taylor at MVSU09, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 3TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:1499% → 99%
Q1 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
98.6%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #2 M.Coleman caught at MVSU06, for 4 yards to the MVSU05 (#2 J.Stokes)Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.6%
(11:43) Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush right for 0 yards to the MVSU05 (#7 M.Jackson; #38 P.Jackson)Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.6%
(10:55) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short left to #2 M.Coleman caught at MVSU00, for 5 yards to the MVSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:52 #49 G.Meadors kick attempt good (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:391% → 2%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.6%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.James rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MVSU26 (#26 T.Thomas; #9 M.Tullis)Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
98.5%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass complete short left to #9 C.James caught at MVSU26, for 5 yards to the MVSU31 (#10 D.Houston)Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
98.5%
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown rush right for 3 yards gain to the MVSU34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
98.5%
PENALTY MVSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from MVSU34 to MVSU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.5%
(09:11) #46 N.Stephens punt 40 yards to the SAC31 fair catch by #2 M.Coleman at SAC31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 5INT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:1599% → 98%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
98.5%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SAC39 (#26 M.Shuler) PENALTY SAC Holding (#54 S.Key) 10 yards from SAC31 to SAC21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+4
98.4%
(08:42) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #2 M.Coleman caught at SAC25, for 4 yards to the SAC25 (#0 W.Hawkins)Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 16
OWN 25
0
98.4%
(08:03) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete deep left to #12 O.Smith Jr. thrown to MVSU25Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 16
OWN 25
0
98.4%
(07:57) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass intercepted by #2 J.Stokes at SAC27 broken up by #8 D.Franklin, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 6MISSED FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:412% → 2%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.3%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Bluitt thrown to SAC21Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
98.3%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass complete short right to #82 J.King caught at SAC28, for 4 yards to the SAC23 (#22 E.Mullican)Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
98.2%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass incomplete short left to #14 C.Bond thrown to SAC19 broken up by #6 W.Smith Jr.Similar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
98.3%
(07:07) #85 L.Sari field goal attempt from 41 yards NO GOOD (H: #46 N.Stephens, LS: #57 J.Blankenship), clock 07:06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:0798% → 98%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
98.3%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short right to #16 J.Williams thrown to SAC37 QB hurried by #30 J.Queisser PENALTY MVSU Personal Foul (#30 J.Queisser) 15 yards from SAC23 to SAC38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
98.3%
(07:02) Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush left for 6 yards gain to the SAC44 (#7 M.Jackson; #20 J.Nicholson)Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
98.3%
(06:26) Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SAC46 (#99 D.Jones; #38 P.Jackson)Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
98.2%
(05:47) Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush middle for 0 yards to the SAC46 (#6 C.Warren; #2 J.Stokes)Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
98.1%
(05:04) #37 H.Adams punt 41 yards to the MVSU13 fair catch by #11 D.Bluitt at MVSU13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:432% → 2%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
98.1%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 N.Taylor rush left for 15 yards gain to the MVSU28 (#10 D.Houston), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
98.0%
(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass complete short right to #5 N.Taylor caught at MVSU20, for 2 yards to the MVSU30 (#13 D.Gordon)Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
98.0%
(03:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass incomplete short left to #3 C.Brownlow thrown to MVSU35 QB hurried by #11 I.Moore Jr.Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-2
98.0%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass complete short right to #5 N.Taylor caught at MVSU23, for 2 yards loss to the MVSU28 (#9 M.Tullis)Similar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
97.9%
(03:13) #46 N.Stephens punt 32 yards to the SAC40, out of bounds at SAC40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 9TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 2:0098% → 98%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.0%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SAC44 (#33 N.DiGerolamo)Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+46
97.9%
(02:28) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete deep right to #2 M.Coleman caught at MVSU10, for 46 yards to the MVSU10 (#0 W.Hawkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
97.9%
(01:38) Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MVSU01 (#7 M.Jackson; #33 N.DiGerolamo)Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.3%
(01:02) #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MVSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:59, 1ST DOWN #49 G.Meadors kick attempt good (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:372% → 2%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
98.1%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.James rush right for 1 yard gain to the MVSU25 (#8 D.Jeanty)Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
98.1%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #14 C.Bond thrown to MVSU31Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
98.1%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #14 C.Bond thrown to MVSU49 QB hurried by #52 I.Chala Jr.Similar
