2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadMTST aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreMTST score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · (00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass intercepted by #2 T.Uluilakepa at MSU00, Touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 5:39: (05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush left for 6 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:39 #39 M.Sansted kick attempt good (H: #30 C.Frokjer, LS: #40 B.Johnson) — MTST win probability +10.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: MTST has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q2 2:30: (02:30) Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete short left to #89 R.Lencioni thrown to MSU42 PENALTY Nevada Roughing The Passer (#32 D.Labarbera) 15 yards from MSU36 to Nevada49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY — MTST win probability +5.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MTST has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q2 0:20: Timeout Nevada, clock 00:20 — NEV win probability +6.1 pts (now 29%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q2 0:08: (00:08) Kneel down by #8 J.Lamson at MSU19 for loss of 1 yard — MTST win probability +11.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MTST has the ball).
- TD · Q4 11:38: (11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete deep left to #9 M.Brown caught at MSU01, for 28 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:38, 1ST DOWN #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack) — NEV win probability +13.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MTST made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
- Q1 9:25NEV 4th & 5 at MTST 43, down 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call39.1%42% to convertField goal38.8%−0.228% to makePunt39.0%−0.1average punt
- Q1 4:15NEV 4th & 12 at NEV 23, down 10Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snapGo for it37.0%−0.422% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call37.3%average punt
- Q1 1:35MTST 4th & 5 at NEV 27, up 10Close callKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snapGo for it63.2%41% to convertField goalTheir call63.1%−<0.162% to makePunt61.3%−1.9average punt
- Q2 13:38NEV 4th & 1 at NEV 48, down 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call35.5%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt34.6%−0.9average punt
- Q2 2:30NEV 4th & 1 at MTST 36, down 17Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call24.5%71% to convertField goal22.9%−1.642% to makePunt22.3%−2.2average punt
- Q2 1:35MTST 4th & 10 at NEV 49, up 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snapGo for it81.1%−0.329% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call81.5%average punt
- Q3 13:10NEV 4th & 3 at NEV 32, down 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snapGo for it19.9%−0.252% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call20.1%average punt
- Q3 9:57MTST 4th & 1 at NEV 49, up 17Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 83.7% before the snapGo for it84.0%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call81.8%−2.2average punt
- Q3 6:36NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 43, down 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snapGo for it16.3%−0.640% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call16.9%average punt
- Q3 3:12MTST 4th & 1 at MTST 44, up 17Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 88.2% before the snapGo for it88.7%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call86.8%−1.9average punt
- Q3 1:13NEV 4th & 7 at NEV 34, down 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snapGo for it12.4%−1.137% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call13.5%average punt
- Q4 14:38MTST 4th & 9 at MTST 40, up 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snapGo for it91.2%−0.832% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call92.0%average punt
- Q4 6:39MTST 4th & 8 at NEV 45, up 10Close callPunted · 87.4% before the snapGo for it86.9%34% to convertField goal85.2%−1.625% to makePuntTheir call86.8%−0.1average punt
- Q4 1:10MTST 4th & 9 at NEV 11, up 10Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snapGo for it93.0%−0.727% to convertField goalTheir call93.7%87% to makePunt89.2%−4.5average punt
- Q4 0:01NEV 4th & 5 at MTST 39, down 13Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call4.4%42% to convertField goal3.4%−1.036% to makePunt2.7%−1.7average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MTST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
- Q1 12:05MTST Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call60.7%97% to makeGo for two60.7%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 5:39MTST Touchdown, up 16 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call74.7%97% to makeGo for two74.6%−0.145% to convert
- Q4 11:38NEV Touchdown, down 11 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call18.1%97% to makeGo for two18.0%−0.145% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartMTSTDrive 1TD8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4461% → 62%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
38.7%
(15:00) Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short left to #14 T.Dowler caught at MSU22, for 28 yards to the Nevada47 (#98 D.Paine Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
38.8%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short right to #89 R.Lencioni caught at Nevada46, for 12 yards to the Nevada35 (#26 I.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
38.8%
(14:05) Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short left to #14 T.Dowler caught at Nevada36, for 6 yards to the Nevada29 (#26 I.Jordan) PENALTY MSU Holding (#84 D.Steel) 10 yards from Nevada29 to Nevada39Similar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 14
OPP 39
+10
