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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreAF score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:27 · (02:32) Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AF21 (#45 J.Reese), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remainingDefense timeouts
This game in five plays
- TD · Q3 4:43: (04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco rush middle for 9 yards gain to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:43, 1ST DOWN #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack) — NEV win probability +16.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
- TD · Q4 10:24: (10:29) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka pass complete short left to #3 M.Long caught at Nevada01, for 7 yards to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:24, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Cremascoli kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Kibbee, LS: #46 J.Helms) — AF win probability +30.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
- TD · Q4 5:56: (06:00) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:56 #90 C.Cremascoli kick attempt good (H: #98 R.D'Angelo, LS: #46 J.Helms) — AF win probability +17.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
- TD · Q4 1:49: (02:00) Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 57 yards gain to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:49, 1ST DOWN #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack) — NEV win probability +44.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
- FG · OT 0:00: (00:00) #90 C.Cremascoli field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #98 R.D'Angelo, LS: #46 J.Helms), clock 00:00 — AF win probability +14.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 6 of 7AF made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
- Q1 9:37NEV 4th & 8 at AF 19, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snapGo for it40.0%−0.132% to convertField goalTheir call40.1%77% to makePunt39.3%−0.8average punt
- Q1 5:07AF 4th & 5 at NEV 25, down 3Close callKicked a field goal · 57.7% before the snapGo for it57.7%41% to convertField goalTheir call57.7%−<0.166% to makePunt55.9%−1.8average punt
- Q1 2:27NEV 4th & 1 at AF 22, up 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call47.1%71% to convertField goal46.2%−0.972% to makePunt43.7%−3.3average punt
- Q2 14:38AF 4th & 8 at AF 38, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snapGo for it56.7%−0.434% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call57.1%average punt
- Q2 11:23NEV 4th & 10 at AF 46, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snapGo for it43.9%−0.230% to convertField goal43.5%−0.623% to makePuntTheir call44.2%average punt
- Q2 2:45AF 4th & 1 at NEV 1, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call56.5%59% to convertField goal54.0%−2.494% to makePunt48.4%−8.0average punt
- Q2 8:01AF 4th & 1 at AF 36, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call56.9%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt55.6%−1.3average punt
- Q2 1:10NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 30, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snapGo for it43.9%−1.328% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call45.2%average punt
- Q3 11:32AF 4th & 1 at NEV 37, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call55.2%70% to convertField goal51.3%−3.940% to makePunt51.1%−4.2average punt
- Q3 7:50AF 4th & 6 at NEV 16, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.9% before the snapGo for it52.1%−1.038% to convertField goalTheir call53.1%81% to makePunt42.7%−10.4average punt
- Q3 0:10AF 4th & 9 at NEV 44, down 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snapGo for it37.1%−0.532% to convertField goal35.6%−2.027% to makePuntTheir call37.6%average punt
- Q4 13:40NEV 4th & 3 at NEV 18, up 4Close callPunted · 63.5% before the snapGo for it64.3%51% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call63.7%−0.5average punt
- Q4 10:24AF 4th & 1 at NEV 7, down 4Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call38.7%70% to convertField goal34.0%−4.691% to makePunt20.0%−18.6average punt
- Q4 8:18NEV 4th & 5 at AF 45, down 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call38.9%41% to convertField goal35.8%−3.125% to makePunt36.8%−2.1average punt
- Q4 3:45NEV 4th & 12 at AF 14, down 10Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.3% before the snapGo for it10.7%−1.420% to convertField goalTheir call12.1%84% to makePunt7.4%−4.7average punt
- Q4 2:46AF 4th & 12 at AF 23, up 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snapGo for it84.7%−2.822% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call87.6%average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2AF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
- Q3 4:43NEV Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call59.4%97% to makeGo for two59.2%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 10:24AF Touchdown, up 2 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call59.2%97% to makeGo for two58.1%−1.145% to convert
- Q4 5:56AF Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call88.4%97% to makeGo for two88.1%−0.345% to convert
- Q4 1:49NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call48.6%97% to makeGo for two46.8%−1.845% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartNEVDrive 1FG15 plays · 56 yds · 5:1236% → 39%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
35.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #0 D.Kelley caught at Nevada23, for 7 yards to the Nevada32 (#6 B.Fletcher), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
36.1%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Nevada34 (#8 D.Daley)Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
36.4%
(13:56) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short middle to #7 G.Givens III caught at Nevada38, for 7 yards to the Nevada41 (#22 E.Oyamendan; #48 A.Menard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
36.6%
(13:24) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short middle to #0 D.Kelley thrown to Nevada45Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
