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UNCO

Northern Colorado 13 at Wyoming 21

WYO
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadUNCO aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreUNCO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:00 · #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 55 yards to the UNC16 fair catch by #23 J.Herron at UNC16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+44.4Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:25: No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete deep left to #81 M.Mozer caught at WYO22, for 45 yards to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:25, 1ST DOWN #26 L.Richardson kick attempt good (H: #97 J.Moore, LS: #49 M.Broughton) — UNCO win probability +11.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UNCO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 7:59: #26 L.Richardson field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #97 J.Moore, LS: #49 M.Broughton), clock 07:59 — UNCO win probability +13.7 pts (now 37%) (top driver: UNCO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:44: Charlie Coenen 15 Yd pass from Tyler Hughes (Erik Sandvik Kick) — WYO win probability +21.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:00: Timeout Wyoming, clock 02:00 — WYO win probability +14.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:44: Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #83 K.Frendt caught at UNC00, for 18 yards to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:44, 1ST DOWN #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry) — WYO win probability +26.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UNCO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 14:00WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:16UNCO 4th & 6 at WYO 25, tied
    Close callWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:50WYO 4th & 19 at WYO 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:14UNCO 4th & 4 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:49WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:59UNCO 4th & 13 at UNCO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:00UNCO 4th & 7 at WYO 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:23WYO 4th & 3 at UNCO 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:59UNCO 4th & 7 at WYO 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−9.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:32WYO 4th & 14 at WYO 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−3.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:07UNCO 4th & 14 at WYO 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    55.2%−1.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:50UNCO 4th & 15 at WYO 37, up 6
    Close callPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    60.1%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:48UNCO 4th & 12 at UNCO 23, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNCO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:19WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:25UNCO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:44WYO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−1.9
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:44WYO Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0095% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #19 C.Coenen thrown to WYO41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.8%
Shotgun #2 E.Richardson rush right for 4 yards gain to the WYO29 (#14 K.Quammie)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #19 C.Coenen thrown to WYO35Similar
Q1 14:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
94.5%
#18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 55 yards to the UNC16 fair catch by #23 J.Herron at UNC16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:446% → 6%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
94.5%
Shotgun #6 J.Guin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC18 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+3
94.6%
#12 K.Lueth pass complete short right to #1 E.Morris caught at UNC20, for 3 yards to the UNC21 (#5 B.Cheek)Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+31
94.6%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete deep right to #13 T.Olsen caught at UNC50, for 31 yards to the WYO48 (#12 K.Griffin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
94.5%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WYO41 (#26 G.Rutherford; #42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+12
94.5%
#12 K.Lueth pass complete short middle to #1 E.Morris caught at WYO30, for 12 yards to the WYO29 (#1 D.Hearns), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
94.5%
#6 J.Guin rush left for 4 yards gain to the WYO25 (#99 D.Wingate)Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
94.5%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass incomplete deep left to #81 M.Mozer thrown to WYO00Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
94.5%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass incomplete short left to #13 T.Olsen thrown to WYO20Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 6
OPP 25
-3
93.6%
#97 J.Moore rush right for 3 yards loss to the WYO28 (#33 P.Moore), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 2:2694% → 93%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
93.7%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 18 yards gain to the WYO46 (#10 M.Benner) PENALTY WYO Holding 10 yards from WYO28 to WYO18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+5
93.7%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #80 T.Siddons caught at WYO23, for 5 yards to the WYO23 (#45 H.Voggesser)Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+1
93.7%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 1 yard gain to the WYO24 (#48 K.Shelton)Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+5
93.6%
PENALTY WYO False Start 5 yards from WYO24 to WYO19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 19
OWN 19
0
93.6%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep left to #19 C.Coenen thrown to WYO45Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 19
OWN 19
+14
92.9%
#18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 51 yards to the UNC30 #23 J.Herron return 14 yards to the UNC44 (#0 T.Shamsid-Deen; #4 J.Vincent)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:367% → 8%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
92.9%
#6 J.Guin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNC48 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz; #26 G.Rutherford)Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
92.9%
#6 J.Guin rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNC50 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 4
50
0
92.9%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass incomplete deep right to #81 M.Mozer thrown to WYO20Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 4
50
0
92.5%
#97 J.Moore punt 50 yards to the WYO00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2593% → 92%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.6%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep right to #89 J.Wilson thrown to WYO40 QB hurried by #45 H.VoggesserSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
