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CLT

Charlotte 10 at North Texas 50

UNT
2026 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG—UNT 99.9%Dominic De Freitas 21 Yd Field GoalAWAY 10 - HOME 50 · Q4 8:24
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Q4 8:24 · Dominic De Freitas 21 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior+8.6Home team on offense+33.9Score differential+29.2Blowout margin+15.8Garbage-time factor+12.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:13: (14:15) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #14 K.Koch caught at CLT12, for 12 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:13, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff) — UNT win probability +1.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:01: (14:10) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short middle to #89 D.Eley caught at CLT35, for 75 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:01, 1ST DOWN #44 I.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #33 H.Searcy) — CLT win probability +2.4 pts (now 9%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:48: (14:00) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short middle to #80 B.Tipton caught at UNT34, for 75 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:48, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff) — UNT win probability +2.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:29: Jahiem White 61 Yd Run (Dominic De Freitas Kick) — UNT win probability +2.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:20: Max Reese 20 Yd pass from Tayven Jackson (Dominic De Freitas Kick) — UNT win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 8CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:52UNT 4th & 3 at CLT 8, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:36CLT 4th & 10 at UNT 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:54CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:55UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:36UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:03CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 31, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:49UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 35, up 23
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:20UNT 4th & 1 at CLT 20, up 23
    Close callWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:16CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 27, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:33CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 34, down 37
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:02UNT 4th & 15 at UNT 45, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:07CLT 4th & 12 at UNT 35, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:48UNT 4th & 2 at CLT 42, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:40CLT 4th & 20 at CLT 32, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:24UNT 4th & 3 at CLT 3, up 37
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:34CLT 4th & 25 at UNT 49, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:01UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:13UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:29UNT Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20UNT Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:23UNT Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:5894% → 93%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
93.5%
(14:59) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #7 M.Reese caught at UNT31, for 14 yards to the UNT39 (#0 C.Gill; #10 J.Wall III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
93.5%
(14:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #13 J.Stevenson caught at UNT38, for 11 yards to the UNT50 (#5 J.Patterson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
50
+5
93.4%
(14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #6 J.Martin caught at UNT47, for 5 yards to the CLT45 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+8
93.4%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #6 J.Martin caught at CLT44, for 8 yards to the CLT37 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
93.3%
(13:28) #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #1 J.White caught at CLT42, for 22 yards to the CLT15 (#7 D.Burgess; #3 D.Womack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
93.1%
(12:48) Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 0 yards to the CLT15 (#35 J.Davis)Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
93.0%
(12:14) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #17 B.Long caught at CLT18, for 0 yards to the CLT15 (#1 J.Croft Jr.)Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+7
92.9%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #13 J.Stevenson caught at CLT09, for 7 yards to the CLT08 (#1 J.Croft Jr.; #13 G.Willis)Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+26
92.8%
(10:52) #90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff), clock 10:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:117% → 8%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
92.7%
(10:47) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short left to #1 J.Barnes caught at CLT10, for 3 yards to the CLT15 (#4 C.Coombes; #10 D.Onuoha)Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+1
92.5%
(10:16) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush left for 1 yard gain to the CLT16 (#15 J.Benton; #10 D.Onuoha)Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 6
OWN 16
-21
92.5%
(09:37) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass intercepted by #4 C.Coombes at CLT32 #4 C.Coombes return 21 yards to the CLT11 (#1 J.Barnes), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:2293% → 93%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
92.6%
(09:26) Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CLT05 (#3 D.Womack; #2 J.Johnson)Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
92.9%
(09:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short middle to #13 J.Stevenson caught at CLT02, for 5 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:01, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 6:167% → 9%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
92.8%
(08:55) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass incomplete short left to #19 B.Dawyot thrown to CLT22 QB hurried by #10 D.OnuohaSimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
92.8%
(08:48) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short right to #1 J.Barnes caught at CLT21, for 0 yards to the CLT23 (#24 P.Taylor)Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+17
92.7%
(08:06) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short left to #4 T.Boston caught at CLT24, for 17 yards to the CLT40 QB hurried by #10 D.Onuoha, out of bounds at CLT40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
92.4%
(07:31) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short middle to #19 B.Dawyot caught at CLT45, for 17 yards to the UNT43 (#14 B.Garza), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
92.2%
(07:05) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNT37 (#14 B.Garza)Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
92.0%
(06:33) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNT34 (#24 P.Taylor)Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+6
91.9%
(05:51) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNT28 (#0 B.Jones; #34 B.Reese), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
91.6%
PENALTY CLT False Start (#61 R.Pierre-Nau) 5 yards from UNT28 to UNT33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 15
OPP 33
0
91.7%
(04:51) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass incomplete short left to #4 T.Boston thrown to UNT29Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+5
91.7%
(04:47) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short middle to #1 J.Barnes caught at UNT34, for 5 yards to the UNT28 (#0 B.Jones; #7 A.Alexander)Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-8
91.4%
(04:04) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UNT36 (#6 U.Ezeani, #7 A.Alexander) PENALTY CLT Chop Block offsetting UNT UNR: Unnecessary Roughness offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+5
91.6%
PENALTY CLT Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNT28 to UNT33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+5
91.7%
(03:13) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNT28 (#10 D.Onuoha)Similar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
91.3%
(02:36) #44 I.Kelly field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #33 H.Searcy), clock 02:36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1092% → 93%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
91.5%
(02:34) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #13 J.Stevenson caught at UNT37, for 22 yards to the UNT47 (#5 J.Patterson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
91.7%
(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush right for 10 yards gain to the CLT43, out of bounds at CLT43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
91.7%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLT39 (#18 C.Usher)Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
91.6%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #7 M.Reese caught at CLT38, for 5 yards to the CLT34 (#5 J.Patterson)Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+18
91.4%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #13 J.Stevenson caught at CLT31, for 18 yards to the CLT16 (#13 G.Willis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
91.6%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT15 (#55 S.Sangarie)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+5
91.5%
PENALTY UNT False Start (#72 N.Umeozulu) 5 yards from CLT15 to CLT20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+8
91.4%
Shotgun #2 T.Jackson rush right for 8 yards gain to the CLT12 (#0 C.Gill)Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
93.3%
(14:15) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #14 K.Koch caught at CLT12, for 12 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:13, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
90.8%
(14:10) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short middle to #89 D.Eley caught at CLT35, for 75 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:01, 1ST DOWN #44 I.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #33 H.Searcy)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
93.7%
(14:00) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short middle to #80 B.Tipton caught at UNT34, for 75 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:48, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:397% → 7%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.0%
(13:46) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short middle to #1 J.Barnes caught at CLT22, for 1 yard loss to the CLT24 (#17 C.Roberts; #9 C.Jenkins)Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
93.1%
(13:11) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell sacked for loss of 7 yards to the CLT17 (#44 D.Williams, #42 B.Knox)Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+12
93.2%
(12:33) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CLT29 (#21 J.Cross Jr.)Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
93.2%
(12:04) #44 I.Kelly punt 46 yards to the UNT25 #18 L.Latiolais return 12 yards to the UNT37 (#4 T.Boston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:1294% → 93%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
93.8%
(11:52) #1 J.White rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNT42 (#1 J.Croft Jr.)Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
93.9%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the UNT42 (#13 G.Willis; #85 C.Irving)Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+4
93.8%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short middle to #6 J.Martin caught at UNT46, for 4 yards to the UNT46 QB hurried by #7 D.Burgess (#12 C.Clinkscales)Similar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+1
93.5%
