2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Sun Bowl
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
SJSU28
UTEP21
SJSU by 7 · market SJSU by 7.5
Win chance
SJSU65%
SJSU 65%UTEP 35%
Projected total
49pts
Market total 46.75
Explore the range of outcomes
61%
chance San José State wins by 3 or more
39% San José State wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← UTEP winsSJSU wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- UTEP by 5 to SJSU by 19
- 80% of outcomes
- UTEP by 17 to SJSU by 28
- 90% of outcomes
- UTEP by 20 to SJSU by 31
- Median
- SJSU by 8
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| Also riding on it | Now | SJSU wins (65%)If San José State wins (65%) | UTEP wins (35%)If UTEP wins (35%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 54% | 55% | 54% |
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds