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2026 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026 · Allegiant Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
UNLV34
NIU13
UNLV by 21
Win chance
UNLV90%
NIU 10%UNLV 90%
Projected total
47pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
50%
chance UNLV wins by 21 or more
50% UNLV wins by 20 or fewer, or loses
← NIU winsUNLV wins →
-140+14+28+42
50% of outcomes
UNLV by 9 to 31
80% of outcomes
Even to UNLV by 39
90% of outcomes
NIU by 5 to UNLV by 45
Median
UNLV by 20
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com