2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreNEV score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:10 · Joe McFadden 20 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- FG · Q2 0:00: Dominic Bourgeois 47 Yd Field Goal — MTSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 47%) (top driver: MTSU down 3 timeouts).
- TD · Q3 10:15: Carter Jones 1 Yd Run (Joe McFadden Kick) — NEV win probability +16.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
- FG · Q4 14:10: Joe McFadden 20 Yd Field Goal — NEV win probability +6.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
- FG · Q4 9:51: Dominic Bourgeois 23 Yd Field Goal — MTSU win probability +12.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
- TD · Q4 5:59: Antonio Martin 3 Yd Run (Dominic Bourgeois Kick) — MTSU win probability +30.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11NEV made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
- Q1 12:50MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 24, tiedClose callPunted · 42.4% before the snapGo for it42.4%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call42.4%−<0.1average punt
- Q1 10:03NEV 4th & 1 at MTSU 1, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call56.9%59% to convertField goal56.6%−0.394% to makePunt55.9%−1.0average punt
- Q1 1:34NEV 4th & 8 at MTSU 41, tiedClose callPunted · 55.1% before the snapGo for it55.2%34% to convertField goal54.9%−0.332% to makePuntTheir call55.0%−0.2average punt
- Q1 0:04MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 20, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snapGo for it45.0%−0.340% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call45.2%average punt
- Q2 9:10NEV 4th & 9 at MTSU 22, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snapGo for it53.5%−0.530% to convertField goalTheir call54.0%72% to makePunt50.5%−3.5average punt
- Q2 5:28MTSU 4th & 11 at midfield, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snapGo for it41.9%−0.526% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call42.4%average punt
- Q2 4:40NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 26, up 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snapGo for it54.9%−0.147% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call55.0%average punt
- Q2 0:00MTSU 4th & 10 at NEV 29, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snapGo for it41.5%−1.029% to convertField goalTheir call42.4%58% to makePunt36.2%−6.3average punt
- Q3 12:56MTSU 4th & 3 at NEV 10, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call56.4%49% to convertField goal55.8%−0.688% to makePunt47.5%−8.9average punt
- Q3 9:24MTSU 4th & 15 at MTSU 20, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snapGo for it46.6%−3.716% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call50.3%average punt
- Q3 9:24MTSU 4th & 15 at MTSU 20, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snapGo for it46.6%−3.716% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call50.3%average punt
- Q3 2:47MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 24, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snapGo for it49.3%−2.632% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call51.9%average punt
- Q4 14:10NEV 4th & 3 at MTSU 3, tiedNumbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 52.3% before the snapGo for it53.9%44% to convertField goalTheir call50.9%−3.093% to makePunt34.3%−19.6average punt
- Q4 9:51MTSU 4th & 5 at NEV 5, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.1% before the snapGo for it42.3%−1.433% to convertField goalTheir call43.7%92% to makePunt26.0%−17.7average punt
- Q4 6:33MTSU 4th & 1 at NEV 12, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call57.4%71% to convertField goal49.4%−8.086% to makePunt26.8%−30.6average punt
- Q4 3:15NEV 4th & 2 at MTSU 44, down 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call7.2%57% to convertField goal6.3%−0.927% to makePunt6.7%−0.4average punt
- Q4 1:22MTSU 4th & 1 at NEV 36, up 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call95.2%71% to convertField goal94.7%−0.542% to makePunt94.4%−0.8average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NEV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
- Q1 10:03NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call57.7%97% to makeGo for two57.7%−<0.145% to convert
- Q1 4:35MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call45.0%97% to makeGo for two44.9%−<0.145% to convert
- Q3 10:15NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call46.8%97% to makeGo for two46.6%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 5:59MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call82.8%97% to makeGo for two81.0%−1.845% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartMTSUDrive 1PUNT5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5940% → 41%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
39.9%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MTSU23 (#41 E.Smith)Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
40.1%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #3 C.Lacy caught at MTSU21, for 0 yards to the MTSU23 (#12 B.Snelling)Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+1
40.3%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MTSU24 (#41 E.Smith; #92 M.Williams)Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+43
40.5%
(13:06) #92 A.Logan punt 57 yards to the Nev19 #14 G.Robinson return 43 yards to the MTSU38 (#39 E.Poticher), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2TD8 plays · 38 yds · 2:4060% → 61%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
40.4%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MTSU36 (#95 Z.Simpson-Smith; #93 A.Butts)Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+1
40.5%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MTSU35 (#0 K.Woods; #11 J.Johnson)Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+34
40.7%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete deep right to #7 G.Givens III caught at MTSU05, for 34 yards to the MTSU01 (#21 J.Hardy; #0 K.Woods), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MTSU Offside declinedSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.5%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 0 yards to the MTSU01 (#13 A.Taylor)Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.5%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the MTSU01 (#26 K.Smith)Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.7%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the MTSU01 (#91 F.Hixon; #90 J.Bodford)Similar