Q1 0:13
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
98.1%
(00:17) #46 N.Stephens punt 38 yards to the SAC37 fair catch by #2 M.Coleman at SAC37 PENALTY MVSU Personal Foul (#4 J.Stevens) 15 yards from SAC37 to MVSU48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 11FG
13 plays · 41 yds · 4:0398% → 99%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
98.3%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush left for 3 yards gain to the MVSU45 (#26 M.Shuler)Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+10
98.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush middle for 10 yards gain to the MVSU35 (#7 M.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.2%
(14:24) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short right to #2 M.Coleman thrown to MVSU30 broken up by #19 K.ArinzeSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
98.2%
(14:22) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short left to #12 O.Smith Jr. caught at MVSU36, for 8 yards to the MVSU27 (#7 M.Jackson; #0 W.Hawkins)Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+2
98.1%
(13:41) Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MVSU25 (#20 J.Nicholson; #7 M.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
98.1%
(12:55) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete deep left to #16 J.Williams thrown to MVSU03 PENALTY MVSU Roughing The Passer (#0 W.Hawkins) 13 yards from MVSU25 to MVSU12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
98.1%
(12:49) Shotgun #3 C.Rhaney rush right for 1 yard gain to the MVSU11 (#99 D.Jones; #48 C.Kore)Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+4
98.1%
(12:23) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short left to #5 R.Brown caught at MVSU15, for 4 yards to the MVSU07 (#16 D.Green)Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
97.9%
(11:49) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman rush right for 0 yards to the MVSU07 (#4 J.Stevens)Similar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
98.7%
(11:13) #49 G.Meadors field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton), clock 11:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 12TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:1999% → 99%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
98.8%
(11:07) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete deep left to #2 M.Coleman thrown to MVSU10 PENALTY MVSU Pass Interference (#16 D.Green) 15 yards from MVSU46 to MVSU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
98.8%
(11:02) Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MVSU27 (#20 J.Nicholson)Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+5
98.8%
PENALTY SAC False Start (#12 O.Smith Jr.) 5 yards from MVSU27 to MVSU32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+8
98.8%
(10:04) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #22 I.Ene caught at MVSU32, for 8 yards to the MVSU24 (#58 H.Sams)Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+5
98.8%
(09:20) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short left to #12 O.Smith Jr. caught at MVSU19, for 5 yards to the MVSU19 (#0 W.Hawkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.2%
(08:52) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short middle to #2 M.Coleman caught at MVSU00, for 19 yards to the MVSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:48, 1ST DOWN #49 G.Meadors kick attempt good (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 4:131% → 1%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
98.9%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis sacked for loss of 5 yards to the MVSU06 (#5 N.Dimitris)Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 15
OWN 6
-1
98.8%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis sacked for loss of 1 yard to the MVSU05 (#93 M.Kindle)Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 16
OWN 5
+30
98.8%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Ray rush right for 30 yards gain to the MVSU35 (#1 B.Silvera), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.7%
PENALTY MVSU Delay Of Game (#2 J.Davis) 5 yards from MVSU35 to MVSU30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+4
98.8%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Ray rush left for 4 yards gain to the MVSU34 (#3 A.Wallace)Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+24
98.8%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis rush left for 9 yards gain (9) to the MVSU43 (#1 B.Silvera) PENALTY MVSU Personal Foul (#14 C.Bond) 15 yards from MVSU43 to MVSU28Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+1
98.8%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis pass complete short right to #82 J.King caught at MVSU26, for 1 yard to the MVSU29 (#1 B.Silvera), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+8
99.2%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MVSU37 (#26 T.Thomas; #9 M.Tullis) PENALTY MVSU Chop Block declinedSimilar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+3
99.1%
(04:21) #46 N.Stephens punt 29 yards to the MVSU08 muffed by #29 C.Reese at MVSU08 recovered by SAC #29 C.Reese at MVSU08 #29 C.Reese return 3 yards to the MVSU05 (#4 J.Stevens)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 14FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5799% → 100%
Q2 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.1%
(03:59) Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MVSU04 (#2 J.Stokes)Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.1%
(03:46) Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MVSU03 (#48 C.Kore)Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.1%
(03:05) #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short right to #88 C.Anton thrown to MVSU00Similar
Q2 2:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+22
99.7%
(03:01) #49 G.Meadors field goal attempt from 22 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton), clock 02:58Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 N.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MVSU21 (#1 B.Silvera; #90 A.Chambers)Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
99.8%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis pass incomplete deep left to #3 C.Brownlow thrown to MVSU50Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+8
99.8%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MVSU29 (#1 B.Silvera)Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
99.7%
(01:59) #46 N.Stephens punt 33 yards to the SAC38 fair catch by #2 M.Coleman at SAC38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 16TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
