2026 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026 · University Stadium (NM)
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
UNM30
AF21
UNM by 9
Win chance
UNM73%
AF 27%UNM 73%
Projected total
50pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
54%
chance New Mexico wins by 7 or more
46% New Mexico wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← AF winsUNM wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- AF by 1 to UNM by 19
- 80% of outcomes
- AF by 11 to UNM by 30
- 90% of outcomes
- AF by 13 to UNM by 39
- Median
- UNM by 8
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.