36.6%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short left to #9 M.Brown thrown to Nevada48Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+13
36.6%
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #0 D.Kelley caught at Nevada39, for 13 yards to the AF46 (#8 D.Daley; #6 B.Fletcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
37.2%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short middle to #11 D.Morgan caught at AF41, for 5 yards to the AF41 (#6 B.Fletcher)Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-2
37.4%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush left for 2 yards loss to the AF43 (#8 D.Daley)Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+22
37.6%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete deep right to #7 G.Givens III caught at AF23, for 22 yards to the AF21 (#23 C.Paterson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
38.0%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #11 D.Morgan caught at AF22, for 1 yard to the AF20 (#6 B.Fletcher; #97 B.Williams)Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+6
38.3%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the AF14 (#92 C.Vasek)Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+5
38.4%
(09:58) PENALTY Nevada False Start (#72 E.Newman) 5 yards from AF14 to AF19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
38.6%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right to #7 G.Givens III thrown to AF00. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+36
38.8%
(09:41) #84 J.McFadden field goal attempt from 36 yards GOOD (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack), clock 09:37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2FG9 plays · 50 yds · 4:1761% → 61%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
38.8%
(09:37) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AF28 (#92 M.Williams)Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
39.0%
(08:57) #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AF32 (#2 E.Smith)Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
39.3%
(08:28) #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AF36 (#32 D.Labarbera), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
39.4%
(07:48) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 34 yards gain to the Nevada30 (#32 D.Labarbera), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
38.9%
(07:06) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada29 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens)Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+4
39.1%
(06:34) Shotgun #44 R.Conti rush left for 4 yards gain to the Nevada25 (#32 D.Labarbera; #92 M.Williams)Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
39.6%
(05:52) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush right for 0 yards to the Nevada25 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens; #0 J.Scott)Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
39.1%
(05:07) #90 C.Cremascoli field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #98 R.D'Angelo, LS: #46 J.Helms), clock 05:07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3TD11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2840% → 47%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
39.6%
(05:07) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #18 D.Henry caught at Nevada41, for 28 yards to the AF47 (#23 C.Paterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
40.6%
(04:50) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete deep left to #5 D.Cheers thrown to AF16Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
44.5%
(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 6 yards gain to the AF41 (#8 D.Daley) PENALTY AF Illegal Substitution 5 yards from AF47 to AF42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+10
44.9%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Kelley thrown to AF42 PENALTY AF Holding (#24 J.Elie-Stuart) 10 yards from AF42 to AF32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
45.1%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 K.Woods rush right for 8 yards gain to the AF24 (#9 M.Mustell)Similar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
45.7%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #11 D.Morgan caught at AF25, for 1 yard to the AF23 (#8 D.Daley; #6 B.Fletcher)Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
45.7%
(03:25) Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 0 yards to the AF23 (#8 D.Daley)Similar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
45.5%
(02:32) Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AF21 (#45 J.Reese), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
47.1%
(01:58) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short middle to #9 M.Brown caught at AF10, for 13 yards to the AF08 (#25 H.Vinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
47.3%
(01:31) Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush left for 8 yards gain to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:32 #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4PUNT8 plays · 13 yds · 1:4554% → 58%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
45.7%
(01:32) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 8 yards gain to the AF33 (#92 M.Williams)Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
45.1%
(00:59) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AF36 (#2 E.Smith; #32 D.Labarbera), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
40.1%
(00:27) #44 R.Conti rush right for 2 yards gain to the AF38 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens; #32 D.Labarbera), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
39.9%
(15:00) #9 L.Szarka pass incomplete short middle to #29 S.Maiava-Alaimalo thrown to Nevada43Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
40.5%
(14:56) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka pass incomplete short middle to #4 K.Hodges thrown to AF43 broken up by #1 J.Naborne-OwensSimilar
Q2 14:38
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+15
41.6%
