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2026 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2026 · Mackay Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
UNM29
NEV19
UNM by 10
Win chance
UNM76%
UNM 76%NEV 24%
Projected total
49pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
56%
chance New Mexico wins by 7 or more
44% New Mexico wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← NEV winsUNM wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
UNM by 1 to 24
80% of outcomes
NEV by 10 to UNM by 33
90% of outcomes
NEV by 17 to UNM by 37
Median
UNM by 9
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com