2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Fargodome
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
NDSU31
NEV18
NDSU by 13 · market NDSU by 15.25
Win chance
NDSU81%
NEV 19%NDSU 81%
Projected total
48pts
Market total 44.75
Explore the range of outcomes
67%
chance North Dakota State wins by 7 or more
33% North Dakota State wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← NEV winsNDSU wins →
-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- NDSU by 4 to 22
- 80% of outcomes
- NEV by 6 to NDSU by 34
- 90% of outcomes
- NEV by 11 to NDSU by 38
- Median
- NDSU by 13
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State | 8% | 9% | <1% |
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds