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UNT

North Texas at UTSA

UTSA
2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · Alamodome
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
UTSA34
UNT30
UTSA by 4
Win chance
UTSA60%
UNT 40%UTSA 60%
Projected total
64pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
54%
chance UTSA wins by 3 or more
46% UTSA wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← UNT winsUTSA wins →
-28-140+14+28
50% of outcomes
UNT by 6 to UTSA by 13
80% of outcomes
UNT by 16 to UTSA by 21
90% of outcomes
UNT by 24 to UTSA by 27
Median
UTSA by 4
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com