Q1 10:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.3%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MTSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:03 #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #10 A.Bianco, LS: #51 C.Stack)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD12 plays · 70 yds · 5:0240% → 45%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
39.7%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #85 N.Clifton caught at MTSU41, for 11 yards to the MTSU41 (#8 L.Turner-Gooden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
40.0%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 D.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MTSU42 (#92 M.Williams)Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+7
39.6%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MTSU49, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+6
39.8%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #3 C.Lacy caught at Nev46, for 6 yards to the Nev45 (#18 A.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
40.1%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 D.Taylor rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Nev35 (#8 L.Turner-Gooden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
40.4%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 S.Fleming rush left for 7 yards gain to the Nev28 (#5 Z.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
40.4%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 D.Taylor rush middle for 0 yards to the Nev28 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
40.0%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short right to #33 B.Davis thrown to Nev32 broken up by #92 M.WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+5
39.4%
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short middle to #3 C.Lacy thrown to Nev25 broken up by #1 J.Naborne-Owens, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Nev Pass Interference (#1 J.Naborne-Owens) 5 yards from Nev28 to Nev23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
40.4%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the Nev23 (#41 E.Smith)Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
44.5%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete deep middle to #83 K.Perdue caught at Nev00, for 23 yards to the Nev00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:35, 1ST DOWN #91 D.Bourgeois kick attempt good (H: #92 A.Logan, LS: #59 H.Hamlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4PUNT8 plays · 34 yds · 2:5157% → 57%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
42.9%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short middle to #11 D.Morgan caught at Nev40, for 19 yards to the Nev44 (#26 K.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
42.0%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Nev49 (#2 J.Lowe; #13 A.Taylor)Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+8
42.0%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #1 H.Turner caught at Nev45, for 8 yards to the MTSU43 (#26 K.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
42.0%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush left for 4 yards loss to the MTSU47 (#99 A.Roseman V; #13 A.Taylor)Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
42.3%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Kelley thrown to MTSU39Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+6
42.9%
(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #0 D.Kelley caught at MTSU44, for 6 yards to the MTSU41 (#11 J.Johnson; #2 J.Lowe)Similar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
42.9%
(01:39) #95 E.Baulch punt 26 yards to the MTSU15 fair catch by #7 H.Wasson at MTSU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3044% → 43%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
44.0%
PENALTY MTSU Illegal Snap (#65 B.Smith) 5 yards from MTSU15 to MTSU10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+3
44.1%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MTSU13 (#11 P.Utu)Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 12
OWN 13
0
44.2%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #85 N.Clifton thrown to MTSU22Similar
Q1 0:39
3RD & 12
OWN 13
+7
43.6%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Davis rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MTSU20 (#18 A.Walker)Similar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+2
43.4%
(00:04) #92 A.Logan punt 49 yards to the Nev31 #14 G.Robinson return 2 yards to the Nev33 (#22 G.Gaskins)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6FG12 plays · 45 yds · 5:3957% → 58%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
43.2%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nev36 (#22 G.Gaskins)Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
42.9%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nev37 (#46 R.Johnson)Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+13
43.7%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #1 H.Turner caught at Nev48, for 13 yards to the Nev50 (#13 A.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
50
+9
42.1%
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MTSU41 (#22 G.Gaskins; #2 J.Lowe)Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+4
42.0%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush right for 4 yards gain to the MTSU37 (#44 K.Call), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
42.3%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right thrown to MTSU35 QB hurried by #44 K.CallSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
42.4%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MTSU30 (#26 K.Smith; #94 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+7
42.3%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #11 D.Morgan caught at MTSU27, for 7 yards to the MTSU23 (#11 J.Johnson; #26 K.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
41.6%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #16 D.Asiasi caught at MTSU23, for 1 yard to the MTSU22 (#26 K.Smith)Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-4
41.6%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Cheers rush right for 4 yards loss to the MTSU26 (#26 K.Smith)Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+4
43.4%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #7 G.Givens III caught at MTSU26, for 4 yards to the MTSU22 (#2 J.Lowe)Similar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
41.8%
(09:14) #84 J.McFadden field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #95 E.Baulch, LS: #51 C.Stack), clock 09:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT10 plays · 34 yds · 3:3142% → 40%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
