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WYO

Wyoming 0 at North Dakota State 28

NDSU
2026 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026 · Fargodome
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Win probability · NDSU
modelNDSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playNDSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:31 · (08:27) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 44 yards to the NDSU26 #18 J.Williams return 3 yards to the NDSU29 (#13 E.Ampofo)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior+25.2Home team on offense+7.5Score differential+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Garbage-time factor+0.6Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:39: (10:44) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes rush right for 14 yards gain to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:39, 1ST DOWN #37 D.Klein kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Bickerton, LS: #48 C.Anderson) — NDSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NDSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 10:27: (10:39) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 2 yards gain to the WYO27, out of bounds at WYO27 — WYO win probability +1.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:20: (08:31) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NDSU38 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz) — NDSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NDSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:20: (00:21) #37 D.Klein field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Bickerton, LS: #48 C.Anderson), clock 00:20 — WYO win probability +0.8 pts (now 9%) (top driver: NDSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 8:20: (08:22) #37 D.Klein field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Bickerton, LS: #48 C.Anderson), clock 08:20 — NDSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NDSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 10:37WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:41NDSU 4th & 19 at NDSU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:01WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:41NDSU 4th & 2 at WYO 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.5%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:07WYO 4th & 5 at NDSU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    15.0%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:31WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:44NDSU 4th & 4 at NDSU 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:40WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:20NDSU 4th & 13 at WYO 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:20NDSU 4th & 5 at WYO 19, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:41WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:53WYO 4th & 5 at NDSU 5, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -1.1%−2.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:01NDSU 4th & 11 at NDSU 5, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:10WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 28, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:54WYO 4th & 7 at NDSU 41, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:53NDSU 4th & 9 at WYO 43, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NDSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:43NDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:39NDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:50NDSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
86.2%
(14:52) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass intercepted by #1 D.Woolen at WYO32 #1 D.Woolen return 13 yards to the WYO19 (#6 T.Hughes)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4886% → 86%
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
86.2%
(14:40) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short right to #18 J.Williams caught at WYO16, for 8 yards to the WYO11 (#11 E.Bogar; #23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+6
86.1%
(14:12) #7 D.Scott rush right for 6 yards gain to the WYO05 (#98 J.Williams; #99 D.Wingate), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
86.0%
(13:31) #7 D.Scott rush middle for 3 yards loss to the WYO08 (#92 D.Drake; #99 D.Wingate)Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
85.8%
(12:53) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass incomplete short middle to #81 R.Kessel thrown to WYO00Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.2%
(12:49) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes rush left for 8 yards gain to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:43 #37 D.Klein kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Bickerton, LS: #48 C.Anderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5514% → 14%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
86.0%
(12:36) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WYO20 (#3 G.Sell; #29 D.Givance)Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+1
86.0%
(12:03) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WYO21 (#1 D.Woolen; #94 L.Larson)Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+2
85.9%
(11:18) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #3 D.DeBlanc caught at WYO19, for 2 yards to the WYO23 (#8 K.Wilson)Similar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
85.9%
(10:43) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 41 yards to the NDSU36 fair catch by #18 J.Williams at NDSU36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:5186% → 86%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.9%
(10:37) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass incomplete short left to #18 J.Williams thrown to NDSU43 broken up by #3 I.BellSimilar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
85.8%
(10:32) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass incomplete deep middle to #18 J.Williams thrown to WYO16Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-9
85.7%