92.6%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 4 yards gain to the WYO24 (#55 B.Maile)Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+5
92.5%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #8 M.Holman caught at WYO28, for 5 yards to the WYO29 (#48 K.Shelton)Similar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
92.0%
#18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 48 yards to the UNC23 fair catch by #23 J.Herron at UNC23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:508% → 8%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
92.1%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth rush right for 1 yard loss to the UNC22 (#5 B.Cheek)Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 11
OWN 22
-10
92.1%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth sacked for loss of 10 yards to the UNC12 (#11 E.Bogar)Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 21
OWN 12
+8
92.3%
Shotgun #6 J.Guin rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNC20 (#21 J.Dunkley; #34 S.Perez)Similar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 13
OWN 20
0
91.8%
#97 J.Moore punt 31 yards to the WYO49 fair catch by #19 C.Coenen at WYO49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7FUMBLE
12 plays · 32 yds · 4:1992% → 91%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
92.0%
PENALTY WYO UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from WYO49 to WYO34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
91.6%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush left for 12 yards gain to the WYO46 (#6 F.Morales)Similar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
92.0%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush left for 3 yards loss to the WYO43 (#53 D.Butts)Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+12
91.7%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 12 yards gain to the UNC45 (#10 M.Benner)Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+15
92.0%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 15 yards gain to the UNC30 (#10 M.Benner; #3 E.Ekuban), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
92.1%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #8 M.Holman caught at UNC31, for 3 yards to the UNC27 (#14 K.Quammie)Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+14
92.1%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 14 yards gain to the UNC13 (#10 M.Benner; #55 B.Maile), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
92.1%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #8 M.Holman caught at UNC15, for 7 yards to the UNC06 (#99 L.Little)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+1
91.3%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNC05 (#45 H.Voggesser)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
91.1%
PENALTY WYO False Start 5 yards from UNC05 to UNC10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
90.7%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UNC19 (#3 E.Ekuban), fumble by #6 T.Hughes recovered by UNC #8 K.Smedley at UNC19, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 8INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:3710% → 11%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
89.8%
Shotgun #5 M.Price rush left for 5 yards gain to the UNC24 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
89.7%
#12 K.Lueth pass incomplete short left to #1 E.Morris thrown to UNC38Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+6
90.0%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete short middle to #47 G.Harstad caught at UNC29, for 6 yards to the UNC30 (#26 G.Rutherford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
89.0%
#12 K.Lueth pass intercepted by #23 J.Thomas at UNC37, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9TD
8 plays · 37 yds · 4:4490% → 92%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
90.3%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNC35 (#53 D.Butts)Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+5
90.4%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNC30 (#8 K.Smedley; #30 C.Turner)Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+7
90.2%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 7 yards gain to the UNC23 (#6 F.Morales), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
90.5%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNC18 (#21 J.Harvey; #8 K.Smedley)Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+3
90.4%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush left for 3 yards gain to the UNC15 (#6 F.Morales; #53 D.Butts)Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+7
90.2%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNC08 (#45 H.Voggesser), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
90.4%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #8 M.Holman caught at UNC06, for 4 yards to the UNC04 (#30 C.Turner)Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
91.8%
#1 S.Harris rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:19. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL UPHELD #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 10FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 5:199% → 14%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.8%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete short left to #23 J.Herron caught at UNC34, for 9 yards to the UNC34 (#12 K.Griffin)Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
90.3%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth rush left for 3 yards gain to the UNC37 (#51 T.Gianaris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
90.5%
Shotgun #5 M.Price rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNC46 (#5 B.Cheek)Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+12
90.0%
#5 M.Price rush left for 12 yards gain to the WYO42 (#12 K.Griffin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
90.0%
Shotgun #23 J.Herron rush left for 13 yards gain to the WYO29 (#23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
89.4%
#5 M.Price rush right for 1 yard gain to the WYO28 (#1 D.Hearns; #42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+1
89.6%
#5 M.Price rush right for 1 yard gain to the WYO27 (#53 T.Seeds)Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+1
90.1%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete short middle to #23 J.Herron caught at WYO29, for 1 yard to the WYO26 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+45
85.8%
#26 L.Richardson field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #97 J.Moore, LS: #49 M.Broughton), clock 02:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:3788% → 88%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
87.6%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #89 J.Wilson caught at WYO38, for 28 yards to the UNC47 (#11 B.Weslin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.7%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep right to #19 C.Coenen thrown to UNC25Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
88.6%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNC43 (#30 C.Turner)Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+3
88.5%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC40 (#94 A.Merrihew)Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+5
87.9%
