2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · University Stadium (NM)
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
UNM29
UNLV19
UNM by 10
Win chance
UNM74%
UNLV 26%UNM 74%
Projected total
48pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
56%
chance New Mexico wins by 7 or more
44% New Mexico wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← UNLV winsUNM wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- Even to UNM by 20
- 80% of outcomes
- UNLV by 9 to UNM by 31
- 90% of outcomes
- UNLV by 16 to UNM by 36
- Median
- UNM by 9
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.