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ILST

Illinois State 28 at Northern Illinois 24

NIU
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadILST aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreILST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:06 · (01:15) #41 H.Futch punt 16 yards to the NIU44 blocked by #21 A.Tillman, out of bounds at NIU44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Home team on offense−8.2Garbage-time factor−2.9Score differential−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:27: (06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Kwiatkowski rush right for 14 yards gain to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:27. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #80 M.Cosentino kick attempt good (H: #41 H.Futch, LS: #13 A.Herrera) — ILST win probability +3.4 pts (now 57%) (top driver: ILST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:52: (14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short left to #4 D.Lord caught at NIU00, for 6 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:52 #80 M.Cosentino kick attempt good (H: #41 H.Futch, LS: #13 A.Herrera) — ILST win probability +1.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: ILST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:32: (06:34) #33 J.Schlenhardt field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #36 J.Ference, LS: #43 J.Evans), clock 06:32 — NIU win probability +3.0 pts (now 39%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: DeAree Rogers 2 Yd pass from Taron Dickens (JJ Schlenhardt Kick) — NIU win probability +19.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Offense has -3 timeouts left).
  5. TD · Q4 1:53: (01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short right to #13 A.Herrera caught at NIU13, for 16 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:53, 1ST DOWN #80 M.Cosentino kick attempt good (H: #41 H.Futch, LS: #13 A.Herrera) — ILST win probability +62.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ILST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ILST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:23NIU 4th & 11 at NIU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:02NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:48NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:12ILST 4th & 6 at ILST 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:32NIU 4th & 7 at ILST 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:03ILST 4th & 13 at ILST 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00NIU 4th & 2 at ILST 2, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−8.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:50ILST 4th & 16 at ILST 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−3.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:34NIU 4th & 2 at ILST 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.3%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−1.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−12.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:43ILST 4th & 2 at ILST 39, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:47NIU 4th & 15 at NIU 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−4.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:06ILST 4th & 15 at ILST 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−4.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:09NIU 4th & 3 at ILST 49, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ILST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:41ILST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:27ILST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:52ILST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:39NIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00NIU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:53ILST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1INT TD
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1150% → 49%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.5%
(14:59) Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 6 yards gain to the NIU31 (#4 L.Brown; #6 S.Oduma)Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
49.6%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NIU37 (#14 M.Kaplan; #6 S.Oduma), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
49.8%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass complete short right to #9 G.Dimopoulos caught at NIU40, for 3 yards to the NIU40 (#8 D.Dubose)Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
49.9%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NIU44 (#13 J.Oliver)Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
50.0%
PENALTY NIU Illegal Snap 5 yards from NIU44 to NIU39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-39
49.1%
Jack Oliver 39 Yd Interception Return (Michael Cosentino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1149% → 49%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.1%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NIU27 (#91 B.Harman; #14 M.Kaplan)Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
49.1%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon sacked for loss of 3 yards to the NIU24 (#46 T.Niekamp)Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
48.8%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Rogers thrown to NIU23Similar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
48.7%
(11:31) #36 J.Ference punt 33 yards to the ISU43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 3TD
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:4952% → 57%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
48.3%
(11:22) Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush left for 11 yards gain to the NIU46 (#16 K.Conyers; #6 J.Nelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
48.1%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Kwiatkowski rush left for 12 yards gain to the NIU34 (#2 A.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
47.9%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short middle to #11 M.Ziebarth caught at NIU33, for 1 yard to the NIU33 (#44 J.Murray; #11 A.Washington) PENALTY ISU Holding (#70 L.Brasfield) 10 yards from NIU34 to NIU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+8
48.1%
(10:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the NIU36 (#2 A.Jones)Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+3
