Try the model
WYO

Wyoming 10 at Central Michigan 24

CMU
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:32 · (11:37) #18 D.Duley punt 29 yards to the UW26, out of bounds at UW26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense+24.4Score differential+10.6Garbage-time factor+11.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.2Time remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:00: (08:05) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 25 yards gain to the UW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:00, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis) — CMU win probability +7.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:02: (00:05) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:02 #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis) — CMU win probability +4.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:13: (06:16) #47 E.Sandvik field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry), clock 06:13 — WYO win probability +4.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:43: (02:49) Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush middle for 38 yards gain to the UW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:43, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis) — CMU win probability +6.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:56: (14:59) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry) — WYO win probability +8.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 11:45CMU 4th & 1 at WYO 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    47.9%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:58CMU 4th & 2 at WYO 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:47WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 26, down 3
    Close callPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:42CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:04WYO 4th & 7 at CMU 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:07WYO 4th & 4 at CMU 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    35.9%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−6.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:22CMU 4th & 1 at WYO 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    65.6%−2.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:02CMU 4th & 1 at WYO 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    67.3%−3.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−12.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:48WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 26, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:27WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 40, down 17
    Close callPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:19CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 24, up 17
    Close callPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:13WYO 4th & 5 at CMU 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−8.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:32CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 45, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:01CMU 4th & 6 at WYO 37, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.3
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 8:00CMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:02CMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:43CMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:56WYO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 5:5749% → 51%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
48.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush left for 9 yards gain to the CMU44 (#26 G.Rutherford)Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
49.0%
(14:29) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU47 (#44 J.Redfern; #98 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
49.2%
(13:47) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU49 (#92 D.Drake)Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
49.4%
(13:09) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #85 M.Peters caught at CMU49, for 3 yards to the UW48 QB hurried by #21 J.Dunkley (#46 D.Bauman)Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+4
49.6%
(12:28) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UW44 (#46 D.Bauman)Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+19
49.7%
(11:48) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 19 yards gain to the UW25 (#25 T.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
50.2%
(11:09) Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UW22 (#0 T.Shamsid-Deen; #33 P.Moore)Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+3
50.4%
(10:30) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UW19 (#98 J.Williams; #34 S.Perez)Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+2
50.5%
(09:46) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UW17 (#21 J.Dunkley)Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
50.8%
(09:01) #38 C.VanHuis field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis), clock 08:58Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5849% → 49%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
50.7%
(08:53) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #89 J.Wilson caught at UW24, for 5 yards to the UW24 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
50.7%
(08:30) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UW26 (#5 K.Demma)Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
51.1%
(07:56) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #8 M.Holman thrown to UW26Similar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
51.5%
(07:53) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 47 yards to the CMU27 fair catch by #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. at CMU27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:5951% → 52%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
50.8%
(07:46) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 4 yards gain to the CMU31 (#26 G.Rutherford; #5 B.Cheek)Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+6
51.1%
(07:10) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU37 (#26 G.Rutherford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
51.5%
(06:27) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short right to #17 B.Naves thrown to CMU43 broken up by #98 J.WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
51.4%
(06:23) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush right for 9 yards gain to the CMU46 (#90 C.Brook)Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+12
52.0%
(05:46) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush right for 9 yards gain (2) to the UW45 (#5 B.Cheek), out of bounds PENALTY CMU Holding (#20 L.Lewis) 10 yards from CMU48 to CMU38Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+7
51.4%
(05:22) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CMU45 (#23 J.Thomas; #46 D.Bauman)Similar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
51.8%