39.0%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short to #89 R.Lencioni caught at Nevada40, for 10 yards to the Nevada29 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens)Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+1
39.0%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush right for 1 yard gain to the Nevada28 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens)Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+4
39.2%
(12:41) Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short right to #84 D.Steel caught at Nevada28, for 4 yards to the Nevada24 (#15 B.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
38.2%
(12:12) Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short right to #84 D.Steel caught at Nevada12, for 24 yards to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:05, 1ST DOWN #39 M.Sansted kick attempt good (H: #30 C.Frokjer, LS: #40 B.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2DOWNS8 plays · 23 yds · 2:2239% → 39%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
38.6%
(11:58) Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass complete short right to #5 D.Cheers caught at Nevada31, for 7 yards to the Nevada41 (#6 B.Meredith; #34 C.Taylor)Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+11
38.9%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush left for 11 yards gain to the MSU48 (#24 C.Petre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
39.1%
PENALTY Nevada False Start (#55 J.Foster) 5 yards from MSU48 to Nevada47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+9
38.8%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MSU44 (#34 C.Taylor)Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
39.1%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush left for 1 yard gain to the MSU43 (#50 Z.Black; #36 Z.Crews)Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
39.1%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass incomplete short right to #7 G.Givens III thrown to MSU34 broken up by #0 T.CarrSimilar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
38.7%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass incomplete short middle to #5 D.Cheers thrown to MSU35 broken up by #58 D.Solano, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 3PUNT8 plays · -4 yds · 3:2462% → 62%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
38.0%
(09:25) Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short middle to #89 R.Lencioni caught at Nevada47, for 13 yards to the Nevada44 (#8 L.Turner-Gooden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
37.7%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Nevada35 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens; #32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
37.5%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Nevada31 (#2 E.Smith; #8 L.Turner-Gooden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
37.4%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Nevada25 (#2 E.Smith)Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+5
37.2%
(07:16) Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Nevada20 (#98 D.Paine Jr.) PENALTY MSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from Nevada25 to Nevada30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-12
37.3%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson sacked for loss of 12 yards to the Nevada42 (#92 M.Williams), fumble by #8 J.Lamson recovered by MSU #54 Z.Nyland at Nevada42, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 21
OPP 42
-4
37.8%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson sacked for loss of 4 yards to the Nevada46 (#2 E.Smith)Similar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 25
OPP 0
0
37.6%
(05:48) #30 C.Frokjer punt 36 yards to the Nevada10 PENALTY MSU Kick Catch Interference 15 yards from Nevada10 to Nevada25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4PUNT5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1238% → 37%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.7%
(05:41) Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass complete short right to #1 H.Turner caught at Nevada18, for 0 yards to the Nevada25 (#0 T.Carr), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
37.6%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass complete short left to #11 D.Morgan caught at Nevada21, for 8 yards to the Nevada33, out of bounds at Nevada35 PENALTY Nevada Holding (#7 G.Givens III) 10 yards from Nevada33 to Nevada23Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
37.6%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 0 yards to the Nevada23 (#34 C.Taylor)Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
37.1%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass incomplete short middle to #5 D.Cheers thrown to Nevada23Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-2
36.9%
(04:21) #95 E.Baulch punt 51 yards to the MSU26 #14 T.Dowler return for loss of 2 yards to the MSU24 (#25 J.Thomas III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 5FG9 plays · 49 yds · 2:3263% → 64%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
37.4%
(04:15) Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short left to #23 A.Jones caught at MSU23, for 17 yards to the MSU41 (#2 E.Smith), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Nevada Face Mask (#5 Z.Jones) 15 yards from MSU41 to Nevada44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
36.6%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete short right to #84 D.Steel thrown to Nevada27 PENALTY MSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#57 E.Carr) 5 yards from Nevada44 to Nevada49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 15
OPP 49
0
36.9%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete short right to #85 C.Curnow thrown to Nevada46Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+6
37.0%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Nevada43 (#5 Z.Jones)Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+11
