2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · Alamodome
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
UTSA34
UNT30
UTSA by 4
Win chance
UTSA60%
UNT 40%UTSA 60%
Projected total
64pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
54%
chance UTSA wins by 3 or more
46% UTSA wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← UNT winsUTSA wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- UNT by 6 to UTSA by 13
- 80% of outcomes
- UNT by 16 to UTSA by 21
- 90% of outcomes
- UNT by 24 to UTSA by 27
- Median
- UTSA by 4
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.