2026 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026 · Mackay Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
NEV31
SJSU19
NEV by 12
Win chance
NEV74%
SJSU 26%NEV 74%
Projected total
50pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance Nevada wins by 7 or more
43% Nevada wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← SJSU winsNEV wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- Even to NEV by 19
- 80% of outcomes
- SJSU by 12 to NEV by 28
- 90% of outcomes
- SJSU by 20 to NEV by 33
- Median
- NEV by 9
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.