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2026 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2026 · FAU Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
UTSA34
FAU29
UTSA by 5
Win chance
UTSA61%
UTSA 61%FAU 39%
Projected total
63pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance UTSA wins by 3 or more
45% UTSA wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← FAU winsUTSA wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
50% of outcomes
FAU by 6 to UTSA by 16
80% of outcomes
FAU by 16 to UTSA by 27
90% of outcomes
FAU by 23 to UTSA by 34
Median
UTSA by 5
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com