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2026 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026 · CEFCU Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
UNM31
SJSU16
UNM by 15
Win chance
UNM81%
UNM 81%SJSU 19%
Projected total
46pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
54%
chance New Mexico wins by 14 or more
46% New Mexico wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← SJSU winsUNM wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
UNM by 4 to 25
80% of outcomes
SJSU by 6 to UNM by 38
90% of outcomes
SJSU by 15 to UNM by 39
Median
UNM by 15
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com