(04:48) #18 D.Duley punt 46 yards to the UW09, out of bounds at UW09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:3048% → 48%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
52.3%
(04:42) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UW20 (#14 J.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
52.3%
(04:07) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 9 yards gain to the UW29 (#40 B.McCalla), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+20
51.7%
(03:31) Shotgun #89 J.Wilson rush right for 20 yards gain to the UW49 (#14 J.Taylor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
51.2%
(02:50) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU42 (#4 J.Jackson; #32 J.Reinbold)Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
50.6%
(02:13) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep left to #9 J.Holman thrown to CMU14Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+1
50.7%
(02:08) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU41 (#14 J.Taylor; #11 X.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
50.8%
(01:33) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU38 (#92 J.Cherry; #40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
50.9%
(00:57) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep left to #20 J.Lawrence thrown to CMU12 broken up by #40 B.McCallaSimilar
Q1 0:39
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
51.2%
(00:51) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #1 S.Harris caught at CMU40, for 0 yards to the CMU38 (#14 J.Taylor; #35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
52.2%
(00:04) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 38 yards to the CMU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 6:5253% → 65%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
52.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush right for 6 yards gain to the CMU26 (#33 P.Moore)Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+10
53.2%
(14:23) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush right for 10 yards gain to the CMU36 (#23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
53.8%
(13:45) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush left for 9 yards gain to the CMU45 (#34 S.Perez; #5 B.Cheek)Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
55.2%
(13:08) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU49 (#46 D.Bauman; #92 D.Drake), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
55.5%
(12:24) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU50 (#98 J.Williams; #1 D.Hearns)Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 9
50
+8
55.7%
(11:43) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 8 yards gain to the UW42 (#99 D.Wingate)Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
55.6%
(11:02) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UW39 (#5 B.Cheek), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
56.6%
(10:18) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #20 L.Lewis caught at UW41, for 8 yards to the UW31 (#1 D.Hearns)Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
57.1%
(09:33) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 0 yards to the UW31 (#98 J.Williams; #33 P.Moore)Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+6
57.5%
(08:49) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UW25 (#1 D.Hearns; #46 D.Bauman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
65.1%
(08:05) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 25 yards gain to the UW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:00, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:4835% → 35%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
64.8%
(07:59) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #1 S.Harris caught at UW37, for 3 yards to the UW38 (#11 X.White), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
64.8%
(07:32) Shotgun #2 E.Richardson rush left for 4 yards gain to the UW42 (#11 X.White; #26 M.McKenzie)Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+39
64.7%
(06:56) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #83 K.Frendt caught at CMU42, for 39 yards to the CMU19 QB hurried by #5 K.Demma (#26 M.McKenzie; #14 J.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
62.4%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short left to #3 D.DeBlanc thrown to CMU00 broken up by #26 M.McKenzieSimilar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
62.9%
(06:27) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU15 (#35 M.Hitchens; #48 N.VanTimmeren)Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+2
63.8%
(05:48) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 2 yards gain to the CMU13 (#11 X.White), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+3
65.1%
(05:12) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #2 E.Richardson caught at CMU10, for 3 yards to the CMU10 QB hurried by #40 B.McCalla (#14 J.Taylor), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7TD
22 plays · 90 yds · 4:5973% → 74%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+24
73.4%
(05:06) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 24 yards gain to the CMU34 (#46 D.Bauman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
70.3%
(04:24) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CMU41 (#26 G.Rutherford; #98 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
71.8%
(03:42) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU43 (#98 J.Williams; #46 D.Bauman)Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
72.0%
(03:01) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU47 (#21 J.Dunkley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
74.0%
(02:22) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush right for 4 yards gain to the UW49 (#1 D.Hearns)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
75.9%
(01:59) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UW46 (#11 E.Bogar; #34 S.Perez)Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
75.9%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UW44 (#92 D.Drake)Similar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+4
75.2%
(01:25) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UW40 (#5 B.Cheek), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
77.8%
(01:20) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UW35 (#46 D.Bauman)Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
77.9%
(00:57) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short right to #85 M.Peters thrown to UW30Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+13
77.4%
(00:56) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #16 S.Foster caught at UW37, for 13 yards to the UW22 (#12 K.Griffin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
75.3%
(00:50) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #31 J.Clerveaux caught at UW18, for 8 yards to the UW14 (#46 D.Bauman), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+7
72.7%
(00:44) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UW07 (#26 G.Rutherford; #23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