47.8%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short middle to #18 S.Gavric caught at NIU35, for 3 yards to the NIU33 (#6 J.Nelson)Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+5
47.8%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass incomplete short right to #4 D.Lord thrown to NIU14 broken up by #2 A.Jones PENALTY NIU Offside 5 yards from NIU33 to NIU28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+6
47.6%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NIU22 (#6 J.Nelson; #44 J.Murray), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-6
47.1%
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush left for 6 yards loss to the NIU28 (#93 F.Omotoso)Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+4
47.0%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short middle to #4 D.Lord caught at NIU25, for 4 yards to the NIU24 (#2 A.Jones)Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+20
46.8%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short middle to #18 S.Gavric caught at NIU15, for 20 yards to the NIU04 (#2 A.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+10
46.4%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush left for 2 yards gain to the NIU02 (#2 A.Jones; #18 J.Thomas) PENALTY ISU Holding 10 yards from NIU04 to NIU14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
43.0%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Kwiatkowski rush right for 14 yards gain to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:27. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #80 M.Cosentino kick attempt good (H: #41 H.Futch, LS: #13 A.Herrera)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:0845% → 44%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
45.3%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #45 T.Johnson Jr. caught at NIU25, for 10 yards to the NIU30 (#91 B.Harman; #3 J.Coleman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
45.0%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards loss to the NIU27 (#35 A.Corona; #46 T.Niekamp)Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 13
OWN 27
0
44.7%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #45 T.Johnson Jr. caught at NIU25, for 0 yards to the NIU27 (#91 B.Harman; #22 N.Espinoza)Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+6
44.2%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #24 E.Porter caught at NIU26, for 6 yards to the NIU33 (#46 T.Niekamp; #3 J.Coleman)Similar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
44.0%
(04:08) #36 J.Ference punt 42 yards to the ISU25, out of bounds at ISU25 PENALTY NIU Kick Catch Interference 15 yards from ISU25 to ISU40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 5TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:0359% → 66%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
40.8%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU42 (#6 J.Nelson; #44 J.Murray) PENALTY NIU Personal Foul (#18 J.Thomas) 15 yards from ISU42 to NIU43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
40.3%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short left to #84 L.Mailander caught at NIU35, for 8 yards to the NIU35, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+4
40.1%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NIU31 (#6 J.Nelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
39.7%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NIU27 (#6 J.Nelson; #11 A.Washington)Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+9
38.3%
(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short right to #3 M.Gary caught at NIU20, for 9 yards to the NIU18 (#16 K.Conyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
37.9%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Kwiatkowski rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NIU13 (#2 A.Jones)Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
37.5%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NIU08 (#44 J.Murray; #6 J.Nelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
37.0%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NIU06 (#92 J.McGhee)Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
36.0%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass incomplete short left to #27 T.Lofton thrown to NIU06Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
34.4%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short left to #4 D.Lord caught at NIU00, for 6 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:52 #80 M.Cosentino kick attempt good (H: #41 H.Futch, LS: #13 A.Herrera)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:5437% → 36%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
37.0%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NIU30 (#46 T.Niekamp)Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
37.1%
(14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush left for 3 yards loss to the NIU27 (#14 M.Kaplan) PENALTY ISU Personal Foul (#14 M.Kaplan) 15 yards from NIU30 to NIU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
37.8%
(14:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NIU44 (#22 N.Espinoza; #76 V.Garcia)Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+1
36.8%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #1 D.Rogers caught at NIU41, for 1 yard to the NIU45 (#8 D.Dubose)Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
36.5%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short right to #45 T.Johnson Jr. thrown to NIU45 QB hurried by #44 D.NiekampSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
36.2%
(12:54) #36 J.Ference punt 55 yards to the ISU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 7INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-30
35.4%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Pellant pass intercepted by #30 A.Ellis at ISU30 #30 A.Ellis return 30 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:39 #33 J.Schlenhardt kick attempt good (H: #36 J.Ference, LS: #43 J.Evans)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2265% → 66%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.3%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU27 (#44 J.Murray; #12 A.Warren)Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
34.7%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU29 (#18 J.Thomas; #44 J.Murray)Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
