2026 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2026 · Raymond James Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
USF29
MEM27
USF by 2
Win chance
USF50%
MEM 50%USF 50%
Projected total
56pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
50%
chance South Florida wins
50% Memphis wins
← MEM winsUSF wins →
-35-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- MEM by 9 to USF by 10
- 80% of outcomes
- MEM by 21 to USF by 21
- 90% of outcomes
- MEM by 25 to USF by 27
- Median
- Even
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.