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MEM

Memphis at Navy

NAVY
2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
MEM28
NAVY25
MEM by 3
Win chance
MEM61%
MEM 61%NAVY 39%
Projected total
53pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance Memphis wins by 3 or more
45% Memphis wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← NAVY winsMEM wins →
-28-140+14+28
50% of outcomes
NAVY by 6 to MEM by 13
80% of outcomes
NAVY by 19 to MEM by 21
90% of outcomes
NAVY by 25 to MEM by 30
Median
MEM by 5
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com