Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
AF27
UNLV25
AF by 2 · market AF by 1.25
Win chance
AF60%
UNLV 40%AF 60%
Projected total
52pts
Market total 47.5
Explore the range of outcomes
60%
chance Air Force wins
40% UNLV wins
← UNLV winsAF wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- UNLV by 2 to AF by 12
- 80% of outcomes
- UNLV by 19 to AF by 21
- 90% of outcomes
- UNLV by 25 to AF by 26
- Median
- AF by 2
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 2% | 3% | <1% |
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds