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2026 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026 · Raymond James Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
USF33
UAB17
USF by 16
Win chance
USF80%
UAB 20%USF 80%
Projected total
51pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
48%
chance South Florida wins by 14 or more
52% South Florida wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← UAB winsUSF wins →
-21-7+7+21+35+49
50% of outcomes
USF by 3 to 27
80% of outcomes
UAB by 7 to USF by 34
90% of outcomes
UAB by 13 to USF by 43
Median
USF by 12
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com