42.2%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush left for 9 yards gain to the MTSU25 (#15 B.Turner; #5 Z.Jones)Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+9
43.3%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano rush right for 9 yards gain to the MTSU34 (#26 I.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
41.5%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MTSU40 (#18 A.Walker; #98 D.Paine Jr.)Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+11
43.6%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #6 A.Jones caught at MTSU45, for 11 yards to the Nev49 (#41 E.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
44.2%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 D.Taylor rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Nev45 (#32 D.Labarbera; #41 E.Smith)Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
44.4%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Lacy thrown to Nev45Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
43.8%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete deep right to #3 C.Lacy thrown to Nev19 broken up by #15 B.TurnerSimilar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+5
42.2%
PENALTY MTSU Delay Of Game (#33 B.Davis) 5 yards from Nev45 to Nev50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 11
50
+6
40.4%
(05:34) #92 A.Logan punt 36 yards to the Nev14 #14 G.Robinson return 6 yards to the Nev20 (#38 L.Kennedy; #10 J.Chestnut)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8PUNT4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4559% → 57%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
41.3%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short left to #5 D.Cheers thrown to Nev25Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
41.6%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Nev26 (#26 K.Smith; #13 A.Taylor)Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
41.5%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right to #1 H.Turner thrown to Nev27Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
43.0%
(04:46) #95 E.Baulch punt 47 yards to the MTSU27 fair catch by #7 H.Wasson at MTSU27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9FG17 plays · 44 yds · 4:3342% → 47%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
41.9%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MTSU29 (#41 E.Smith; #32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+8
41.8%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #1 M.Allen caught at MTSU35, for 8 yards to the MTSU37 (#18 A.Walker; #1 J.Naborne-Owens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
42.8%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Davis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MTSU41 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens)Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
44.2%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MTSU45 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+7
43.6%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Nev48 (#8 L.Turner-Gooden; #92 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
45.1%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #85 N.Clifton thrown to MTSU49Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
44.7%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Nev40 (#41 E.Smith; #8 L.Turner-Gooden)Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+11
44.6%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Nev29 (#41 E.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
46.6%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nev28 (#18 A.Walker; #41 E.Smith)Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+10
46.6%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 D.Taylor rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Nev21 (#18 A.Walker) PENALTY MTSU Holding (#65 B.Smith) 10 yards from Nev28 to Nev38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 19
OPP 38
0
39.8%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete deep right to #3 C.Lacy thrown to Nev07 QB hurried by #32 D.Labarbera and #96 T.VaughanSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 19
OPP 38
+9
38.7%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Davis rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Nev29 (#12 B.Snelling)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10FUMBLE2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-6
53.2%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones sacked for loss of 6 yards to the Nev17 (#2 J.Lowe), fumble by #6 C.Jones recovered by MTSU #2 J.Lowe at Nev17, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD4 plays · 17 yds · 1:4558% → 63%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
58.3%
(14:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #83 K.Perdue thrown to Nev11Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
58.4%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #3 C.Lacy caught at Nev19, for 6 yards to the Nev11 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens; #15 B.Turner)Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+1
57.7%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano rush left for 1 yard gain to the Nev10 (#96 T.Vaughan)Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+10
63.4%
Cam'ron Lacy 10 Yd pass from Roman Gagliano (Dominic Bourgeois Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12TD9 plays · 90 yds · 2:2937% → 58%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
62.6%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Nev15 (#46 R.Johnson) PENALTY MTSU Holding (#95 Z.Simpson-Smith) 10 yards from Nev15 to Nev25, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.7%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Nev27 (#44 K.Call; #13 A.Taylor)Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
62.8%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush right for 4 yards gain to the Nev31 (#46 R.Johnson) PENALTY MTSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#46 R.Johnson) 15 yards from Nev31 to Nev46, 1ST DOWN. #46 R.Johnson injured on the playSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
60.7%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete deep left to #5 D.Cheers thrown to MTSU10 broken up by #21 J.Hardy PENALTY MTSU Pass Interference (#21 J.Hardy) 15 yards from Nev46 to MTSU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
60.0%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MTSU34 (#13 A.Taylor)Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+7