(14:48) #94 W.Duncan punt 58 yards to the Nevada04 #41 G.Robinson return 15 yards to the Nevada19 (#44 J.Bowman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT10 plays · 35 yds · 3:0342% → 43%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
41.9%
(14:37) Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Nevada25, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
42.3%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Morgan thrown to Nevada26Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+15
41.6%
PENALTY AF Personal Foul (#2 K.Johnson) 15 yards from Nevada25 to Nevada40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
43.2%
(14:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Nevada48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+6
44.0%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush left for 6 yards gain to the AF46 (#6 B.Fletcher; #48 A.Menard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
44.6%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete deep left to #9 M.Brown thrown to AF15Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-10
44.5%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones sacked for loss of 10 yards to the Nevada44 (#90 M.Alcine)Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 20
OWN 44
+10
42.5%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #3 J.Doss caught at Nevada44, for 10 yards to the AF46 (#0 L.Fisher)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6TD17 plays · 92 yds · 0:0059% → 61%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
42.1%
(11:23) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AF10 (#2 E.Smith; #15 B.Turner)Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+5
42.2%
(10:44) Shotgun #44 R.Conti rush left for 13 yards gain to the AF23 (#96 T.Vaughan) PENALTY AF Holding (#10 A.Hrynciw) 5 yards from AF10 to AF05. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 13
OWN 5
+7
42.6%
(10:12) #44 R.Conti rush right for 7 yards gain to the AF12 (#32 D.Labarbera), out of bounds PENALTY Nevada Personal Foul (#32 D.Labarbera) 15 yards from AF12 to AF27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
41.6%
(09:53) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AF30 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens; #98 D.Paine Jr.)Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
41.4%
(09:17) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the AF36 (#2 E.Smith; #8 L.Turner-Gooden)Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
40.9%
(08:55) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the AF36 (#10 L.Va'a; #98 D.Paine Jr.)Similar
Q2 8:01
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+1
41.6%
(08:10) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AF37 (#10 L.Va'a; #98 D.Paine Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
40.5%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush left for 1 yard gain to the AF38 (#32 D.Labarbera; #10 L.Va'a)Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
40.5%
(07:05) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka rush right for 5 yards gain to the AF43 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+21
39.9%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Szarka pass complete deep right to #10 A.Hrynciw caught at Nevada37, for 21 yards to the Nevada36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
39.2%
(05:51) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada35 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens; #2 E.Smith)Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
38.6%
(05:13) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka pass incomplete deep middle to #10 A.Hrynciw thrown to Nevada04 broken up by #5 Z.JonesSimilar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+32
39.7%
(05:08) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 32 yards gain to the Nevada03 (#15 B.Turner), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
38.3%
(04:42) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush left for 1 yard gain to the Nevada02 (#2 E.Smith)Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
38.3%
(04:00) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada01 (#2 E.Smith; #90 J.Hemphill II)Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.3%
(03:31) #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 0 yards to the Nevada01 (#2 E.Smith; #26 I.Jordan)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7PUNT8 plays · 18 yds · 1:3046% → 45%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
45.7%
(02:45) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Morgan thrown to Nevada19Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+18
45.5%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush left for 18 yards gain to the Nevada30 (#2 K.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
46.4%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #11 D.Morgan caught at Nevada28, for 2 yards to the Nevada32 (#9 M.Mustell)Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-6
46.4%
(02:00) Shotgun #6 C.Jones sacked for loss of 6 yards to the Nevada26 (#45 J.Reese)Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+4
44.6%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #11 D.Morgan caught at Nevada30, for 4 yards to the Nevada30 (#8 D.Daley)Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
44.5%
(01:13) #95 E.Baulch punt 47 yards to the AF23 fair catch by #3 M.Long at AF23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8END OF HALF5 plays · 21 yds · 0:4957% → 57%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
43.3%
(01:10) #3 M.Long rush left for 1 yard gain to the AF24 (#92 M.Williams)Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+7
43.6%
(00:34) #28 G.LaDue rush middle for 7 yards gain to the AF31 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens)Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+13
43.0%
(00:07) #28 G.LaDue rush middle for 13 yards gain to the AF44 (#32 D.Labarbera; #15 B.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 9FG14 plays · 59 yds · 7:0356% → 61%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.8%