PENALTY WYO Delay Of Game declined, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
87.9%
#18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 31 yards to the UNC09 fair catch by #23 J.Herron at UNC09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 12TD
5 plays · 91 yds · 0:5811% → 23%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+34
89.1%
Shotgun #6 J.Guin rush right for 34 yards gain to the UNC43 (#23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
87.9%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass incomplete short left to #23 J.Herron thrown to WYO42 QB hurried by #42 E.StuhlsatzSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
88.1%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNC46 (#26 G.Rutherford)Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+9
88.1%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete short left to #81 M.Mozer caught at WYO45, for 9 yards to the WYO45 (#3 I.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
77.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete deep left to #81 M.Mozer caught at WYO22, for 45 yards to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:25, 1ST DOWN #26 L.Richardson kick attempt good (H: #97 J.Moore, LS: #49 M.Broughton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
80.7%
Kneel down by #6 T.Hughes at WYO24 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 14FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 7:0121% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
78.6%
Shotgun #6 J.Guin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNC34 (#1 D.Hearns)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
77.7%
Shotgun #6 J.Guin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC36 (#21 J.Dunkley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
77.9%
Shotgun #6 J.Guin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC37 (#21 J.Dunkley)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
78.0%
Shotgun #6 J.Guin rush right for 1 yard gain to the UNC38 (#98 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+18
78.0%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete short middle to #81 M.Mozer caught at WYO45, for 18 yards to the WYO44 (#12 K.Griffin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
76.8%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete short right to #47 G.Harstad caught at WYO39, for 8 yards to the WYO36 (#23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
76.5%
#10 K.Boone rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WYO33 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz; #90 C.Brook), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
76.2%
#13 T.Olsen rush right for 9 yards gain to the WYO24 (#26 G.Rutherford)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
75.9%
#12 K.Lueth rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WYO20 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz; #26 G.Rutherford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
75.9%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass incomplete short right to #6 J.Guin thrown to WYO20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
76.1%
#6 J.Guin rush right for 3 yards gain to the WYO17 (#34 S.Perez)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
76.8%
Shotgun #6 J.Guin rush right for 0 yards to the WYO17 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+35
63.1%
#26 L.Richardson field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #97 J.Moore, LS: #49 M.Broughton), clock 07:59Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 4:2768% → 59%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.6%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #89 J.Wilson caught at WYO25, for 4 yards to the WYO29 (#6 F.Morales)Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
68.0%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #2 E.Richardson caught at WYO34, for 9 yards to the WYO38 (#6 F.Morales), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
68.8%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #19 C.Coenen caught at WYO48, for 13 yards to the UNC49 (#14 K.Quammie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
71.1%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #1 S.Harris caught at UNC50, for 3 yards to the UNC46 (#6 F.Morales)Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-2
71.2%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 2 yards loss to the UNC48 (#3 E.Ekuban). The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+5
70.0%
PENALTY WYO False Start (#70 R.Johnsen) 5 yards from UNC48 to WYO47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
67.2%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep right to #19 C.Coenen thrown to UNC30 PENALTY WYO Personal Foul declinedSimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 14
OWN 47
+11
58.8%
#18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 46 yards to the UNC07 #23 J.Herron return 31 yards to the UNC38 (#46 D.Bauman; #6 K.Kimble Turner) PENALTY UNC Holding 9 yards from UNC18 to UNC09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 16PUNT
15 plays · 41 yds · 5:2543% → 54%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
57.0%
PENALTY UNC Personal Foul 8 yards from UNC17 to UNC09Similar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
57.0%
PENALTY UNC Personal Foul 4 yards from UNC09 to UNC05Similar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+6
57.0%
Shotgun #6 J.Guin rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNC11 (#23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+10
56.7%
#6 J.Guin rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UNC21 (#23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
56.4%
#10 K.Boone rush right for 2 yards loss to the UNC19 (#34 S.Perez)Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+20
57.0%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete short left to #47 G.Harstad caught at UNC20, for 20 yards to the UNC39 (#25 T.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
53.2%
#12 K.Lueth pass incomplete short right to #1 E.Morris thrown to UNC39 broken up by #11 E.BogarSimilar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 0
+38
51.3%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete deep right to #13 T.Olsen caught at WYO23, for 38 yards to the WYO23, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WYO Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
51.3%
PENALTY UNC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from WYO23 to WYO38Similar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
52.1%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass complete short right to #6 J.Guin caught at WYO38, for 2 yards to the WYO36 (#5 B.Cheek)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
44.8%
Shotgun #6 J.Guin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WYO34 (#92 D.Drake; #34 S.Perez)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-2
45.4%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WYO37 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz, #34 S.Perez)Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+5
47.8%
PENALTY UNC Delay Of Game 5 yards from WYO37 to WYO42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
46.2%
#97 J.Moore punt 42 yards to the WYO00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:4253% → 51%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