34.2%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Pellant pass incomplete deep left to #1 I.Willis thrown to NIU40Similar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+22
34.5%
(11:23) #41 H.Futch punt 54 yards to the NIU17 #1 D.Rogers return 22 yards to the NIU39 (#22 N.Espinoza), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:3440% → 39%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
39.7%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the NIU49 (#6 S.Oduma; #4 L.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
40.2%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short middle to #1 D.Rogers caught at ISU40, for 15 yards to the ISU36 (#3 J.Coleman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
40.0%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU33 (#4 L.Brown)Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+6
39.8%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at ISU35, for 6 yards to the ISU27 (#6 S.Oduma), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+1
38.7%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU26 (#51 W.Boals; #46 T.Niekamp), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
39.3%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens sacked for loss of 10 yards to the ISU36 (#46 T.Niekamp)Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 20
OPP 36
+3
36.8%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #24 E.Porter caught at ISU39, for 3 yards to the ISU33 (#6 S.Oduma; #46 T.Niekamp)Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 17
OPP 33
+10
36.2%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #1 D.Rogers caught at ISU35, for 10 yards to the ISU23 (#46 T.Niekamp)Similar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
39.2%
(06:34) #33 J.Schlenhardt field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #36 J.Ference, LS: #43 J.Evans), clock 06:32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 3:2257% → 60%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.2%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass incomplete deep right to #84 L.Mailander thrown to NIU45Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.4%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short left to #4 D.Lord caught at ISU30, for 4 yards to the ISU29 (#16 K.Conyers; #12 A.Warren)Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
43.3%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short middle to #4 D.Lord caught at ISU35, for 6 yards to the ISU35, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
42.7%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 T.Lofton rush right for 1 yard gain to the ISU36 (#25 B.Kerperin)Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
38.8%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short left to #11 M.Ziebarth caught at ISU37, for 2 yards to the ISU38 (#16 K.Conyers)Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-6
37.9%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy sacked for loss of 6 yards to the ISU32 (#2 A.Jones)Similar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+26
39.8%
(03:20) #41 H.Futch punt 49 yards to the NIU19 #1 D.Rogers return 46 yards to the ISU35 (#9 R.Crawford), out of bounds PENALTY NIU Holding 10 yards from NIU45 to NIU35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11TD
18 plays · 65 yds · 2:5737% → 53%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
36.6%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NIU38 (#44 D.Niekamp; #97 A.Cannon)Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
36.9%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short middle to #84 G.Weber caught at NIU45, for 5 yards to the NIU43 (#3 J.Coleman)Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
36.5%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NIU47 (#76 V.Garcia; #97 A.Cannon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
35.9%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #83 J.Fowler caught at ISU48, for 18 yards to the ISU35 (#14 M.Kaplan; #4 L.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
38.1%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #1 D.Rogers caught at ISU35, for 7 yards to the ISU28, out of bounds at ISU28Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+15
38.1%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short middle to #9 G.Dimopoulos caught at ISU25, for 15 yards to the ISU13 (#14 M.Kaplan; #4 L.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
37.9%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short middle to #83 J.Fowler thrown to ISU10Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
37.9%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at ISU15, for 6 yards to the ISU07 (#92 T.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+5
36.3%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU02 (#4 L.Brown; #14 M.Kaplan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
37.9%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards loss to the ISU04 (#14 M.Kaplan; #44 D.Niekamp)Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
37.5%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU01 (#14 M.Kaplan; #44 D.Niekamp)Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
35.5%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ISU02 (#91 B.Harman; #51 W.Boals)Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
53.2%
DeAree Rogers 2 Yd pass from Taron Dickens (JJ Schlenhardt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:0055% → 53%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
44.7%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush right for 9 yards gain to the ISU35 (#16 K.Conyers), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+1
43.4%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU36 (#12 A.Warren), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
43.6%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short left to #11 M.Ziebarth caught at ISU35, for 1 yard loss to the ISU35 (#12 A.Warren)Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+3
44.5%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy rush right for 3 yards gain to the ISU38 (#44 J.Murray)Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-4
43.7%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy sacked for loss of 8 yards to the ISU30 (#6 J.Nelson, #18 J.Thomas)Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 16
OWN 30
+14
47.1%