(10:00) #1 J.White rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNT47 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
93.9%
(09:00) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to #13 J.Stevenson thrown to CLT31Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
93.9%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to #17 B.Long thrown to CLT30 QB hurried by #51 J.SolomonSimilar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
93.6%
(08:50) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to #14 K.Koch thrown to CLT48Similar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
93.4%
(08:42) #37 I.Ratliff punt 47 yards to the CLT06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10SF
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:497% → 6%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
93.1%
(08:35) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush left for 1 yard loss to the CLT05 (#10 D.Onuoha; #91 D.Rhodes)Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+1
93.2%
(07:57) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT06 (#34 B.Reese; #91 D.Rhodes)Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+2
93.2%
(07:16) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT08 (#15 J.Benton)Similar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 8
OWN 8
0
94.0%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:1096% → 97%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.5%
(06:39) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete short left to #13 J.Stevenson thrown to UNT43 broken up by #5 J.PattersonSimilar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+61
97.4%
Jahiem White 61 Yd Run (Dominic De Freitas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:203% → 3%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.6%
(06:27) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush left for 3 yards gain to the CLT28 (#44 D.Williams; #16 B.Allen Jr.)Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
96.5%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short right to #1 J.Barnes caught at CLT28, for 3 yards to the CLT31 (#12 T.Wilson)Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
96.5%
(05:16) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass incomplete short left to #4 T.Boston thrown to UNT50Similar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
96.7%
(05:11) #95 B.Long punt 53 yards to the UNT16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5897% → 97%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
97.4%
(05:00) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #13 J.Stevenson caught at UNT29, for 13 yards to the UNT29 (#18 C.Usher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
97.4%
PENALTY UNT False Start (#66 W.Goodacre) 5 yards from UNT29 to UNT24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+5
97.4%
(04:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNT29 (#13 G.Willis)Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
97.4%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #11 D.Carnes caught at UNT27, for 6 yards to the UNT35 (#1 J.Croft Jr.)Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
97.4%
(02:59) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to #14 K.Koch thrown to CLT35Similar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
97.2%
(02:53) #37 I.Ratliff punt 49 yards to the CLT16 fair catch by #1 J.Barnes at CLT16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14INT
9 plays · 50 yds · 1:433% → 3%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
96.9%
(02:48) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell sacked for loss of 3 yards to the CLT13 (#15 J.Benton) PENALTY CLT Holding (#74 J.Williams) 8 yards from CLT16 to CLT08. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+3
97.0%
(02:27) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLT11 (#0 B.Jones; #11 S.Curtis)Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 15
OWN 11
+29
96.9%
(02:04) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short left to #1 J.Barnes caught at CLT08, for 29 yards to the CLT40 (#19 J.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
97.7%
(01:56) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short left to #1 J.Barnes caught at CLT41, for 6 yards to the CLT46 (#17 C.Roberts; #3 Z.Barker)Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+15
97.0%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short middle to #1 J.Barnes caught at UNT41, for 15 yards to the UNT39 (#17 C.Roberts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
97.6%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNT34 (#1 K.Davila; #3 Z.Barker)Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-16
96.7%
(01:10) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass intercepted by #12 T.Wilson at UNT28 broken up by #91 D.Rhodes #12 T.Wilson return 16 yards to the UNT44 (#89 D.Eley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 0:3998% → 99%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
97.9%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #14 K.Koch caught at CLT49, for 12 yards to the CLT44 (#12 C.Clinkscales), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
98.0%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 J.White caught at CLT38, for 15 yards to the CLT29 (#10 J.Wall III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
98.0%
PENALTY UNT False Start (#57 C.Strong) 5 yards from CLT29 to CLT34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+10
98.0%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 J.White caught at CLT26, for 23 yards to the CLT11 (#10 J.Wall III; #3 L.Mauldin) PENALTY UNT Holding (#66 W.Goodacre) 10 yards from CLT34 to CLT44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 25
OPP 44
+6
98.0%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #13 J.Stevenson caught at CLT38, for 6 yards to the CLT38 (#12 C.Clinkscales)Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 19
OPP 38
0
97.9%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to #13 J.Stevenson thrown to CLT31Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 19