Shotgun #2 N.Hayes sacked for loss of 9 yards to the NDSU27 (#98 J.Williams)Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 19
OWN 27
+10
85.5%
(09:40) #39 A.Bickerton punt 54 yards to the WYO19 #19 C.Coenen return 10 yards to the WYO29 (#14 T.Eady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:2514% → 15%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
85.8%
(09:37) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WYO38 (#29 D.Givance)Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
85.5%
(09:00) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 0 yards to the WYO38 (#11 M.Stenbroten)Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
85.3%
(08:17) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WYO41 (#29 D.Givance), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
85.2%
(07:39) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short left thrown to NDSU45 QB hurried by #8 K.WilsonSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
85.4%
(07:26) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 0 yards to the WYO41 (#1 D.Woolen)Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+5
85.5%
(06:49) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep middle to #1 S.Harris thrown to NDSU37 broken up by #1 D.Woolen PENALTY NDSU Offside (#8 K.Wilson) 5 yards from WYO41 to WYO46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 5
OWN 46
-3
84.8%
(06:44) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WYO43 (#1 D.Woolen)Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
85.3%
(06:04) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 32 yards to the NDSU25, out of bounds at NDSU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 41 yds · 3:1186% → 85%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.5%
(05:56) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush right for 7 yards gain to the NDSU32 (#90 C.Brook)Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+25
85.6%
(05:19) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short left to #18 J.Williams caught at NDSU36, for 25 yards to the WYO43 (#9 D.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
85.9%
(04:36) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush left for 0 yards to the WYO43 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
85.6%
(03:57) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WYO37 (#34 S.Perez; #42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+2
85.3%
(03:16) Shotgun #26 B.Wavrunek rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WYO35 (#92 D.Drake)Similar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+1
85.0%
(02:41) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WYO34 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (02:41) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WYO32 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz), 1ST DOWN)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:0216% → 16%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
84.4%
(02:14) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 14 yards gain to the WYO48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WYO Personal Foul (#19 C.Coenen) 14 yards from WYO48 to WYO34Similar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
84.4%
(01:51) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 4 yards gain to the WYO38 (#11 M.Stenbroten)Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+12
84.0%
(01:04) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #8 M.Holman caught at WYO32, for 12 yards to the WYO50 (#29 D.Givance; #95 Z.Vanderpool), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
50
0
83.6%
(00:38) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short left to #89 J.Wilson thrown to NDSU32 QB hurried by #9 K.McCaslinSimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
50
+5
83.9%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 5 yards gain to the NDSU45 (#16 M.Moore)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
83.5%
(15:00) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes sacked for loss of 0 yards to the NDSU45 (#9 K.McCaslin)Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
83.9%
(14:07) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 42 yards to the NDSU03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 97 yds · 3:1984% → 89%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
84.0%
(14:07) #2 N.Hayes rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NDSU12 (#23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 1
OWN 12
+3
84.0%
(13:29) #7 D.Scott rush left for 3 yards gain to the NDSU15 (#25 T.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
84.0%
(12:56) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes rush right for 18 yards gain to the NDSU33 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz; #23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
84.0%
(12:08) #18 J.Williams rush left for 13 yards gain to the NDSU46 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+35
84.7%
(11:51) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete deep right to #18 J.Williams caught at WYO23, for 35 yards to the WYO19 (#1 D.Hearns), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
84.9%
(11:14) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short right to #15 M.Collins caught at WYO14, for 5 yards to the WYO14 (#3 I.Bell), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
89.1%
(10:44) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes rush right for 14 yards gain to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:39, 1ST DOWN #37 D.Klein kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Bickerton, LS: #48 C.Anderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5612% → 12%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.1%
(10:39) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 2 yards gain to the WYO27, out of bounds at WYO27Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
88.3%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WYO26 (#1 D.Woolen; #3 G.Sell)Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