(11:59) #41 H.Futch punt 43 yards to the NIU27 #1 D.Rogers return 14 yards to the NIU41 (#22 N.Espinoza)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:1149% → 49%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
49.3%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #45 T.Johnson Jr. caught at NIU37, for 0 yards to the NIU41 PENALTY ISU Roughing The Passer 15 yards from NIU41 to ISU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
50.7%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 14 yards gain to the ISU30 (#3 J.Coleman; #32 W.Mueller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
53.0%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at ISU30, for 5 yards to the ISU25 (#44 D.Niekamp; #32 W.Mueller)Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+8
53.1%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ISU17 (#3 J.Coleman; #14 M.Kaplan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
53.2%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU16 (#46 T.Niekamp; #97 A.Cannon)Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
53.2%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Rogers thrown to ISU04Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+7
50.7%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short middle to #83 J.Fowler caught at ISU15, for 7 yards to the ISU09 (#14 M.Kaplan; #32 W.Mueller)Similar
Q3 8:34
4TH & 2
OPP 9
-1
49.1%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ISU10 (#46 T.Niekamp; #76 V.Garcia), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:4555% → 59%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
45.4%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ISU17 (#44 J.Murray)Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+2
44.4%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush left for 2 yards gain to the ISU19 (#20 M.Washington, Jr.; #44 J.Murray)Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+1
43.1%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU20 (#14 M.Armstrong; #44 J.Murray), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
43.0%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short right to #84 L.Mailander caught at ISU31, for 11 yards to the ISU31, out of bounds at ISU31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
41.7%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU35 (#55 J.Bellamy; #44 J.Murray)Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+1
40.8%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short left to #11 M.Ziebarth caught at ISU35, for 1 yard to the ISU36 (#2 A.Jones)Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+3
41.3%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short middle to #4 D.Lord caught at ISU39, for 3 yards to the ISU39 (#44 J.Murray; #14 M.Armstrong)Similar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 2
OWN 39
-3
41.5%
(04:50) #41 H.Futch punt 36 yards to the NIU25 #1 D.Rogers return for loss of 3 yards to the NIU22 (#8 D.Dubose)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:4945% → 41%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
44.8%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the NIU26 (#98 L.Jellison)Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+1
45.4%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NIU27 (#35 A.Corona; #98 L.Jellison)Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 5
OWN 27
-10
43.0%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens sacked for loss of 10 yards to the NIU17 (#35 A.Corona)Similar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 15
OWN 17
0
40.8%
(02:53) #36 J.Ference punt 38 yards to the ISU45, out of bounds at ISU45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3465% → 60%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
35.1%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass incomplete short left to #4 D.Lord thrown to NIU37 broken up by #20 M.Washington, Jr.Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
35.7%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU47 (#0 M.Canion; #97 J.King)Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-7
35.5%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ISU40 (#2 A.Jones)Similar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
40.1%
(01:15) #41 H.Futch punt 16 yards to the NIU44 blocked by #21 A.Tillman, out of bounds at NIU44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4646% → 71%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
46.2%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Cranford rush right for 5 yards gain to the NIU49 (#22 N.Espinoza; #35 A.Corona)Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+2
47.1%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Cranford rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU49 (#98 L.Jellison)Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 3
OPP 0
0
69.6%
T. Dickens run for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
70.8%
(14:14) #36 J.Ference punt 49 yards to the ISU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 18INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:2431% → 36%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
69.3%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush left for 3 yards gain to the ISU23 (#14 M.Armstrong)Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
69.5%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Kwiatkowski rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ISU29 (#6 J.Nelson)Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
68.9%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush right for 2 yards gain to the ISU31 (#12 A.Warren), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
68.8%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short right to #2 S.Glatz caught at ISU27, for 0 yards to the ISU31 (#12 A.Warren; #50 M.Scarlett)Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+16
69.9%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short left to #4 D.Lord caught at ISU48, for 16 yards to the ISU47 (#16 K.Conyers), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NIU Roughing The Passer 15 yards from ISU47 to NIU38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
64.1%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Lord pass intercepted by #5 Y.Falke at NIU22, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:4972% → 78%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+36
