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SAM

Samford 14 at UAB 33

UAB
2026 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadSAM aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreSAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFUMBLEFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.5UAB 93.4%#39 J.Delange field goal attempt from46 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS:#50 E.Bishop), clock 07:55AWAY 7 - HOME 13 · Q2 7:55
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:55 · #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 07:55
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Pregame prior+36.9Home team on offense+5.0Garbage-time factor+1.5Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:49: Marquise Henderson 4 Yd pass from Gabarri Johnson (Ty Ippolito Kick) — SAM win probability +1.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SAM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:07: #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 09:07 — SAM win probability +0.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:37: Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 28 yards gain to the SAM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:37, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop) — UAB win probability +8.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:58: No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete deep right to #1 C.Smith caught at SAM00, for 31 yards to the SAM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:58, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop) PENALTY #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop) PENALTY SAM Illegal Substitution declined — UAB win probability +6.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:24: #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 00:24 — UAB win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SAM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:04UAB 4th & 15 at SAM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:03SAM 4th & 17 at SAM 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:13UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:30SAM 4th & 5 at SAM 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:20UAB 4th & 17 at UAB 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:10SAM 4th & 7 at SAM 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:55UAB 4th & 5 at SAM 28, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:25UAB 4th & 21 at UAB 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:07UAB 4th & 5 at SAM 5, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−6.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:19SAM 4th & 14 at UAB 30, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−1.9
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:51SAM 4th & 20 at SAM 25, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−2.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:51UAB 4th & 2 at SAM 35, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−1.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    89.2%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:05SAM 4th & 11 at SAM 24, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:24UAB 4th & 4 at SAM 8, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SAM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:49SAM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:20UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:37UAB Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:58UAB Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1FG
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:5697% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
96.9%
Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete deep left to #1 C.Smith caught at SAM25, for 54 yards to the SAM21 (#28 E.McDowell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SAM20 (#9 L.Young; #30 N.Holton)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #1 C.Smith thrown to SAM10 QB hurried by #34 S.ConnSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 20
-6
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton sacked for loss of 6 yards to the SAM26 (#34 S.Conn)Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 15
OPP 26
+44
96.6%
#39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 13:04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:013% → 4%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Henderson rush left for 15 yards gain to the SAM40 (#1 D.Sweeting), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.6%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short left to #3 M.Henderson caught at SAM44, for 4 yards to the SAM44, out of bounds at SAM44Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-3
96.6%
Shotgun #7 D.Thomas rush right for 3 yards loss to the SAM41 (#35 M.Byard; #17 T.Jackson)Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+10
96.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short left to #3 M.Henderson caught at SAM42, for 3 yards to the SAM44 (#11 A.McKenzie; #1 D.Sweeting) PENALTY SAM Pass Interference (#4 P.Bird) 10 yards from SAM41 to SAM31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 19
OWN 31
+2
96.6%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short right to #38 E.Russell caught at SAM25, for 2 yards to the SAM33 (#5 D.Gulley)Similar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
96.2%
#59 W.Thorley punt 39 yards to the UAB28 fair catch by #0 T.Mims at UAB28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5096% → 96%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
96.1%
Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #4 E.Reid caught at UAB25, for 4 yards to the UAB32 (#9 L.Young)Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #87 S.Persson thrown to UAB35 QB hurried by #94 J.ShannonSimilar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #19 G.Cline thrown to UAB40 broken up by #34 S.ConnSimilar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
95.9%
#46 O.Straw punt 58 yards to the SAM10 fair catch by #9 L.Young at SAM10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 4TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 4:244% → 6%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
96.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short left to #3 M.Henderson caught at SAM17, for 7 yards to the SAM17, out of bounds at SAM17Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+6
96.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Thomas rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SAM23 (#35 M.Byard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
96.0%
PENALTY SAM False Start (#54 B.Darnell) 5 yards from SAM23 to SAM18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+2
96.0%
Shotgun #22 K.Cherry rush right for 2 yards gain to the SAM20 (#4 M.Dean)Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+39
96.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete deep left to #3 M.Henderson caught at UAB48, for 39 yards to the UAB41, out of bounds at UAB41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
95.9%
Shotgun #22 K.Cherry rush left for 8 yards gain to the UAB33 (#5 D.Gulley)Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+13
95.9%
