2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · CEFCU Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
UNLV27
SJSU21
UNLV by 6
Win chance
UNLV64%
UNLV 64%SJSU 36%
Projected total
48pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
58%
chance UNLV wins by 3 or more
42% UNLV wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← SJSU winsUNLV wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- SJSU by 4 to UNLV by 15
- 80% of outcomes
- SJSU by 13 to UNLV by 26
- 90% of outcomes
- SJSU by 19 to UNLV by 32
- Median
- UNLV by 6
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.