OPP 38
+18
97.8%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #14 K.Koch caught at CLT23, for 18 yards to the CLT20 (#3 D.Womack; #12 C.Clinkscales)Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+20
99.3%
Max Reese 20 Yd pass from Tayven Jackson (Dominic De Freitas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
(00:18) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLT28 (#10 D.Onuoha)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.2%
(14:58) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell sacked for loss of 10 yards to the CLT15 (#91 D.Rhodes), fumble by #15 C.Harrell recovered by CLT #15 C.Harrell at CLT15, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+3
99.3%
(14:22) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush left for 3 yards gain to the CLT18 (#91 D.Rhodes; #10 D.Onuoha)Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+9
99.3%
(13:52) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short middle to #19 B.Dawyot caught at CLT26, for 9 yards to the CLT27 (#3 Z.Barker)Similar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.4%
(13:21) #95 B.Long punt 34 yards to the UNT39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:4799% → 100%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
99.3%
(13:13) Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 4 yards loss to the UNT35 (#2 J.Johnson)Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+4
99.4%
(12:43) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #6 J.Martin caught at UNT34, for 4 yards to the UNT39 (#2 J.Johnson)Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.4%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson sacked for loss of 10 yards to the UNT29 (#7 D.Burgess) PENALTY CLT Illegal Substitution (#51 J.Solomon) 5 yards from UNT39 to UNT44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+13
99.5%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #14 K.Koch caught at CLT49, for 13 yards to the CLT43 (#11 D.Williams II; #19 K.Schmitz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.5%
(11:17) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to #13 J.Stevenson thrown to CLT04Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.5%
(11:11) Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CLT34 (#8 C.Spencer)Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+34
99.6%
Justin Stevenson 34 Yd pass from Tayven Jackson (Dominic De Freitas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
(10:21) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short right to #19 B.Dawyot caught at CLT25, for 2 yards to the CLT27 (#17 C.Roberts; #19 J.Allen)Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.6%
(09:50) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush left for 6 yards gain to the CLT33 (#17 C.Roberts)Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.6%
(09:14) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush right for 1 yard gain to the CLT34 (#21 J.Cross Jr.; #12 T.Wilson)Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.6%
(08:38) #95 B.Long punt 32 yards to the UNT34 fair catch by #18 L.Latiolais at UNT34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.7%
(08:33) Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNT41 (#0 C.Gill)Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+9
99.7%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short left to #80 B.Tipton caught at UNT47, for 9 yards to the UNT50 (#12 C.Clinkscales), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
50
-7
99.7%
(07:24) #9 C.Ditta sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UNT43 (#19 K.Schmitz)Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 17
OWN 43
0
99.7%
(06:50) Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass incomplete deep right to #80 B.Tipton thrown to CLT37Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 17
OWN 43
+2
99.7%
(06:45) Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT45 (#35 J.Davis)Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
99.7%
(06:10) #37 I.Ratliff punt 55 yards to the CLT00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.8%
(06:01) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell rush middle for 11 yards gain to the CLT31, out of bounds at CLT31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.8%
(05:21) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush right for 2 yards gain to the CLT33 (#34 B.Reese; #19 J.Allen)Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+34
99.8%
(04:46) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short middle to #1 J.Barnes caught at CLT45, for 34 yards to the UNT33 (#14 B.Garza), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
99.8%
(04:02) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UNT35 (#91 D.Rhodes)Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 12
OPP 35
0
99.8%
(03:20) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Barnes thrown to UNT34Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 12
OPP 35
0
99.8%
(03:16) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass incomplete short right to #6 D.Perteet thrown to UNT30 QB hurried by #91 D.RhodesSimilar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+4
99.8%
(03:12) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short middle to #89 D.Eley caught at UNT32, for 4 yards to the UNT31 QB hurried by #10 D.Onuoha (#34 B.Reese), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
99.8%
(03:06) Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short right to #3 T.Chukwurah caught at UNT38, for 9 yards to the UNT40 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+10
99.8%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush left for 10 yards gain to the UNT50 (#30 S.Bowman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
50
0
99.8%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass incomplete deep left to #80 B.Tipton thrown to CLT03Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 10
50
+2
99.8%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT48 (#19 K.Schmitz)Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+6
