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TULN

Tulane 17 at Army 20

ARMY
2026 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:54 · #34 W.Hudlow punt 52 yards to the Army17 #23 L.Benson III return 3 yards to the Army20 (#22 J.Agu)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Pregame prior+6.2Home team on offense+2.7Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score differential+0.6Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:18: No Huddle #3 K.Semonza rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Army00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:18 #35 C.Helmke kick attempt good (H: #34 W.Hudlow, LS: #57 J.Arredondo) — TULN win probability +20.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 9:21: #95 D.Jones field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter), clock 09:21 — ARMY win probability +6.8 pts (now 61%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:44: Jaylin Lucas 39 Yd pass from Kadin Semonza (Cooper Helmke Kick) — TULN win probability +29.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:54: Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 58 yards gain to the Tulane00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:54, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter) — ARMY win probability +34.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Dawson Jones 25 Yd Field Goal — ARMY win probability +30.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:53ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:09TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:08ARMY 4th & 13 at ARMY 36, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.3%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:52TULN 4th & 3 at ARMY 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.6%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−6.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:13ARMY 4th & 6 at ARMY 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:07TULN 4th & 7 at ARMY 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:24ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−0.7
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:54TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:09ARMY 4th & 7 at TULN 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:21ARMY 4th & 5 at TULN 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−3.6
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−16.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:55TULN 4th & 8 at ARMY 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    47.7%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−5.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:00ARMY 4th & 1 at TULN 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−9.3
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−31.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 1:42ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:18TULN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:44TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:54ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0763% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.0%
#34 C.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Army29 (#11 D.Hughes; #99 J.Lewis)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
63.0%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Army31 (#11 D.Hughes; #2 D.Agu)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
63.0%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 0 yards to the Army31 (#2 D.Agu; #7 K.Adams III)Similar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
62.8%
#46 J.Wagenseller punt 44 yards to the Tulane25 #12 J.Lucas return 0 yards to the Tulane25 (#42 E.Walton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2INT
8 plays · 42 yds · 4:3437% → 38%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Lucas rush left for 3 yards gain to the Tulane28 (#96 D.Stowers; #42 E.Walton)Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
62.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short right to #2 D.Hill caught at Tulane25, for 11 yards to the Tulane39 (#7 J.Mayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
62.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short left to #12 J.Lucas caught at Tulane33, for 2 yards loss to the Tulane37 (#13 C.Williams)Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+17
62.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short left to #2 D.Hill caught at Army49, for 17 yards to the Army46 (#6 J.Porter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
62.7%
Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Army44 (#3 S.Nnadozie; #19 J.Moss)Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
62.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short right to #2 D.Hill caught at Army48, for 2 yards to the Army42 (#10 C.Searight)Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+9
62.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Dugar Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Army33 (#32 C.Williams; #3 S.Nnadozie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
61.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass intercepted by #13 C.Williams at Army26, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 6:3763% → 68%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
62.6%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Army34 (#1 J.Tchienchou) PENALTY Tulane Face Mask (#94 D.Shepard Jr.) 15 yards from Army34 to Army49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
63.2%
Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Tulane49 (#48 J.Garner; #5 E.Shine)Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-1
63.3%
#3 C.Hellums rush right for 1 yard loss to the Tulane50 (#7 K.Adams III)Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 9
50
+11
62.8%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short right to #1 Z.Mundell caught at Tulane45, for 11 yards to the Tulane39 (#5 E.Shine), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
63.3%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Tulane30 (#12 A.Rogers)Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+3
63.5%
#34 C.Smith rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Tulane27 (#98 P.Drammeh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
63.5%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 15 yards gain to the Tulane12 (#1 J.Tchienchou), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
63.5%
#34 C.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Tulane10 (#42 M.Williams)Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+8
63.5%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Tulane02 (#7 K.Adams III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
63.6%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short middle to #25 S.Bridges caught at Tulane05, for 0 yards to the Tulane02 (#97 N.Alston; #70 K.Hamilton)Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.6%
#3 C.Hellums rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Tulane01 (#2 D.Agu)Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.6%
#3 C.Hellums rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Tulane00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:42 #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3334% → 33%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.4%
No Huddle #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Tulane29 (#50 D.Miller; #3 S.Nnadozie)Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
66.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Tulane31 (#17 J.Hammond)Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
66.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete short middle to #8 B.Richardson thrown to Tulane48Similar
Q1 0:09
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
67.4%
#34 W.Hudlow punt 51 yards to the Army18 fair catch by #23 L.Benson III at Army18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5DOWNS
12 plays · 27 yds · 6:0167% → 68%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
67.3%
Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Army22 (#7 K.Adams III)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+6
67.4%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Army28 (#96 G.Guidry; #8 J.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
67.4%
#33 J.Rendina rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Army29 (#2 D.Agu; #5 E.Shine)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+3
67.4%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 7 yards gain (3) to the Army36 (#7 K.Adams III) PENALTY Army Holding (#44 P.Poloskey) 10 yards from Army32 to Army22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 22
+8
67.1%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short left to #11 T.Olawole caught at Army27, for 8 yards to the Army30 (#5 E.Shine)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+9
66.8%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Army39 (#42 M.Williams; #51 R.Sterling), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
68.0%
#34 C.Smith rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Army42 (#42 M.Williams; #51 R.Sterling)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
68.3%
PENALTY Army False Start (#86 T.Brannan) 5 yards from Army42 to Army37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
67.5%
#3 C.Hellums rush left for 0 yards to the Army37 (#1 J.Tchienchou)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 37
-1
67.0%
#3 C.Hellums rush left for 1 yard loss to the Army36 (#90 J.Crites)Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+9
67.8%
#46 J.Wagenseller rush right for 9 yards gain to the Army45 (#27 C.Green), out of bounds PENALTY Army Illegal Formation declined, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:1633% → 37%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
66.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Army44 (#47 N.Nixon; #42 E.Walton)Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+22
66.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush left for 22 yards gain to the Army22 (#15 Z.Tallman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
65.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Army20 (#15 Z.Tallman)Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
65.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Lucas rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Army18 (#50 D.Miller)Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+10
66.5%
Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short right to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at Army08, for 10 yards to the Army08 (#13 C.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
65.5%
No Huddle #6 J.Daniels rush right for 3 yards gain to the Army05 (#96 D.Stowers; #3 S.Nnadozie)Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
65.5%
No Huddle #6 J.Daniels rush left for 2 yards gain to the Army03 (#3 S.Nnadozie; #96 D.Stowers)Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
66.5%
No Huddle #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete short left to #19 D.Johnson thrown to Army00 QB hurried by #42 E.WaltonSimilar
Q2 4:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
63.3%
#35 C.Helmke field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #34 W.Hudlow, LS: #57 J.Arredondo), clock 04:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3966% → 64%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.5%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Army30 (#7 K.Adams III)Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
65.9%
Shotgun #6 B.Luter rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Army29 (#70 K.Hamilton)Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
64.8%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short right to #27 S.Howard caught at Army40, for 11 yards to the Army40, End Of Play PENALTY Army Illegal Touch-Pass (#27 S.Howard). NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+25
64.1%
#46 J.Wagenseller punt 59 yards to the Tulane12 #12 J.Lucas return 25 yards to the Tulane37, out of bounds at Tulane37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:0636% → 34%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
64.0%
No Huddle #25 J.McClure rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Tulane36 (#42 E.Walton; #3 S.Nnadozie)Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+20
64.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short middle to #8 B.Richardson caught at Tulane49, for 20 yards to the Army44 (#7 J.Mayes; #13 C.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
63.6%
Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short right to #8 B.Richardson caught at Army41, for 1 yard to the Army43 (#6 J.Porter)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
63.6%
Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete short right to #12 J.Lucas thrown to Army41 broken up by #96 D.StowersSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+2