(01:54) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Curtis thrown to SAC32 QB hurried by #8 D.FranklinSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+16
99.7%
(01:49) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #10 J.Wilson caught at MVSU49, for 16 yards to the MVSU46 (#26 M.Shuler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.7%
(01:33) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #1 J.Curtis caught at MVSU46, for 4 yards to the MVSU42 (#1 J.Davis)Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
99.7%
(01:29) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short right to #10 J.Wilson thrown to MVSU28Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+5
99.7%
(01:25) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #16 J.Williams caught at MVSU37, for 5 yards to the MVSU37 (#1 J.Davis)Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+5
99.6%
(01:11) Shotgun #3 C.Rhaney rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MVSU32 (#58 H.Sams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.7%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short middle to #16 J.Williams caught at MVSU26, for 8 yards to the MVSU24 (#26 M.Shuler)Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
99.7%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short middle to #16 J.Williams thrown to MVSU05 broken up by #26 M.ShulerSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+24
99.7%
(00:33) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete deep right to #10 J.Wilson caught at MVSU03, for 24 yards to the MVSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:28, 1ST DOWN #49 G.Meadors kick attempt good (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
(00:23) Kneel down by #2 J.Davis at MVSU20 for loss of 5 yards PENALTY MVSU Personal Foul (#19 D.Moseley Jr.) 10 yards from MVSU20 to MVSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:070% → 0%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown rush left for 7 yards gain to the MVSU32 (#18 F.Puloka)Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.7%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MVSU37 (#5 N.Dimitris; #22 E.Mullican), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.8%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass complete short left to #4 D.Ray caught at MVSU37, for 8 yards to the MVSU45 (#3 A.Wallace)Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+2
99.8%
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Ray rush left for 2 yards gain to the MVSU47 (#2 D.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.8%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 N.Taylor rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SAC47 (#3 A.Wallace)Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
99.8%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.James rush left for 0 yards to the SAC47 (#1 B.Silvera)Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+1
99.8%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.James rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SAC46 (#18 F.Puloka; #1 B.Silvera)Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
99.7%
(10:50) #46 N.Stephens punt 16 yards to the SAC30, out of bounds at SAC30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:52100% → 100%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.7%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SAC36 (#6 C.Warren)Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
99.8%
(10:06) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short left to #12 O.Smith Jr. caught at SAC35, for 7 yards to the SAC43 (#9 J.Culpepper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.8%
(09:29) Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SAC44 (#16 D.Green)Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+8
99.8%
(08:56) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #10 J.Wilson caught at SAC49, for 8 yards to the MVSU48 (#1 J.Davis; #7 M.Jackson)Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
99.8%
(08:06) #22 I.Ene rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MVSU46 (#38 P.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
99.8%
(07:26) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #22 I.Ene caught at MVSU44, for 9 yards to the MVSU37 (#7 M.Jackson)Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 1
OPP 37
-3
99.8%
(06:50) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman rush middle for 3 yards loss to the MVSU40 fumbled by #8 J.Sharman at MVSU40 recovered by MVSU #98 D.Taylor at MVSU40, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.8%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MVSU42 (#58 J.Howard Jr.; #10 D.Houston)Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
99.7%
(06:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass incomplete short right to #4 D.Ray thrown to SAC45 broken up by #8 D.JeantySimilar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+2
99.7%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Brown pass complete short right to #80 N.Buggs caught at MVSU38, for 2 yards to the MVSU44 (#9 M.Tullis)Similar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
99.7%
(05:18) #46 N.Stephens punt 54 yards to the SAC02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 21TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+9
99.9%
(05:12) #3 C.Rhaney rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SAC10 (#9 J.Culpepper; #2 J.Stokes)Similar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
99.9%
(05:00) #3 C.Rhaney rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SAC10 (#9 J.Culpepper; #2 J.Stokes)Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 2
OWN 10
0
99.8%
(04:53) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete deep right to #12 O.Smith Jr. thrown to MVSU43Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+2
99.8%
(04:46) #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SAC12 (#58 H.Sams; #24 S.John), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
99.8%
(04:06) Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SAC20 (#30 J.Queisser)Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 2
OWN 20
0
99.8%
(03:30) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short left to #2 M.Coleman thrown to SAC37 broken up by #58 H.Sams QB hurried by #45 E.McKneelySimilar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+7
99.8%
(03:24) #3 C.Rhaney rush left for 7 yards gain to the SAC27 (#19 K.Arinze; #2 J.Stokes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
99.8%
(02:46) Shotgun #3 C.Rhaney rush middle for 10 yards gain to the SAC37 (#2 J.Stokes; #19 K.Arinze), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
99.9%