36.5%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short middle to #10 J.Woods caught at Nevada32, for 11 yards to the Nevada32 (#12 B.Snelling), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
36.1%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete short right to #14 T.Dowler thrown to Nevada34Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
35.8%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson rush left for 5 yards gain to the Nevada27 (#2 E.Smith; #92 M.Williams)Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
35.9%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete short right to #14 T.Dowler thrown to Nevada22 broken up by #8 L.Turner-GoodenSimilar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
36.5%
(01:38) #39 M.Sansted field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #30 C.Frokjer, LS: #40 B.Johnson), clock 01:35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6INT14 plays · 45 yds · 5:1436% → 36%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
35.9%
(01:29) Shotgun #25 K.Woods rush left for 1 yard gain to the Nevada29 (#34 C.Taylor; #23 E.Bonner)Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+10
35.7%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Cheers rush right for 10 yards gain to the Nevada39 (#2 T.Uluilakepa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
36.0%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 0 yards to the Nevada39 (#24 C.Petre)Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
35.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush left for 9 yards gain to the Nevada48 (#24 C.Petre; #6 B.Meredith)Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
36.2%
(14:21) Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 0 yards to the Nevada48 (#36 Z.Crews)Similar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+3
35.2%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU49 (#48 B.Downing; #24 C.Petre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
36.0%
(13:14) PENALTY Nevada False Start (#59 J.Norcross) 5 yards from MSU49 to Nevada46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+9
35.2%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MSU45 (#43 X.Ahrens)Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
35.9%
PENALTY MSU Disconcerting Signals (#50 Z.Black) 5 yards from MSU45 to MSU40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+12
35.9%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 12 yards gain to the MSU28 (#24 C.Petre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
36.2%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Cheers rush right for 1 yard gain to the MSU27 (#10 J.Woods)Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-10
36.1%
(11:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass intercepted by #18 B.Harris at MSU07 #18 B.Harris return 10 yards to the MSU17 (#1 H.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 7TD12 plays · 79 yds · 5:1365% → 79%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
35.3%
(11:08) Shotgun #14 T.Dowler rush left for 6 yards gain to the MSU23 (#26 I.Jordan)Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+5
34.9%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU28 (#32 D.Labarbera), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
35.1%
(09:53) PENALTY MSU False Start (#23 A.Jones) 5 yards from MSU28 to MSU23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
35.4%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete short middle to #89 R.Lencioni thrown to MSU28 broken up by #32 D.LabarberaSimilar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+4
35.5%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short right to #14 T.Dowler caught at MSU27, for 4 yards to the MSU27, out of bounds at MSU27Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+30
35.8%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short left to #13 C.Dahlke caught at MSU41, for 30 yards to the Nevada43 (#2 E.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
32.3%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson rush right for 4 yards gain to the Nevada39 (#32 D.Labarbera; #26 I.Jordan)Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
31.4%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 C.Coon rush left for 5 yards gain to the Nevada34 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens)Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+10
31.7%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 C.Coon rush left for 10 yards gain to the Nevada24 (#18 A.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
31.0%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nevada21 (#92 M.Williams)Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+11
30.8%
(05:50) No Huddle #12 J.Reed pass incomplete short left to #23 A.Jones thrown to Nevada03 PENALTY Nevada Pass Interference (#5 Z.Jones) 11 yard from Nevada21 to Nevada10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
20.8%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush left for 6 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:39 #39 M.Sansted kick attempt good (H: #30 C.Frokjer, LS: #40 B.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8DOWNS10 plays · 39 yds · 3:0225% → 24%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
24.8%
(05:39) Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Nevada29 (#43 X.Ahrens)Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
24.7%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass incomplete short right to #1 H.Turner thrown to Nevada28 PENALTY MSU Personal Foul (#7 T.Gray) 15 yards from Nevada29 to Nevada44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
26.1%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MSU48 (#34 C.Taylor)Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+3
25.9%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU45 (#7 T.Gray), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