65.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza rush right for 2 yards gain to the Army41 (#53 P.Goodrich Jr.)Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
66.1%
#34 W.Hudlow punt 29 yards to the Army12, out of bounds at Army12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5166% → 65%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
66.4%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Army17 (#2 D.Agu; #96 G.Guidry)Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
66.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short right to #84 B.Anderson thrown to Army25 broken up by #12 A.RogersSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+3
65.4%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Army20 (#2 D.Agu)Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
65.3%
#46 J.Wagenseller punt 52 yards to the Tulane28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:2831% → 32%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
69.0%
Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Tulane39 (#15 Z.Tallman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
68.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short middle to #19 D.Johnson caught at Tulane50, for 12 yards to the Army49 (#50 D.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
66.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete short right to #16 G.Mmahat thrown to Army43 QB hurried by #53 P.Goodrich Jr.Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-13
68.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza sacked for loss of 13 yards to the Tulane38 (#31 V.Afolabi)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0635% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
65.2%
Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete short middle to #2 D.Hill thrown to Tulane37 broken up by #6 J.PorterSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
65.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza rush right for 3 yards gain to the Tulane31 (#94 J.Smith)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
66.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete short left to #2 D.Hill thrown to Tulane39Similar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+3
67.2%
#34 W.Hudlow punt 52 yards to the Army17 #23 L.Benson III return 3 yards to the Army20 (#22 J.Agu)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:4566% → 70%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
66.2%
Shotgun #27 S.Howard rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Army28 (#12 A.Rogers)Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
67.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Army31 (#42 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
66.6%
#3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short right to #84 B.Anderson thrown to Army40 QB hurried by #48 J.Garner PENALTY Tulane Holding (#5 E.Shine) 10 yards from Army31 to Army41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
68.0%
#3 C.Hellums rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Army43 (#11 D.Hughes)Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+8
68.1%
Shotgun #1 Z.Mundell rush right for 8 yards gain to the Tulane49 (#7 K.Adams III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
68.8%
#3 C.Hellums rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Tulane42 (#51 R.Sterling)Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+8
69.0%
#33 J.Rendina rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Tulane34 (#27 C.Green; #2 D.Agu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
69.6%
No Huddle #25 S.Bridges rush right for 3 yards gain to the Tulane31 (#10 G.Henderson)Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
69.6%
#3 C.Hellums pass incomplete deep right to #84 B.Anderson thrown to Tulane04 broken up by #12 A.RogersSimilar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
68.5%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short middle to #27 S.Howard thrown to Tulane25 broken up by #10 G.HendersonSimilar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
69.7%
#95 D.Jones field goal attempt from 49 yards NO GOOD blocked by #10 K.Tasby (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter), clock 09:09 recovered by Army #56 N.Buchys at Tulane32, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 5:5133% → 58%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
67.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Dugar Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Tulane36 (#91 S.Donovan)Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
65.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Dugar Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Tulane47 (#42 E.Walton)Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
64.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete deep left to #5 A.Brown-Stephens thrown to Army23 broken up by #42 E.WaltonSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+9
66.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short middle to #2 D.Hill caught at Tulane50, for 9 yards to the Army44 (#53 P.Goodrich Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
63.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete short right to #12 J.Lucas thrown to Army47Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
64.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete short middle to #80 V.Bolyard thrown to Army37 broken up by #52 K.Harris-MillerSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+16
65.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short middle to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at Army28, for 16 yards to the Army28, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
62.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short middle to #19 D.Johnson caught at Army25, for 9 yards to the Army19 (#48 B.Banks)Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+3
62.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Dugar Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Army16 (#56 N.Buchys; #3 S.Nnadozie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
62.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short middle to #2 D.Hill caught at Army01, for 15 yards to the Army01 (#7 J.Mayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.4%
PENALTY Army Disconcerting Signals . NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.6%
No Huddle #3 K.Semonza rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Army00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:18 #35 C.Helmke kick attempt good (H: #34 W.Hudlow, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14FG