69.5%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UW03 (#26 G.Rutherford; #92 D.Drake)Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
66.8%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short left to #81 T.Vanderleest thrown to UW00Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
67.0%
(00:09) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 2 yards gain to the UW01 (#26 G.Rutherford; #12 K.Griffin)Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.3%
(00:05) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:02 #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8END OF HALF
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
85.3%
(00:00) Kneel down at UW20 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
85.3%
(00:02) Kneel down by Wyoming at UW20 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:2120% → 16%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
80.5%
(14:57) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UW26 (#40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
81.0%
(14:19) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #88 L.Pace thrown to UW27 QB hurried by #4 J.JacksonSimilar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
81.6%
(14:14) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short left to #19 C.Coenen thrown to UW40Similar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+7
82.1%
(14:08) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. pass complete short right to #0 T.Shamsid-Deen caught at UW33, for 7 yards to the UW33, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
81.3%
(13:19) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UW36 (#34 D.Esper; #40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
82.3%
(12:45) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush left for 0 yards to the UW36 (#40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+4
83.4%
(12:15) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #8 M.Holman caught at UW39, for 4 yards to the UW40 (#11 X.White)Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 3
OWN 40
+8
83.8%
(11:37) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 52 yards to the CMU08 #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. return 8 yards to the CMU16 (#22 J.DaCosta), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0386% → 88%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
85.7%
(11:26) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 1 yard loss to the CMU15 (#99 D.Wingate), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+3
87.6%
(10:49) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU18 (#92 D.Drake; #26 G.Rutherford)Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+6
87.8%
(10:08) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU24 (#1 D.Hearns; #26 G.Rutherford)Similar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 2
OWN 24
+4
88.3%
(09:27) #18 D.Duley punt 36 yards to the UW40 #3 D.DeBlanc return 4 yards to the UW44 (#48 N.VanTimmeren; #11 X.White) PENALTY CMU Personal Foul 15 yards from UW44 to CMU41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:0016% → 17%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
84.1%
(09:13) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 11 yards gain (6) to the CMU30 (#1 J.Douglas) PENALTY UW Holding (#89 J.Wilson) 10 yards from CMU35 to CMU45Similar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 14
OPP 45
+21
85.3%
(08:43) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 21 yards gain to the CMU24 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
84.1%
(08:10) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #89 J.Wilson caught at CMU21, for 3 yards to the CMU21 (#17 C.Ali), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
85.7%
(07:32) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU21 (#1 J.Douglas; #34 D.Esper)Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+2
87.1%
(06:52) Shotgun #21 N.Hamilton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU19 (#11 X.White; #12 D.Philord)Similar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
82.9%
(06:16) #47 E.Sandvik field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry), clock 06:13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:2388% → 97%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
87.5%
(06:11) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU36 (#11 E.Bogar)Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
88.0%
(05:36) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CMU44 (#23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
88.6%
(04:55) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU46 (#0 T.Shamsid-Deen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
89.7%
(04:10) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UW47 (#26 G.Rutherford; #23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+9
90.2%
(03:32) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UW38 (#98 J.Williams; #26 G.Rutherford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
97.0%
(02:49) Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush middle for 38 yards gain to the UW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:43, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:304% → 11%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
96.3%
(02:33) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 4 yards gain to the UW50 (#35 M.Hitchens), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 6
50
+3
96.6%
(01:59) Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush left for 3 yards gain to the CMU47 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.; #35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q3 1:12
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
97.0%
(01:16) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short middle to #89 J.Wilson thrown to CMU45 broken up by #40 B.McCallaSimilar
Q3 1:11
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+15
97.0%
(01:11) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep right to #2 E.Richardson thrown to CMU10 PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (#4 J.Jackson) 15 yards from CMU47 to CMU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.8%
(01:03) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep left to #89 J.Wilson thrown to CMU11Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
96.9%
(00:57) Shotgun #3 D.DeBlanc rush right for 1 yard loss to the CMU33 (#4 J.Jackson; #34 D.Esper)Similar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+27
97.6%
(00:08) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete deep left to #2 E.Richardson caught at CMU06, for 27 yards to the CMU06 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
88.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:1993% → 94%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.2%
(14:56) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU29 (#46 D.Bauman)Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
93.5%
(14:16) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 8 yards gain to the CMU37 (#46 D.Bauman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