25.4%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU43 (#50 Z.Black)Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
25.0%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass incomplete short left to #41 D.Kelley thrown to MSU43Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+7
24.7%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass complete short left to #11 D.Morgan caught at MSU36, for 7 yards to the MSU36 (#0 T.Carr; #24 C.Petre)Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
24.4%
(02:35) Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU36 (#94 J.Asuega; #99 T.Marsh), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 9PUNT8 plays · 15 yds · 0:5581% → 82%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
19.1%
(02:30) Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete short left to #89 R.Lencioni thrown to MSU42 PENALTY Nevada Roughing The Passer (#32 D.Labarbera) 15 yards from MSU36 to Nevada49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
18.3%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Nevada47 (#92 M.Williams; #10 L.Va'a)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+10
16.9%
(02:00) Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete deep left to #89 R.Lencioni thrown to Nevada25 broken up by #18 A.Walker PENALTY MSU Holding 10 yards from Nevada47 to MSU43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 18
OWN 43
0
17.2%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete short middle to #12 J.Reed thrown to Nevada38 broken up by #12 B.SnellingSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 18
OWN 43
+5
17.4%
(01:47) PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from MSU43 to MSU38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 23
OWN 38
+13
17.5%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 13 yards gain to the Nevada49 (#2 E.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10INT11 plays · 69 yds · 1:1722% → 30%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
21.5%
(01:35) Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Nevada30 (#34 C.Taylor; #24 C.Petre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
21.6%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 15 yards gain to the Nevada45 (#0 T.Carr), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
22.6%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass complete short middle to #3 J.Doss caught at MSU38, for 18 yards to the MSU37 (#2 T.Uluilakepa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
23.0%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Morgan thrown to MSU33 broken up by #43 X.AhrensSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
22.7%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass incomplete short right to #16 D.Asiasi thrown to MSU38Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+15
22.4%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass incomplete short left to #9 M.Brown thrown to MSU26 PENALTY MSU Roughing The Passer (#58 D.Solano) 15 yards from MSU37 to MSU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
23.5%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass complete short right to #11 D.Morgan caught at MSU22, for 14 yards to the MSU08 (#2 T.Uluilakepa; #91 S.Brock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
23.1%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass complete short left to #11 D.Morgan caught at MSU11, for 3 yards loss to the MSU11 (#2 T.Uluilakepa)Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
30.5%
(00:20) Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass incomplete short right to #5 D.Cheers thrown to MSU00Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
29.6%
(00:15) Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass intercepted by #4 T.Thomas II at MSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 11END OF HALF2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5021% → 20%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
20.6%
Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush left for 2 yards gain to the Nevada27 (#24 C.Petre; #34 C.Taylor)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
20.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nevada30 (#50 Z.Black; #99 T.Marsh)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
20.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Nevada32 (#95 A.Guajardo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 13PUNT6 plays · 22 yds · 3:0682% → 84%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
18.1%
(13:10) Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU32 (#98 D.Paine Jr.)Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
17.8%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short middle to #84 D.Steel caught at MSU36, for 10 yards to the MSU42 (#2 E.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
16.2%
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU46 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens; #2 E.Smith)Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
15.8%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Nevada49 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
15.6%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the Nevada49 (#96 T.Vaughan)Similar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
16.2%
(10:06) #30 C.Frokjer punt 32 yards to the Nevada17 fair catch by #14 G.Robinson at Nevada17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14PUNT7 plays · 26 yds · 3:0917% → 16%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
17.0%
(09:58) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco rush left for 8 yards gain to the Nevada25 (#2 T.Uluilakepa)Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+3
17.5%
(09:33) Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nevada28 (#90 H.Sharbano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
16.8%
(09:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco rush left for 11 yards gain to the Nevada39 (#43 X.Ahrens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