58.1%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush left for 7 yards gain to the MTSU27 (#13 A.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
58.3%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete deep right to #11 D.Morgan caught at MTSU01, for 26 yards to the MTSU01, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete deep right to #11 D.Morgan caught at MTSU01, for 27 yards to the MTSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:24, 1ST DOWN)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT7 plays · -5 yds · 0:4151% → 48%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.7%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short middle to #3 C.Lacy caught at MTSU21, for 0 yards to the MTSU25 (#12 B.Snelling)Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
50.6%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #85 N.Clifton thrown to MTSU36 QB hurried by #90 J.Hemphill IISimilar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
49.1%
PENALTY MTSU False Start (#63 A.Gale) 5 yards from MTSU25 to MTSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
48.9%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete deep left to #7 H.Wasson thrown to MTSU47 QB hurried by #96 T.VaughanSimilar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+26
48.2%
(09:24) #92 A.Logan punt 50 yards to the Nev30 #14 G.Robinson return 70 yards to the MTSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:07 PENALTY Nev Holding (#9 J.MacKinnon) 10 yards from MTSU44 to Nev46Similar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+22
48.2%
(09:24) #92 A.Logan punt 50 yards to the Nev30 #14 G.Robinson return 70 yards to the MTSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:07 PENALTY Nev Holding (#9 J.MacKinnon) 10 yards from MTSU48 to Nev42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14INT9 plays · 12 yds · 1:4655% → 56%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
44.6%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MTSU45 (#16 J.Thompson; #95 Z.Simpson-Smith)Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
45.3%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nev45 (#16 J.Thompson; #95 Z.Simpson-Smith)Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
44.2%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush left for 0 yards to the MTSU45 (#94 J.Williams; #30 B.Williams)Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+10
45.5%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush left for 10 yards gain to the MTSU45 (#94 J.Williams; #30 B.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 9
OPP 45
-1
45.6%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush right for 1 yard loss to the MTSU46 (#44 K.Call)Similar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
44.2%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush right for 1 yard loss to the MTSU46 (#44 K.Call)Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
44.9%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short middle to #3 J.Doss thrown to MTSU45Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+3
46.5%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass intercepted by #21 J.Hardy at MTSU15 #21 J.Hardy return for loss of 3 yards to the MTSU12, out of bounds at MTSU12Similar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
44.3%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass intercepted by #21 J.Hardy at MTSU15 #21 J.Hardy return for loss of 3 yards to the MTSU12, out of bounds at MTSU12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT9 plays · 12 yds · 4:0851% → 51%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
51.3%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the MTSU12 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens)Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
51.4%
(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short right to #1 M.Allen thrown to MTSU17 QB hurried by #32 D.LabarberaSimilar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+10
49.8%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #3 C.Lacy caught at MTSU22, for 10 yards to the MTSU22 (#18 A.Walker), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
52.0%
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #85 N.Clifton caught at MTSU26, for 7 yards to the MTSU29 (#12 B.Snelling), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+10
53.6%
(04:50) No Huddle #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MTSU33 (#32 D.Labarbera; #96 T.Vaughan) PENALTY MTSU Holding (#63 A.Gale) 10 yards from MTSU29 to MTSU19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+9
51.6%
(04:20) No Huddle #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #8 A.Martin Jr. caught at MTSU15, for 9 yards to the MTSU28 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-2
52.8%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano sacked for loss of 4 yards to the MTSU24 (#41 E.Smith, #92 M.Williams)Similar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+10
51.2%
(02:55) #92 A.Logan punt 48 yards to the Nev28 #14 G.Robinson return 10 yards to the Nev38 (#21 J.Hardy)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16FG10 plays · 59 yds · 3:2853% → 61%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
47.2%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #0 D.Kelley caught at Nev40, for 6 yards to the Nev44 (#23 K.Minifield)Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+1
45.6%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush right for 1 yard gain to the Nev45 (#19 A.Singleton; #13 A.Taylor)Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+37
46.1%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #81 T.Estes caught at MTSU42, for 37 yards to the MTSU18 (#30 B.Williams; #23 K.Minifield), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
43.3%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right to #16 D.Asiasi thrown to MTSU15Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
43.5%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 11 yards gain to the MTSU07 (#0 K.Woods; #30 B.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
43.4%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MTSU04 (#26 K.Smith; #94 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
43.6%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MTSU03 (#26 K.Smith)Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
45.5%
(14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right to #83 C.Eck thrown to MTSU00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17FG12 plays · 78 yds · 4:0145% → 60%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