#8 G.Johnson pass complete short middle to #13 C.Aukerman caught at UAB22, for 13 yards to the UAB20 (#35 M.Byard), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Face Mask (#1 D.Sweeting) 10 yards from UAB20 to UAB10, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
95.9%
Shotgun #22 K.Cherry rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB08 (#17 T.Jackson)Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.9%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #4 P.Bird thrown to UAB00 broken up by #21 D.FullbrightSimilar
Q1 9:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
95.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #13 C.Aukerman thrown to UAB00 PENALTY UAB Offside (#4 M.Dean) 4 yards from UAB08 to UAB04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.4%
Marquise Henderson 4 Yd pass from Gabarri Johnson (Ty Ippolito Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2995% → 95%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.5%
Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #6 K.Daniels caught at UAB21, for 5 yards to the UAB30 (#21 J.Lewis)Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
94.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB34 (#97 J.Bussey)Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
94.6%
No Huddle #5 R.Burton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB37 (#97 J.Bussey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
94.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush left for 1 yard loss to the UAB36 (#20 V.Mitchom; #34 S.Conn)Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+11
94.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #44 S.Isacks caught at UAB44, for 11 yards to the UAB47 (#2 D.Yancy III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
94.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #0 T.Mims caught at UAB45, for 17 yards to the SAM36 (#6 J.Nelson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
94.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 E.Reid rush left for 36 yards gain to the SAM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:20, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:506% → 6%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
94.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #38 E.Russell rush left for 12 yards gain to the SAM37 (#0 J.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
94.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #38 E.Russell rush middle for 3 yards loss to the SAM34 (#17 T.Jackson)Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+6
94.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short middle to #45 C.Pigg caught at SAM39, for 6 yards to the SAM40 (#3 I.Esonwune; #33 B.Sullivan)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+2
93.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short left to #38 E.Russell caught at SAM34, for 2 yards to the SAM42 (#4 M.Dean), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+42
93.8%
#59 W.Thorley punt 45 yards to the UAB13 #0 T.Mims return 42 yards to the SAM45 (#35 B.Franklin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:1094% → 93%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
94.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Moll rush left for 7 yards loss to the UAB48 (#3 C.Maddux)Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 17
OWN 48
0
93.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short left to #1 C.Smith thrown to SAM46Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 17
OWN 48
0
93.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #87 S.Persson thrown to SAM40Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
93.1%
#46 O.Straw punt 50 yards to the SAM02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:106% → 7%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
93.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the SAM02 (#52 S.Sanders)Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+4
93.6%
Shotgun #7 D.Thomas rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SAM06 (#3 I.Esonwune; #99 R.Macias)Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 6
-1
93.7%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson sacked for loss of 1 yard to the SAM05 (#17 T.Jackson)Similar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 7
OWN 5
+2
93.3%
#59 W.Thorley punt 37 yards to the SAM42 muffed by #0 T.Mims at SAM42 recovered by SAM #34 S.Conn at SAM40, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 9INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:398% → 8%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
92.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #4 P.Bird thrown to SAM44Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
92.6%
PENALTY SAM False Start (#3 M.Henderson) 5 yards from SAM40 to SAM35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+7
92.9%
Shotgun #22 K.Cherry rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SAM42 (#5 D.Gulley)Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
92.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass intercepted by #13 J.Jordan at UAB42, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:3693% → 93%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
92.9%
Shotgun #16 N.Rogers pass complete short left to #19 G.Cline caught at UAB42, for 13 yards to the SAM45 (#46 A.Jordan), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
93.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Moll rush right for 4 yards gain to the SAM41 (#9 L.Young)Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+8
93.1%
#2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SAM33 (#30 N.Holton; #9 L.Young), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
93.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush right for 5 yards gain to the SAM28 (#6 J.Nelson; #46 A.Jordan)Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
93.2%
Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short right to #1 C.Smith thrown to SAM30 QB hurried by #35 B.FranklinSimilar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
93.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #1 C.Smith thrown to SAM13Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
93.4%
#39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 07:55Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 11INT
8 plays · 11 yds · 4:207% → 12%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
92.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short left to #13 C.Aukerman caught at SAM10, for 0 yards to the SAM11 (#11 A.McKenzie)Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+12
92.9%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short right to #0 K.Corbin caught at SAM20, for 12 yards to the SAM23 (#1 D.Sweeting), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
93.2%
PENALTY SAM False Start (#65 K.May) 5 yards from SAM23 to SAM18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 15
OWN 18
0
93.2%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #3 M.Henderson thrown to SAM37 QB hurried by #15 E.HallSimilar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+4
93.2%
Shotgun #38 E.Russell rush right for 4 yards gain to the SAM22 (#15 E.Hall; #5 D.Gulley)Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 11
OWN 22
-5
