2026 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026 · University Stadium (NM)
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
UNM30
NDSU16
UNM by 14
Win chance
UNM71%
NDSU 29%UNM 71%
Projected total
47pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
56%
chance New Mexico wins by 7 or more
44% New Mexico wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← NDSU winsUNM wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- NDSU by 2 to UNM by 21
- 80% of outcomes
- NDSU by 12 to UNM by 31
- 90% of outcomes
- NDSU by 18 to UNM by 34
- Median
- UNM by 9
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.