44.6%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #13 Z.Butler caught at MTSU30, for 15 yards to the MTSU32 (#5 Z.Jones; #44 A.Maluia), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
45.5%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the MTSU34 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+41
43.8%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete deep left to #1 M.Allen caught at Nev45, for 41 yards to the Nev25 (#26 I.Jordan; #5 Z.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
52.1%
PENALTY MTSU False Start (#71 Q.Butler) 5 yards from Nev25 to Nev30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+16
51.1%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short right to #1 M.Allen caught at Nev21, for 16 yards to the Nev14 (#15 B.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
52.3%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short right to #6 A.Jones thrown to Nev00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Nev Pass Interference (#5 Z.Jones) 12 yards from Nev14 to Nev02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
51.5%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short left to #1 M.Allen thrown to Nev00Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
51.5%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nev01 (#44 A.Maluia)Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+4
46.4%
PENALTY MTSU False Start (#88 T.Galloway) 4 yards from Nev01 to Nev05. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
47.0%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete short right to #85 N.Clifton thrown to Nev00 broken up by #41 E.SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18FUMBLE6 plays · -21 yds · 1:2849% → 46%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
51.1%
(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Cheers rush right for 4 yards gain (-17) to the Nev29 (#13 A.Taylor) PENALTY Nev Holding (#16 D.Asiasi) Nev UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#5 D.Cheers) 17 yards from Nev25 to Nev08Similar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 27
OWN 8
0
53.1%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 0 yards to the Nev08 (#95 Z.Simpson-Smith)Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 27
OWN 8
+3
53.4%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nev11 (#93 A.Butts; #91 F.Hixon)Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 24
OPP 0
0
47.5%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #1 H.Turner caught at Nev09, for 10 yards to the Nev21 (#12 R.Lee III). The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #1 H.Turner caught at Nev09, for 10 yards to the Nev21 (#12 R.Lee III))Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 24
OWN 11
+10
53.8%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #1 H.Turner caught at Nev09, for 10 yards to the Nev21 fumbled by #1 H.Turner at Nev20 forced by #12 R.Lee III recovered by MTSU #26 K.Smith at Nev21, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #1 H.Turner caught at Nev09, for 10 yards to the Nev21 (#12 R.Lee III))Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19TD5 plays · 21 yds · 1:5765% → 92%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
65.2%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass incomplete deep left to #3 C.Lacy thrown to Nev00 broken up by #41 E.Smith QB hurried by #15 B.TurnerSimilar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
65.3%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete short left to #33 B.Davis caught at Nev21, for 0 yards to the Nev21 (#92 M.Williams)Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+9
62.7%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Nev12 (#15 B.Turner)Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+9
60.9%
(06:37) No Huddle #8 A.Martin Jr. rush left for 9 yards gain to the Nev03 (#5 Z.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20DOWNS8 plays · 29 yds · 2:238% → 7%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
92.0%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #9 M.Brown caught at Nev33, for 6 yards to the Nev33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
91.1%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete deep right to #11 D.Morgan thrown to MTSU47Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+15
91.8%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 15 yards gain to the Nev48 (#13 A.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
91.1%
(04:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Kelley thrown to Nev50Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
91.3%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #25 K.Woods caught at Nev46, for 0 yards to the Nev48 (#11 J.Johnson)Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+8
92.1%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #11 D.Morgan caught at MTSU46, for 8 yards to the MTSU44 (#30 B.Williams)Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
92.9%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 0 yards to the MTSU44 (#2 J.Lowe), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21END OF GAME13 plays · 18 yds · 2:3895% → 97%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
94.6%
(03:13) No Huddle #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MTSU46 (#98 D.Paine Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+9
95.1%
(03:09) No Huddle #8 A.Martin Jr. rush right for 9 yards gain to the Nev45 (#18 A.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
95.4%
(02:56) No Huddle #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Nev41 (#41 E.Smith)Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+4
96.0%
(02:13) No Huddle #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Nev37 (#8 L.Turner-Gooden)Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
96.6%
(01:59) No Huddle #16 R.Gagliano rush left for 1 yard gain to the Nev36 (#26 I.Jordan). The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (01:59) No Huddle #16 R.Gagliano rush left for 1 yard gain to the Nev36 (#26 I.Jordan) PENALTY Nev Targeting (#26 I.Jordan) 15 yards from Nev36 to Nev21, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
97.0%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nev35 (#1 J.Naborne-Owens; #92 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
97.4%
(01:19) Kneel down by #16 R.Gagliano at Nev37 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:59
Antonio Martin 3 Yd Run (Dominic Bourgeois Kick)
+30.9
TD · Q3 10:15
Carter Jones 1 Yd Run (Joe McFadden Kick)
-16
FG · Q4 9:51
Dominic Bourgeois 23 Yd Field Goal
+12.5