87.6%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass intercepted by #3 I.Esonwune at SAM24 #3 I.Esonwune return 5 yards to the SAM19, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 2:0491% → 90%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
90.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SAM16 (#46 A.Jordan)Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
90.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 0 yards to the SAM16 (#41 J.Scott III)Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+9
90.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush left for 9 yards gain to the SAM07 (#41 J.Scott III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+95
89.9%
No Huddle #2 R.Robinson II rush right for 2 yards gain to the SAM05 fumbled by #2 R.Robinson II at SAM06 forced by #9 L.Young recovered by SAM #6 J.Nelson at SAM05 #6 J.Nelson return 95 yards to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:36 #36 T.Ippolito kick attempt good (H: #59 W.Thorley, LS: #53 K.McKeown)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 13 yds · 3:0688% → 85%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
88.3%
#7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB23 (#2 D.Yancy III; #4 D.Henderson)Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+5
88.5%
#7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB28 (#30 N.Holton; #34 S.Conn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
88.5%
Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush right for 2 yards gain to the UAB30 (#30 N.Holton; #60 H.Weber)Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
88.5%
Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB32 (#2 D.Yancy III)Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+10
88.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short left to #0 T.Mims caught at UAB42, for 10 yards to the UAB42 (#1 T.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
89.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UAB34 (#97 J.Bussey)Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+10
86.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #1 C.Smith caught at UAB46, for 14 yards to the UAB48 (#30 N.Holton; #34 S.Conn) PENALTY UAB Holding (#71 K.Mason) 10 yards from UAB34 to UAB24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 28
OWN 24
0
86.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #87 S.Persson thrown to UAB32Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 28
OWN 24
+7
85.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short left to #3 B.McReynolds caught at UAB28, for 7 yards to the UAB31 (#30 N.Holton)Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 21
OWN 31
+6
85.0%
#46 O.Straw punt 55 yards to the SAM14 #9 L.Young return 6 yards to the SAM20 (#3 I.Esonwune)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
85.3%
Kneel down by Samford at SAM19 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 15INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4016% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Thomas rush left for 4 yards gain to the SAM29 (#0 J.Pierce)Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
83.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass intercepted by #5 D.Gulley at UAB37, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 5:1385% → 86%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
85.4%
#2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UAB47 (#14 M.Steve), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
86.4%
Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SAM44 (#14 M.Steve; #2 D.Yancy III)Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+7
86.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SAM37 (#2 D.Yancy III; #4 D.Henderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
86.7%
Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SAM29 (#14 M.Steve)Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+1
87.3%
Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SAM28 (#14 M.Steve)Similar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+4
86.5%
No Huddle #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SAM24 (#14 M.Steve; #34 S.Conn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
87.3%
Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SAM19 (#14 M.Steve; #28 E.McDowell) PENALTY SAM Face Mask (#2 D.Yancy III) 10 yards from SAM19 to SAM09, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
87.2%
#3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 0 yards to the SAM09 (#30 N.Holton)Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
87.2%
Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush left for 4 yards gain to the SAM05 (#4 D.Henderson)Similar
Q3 14:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
86.5%
Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #9 A.Johnson thrown to SAM00 broken up by #9 L.YoungSimilar
Q3 9:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
86.0%
#39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 09:07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 17MISSED FG
14 plays · 45 yds · 6:4815% → 20%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.8%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson rush right for 30 yards gain (6) to the UAB45 (#0 J.Pierce), out of bounds PENALTY SAM Holding (#13 C.Aukerman) 10 yards from SAM31 to SAM21Similar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 14
OWN 21
+1
84.9%
Shotgun #38 E.Russell rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SAM22 (#29 C.Cunningham)Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+10
85.1%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short right to #7 D.Thomas caught at SAM15, for 10 yards to the SAM32 (#0 J.Pierce; #29 C.Cunningham)Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
84.8%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short right to #7 D.Thomas caught at SAM35, for 3 yards to the SAM35 (#35 M.Byard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short right to #7 D.Thomas caught at SAM35, for 3 yards to the SAM35 (#35 M.Byard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
84.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Thomas rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SAM40 (#35 M.Byard)Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
83.2%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to #3 M.Henderson thrown to UAB20Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
83.8%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short right to #0 K.Corbin caught at SAM40, for 6 yards to the SAM46 (#0 J.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
83.0%
Shotgun #22 K.Cherry rush left for 11 yards gain to the UAB43 (#13 J.Jordan), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
82.6%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short middle to #13 C.Aukerman caught at UAB30, for 17 yards to the UAB26 (#13 J.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
81.7%
Shotgun #22 K.Cherry rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB22 (#99 R.Macias)Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-11
81.7%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson sacked for loss of 11 yards to the UAB33 (#4 M.Dean)Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 17
OPP 33
+3
84.1%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short right to #3 M.Henderson caught at UAB38, for 3 yards to the UAB30 (#11 A.McKenzie), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+47