52.5%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Holman thrown to WYO27. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #9 J.Holman caught at WYO27, for 7 yards to the WYO27 (#14 K.Quammie))Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
51.3%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 12 yards gain to the WYO32 fumbled by #8 M.Holman at WYO31 forced by #53 D.Butts recovered by UNC #11 B.Weslin at WYO32, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:3563% → 59%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
37.4%
PENALTY UNC False Start 5 yards from WYO32 to WYO37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+6
38.5%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth rush right for 6 yards gain to the WYO31 (#34 S.Perez)Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-1
37.5%
#6 J.Guin rush right for 1 yard loss to the WYO32 (#92 D.Drake)Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
38.7%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass incomplete short right to #47 G.Harstad thrown to WYO24 broken up by #23 J.ThomasSimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+5
42.3%
PENALTY UNC Delay Of Game 5 yards from WYO32 to WYO37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
41.1%
#97 J.Moore punt 19 yards to the WYO18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19TD
15 plays · 82 yds · 7:0646% → 75%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
46.3%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 14 yards gain to the WYO32 (#94 A.Merrihew), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
47.1%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #87 I.Schoenfeld caught at WYO33, for 4 yards to the WYO36 (#8 K.Smedley)Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+6
49.2%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WYO42 (#3 E.Ekuban), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
50.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #8 M.Holman caught at WYO38, for 8 yards to the WYO50 (#45 H.Voggesser)Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 2
50
+4
51.9%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #1 S.Harris caught at UNC46, for 4 yards to the UNC46 (#43 J.Raguse), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
52.2%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNC44 (#45 H.Voggesser)Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+6
52.2%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #19 C.Coenen caught at UNC38, for 6 yards to the UNC38 (#30 C.Turner)Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
51.6%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #89 J.Wilson caught at UNC36, for 3 yards to the UNC35 (#7 B.Palladino), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
54.3%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep right to #2 E.Richardson thrown to UNC00 QB hurried by #11 B.WeslinSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-2
54.3%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush left for 2 yards loss to the UNC37 (#10 M.Benner; #90 A.Rodriguez)Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+13
48.5%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush left for 13 yards gain to the UNC24 (#10 M.Benner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
54.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #9 J.Holman caught at UNC14, for 10 yards to the UNC14 QB hurried by #45 H.Voggesser, out of bounds at UNC14, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
54.4%
PENALTY WYO False Start (#89 J.Wilson) 5 yards from UNC14 to UNC19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+4
53.8%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNC15 (#8 K.Smedley; #3 E.Ekuban)Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
74.8%
Charlie Coenen 15 Yd pass from Tyler Hughes (Erik Sandvik Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 20INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0635% → 36%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
64.8%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass incomplete deep right to #13 T.Olsen thrown to WYO43 PENALTY WYO Pass Interference 15 yards from UNC25 to UNC40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
61.4%
Shotgun #6 J.Guin rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNC41 (#98 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
61.8%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth rush middle for 13 yards gain to the WYO46 (#5 B.Cheek) PENALTY UNC Holding 10 yards from UNC41 to UNC31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 19
OWN 31
0
64.5%
Shotgun #12 K.Lueth pass intercepted by #23 J.Thomas at UNC38 QB hurried by #42 E.Stuhlsatz, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21TD
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:5476% → 98%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
75.6%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC36 (#45 H.Voggesser; #55 B.Maile)Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+14
75.4%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 14 yards gain to the UNC22 (#53 D.Butts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
78.8%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 1 yard loss to the UNC23 (#3 E.Ekuban)Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+5
81.3%
#8 M.Holman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNC18 (#4 B.Acosta)Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
97.5%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #83 K.Frendt caught at UNC00, for 18 yards to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:44, 1ST DOWN #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:565% → 4%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
94.9%
Shotgun #18 B.Silbor sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNC19 (#21 J.Dunkley)Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+4
95.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 B.Silbor pass complete short left to #47 G.Harstad caught at UNC21, for 4 yards to the UNC23 (#0 T.Shamsid-Deen)Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
95.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 B.Silbor pass incomplete short right to #81 M.Mozer thrown to UNC25 QB hurried by #11 E.BogarSimilar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
96.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 B.Silbor pass incomplete short left to #81 M.Mozer thrown to UNC32 broken up by #0 T.Shamsid-Deen QB hurried by #44 J.Redfern, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
97.8%
Kneel down by #6 T.Hughes at UNC24 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 11
OPP 24
-1
97.7%
Kneel down by #6 T.Hughes at UNC25 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:44
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #83 K.Frendt caught at UNC00, for 18 yards to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:44, 1ST DOWN #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)
+26.5
TD · Q4 3:44
Charlie Coenen 15 Yd pass from Tyler Hughes (Erik Sandvik Kick)
+21
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:00
Timeout Wyoming, clock 02:00
+14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com