71.7%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete deep left to #0 L.Bryant caught at ISU42, for 36 yards to the ISU42, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
76.4%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ISU36 (#91 B.Harman; #14 M.Kaplan)Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+11
76.7%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 11 yards gain to the ISU25 (#13 J.Oliver), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
78.6%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #1 D.Rogers caught at ISU32, for 0 yards to the ISU25 (#8 D.Dubose), out of bounds PENALTY NIU Holding (#83 J.Fowler) 10 yards from ISU25 to ISU35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 20
OPP 35
+15
77.4%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush middle for 15 yards gain to the ISU20 (#3 J.Coleman)Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+18
79.0%
(09:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush middle for 18 yards gain to the ISU02 (#3 J.Coleman; #32 W.Mueller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
79.6%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU01 (#46 T.Niekamp; #91 B.Harman)Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.4%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU01 (#44 D.Niekamp; #13 J.Oliver)Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.9%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:24 PENALTY ISU Offside declined #33 J.Schlenhardt kick attempt good (H: #36 J.Ference, LS: #43 J.Evans)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2426% → 90%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.9%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush right for 2 yards gain to the ISU27 (#5 Y.Falke)Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
76.5%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Kwiatkowski rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU27 (#44 J.Murray)Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
78.3%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short right to #18 S.Gavric caught at ISU35, for 13 yards to the ISU40 (#5 Y.Falke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
74.8%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU43 (#18 J.Thomas; #11 A.Washington)Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
74.3%
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short middle to #18 S.Gavric caught at ISU45, for 2 yards to the ISU45 (#16 K.Conyers)Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+11
82.6%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short middle to #4 D.Lord caught at ISU50, for 11 yards to the NIU44 (#14 M.Armstrong), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
80.7%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Kwiatkowski pass complete short left to #5 V.Dawson caught at NIU44, for 7 yards to the NIU37 (#3 L.Lindo), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+12
80.9%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short middle to #4 D.Lord caught at NIU25, for 12 yards to the NIU25 (#16 K.Conyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
80.7%
(02:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 V.Dawson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NIU22 (#50 M.Scarlett)Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+6
83.3%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Glatz rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NIU16 (#11 A.Washington)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+16
10.1%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short right to #13 A.Herrera caught at NIU13, for 16 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:53, 1ST DOWN #80 M.Cosentino kick attempt good (H: #41 H.Futch, LS: #13 A.Herrera)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21INT
13 plays · 55 yds · 1:2826% → 27%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
26.3%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #0 L.Bryant caught at NIU30, for 11 yards to the NIU36 (#14 M.Kaplan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
27.8%
PENALTY NIU False Start 5 yards from NIU36 to NIU31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+5
25.1%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at NIU36, for 5 yards to the NIU36, out of bounds at NIU36Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
26.0%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short middle to #1 D.Rogers caught at NIU40, for 6 yards to the NIU42 (#14 M.Kaplan; #8 D.Dubose)Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+11
23.5%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #1 D.Rogers caught at NIU50, for 11 yards to the ISU47 (#32 W.Mueller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
26.7%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short right to #0 L.Bryant thrown to ISU30 PENALTY ISU Pass Interference 15 yards from ISU47 to ISU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
32.2%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #9 G.Dimopoulos caught at ISU27, for 8 yards to the ISU24 (#8 D.Dubose; #3 J.Coleman)Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
33.2%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short middle to #83 J.Fowler thrown to ISU17Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+4
24.8%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU20 (#22 N.Espinoza), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
26.7%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass intercepted by #8 D.Dubose at ISU25, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 22Uncategorized
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:0794% → 94%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
6.5%
PENALTY ISU Personal Foul 12 yards from ISU25 to ISU13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
6.6%
(00:17) Kneel down by Illinois State at ISU11 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 24
OWN 11
-2
6.4%
(00:13) Kneel down at ISU09 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:53
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Roy pass complete short right to #13 A.Herrera caught at NIU13, for 16 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:53, 1ST DOWN #80 M.Cosentino kick attempt good (H: #41 H.Futch, LS: #13 A.Herrera)
-62.5
TD · Q2 0:00
DeAree Rogers 2 Yd pass from Taron Dickens (JJ Schlenhardt Kick)
+19.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com