88.3%
(09:10) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 4 yards gain to the WYO30 (#29 D.Givance; #3 G.Sell). The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (09:10) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 4 yards gain to the WYO30 (#3 G.Sell; #29 D.Givance) PENALTY NDSU Targeting (#29 D.Givance) 15 yards from WYO30 to WYO45, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
88.4%
(08:27) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 44 yards to the NDSU26 #18 J.Williams return 3 yards to the NDSU29 (#13 E.Ampofo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3691% → 91%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
91.4%
(08:31) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NDSU38 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+5
91.5%
(07:53) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NDSU43 (#34 S.Perez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
91.7%
(07:19) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush middle for 0 yards to the NDSU43 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
91.8%
(06:38) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short left to #7 D.Scott caught at NDSU38, for 6 yards to the NDSU49 (#1 D.Hearns; #34 S.Perez)Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
91.6%
(06:02) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass incomplete deep right to #18 J.Williams thrown to WYO22 broken up by #1 D.HearnsSimilar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+10
91.3%
(05:56) #39 A.Bickerton punt 36 yards to the WYO15 #19 C.Coenen return 10 yards to the WYO25 (#1 D.Woolen; #20 W.Steil)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0510% → 10%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.6%
(05:45) PENALTY WYO False Start (#50 G.Panozzo) 5 yards from WYO25 to WYO20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
89.8%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WYO25 (#3 G.Sell; #29 D.Givance)Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
89.8%
(05:09) #6 T.Hughes sacked for loss of 6 yards to the WYO19 (#0 V.Isele, #9 K.McCaslin)Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+14
90.1%
(04:25) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #89 J.Wilson caught at WYO24, for 14 yards to the WYO33 (#3 G.Sell; #16 M.Moore)Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+11
90.1%
(03:40) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 59 yards to the NDSU08 #18 J.Williams return 11 yards to the NDSU19 (#4 J.Vincent). The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (03:40) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 59 yards to the NDSU08 #18 J.Williams return 4 yards to the NDSU14 fumbled by #18 J.Williams at NDSU14 forced by #4 J.Vincent recovered by WYO #24 J.Gary at NDSU12 #24 J.Gary return 12 yards to the NDSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:23)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 12FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 2:4392% → 91%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
91.9%
(03:11) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short middle to #15 M.Collins caught at NDSU31, for 12 yards to the NDSU31 (#23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
92.1%
(02:55) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush right for 7 yards gain to the NDSU38 (#26 G.Rutherford), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+3
92.3%
(02:31) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NDSU41 (#26 G.Rutherford), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WYO Personal Foul (#42 E.Stuhlsatz) 15 yards from NDSU41 to WYO44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
92.5%
Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass incomplete short right to #17 I.St. Romain thrown to WYO34 broken up by #25 T.WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+19
92.5%
(02:12) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes rush right for 19 yards gain to the WYO25 (#22 J.DaCosta), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
91.6%
(02:00) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short right to #8 J.Patterson caught at WYO26, for 5 yards to the WYO20 (#25 T.Williams)Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
91.6%
(01:34) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass incomplete deep left to #18 J.Williams thrown to WYO00 broken up by #9 D.Miller QB hurried by #42 E.StuhlsatzSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+16
90.4%
(01:28) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush right for 16 yards gain to the WYO04 (#21 J.Dunkley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
89.4%
(01:20) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes rush right for 1 yard gain to the WYO03 (#34 S.Perez)Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
89.4%
(00:39) #2 N.Hayes pass incomplete short left to #84 L.Conklin thrown to WYO00 broken up by #25 T.WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+10
88.7%
(00:33) #7 D.Scott rush right for 3 yards gain to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:29 PENALTY NDSU Holding (#68 C.Okeson) 10 yards from WYO03 to WYO13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
92.0%
(00:28) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass incomplete short middle to #15 M.Collins thrown to WYO00Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
91.2%
(00:21) #37 D.Klein field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Bickerton, LS: #48 C.Anderson), clock 00:20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.2%
(00:19) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WYO32 (#1 D.Woolen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 14FG
17 plays · 74 yds · 6:2592% → 97%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
91.6%
(14:49) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush right for 2 yards gain to the NDSU09 (#98 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