(15:00) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AF26 (#32 D.Labarbera; #98 D.Paine Jr.)Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
44.0%
(14:29) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 5 yards gain to the AF31 (#18 A.Walker)Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+23
44.3%
(13:53) Shotgun #44 R.Conti rush left for 23 yards gain to the Nevada46 (#2 E.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
41.0%
(13:17) #3 M.Long rush right for 5 yards gain to the Nevada41 (#32 D.Labarbera), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
40.8%
(12:49) #9 L.Szarka rush right for 3 yards gain to the Nevada38 (#26 I.Jordan; #2 E.Smith)Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
41.7%
(12:08) #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada37 (#92 M.Williams)Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+4
43.8%
(11:37) #9 L.Szarka rush right for 4 yards gain to the Nevada33 (#92 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
40.8%
(11:07) #9 L.Szarka rush right for 5 yards gain to the Nevada28 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens)Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+8
40.6%
(10:28) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush right for 8 yards gain to the Nevada20 (#2 E.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
40.7%
(09:53) #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nevada17 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens; #2 E.Smith)Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
40.8%
(09:11) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 0 yards to the Nevada17 (#10 L.Va'a)Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+1
42.4%
(08:27) Shotgun #2 O.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada16 (#98 D.Paine Jr.)Similar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
38.9%
(07:50) #90 C.Cremascoli field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #94 W.Duncan, LS: #46 J.Helms), clock 07:50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10TD10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5941% → 65%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.4%
(07:50) Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush left for 0 yards to the Nevada25 (#2 K.Johnson), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
41.2%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete deep right to #7 G.Givens III thrown to AF42 PENALTY AF Pass Interference (#22 E.Oyamendan) 15 yards from Nevada25 to Nevada40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
44.7%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 22 yards gain to the AF38 (#2 K.Johnson; #93 A.Tillett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
46.3%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 14 yards gain to the AF24 (#23 C.Paterson; #6 B.Fletcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
47.9%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 7 yards gain to the AF17 (#45 J.Reese)Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+6
48.0%
(05:55) Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush left for 6 yards gain to the AF11 (#9 M.Mustell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
48.4%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AF09 (#6 B.Fletcher)Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
48.2%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass incomplete short right to #7 G.Givens III thrown to AF00Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
64.6%
(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco rush middle for 9 yards gain to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:43, 1ST DOWN #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11PUNT11 plays · 31 yds · 4:2440% → 38%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.7%
(04:43) #44 R.Conti rush left for 4 yards gain to the AF29 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
59.0%
(04:09) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AF32 (#2 E.Smith; #92 M.Williams)Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
60.2%
(03:36) #44 R.Conti rush right for 7 yards gain to the AF39 (#32 D.Labarbera), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
58.4%
(03:10) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka pass incomplete deep middle to #36 A.Hange thrown to Nevada18Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+16
59.1%
(03:05) #9 L.Szarka rush left for 16 yards gain to the Nevada45 (#32 D.Labarbera), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
56.0%
(02:23) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush left for 1 yard loss to the Nevada46 (#26 I.Jordan)Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+5
57.8%
(01:46) #9 L.Szarka rush right for 5 yards gain to the Nevada41 (#26 I.Jordan)Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+10
57.1%
(01:15) #44 R.Conti rush right for 3 yards gain to the Nevada38 (#2 E.Smith), out of bounds PENALTY AF Holding (#86 G.Stalfort) 10 yards from Nevada41 to AF49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 16
OWN 49
+7
61.7%
(00:50) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Nevada44 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
62.2%
(00:12) #94 W.Duncan punt 33 yards to the Nevada11 fair catch by #41 G.Robinson at Nevada11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12PUNT6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2265% → 63%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
64.9%
(00:02) Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush right for 5 yards loss to the Nevada06 (#45 J.Reese)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 6
+3
64.1%
PENALTY Nevada False Start (#59 J.Norcross) 3 yards from Nevada06 to Nevada03. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 18
OWN 3
+1
64.2%
(14:58) Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada04 (#6 B.Fletcher; #8 D.Daley)Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 17
OWN 4
+14
63.0%
(14:27) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #7 G.Givens III caught at Nevada05, for 14 yards to the Nevada18 (#2 K.Johnson)Similar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