80.5%
#36 T.Ippolito field goal attempt from 47 yards NO GOOD (H: #59 W.Thorley, LS: #53 K.McKeown), clock 02:19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:4281% → 92%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
80.7%
#7 J.Simpkins rush left for 8 yards gain to the UAB38 (#6 J.Nelson; #9 L.Young)Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+2
82.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB40 (#34 S.Conn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
82.1%
Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UAB46 (#97 J.Bussey)Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+4
82.8%
Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB50 (#94 J.Shannon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
50
+6
83.1%
#4 E.Reid rush left for 6 yards gain to the SAM44 (#9 L.Young), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+10
82.3%
Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 44 yards gain to the SAM00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 14:51 PENALTY UAB Holding (#71 K.Mason) 10 yards from SAM44 to UAB46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+4
79.9%
Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB50 (#2 K.Dunlap)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
50
+20
79.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush middle for 20 yards gain to the SAM30 (#6 J.Nelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
83.1%
Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SAM28 (#34 S.Conn; #2 K.Dunlap)Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+28
91.9%
Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 28 yards gain to the SAM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:37, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:469% → 8%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #38 E.Russell rush left for 8 yards gain to the SAM33 (#15 E.Hall; #21 D.Fullbright)Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
90.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #38 E.Russell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SAM35 (#11 A.McKenzie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
90.9%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short middle to #13 C.Aukerman caught at SAM36, for 1 yard to the SAM36 (#13 J.Jordan) PENALTY SAM Holding (#65 K.May) 10 yards from SAM35 to SAM25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 20
OWN 25
0
91.6%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #4 P.Bird thrown to SAM35 broken up by #11 A.McKenzieSimilar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
91.8%
Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #3 M.Henderson thrown to SAM35Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 20
OWN 25
0
92.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson rush middle for 0 yards to the SAM25 (#9 N.Nelson)Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 20
OWN 25
0
92.4%
#59 W.Thorley punt 43 yards to the UAB32, out of bounds at UAB32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 6:5391% → 98%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
91.2%
Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UAB29 (#35 B.Franklin)Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+7
90.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush left for 7 yards gain to the UAB36 (#21 J.Lewis)Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+7
91.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UAB43 (#46 A.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
91.8%
#2 R.Robinson II rush right for 7 yards gain to the UAB50 (#6 J.Nelson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 3
50
+7
91.9%
#2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SAM43 (#30 N.Holton; #9 L.Young), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
92.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SAM40 (#35 B.Franklin)Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+6
91.9%
Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush right for 6 yards gain to the SAM34 (#46 A.Jordan)Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-1
91.6%
#3 B.McReynolds rush left for 1 yard loss to the SAM35 (#34 S.Conn)Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+3
90.9%
No Huddle #5 R.Burton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SAM32 (#46 A.Jordan; #35 B.Franklin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
92.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SAM31 (#35 B.Franklin)Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
92.0%
#5 R.Burton pass incomplete short right to #7 J.Simpkins thrown to SAM30 QB hurried by #94 J.ShannonSimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+31
98.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete deep right to #1 C.Smith caught at SAM00, for 31 yards to the SAM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:58, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop) PENALTY #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop) PENALTY SAM Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:533% → 2%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #3 M.Henderson thrown to SAM31Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #13 C.Aukerman thrown to SAM35Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short left to #7 D.Thomas caught at SAM23, for 1 yard loss to the SAM24 (#21 D.Fullbright)Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
97.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #13 C.Aukerman thrown to SAM37 QB hurried by #59 C.Burge, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4198% → 99%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
98.2%
Shotgun #16 N.Rogers rush right for 10 yards gain to the SAM14 (#34 S.Conn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
98.2%
Shotgun #28 J.Mosley, Jr rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SAM11 (#97 J.Bussey)Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
98.2%
Shotgun #28 J.Mosley, Jr rush right for 0 yards to the SAM11 (#14 M.Steve)Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+3
98.1%
Shotgun #16 N.Rogers rush right for 3 yards gain to the SAM08 (#4 D.Henderson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
99.3%
#39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 00:24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson rush right for 8 yards gain to the SAM33 (#35 M.Byard)Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
98.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Johnson pass complete short middle to #22 K.Cherry caught at SAM35, for 13 yards to the SAM46 (#3 I.Esonwune; #21 D.Fullbright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:37
Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 28 yards gain to the SAM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:37, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop)
+8.9
TD · Q4 2:58
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete deep right to #1 C.Smith caught at SAM00, for 31 yards to the SAM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:58, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop) PENALTY #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop) PENALTY SAM Illegal Substitution declined
+6.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com