17.5%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Nevada41 (#36 Z.Crews)Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+2
17.3%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Nevada43 (#34 C.Taylor)Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
16.9%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short left to #11 D.Morgan caught at Nevada41, for 0 yards to the Nevada43 (#50 Z.Black)Similar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+6
16.2%
(06:44) #95 E.Baulch punt 38 yards to the MSU19 #14 T.Dowler return 6 yards to the MSU25 (#15 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 15PUNT6 plays · 19 yds · 3:1886% → 88%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.9%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU25 (#98 D.Paine Jr.)Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
13.6%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson rush right for 10 yards gain to the MSU35 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
13.0%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 C.Coon rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MSU42 (#8 L.Turner-Gooden)Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-1
11.6%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MSU41 (#96 T.Vaughan)Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
11.4%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short right to #23 A.Jones caught at MSU36, for 3 yards to the MSU44 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16PUNT6 plays · 16 yds · 1:4414% → 13%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
13.6%
(03:12) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short left to #5 D.Cheers caught at Nevada31, for 13 yards to the Nevada31, out of bounds at Nevada31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
13.8%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass incomplete short left to #5 D.Cheers thrown to Nevada37Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
13.4%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Nevada37 (#24 C.Petre)Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+5
14.0%
PENALTY Nevada False Start (#59 J.Norcross) 5 yards from Nevada37 to Nevada32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+2
13.0%
(02:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco rush right for 2 yards gain to the Nevada34 (#34 C.Taylor; #43 X.Ahrens)Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
12.6%
(01:19) #95 E.Baulch punt 37 yards to the MSU29 fair catch by #14 T.Dowler at MSU29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 17PUNT9 plays · -4 yds · 1:2991% → 94%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
9.1%
(01:13) Shotgun #14 T.Dowler rush right for 14 yards gain (8) to the MSU43, out of bounds at MSU43 PENALTY MSU Holding (#89 R.Lencioni) 10 yards from MSU37 to MSU27Similar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 12
OWN 27
0
9.1%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete short middle to #89 R.Lencioni thrown to MSU45 broken up by #8 L.Turner-GoodenSimilar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+12
9.1%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush left for 12 yards gain to the MSU39 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
8.3%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short right to #23 A.Jones caught at MSU33, for 1 yard to the MSU40 (#18 A.Walker)Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
8.2%
(15:00) Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete short right to #14 T.Dowler thrown to Nevada47. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
6.4%
(14:52) Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass incomplete short left to #10 J.Woods thrown to MSU49 broken up by #26 I.JordanSimilar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
6.3%
(14:47) #30 C.Frokjer punt 40 yards to the Nevada20 PENALTY MSU Kick Catch Interference 15 yards from Nevada20 to Nevada35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18TD9 plays · 65 yds · 3:0011% → 22%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
11.0%
(14:38) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass incomplete deep left to #7 G.Givens III thrown to MSU32 PENALTY MSU Holding (#4 T.Thomas II) 10 yards from Nevada35 to Nevada45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
11.7%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short right to #16 D.Asiasi caught at Nevada44, for 0 yards to the Nevada45 (#6 B.Meredith)Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+17
9.4%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short middle to #16 D.Asiasi caught at MSU46, for 17 yards to the MSU38 (#24 C.Petre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
9.7%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short right to #41 D.Kelley caught at MSU38, for 9 yards to the MSU29 (#0 T.Carr)Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
10.4%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass incomplete short middle to #41 D.Kelley thrown to MSU17Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+1
10.1%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 D.Kelley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MSU28 (#48 B.Downing; #90 H.Sharbano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
9.0%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU28 (#90 H.Sharbano)Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
8.5%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass incomplete short middle to #7 G.Givens III thrown to MSU12 broken up by #0 T.CarrSimilar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
21.7%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete deep left to #9 M.Brown caught at MSU01, for 28 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:38, 1ST DOWN #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 19PUNT9 plays · 30 yds · 4:4582% → 88%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.1%