63.1%
(13:46) #95 E.Baulch punt 44 yards to the AF38 fair catch by #3 M.Long at AF38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13TD8 plays · 62 yds · 3:0939% → 67%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
61.3%
(13:39) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush left for 15 yards gain to the Nevada47 (#8 L.Turner-Gooden), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
58.1%
(13:09) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka pass complete short left to #80 S.Kibbee caught at Nevada38, for 19 yards to the Nevada28 (#2 E.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
56.0%
(12:41) Shotgun #28 G.LaDue rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Nevada16 (#2 E.Smith; #8 L.Turner-Gooden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
56.1%
(12:19) #9 L.Szarka rush left for 8 yards gain to the Nevada08 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens; #18 A.Walker)Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 2
OPP 8
-2
56.4%
(11:44) #4 K.Hodges rush left for 2 yards loss to the Nevada10 (#98 D.Paine Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+3
58.7%
(11:07) No Huddle #44 R.Conti rush right for 3 yards gain to the Nevada07 (#32 D.Labarbera; #0 J.Scott)Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+7
33.0%
(10:29) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka pass complete short left to #3 M.Long caught at Nevada01, for 7 yards to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:24, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Cremascoli kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Kibbee, LS: #46 J.Helms)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14DOWNS6 plays · 30 yds · 1:5840% → 43%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
40.2%
(10:24) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #1 H.Turner caught at Nevada23, for 25 yards to the Nevada50 (#23 C.Paterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
50
+6
45.1%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the AF44 (#8 D.Daley)Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-2
46.6%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones sacked for loss of 4 yards to the AF48 (#45 J.Reese, #93 A.Tillett)Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+3
44.5%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AF45 (#47 J.Kepler)Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
42.9%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Morgan thrown to AF44 broken up by #47 J.Kepler, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15TD5 plays · 55 yds · 2:0970% → 91%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
29.9%
(08:18) No Huddle #2 O.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AF46 (#98 D.Paine Jr.)Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+11
29.9%
(07:45) No Huddle #44 R.Conti rush right for 33 yards gain (11) to the Nevada21 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens), out of bounds PENALTY AF Holding (#10 A.Hrynciw) 10 yards from Nevada43 to AF47Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+11
28.6%
(07:20) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka pass complete short left to #19 G.Wayne caught at AF49, for 11 yards to the Nevada42 (#8 L.Turner-Gooden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+34
26.8%
(06:55) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka pass complete deep middle to #80 S.Kibbee caught at Nevada21, for 34 yards to the Nevada08 (#18 A.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
9.1%
(06:00) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:56 #90 C.Cremascoli kick attempt good (H: #98 R.D'Angelo, LS: #46 J.Helms)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16FG7 plays · 61 yds · 2:0412% → 21%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
11.9%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete deep left to #5 D.Cheers caught at AF31, for 50 yards to the AF25, out of bounds at AF25, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
16.8%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 13 yards gain to the AF12 (#6 B.Fletcher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
15.8%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short left to #9 M.Brown thrown to AF00Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-9
15.8%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones sacked for loss of 9 yards to the AF21 (#9 M.Mustell)Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 19
OPP 21
+7
11.4%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #0 D.Kelley caught at AF19, for 7 yards to the AF14 (#8 D.Daley)Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+31
21.2%
(03:47) #84 J.McFadden field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack), clock 03:45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17PUNT7 plays · -2 yds · 0:5486% → 88%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.7%
(03:45) #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AF28 (#26 I.Jordan; #90 J.Hemphill II)Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
12.8%
(03:44) #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AF30 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens)Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
12.0%
(03:37) #9 L.Szarka sacked for loss of 7 yards to the AF23 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18TD4 plays · 68 yds · 0:5120% → 61%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
20.4%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short left to #5 D.Cheers thrown to Nevada42Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
18.2%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Nevada37 (#90 M.Alcine)Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+6
16.3%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Nevada43 (#6 B.Fletcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
60.6%
(02:00) Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 57 yards gain to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:49, 1ST DOWN #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19INT11 plays · 15 yds · 1:2251% → 50%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