91.6%
(14:17) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass incomplete deep left to #82 C.Kiel thrown to NDSU44 QB hurried by #92 D.DrakeSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+13
91.3%
(14:13) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short middle to #15 M.Collins caught at NDSU20, for 13 yards to the NDSU22 (#3 I.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
91.6%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short right to #44 L.Kokat caught at NDSU25, for 12 yards to the NDSU34 (#23 J.Thomas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
92.0%
(13:11) Shotgun #4 N.Punni rush right for 2 yards loss to the NDSU32 (#21 J.Dunkley)Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+6
92.4%
(12:34) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short right to #84 L.Conklin caught at NDSU37, for 6 yards to the NDSU38, out of bounds at NDSU38Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+7
92.4%
(12:30) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short right to #18 J.Williams caught at NDSU45, for 7 yards to the NDSU45 (#1 D.Hearns), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
93.0%
(12:06) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short middle to #81 R.Kessel caught at WYO41, for 14 yards to the WYO41 (#23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
93.2%
(11:30) Shotgun #4 N.Punni rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WYO39 (#34 S.Perez)Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+7
94.2%
(10:45) Shotgun #26 B.Wavrunek rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WYO32 (#34 S.Perez; #23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+8
94.1%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Wavrunek rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WYO24 (#55 K.Sjogren; #34 S.Perez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
94.4%
(09:44) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass incomplete short right to #7 D.Scott thrown to WYO18Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
94.7%
(09:39) Shotgun #18 J.Williams rush right for 6 yards gain to the WYO18 (#3 I.Bell)Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 4
OPP 18
-1
94.6%
(09:05) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush right for 1 yard loss to the WYO19 (#92 D.Drake)Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
96.8%
(08:22) #37 D.Klein field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Bickerton, LS: #48 C.Anderson), clock 08:20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:324% → 3%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.5%
(08:18) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 6 yards gain to the WYO31 (#16 M.Moore)Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
96.4%
(07:42) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WYO35 (#3 G.Sell; #94 L.Larson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.5%
(07:04) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush left for 3 yards gain to the WYO38 (#9 K.McCaslin)Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
96.5%
(06:28) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 1 yard gain to the WYO39 (#1 D.Woolen; #93 A.Okes)Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
96.7%
(05:52) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short middle to #19 C.Coenen thrown to WYO42 QB hurried by #1 D.WoolenSimilar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
96.7%
(05:49) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 52 yards to the NDSU09 fair catch by #18 J.Williams at NDSU09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:1397% → 97%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
97.4%
(05:41) #4 N.Punni rush right for 15 yards gain to the NDSU24 (#1 D.Hearns), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
97.4%
(04:59) #4 N.Punni rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NDSU33 (#5 B.Cheek; #21 J.Dunkley)Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 1
OWN 33
-7
97.4%
(04:20) #4 N.Punni rush left for 7 yards loss to the NDSU26 fumbled by #4 N.Punni at NDSU27 recovered by WYO #34 S.Perez at NDSU26, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:164% → 2%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
96.3%
(04:15) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NDSU17 (#3 G.Sell)Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+12
96.4%
(03:37) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush left for 12 yards gain to the NDSU05 (#12 D.Voltz), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
96.8%
(03:04) #89 J.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NDSU06 (#21 N.Taylor)Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
97.2%
(02:28) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NDSU01 (#3 G.Sell; #6 J.Crumby)Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
97.5%
(01:44) PENALTY WYO False Start (#52 C.Donaway) 5 yards from NDSU01 to NDSU06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
97.6%
(01:45) #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NDSU05 (#1 D.Woolen)Similar
Q3 0:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.0%
(01:00) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short middle to #89 J.Wilson thrown to NDSU00 broken up by #6 J.Crumby QB hurried by #25 R.James, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:4899% → 100%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
99.3%
(00:54) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush right for 5 yards gain to the NDSU11 (#26 G.Rutherford; #42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+2
99.3%
(00:18) #7 D.Scott rush right for 2 yards gain to the NDSU13 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+5
99.4%
PENALTY NDSU Illegal Snap (#61 G.Schmidt) 5 yards from NDSU13 to NDSU08. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 8
-3
99.4%
(15:00) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes sacked for loss of 3 yards to the NDSU05 (#99 D.Wingate)Similar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 11
