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2026 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2026 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
MEM32
ECU24
MEM by 8
Win chance
MEM72%
ECU 28%MEM 72%
Projected total
57pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance Memphis wins by 7 or more
43% Memphis wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← ECU winsMEM wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
ECU by 1 to MEM by 19
80% of outcomes
ECU by 11 to MEM by 29
90% of outcomes
ECU by 17 to MEM by 35
Median
MEM by 10
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com