99.8%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short left to #13 J.Stevenson caught at CLT50, for 6 yards to the CLT42 (#23 D.Wallace; #85 C.Irving)Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
99.8%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass incomplete short middle to #11 D.Carnes thrown to CLT37, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
99.8%
(00:38) Shotgun #24 J.Cobb rush left for 2 yards loss to the CLT40 (#23 C.Lorenzo)Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-6
99.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #10 J.White sacked for loss of 6 yards to the CLT34 (#17 C.Roberts)Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 18
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
(14:17) Shotgun #10 J.White rush middle for 2 yards loss to the CLT32 (#42 B.Knox)Similar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 20
OWN 32
0
99.9%
(13:44) #95 B.Long punt 34 yards to the UNT34 fair catch by #18 L.Latiolais at UNT34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:05100% → 100%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
(13:37) Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short left to #80 B.Tipton caught at UNT37, for 9 yards to the UNT43 (#30 S.Bowman; #5 J.Patterson)Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
(13:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush left for 12 yards gain to the CLT45 (#85 C.Irving), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Martin rush right for 5 yards gain to the CLT40 (#3 D.Womack)Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+18
99.9%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush right for 18 yards gain to the CLT22 (#3 D.Womack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Martin rush left for 3 yards gain to the CLT19 (#5 J.Patterson)Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+10
99.9%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush right for 10 yards gain to the CLT09 (#5 J.Patterson), 1ST DOWN. #5 J.Patterson injured on the playSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.9%
PENALTY UNT False Start (#50 J.Priester) 5 yards from CLT09 to CLT14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+4
99.9%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLT10 (#0 C.Gill)Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass incomplete short right to #3 T.Chukwurah thrown to CLT00Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
99.9%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CLT03, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 8:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
99.9%
Dominic De Freitas 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25PUNT
13 plays · 26 yds · 5:410% → 0%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
(08:21) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush right for 7 yards gain to the CLT32 (#9 C.Jenkins)Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
(07:51) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush left for 4 yards gain to the CLT36 (#2 T.Seymore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(07:20) Shotgun #10 J.White pass incomplete short right to #8 Z.Collick thrown to CLT38Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(07:15) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush left for 0 yards to the CLT36 (#34 B.Reese)Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+13
99.9%
(06:37) Shotgun #10 J.White rush left for 13 yards gain to the CLT49, out of bounds at CLT49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
(05:59) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT49 (#34 B.Reese)Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
99.9%
(05:20) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush right for 0 yards to the UNT49 (#25 J.Bickham), out of bounds PENALTY UNT Personal Foul (#14 B.Garza) 15 yards from UNT49 to UNT34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
99.9%
(04:56) Shotgun #10 J.White rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNT30, out of bounds at UNT30 PENALTY CLT Holding (#54 I.Sikes-Rasby) 10 yards from UNT34 to UNT44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
(04:30) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNT41 (#44 D.Williams)Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 17
OWN 41
0
99.9%
(04:00) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush right for 0 yards to the UNT41 (#44 D.Williams)Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 17
OPP 41
-8
100.0%
(03:20) Shotgun #10 J.White sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UNT49 (#11 S.Curtis)Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 25
OPP 49
0
100.0%
(02:37) #95 B.Long punt 49 yards to the UNT00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNT26 (#27 K.Beckham Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT28 (#36 P.Startz)Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
(01:53) Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT31 (#36 P.Startz; #10 J.Wall III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Page rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNT35 (#52 K.Bower)Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Page rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT37 (#36 P.Startz)Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Page rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT39 (#26 D.St. Clair)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:48
(14:00) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short middle to #80 B.Tipton caught at UNT34, for 75 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:48, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)
+2.5
TD · Q2 14:01
(14:10) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short middle to #89 D.Eley caught at CLT35, for 75 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:01, 1ST DOWN #44 I.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #33 H.Searcy)
-2.4
TD · Q2 6:29
Jahiem White 61 Yd Run (Dominic De Freitas Kick)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com