Matt Coleman 63 Yd pass from Jackson Sharman (Grant Meadors Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:110% → 0%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.James rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MVSU24 (#54 B.Tagaloa)Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+8
99.9%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.James rush right for 8 yards gain to the MVSU32 (#29 C.Reese; #33 A.Rocha)Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis rush left for 1 yard gain to the MVSU33 (#54 B.Tagaloa; #19 M.Tucker) PENALTY MVSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from MVSU32 to MVSU27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+18
99.9%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis pass complete short right to #84 J.Hampton caught at MVSU45, for 18 yards to the MVSU45 (#27 N.King), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY SAC Roughing The Passer (#8 D.Jeanty) 15 yards from MVSU45 to SAC40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis rush right for 1 yard gain to the SAC39 (#19 M.Tucker)Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.James rush left for 3 yards gain to the SAC36 (#33 A.Rocha)Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
99.9%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis pass incomplete deep left to #84 J.Hampton thrown to SAC07Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-2
99.9%
(13:40) No Huddle #46 N.Stephens rush right for 2 yards loss to the SAC38 (#13 D.Gordon), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 23TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
99.9%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 16 yards gain to the MVSU46 (#29 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
(12:56) Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MVSU43 (#6 C.Warren)Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
(12:14) Shotgun #11 J.Patterson rush right for 43 yards gain to the MVSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:07, 1ST DOWN #49 G.Meadors kick attempt good (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 J.McKinnie rush right for 2 yards gain to the MVSU47 (#91 M.Richardson; #94 A.Aten)Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 J.McKinnie rush right for 1 yard gain to the MVSU48 (#14 J.Holani; #44 D.Davis)Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+5
100.0%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis pass complete short right to #81 M.Conner caught at SAC48, for 5 yards to the SAC47 (#27 N.King)Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
100.0%
(09:51) #46 N.Stephens punt 33 yards to the SAC14 fair catch by #2 M.Coleman at SAC14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 4:15100% → 100%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
99.9%
(09:50) Shotgun #3 C.Rhaney rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SAC18 (#33 N.DiGerolamo; #48 C.Kore)Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+7
99.9%
(09:15) Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SAC25 (#33 N.DiGerolamo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
(08:40) Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SAC29 (#48 C.Kore; #96 O.Summers)Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
(08:02) Shotgun #11 J.Patterson rush left for 7 yards gain to the SAC36 (#29 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(07:26) Shotgun #11 J.Patterson rush middle for 0 yards to the SAC36 (#32 A.Pam; #51 J.Estera)Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-7
99.9%
(06:59) Shotgun #13 E.Washington rush right for 7 yards loss to the SAC29 (#30 J.Queisser)Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
(06:15) Shotgun #6 B.Salazar Jr pass complete short right to #0 D.Swinney caught at SAC29, for 3 yards to the SAC32 (#0 W.Hawkins)Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
99.9%
(05:31) #37 H.Adams punt 40 yards to the MVSU28 fair catch by #11 D.Bluitt at MVSU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 26FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.James rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MVSU31 (#99 D.Blake; #16 L.Holani)Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-3
100.0%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis sacked for loss of 3 yards to the MVSU28 (#98 C.Kallhoff)Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-10
100.0%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Davis sacked for loss of 10 yards to the MVSU18 (#44 D.Davis), fumble by #2 J.Davis recovered by SAC #98 C.Kallhoff at MVSU18, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 27TD
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
100.0%
(04:04) Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 15 yards gain to the MVSU03 (#29 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
(03:23) Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MVSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:21 #9 S.Marks kick attempt good (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.James rush right for 1 yard gain to the MVSU26 (#15 K.Jefferson; #50 F.Cobarubio)Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
(02:30) Shotgun #9 C.James rush right for 4 yards gain to the MVSU30 (#31 J.Cahoon; #98 C.Kallhoff)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
(01:59) Shotgun #2 J.Davis pass incomplete short right to #81 M.Conner thrown to MVSU40 QB hurried by #98 C.KallhoffSimilar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
(01:50) #46 N.Stephens punt 38 yards to the SAC32 fair catch by #2 M.Coleman at SAC32 PENALTY MVSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#21 K.Yancey) 15 yards from SAC32 to SAC47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 29END OF HALF
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
100.0%
(01:46) Shotgun #23 E.Brown rush middle for 16 yards gain to the MVSU37 (#0 W.Hawkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
100.0%
(01:07) Kneel down by #6 B.Salazar Jr at MVSU38 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-1
100.0%
(00:33) Kneel down by #6 B.Salazar Jr at MVSU39 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:48
(08:52) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short middle to #2 M.Coleman caught at MVSU00, for 19 yards to the MVSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:48, 1ST DOWN #49 G.Meadors kick attempt good (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton)
+1.1
FG · Q2 11:10
(11:13) #49 G.Meadors field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton), clock 11:10
+0.8
FG · Q2 2:58
(03:01) #49 G.Meadors field goal attempt from 22 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton), clock 02:58
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com