OWN 5
0
99.6%
(14:13) #39 A.Bickerton punt 68 yards to the WYO27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:391% → 1%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.9%
(13:59) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short left to #1 S.Harris thrown to WYO24Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
98.9%
(13:52) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 1 yard gain to the WYO28 (#12 D.Voltz; #29 D.Givance)Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
99.0%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #1 S.Harris thrown to WYO40Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
99.0%
(13:17) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 38 yards to the NDSU34 fair catch by #18 J.Williams at NDSU34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 4:12100% → 100%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.7%
(13:11) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush right for 5 yards loss to the NDSU29 (#9 D.Miller)Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+9
99.7%
(12:30) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short right to #26 B.Wavrunek caught at NDSU24, for 9 yards to the NDSU38 (#9 D.Miller; #11 E.Bogar)Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+30
99.8%
(11:47) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short right to #81 R.Kessel caught at NDSU44, for 30 yards to the WYO32 (#1 D.Hearns; #22 J.DaCosta), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.8%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 B.Kpeenu rush right for 0 yards to the WYO32 (#34 S.Perez)Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+13
99.8%
(10:45) #2 N.Hayes rush left for 13 yards gain to the WYO19, out of bounds at WYO19, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
99.8%
(10:05) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WYO08 (#34 S.Perez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
99.8%
(09:18) #7 D.Scott rush right for 7 yards gain to the WYO01 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
(08:51) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:50 #18 J.Williams rush attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:490% → 0%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
(08:50) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush left for 4 yards gain to the WYO29 (#99 O.Niyonkuru; #25 R.James)Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
(08:14) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #80 T.Siddons caught at WYO35, for 8 yards to the WYO37 (#25 R.James), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
(07:41) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WYO40 (#20 W.Steil)Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+16
99.9%
(07:07) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #19 C.Coenen caught at NDSU47, for 16 yards to the NDSU44 (#14 T.Eady), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
(06:27) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #89 J.Wilson thrown to NDSU45Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
(06:23) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush left for 1 yard gain to the NDSU43 (#1 D.Woolen; #6 J.Crumby)Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+2
99.9%
(05:46) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush left for 2 yards gain to the NDSU41 (#41 P.Haugo)Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
99.9%
(05:01) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short middle to #89 J.Wilson thrown to NDSU34, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
100.0%
(04:56) Shotgun #32 B.Kpeenu rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WYO49 (#92 D.Drake)Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
100.0%
(04:14) Shotgun #32 B.Kpeenu rush left for 5 yards gain to the WYO44 (#92 D.Drake), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
100.0%
(03:30) Shotgun #32 B.Kpeenu rush left for 1 yard loss to the WYO45 (#34 S.Perez)Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
(02:49) #32 B.Kpeenu rush left for 2 yards gain to the WYO43 (#46 D.Bauman; #90 C.Brook)Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
100.0%
(02:05) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass incomplete short middle to #8 J.Patterson thrown to WYO30 QB hurried by #99 D.WingateSimilar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
100.0%
(01:56) #39 A.Bickerton punt 43 yards to the WYO00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
(01:51) Shotgun #21 N.Hamilton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WYO25 (#30 J.Archibald; #41 P.Haugo)Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
(01:15) Shotgun #21 N.Hamilton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WYO27 (#52 K.Williams)Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
(00:37) Shotgun #14 L.Sims rush left for 5 yards gain to the WYO32 (#42 A.Elliott; #52 K.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
100.0%
(00:18) Shotgun #21 N.Hamilton rush right for 3 yards gain to the WYO35 (#42 A.Elliott; #34 D.Russell) PENALTY WYO Personal Foul (#11 J.Williams) 14 yards from WYO32 to WYO18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 24
OWN 17
+2
100.0%
(00:00) Shotgun #21 N.Hamilton rush left for 2 yards gain to the WYO20 (#4 N.Nelson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:39
(10:44) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes rush right for 14 yards gain to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:39, 1ST DOWN #37 D.Klein kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Bickerton, LS: #48 C.Anderson)
+4.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 8:20
(08:31) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NDSU38 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)
+3
FG · Q3 8:20
(08:22) #37 D.Klein field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Bickerton, LS: #48 C.Anderson), clock 08:20
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com