17 plays · 61 yds · 8:5750% → 61%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
50.4%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Army29 (#5 E.Shine; #42 M.Williams)Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
50.9%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Army33 (#11 D.Hughes; #70 K.Hamilton)Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
51.6%
#3 C.Hellums rush right for 4 yards gain to the Army37 (#70 K.Hamilton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
51.8%
Shotgun #1 Z.Mundell rush left for 22 yards gain to the Tulane41 (#42 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
55.6%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 6 yards gain to the Tulane35 (#27 C.Green; #58 C.Dees)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+3
56.8%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 3 yards gain to the Tulane32 (#58 C.Dees; #48 J.Garner)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+1
54.0%
#3 C.Hellums rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Tulane31 (#42 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
56.8%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Tulane28 (#2 D.Agu; #7 K.Adams III)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+5
56.8%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 5 yards gain to the Tulane23 (#2 D.Agu; #11 D.Hughes)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+4
54.0%
#3 C.Hellums rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Tulane19 (#42 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
56.8%
#34 C.Smith rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Tulane14 (#99 J.Lewis; #2 D.Agu)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
56.8%
#33 J.Rendina rush left for 2 yards gain to the Tulane12 (#92 A.Cooley)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+5
53.9%
PENALTY Army False Start (#71 P.Gennarelli) 5 yards from Tulane12 to Tulane17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+3
54.0%
Shotgun #27 S.Howard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Tulane14, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #27 S.Howard rush right for 11 yards gain to the Tulane06 (#11 D.Hughes; #5 E.Shine), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
60.9%
#95 D.Jones field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter), clock 09:21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:2651% → 81%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
48.7%
Shotgun #21 D.Dugar Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the Army38 (#52 K.Harris-Miller)Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-1
48.1%
Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass complete short right to #16 G.Mmahat caught at Army41, for 1 yard loss to the Army39 (#47 N.Nixon)Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+39
19.0%
Jaylin Lucas 39 Yd pass from Kadin Semonza (Cooper Helmke Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:5028% → 63%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
28.2%
Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush right for 7 yards gain to the Army42 (#2 D.Agu)Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+58
62.8%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 58 yards gain to the Tulane00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:54, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:5248% → 49%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
52.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush left for 2 yards gain to the Tulane24 (#99 J.Bousum; #15 Z.Tallman)Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+41
52.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 41 yards gain to the Army35 (#7 J.Mayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
45.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete deep right to #2 D.Hill thrown to Army01Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
45.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Army34 (#50 D.Miller; #42 E.Walton)Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+1
47.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Army33 (#15 Z.Tallman)Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
50.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete deep middle to #19 D.Johnson thrown to Army00 QB hurried by #96 D.Stowers, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18FG
19 plays · 59 yds · 3:5559% → 95%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
59.0%
Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Army39 (#96 G.Guidry)Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
62.7%
#34 C.Smith rush right for 3 yards gain to the Army42 (#12 A.Rogers; #1 J.Tchienchou)Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+6
61.6%
#3 C.Hellums rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Army48 (#1 J.Tchienchou), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
62.8%
Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Tulane48 (#2 D.Agu; #11 D.Hughes)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
63.7%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Tulane45 (#11 D.Hughes)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+8
62.4%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Tulane37 (#1 J.Tchienchou), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
63.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Tulane34 (#98 P.Drammeh)Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+17
67.2%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 17 yards gain to the Tulane17 (#1 J.Tchienchou), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
66.5%
#3 C.Hellums rush left for 2 yards gain to the Tulane15 (#90 J.Crites)Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
67.2%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Tulane09 (#1 J.Tchienchou)Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+1
66.2%
#3 C.Hellums rush left for 1 yard gain to the Tulane08 (#99 J.Lewis)Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+25
94.6%
Dawson Jones 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:54
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 58 yards gain to the Tulane00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:54, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)
+34.7
FG · Q4 0:00
Dawson Jones 25 Yd Field Goal
+30.4
TD · Q4 7:44
Jaylin Lucas 39 Yd pass from Kadin Semonza (Cooper Helmke Kick)
-29.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com