2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · Fargodome
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
NDSU37
NIU11
NDSU by 26
Win chance
NDSU93%
NIU 7%NDSU 93%
Projected total
48pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
59%
chance North Dakota State wins by 21 or more
41% North Dakota State wins by 20 or fewer, or loses
← NIU winsNDSU wins →
-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- NDSU by 15 to 37
- 80% of outcomes
- NDSU by 3 to 44
- 90% of outcomes
- NIU by 1 to NDSU by 47
- Median
- NDSU by 24
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.