(11:37) Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU30 (#96 T.Vaughan)Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
16.6%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MSU36 (#32 D.Labarbera), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
13.7%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush right for 2 yards gain to the MSU38 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+15
12.9%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson rush middle for 15 yards gain to the Nevada47 (#12 B.Snelling), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
12.3%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson pass complete short right to #14 T.Dowler caught at Nevada50, for 6 yards to the Nevada41 (#12 B.Snelling)Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-3
11.7%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 3 yards loss to the Nevada44 (#98 D.Paine Jr.)Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-1
11.3%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Lamson sacked for loss of 1 yard to the Nevada45 (#10 L.Va'a)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20FUMBLE6 plays · 37 yds · 1:4313% → 13%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
12.9%
(06:39) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass incomplete deep middle to #7 G.Givens III thrown to MSU40 broken up by #0 T.CarrSimilar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
11.8%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Nevada25 (#43 X.Ahrens; #34 C.Taylor)Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+10
11.3%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short middle to #9 M.Brown caught at Nevada35, for 10 yards to the Nevada35 (#5 J.Dolan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
12.1%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short right to #11 D.Morgan caught at Nevada33, for 4 yards to the Nevada39 (#43 X.Ahrens; #36 Z.Crews)Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+12
12.4%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 12 yards gain to the MSU49 (#43 X.Ahrens; #24 C.Petre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
12.6%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short left to #9 M.Brown caught at MSU41, for 6 yards to the MSU43 fumbled by #9 M.Brown at MSU40 forced by #24 C.Petre recovered by MSU #5 J.Dolan at MSU43 #5 J.Dolan return 20 yards to the Nevada38 (#1 H.Turner) PENALTY Nevada Chop Block (#10 A.Bianco) 15 yards from Nevada37 to Nevada22, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 21FG8 plays · 11 yds · 3:2592% → 98%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
8.3%
(04:49) Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Nevada18, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+1
8.1%
(04:06) Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada17 (#11 P.Utu)Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+5
6.8%
(03:29) Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Nevada12 (#32 D.Labarbera), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
5.7%
(02:45) Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Nevada14 (#2 E.Smith)Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+3
4.5%
(01:59) Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nevada11 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
4.5%
(01:18) Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the Nevada11 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
2.4%
(01:14) #39 M.Sansted field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #30 C.Frokjer, LS: #40 B.Johnson), clock 01:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22INT11 plays · 39 yds · 0:554% → 4%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
3.5%
(01:04) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short middle to #5 D.Cheers caught at Nevada20, for 14 yards to the Nevada36 (#2 T.Uluilakepa), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
3.8%
PENALTY Nevada False Start (#59 J.Norcross) 5 yards from Nevada36 to Nevada31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
3.5%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass incomplete short middle to #7 G.Givens III thrown to Nevada31Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+10
3.6%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short left to #25 K.Woods caught at Nevada27, for 10 yards to the Nevada41 (#34 C.Taylor)Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+15
3.8%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco rush left for 15 yards gain to the MSU44, out of bounds at MSU44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
4.3%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass incomplete short left to #16 D.Asiasi thrown to MSU40Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
4.2%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short middle to #5 D.Cheers caught at MSU45, for 5 yards to the MSU39 (#24 C.Petre)Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
4.4%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass incomplete deep right to #7 G.Givens III thrown to MSU00 broken up by #0 T.CarrSimilar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
4.1%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass intercepted by #2 T.Uluilakepa at MSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:38
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete deep left to #9 M.Brown caught at MSU01, for 28 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:38, 1ST DOWN #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack)
+13.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:08
(00:08) Kneel down by #8 J.Lamson at MSU19 for loss of 1 yard
-11.5
TD · Q2 5:39
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Jones rush left for 6 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:39 #39 M.Sansted kick attempt good (H: #30 C.Frokjer, LS: #40 B.Johnson)
-10