94.1%
(13:36) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU41 (#92 D.Drake; #99 D.Wingate)Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
94.5%
(12:54) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU43 (#12 K.Griffin; #34 S.Perez)Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
94.7%
(12:13) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU45 (#92 D.Drake)Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
94.4%
(11:37) #18 D.Duley punt 29 yards to the UW26, out of bounds at UW26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:137% → 5%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
93.3%
(11:31) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #89 J.Wilson caught at UW30, for 7 yards to the UW33 fumbled by #89 J.Wilson at UW30 forced by #11 X.White, out of bounds at UW33Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+9
92.9%
(11:09) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UW42 (#11 X.White; #1 J.Douglas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.0%
(10:31) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #89 J.Wilson thrown to CMU48Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
94.1%
(10:25) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UW43 (#6 H.Zirkle; #0 D.Bennett)Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+10
94.6%
(09:40) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #1 S.Harris caught at UW43, for 10 yards to the CMU47 (#4 J.Jackson; #14 J.Taylor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
94.6%
(08:59) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 10 yards gain to the CMU37 (#14 J.Taylor; #35 M.Hitchens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-18
95.5%
(08:26) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass intercepted by #14 J.Taylor at CMU12 #14 J.Taylor return 18 yards to the CMU30 (#8 M.Holman), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 4:1196% → 98%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
96.1%
(08:17) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush right for 10 yards gain to the CMU40 (#34 S.Perez; #26 G.Rutherford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
96.5%
(07:35) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush left for 8 yards gain to the CMU48 (#23 J.Thomas; #34 S.Perez)Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+11
96.9%
(06:56) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UW41 (#33 P.Moore; #23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
97.1%
(06:13) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush right for 4 yards gain to the UW37 (#21 J.Dunkley)Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
97.4%
(05:32) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush middle for 0 yards to the UW37 (#33 P.Moore)Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
97.6%
(04:50) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 0 yards to the UW37 (#25 T.Williams)Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
97.5%
(04:06) #18 D.Duley punt 36 yards to the UW01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17INT
14 plays · 92 yds · 2:402% → 3%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
98.1%
(03:59) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short left to #89 J.Wilson thrown to UW03Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+8
98.2%
(03:55) #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UW09 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.; #40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+16
98.4%
(03:17) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #89 J.Wilson caught at UW11, for 16 yards to the UW25 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UW Illegal Block in Back (#2 E.Richardson) 10 yards from UW25 to UW15Similar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.2%
(02:52) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short middle to #19 C.Coenen thrown to UW20 broken up by #1 J.DouglasSimilar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+26
98.3%
(02:47) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #83 K.Frendt caught at UW30, for 26 yards to the UW41 (#12 D.Philord), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.2%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #83 K.Frendt caught at UW46, for 6 yards to the UW47 (#4 J.Jackson)Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+11
97.9%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush left for 11 yards gain to the CMU42 (#35 M.Hitchens; #12 D.Philord), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.5%
(01:53) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep right to #2 E.Richardson thrown to CMU18 broken up by #4 J.JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+24
97.6%
(01:47) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #83 K.Frendt caught at CMU30, for 24 yards to the CMU18 (#40 B.McCalla), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
96.8%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short middle to #89 J.Wilson thrown to CMU10 broken up by #1 J.DouglasSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
96.9%
(01:33) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short middle to #19 C.Coenen thrown to CMU00Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+11
97.2%
(01:30) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 11 yards gain to the CMU07 (#14 J.Taylor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.9%
(01:21) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass intercepted by #43 K.Hayward at CMU00 QB hurried by #11 X.White, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18END OF HALF
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:4698% → 98%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
98.4%
(01:15) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush right for 1 yard loss to the CMU19 (#46 D.Bauman)Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
98.3%
(01:08) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU20 (#5 B.Cheek; #26 G.Rutherford)Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
98.0%
PENALTY UW UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#98 J.Williams) 15 yards from CMU20 to CMU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
98.1%
(01:02) Kneel down by Central Michigan at CMU34 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
98.2%
(00:24) PENALTY UW Offside (#11 E.Bogar) 5 yards from CMU34 to CMU39. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:56
(14:59) Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)
-8.8
TD · Q2 8:00
(08:05) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 25 yards gain to the UW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:00, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)
+7.6
TD · Q3 2:43
(02:49) Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush middle for 38 yards gain to the UW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:43, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com