48.8%
(01:49) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush right for 8 yards gain to the AF33 (#2 E.Smith; #15 B.Turner)Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
45.3%
(01:23) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AF36 (#92 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
46.8%
(01:05) #9 L.Szarka rush right for 2 yards gain to the AF38 (#92 M.Williams)Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
45.7%
(00:31) #44 R.Conti rush left for 3 yards gain to the AF41 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens; #32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+9
47.0%
(00:32) #9 L.Szarka rush right for 9 yards gain to the AF50 (#2 E.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 10
50
+10
45.1%
(00:24) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Nevada45 (#2 E.Smith) PENALTY AF Holding (#55 L.Vonderhaar) 10 yards from AF50 to AF40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 20
OWN 40
0
49.8%
(00:21) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka pass intercepted by #12 B.Snelling at Nevada47, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20END OF HALF5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0764% → 63%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
64.2%
(00:17) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete deep right to #7 G.Givens III thrown to AF18 broken up by #22 E.OyamendanSimilar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
63.2%
(00:10) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #16 D.Asiasi caught at Nevada47, for 7 yards to the AF46 (#24 J.Elie-Stuart), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
62.8%
(00:03) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete deep middle to #9 M.Brown thrown to AF02 broken up by #2 K.JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 21FG6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0059% → 71%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
41.1%
(00:00) #9 L.Szarka rush left for 8 yards gain to the Nevada17 (#2 E.Smith)Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+3
41.1%
(00:00) #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nevada14 (#91 J.Gillespie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
41.1%
(00:00) #9 L.Szarka pass incomplete short right to #44 R.Conti thrown to Nevada05 QB hurried by #1 J.Naborne-OwensSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
41.1%
(00:00) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nevada11 (#2 E.Smith)Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
43.6%
(00:00) #9 L.Szarka pass incomplete short left to #3 M.Long thrown to Nevada00 broken up by #26 I.JordanSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
29.2%
(00:00) #90 C.Cremascoli field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #98 R.D'Angelo, LS: #46 J.Helms), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22FG5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0028% → 23%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
28.0%
(00:00) Shotgun #5 D.Cheers rush right for 4 yards gain to the AF21 (#8 D.Daley), out of boundsSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
28.0%
(00:00) Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the AF16 (#9 M.Mustell)Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
-2
25.8%
(00:00) Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 2 yards loss to the AF18 fumbled by #0 D.Kelley at AF12 forced by #6 B.Fletcher recovered by Nevada #5 D.Cheers at AF18, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was not down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:00) Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush left for 3 yards gain to the AF13 (#8 D.Daley), 1ST DOWN)Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
23.2%
(00:00) #84 J.McFadden field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 23FG5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0028% → 20%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.0%
(00:00) No Huddle #1 H.Turner rush left for 0 yards to the AF25 (#40 J.Paulsrud; #6 B.Fletcher)Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
24.0%
(00:00) No Huddle #1 H.Turner rush right for 1 yard gain to the AF24 (#23 C.Paterson)Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+8
21.8%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #11 D.Morgan caught at AF19, for 8 yards to the AF16 (#23 C.Paterson)Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+5
23.2%
(00:00) PENALTY Nevada Illegal Snap (#59 J.Norcross) 5 yards from AF16 to AF21. NO PLAYSimilar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
19.6%
(00:00) #84 J.McFadden field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 24TD6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
20.8%
(00:00) #44 R.Conti rush right for 6 yards gain to the Nevada19 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+5
20.8%
(00:00) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush right for 5 yards gain to the Nevada14 (#8 L.Turner-Gooden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
22.0%
(00:00) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Nevada09 (#2 E.Smith)Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+2
22.0%
(00:00) #9 L.Szarka rush right for 2 yards gain to the Nevada07 (#2 E.Smith)Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
22.7%
(00:00) #44 R.Conti rush left for 7 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:49
(02:00) Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 57 yards gain to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:49, 1ST DOWN #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack)
+44.3
TD · Q4 10:24
(10:29) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka pass complete short left to #3 M.Long caught at Nevada01, for 7 yards to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:24, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Cremascoli kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Kibbee, LS: #46 J.Helms)
-30.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-22.7